Je'Von Ward
RF Buffalo Bisons| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | A+TOR | 252 | .279/.406/.443 | 7 | 7 | 93 | — | .229/.324/.341 |
| 2025 | 25 | AA/A+TOR | 427 | .223/.376/.378 | 10 | 8 | 68 | — | .184/.289/.313 |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA/AATOR | 226 | .254/.327/.463 | 11 | 2 | 58 | — | .192/.247/.327 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 27 | MLBTOR | 15 | .188/.261/.319 | 0 | 0 | 63 | -0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ31% MLB | 28 | MLBTOR | 54 | .189/.262/.319 | 1 | 1 | 63 | -0.2 |
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 40
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 17 | ROK | AZL Brewers | — | 132 | 123 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 39 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 276 | 326 | 325 | 651 | 49 | 405 | 30 | 7 | 298 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | Helena Brewers | — | 271 | 238 | 73 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 57 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 307 | 391 | 403 | 795 | 97 | 397 | 21 | 12 | 361 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 423 | 373 | 84 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 47 | 107 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 225 | 312 | 322 | 634 | 97 | 309 | 25 | 11 | 289 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 312 | 282 | 73 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 85 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 259 | 316 | 387 | 702 | 128 | 345 | 27 | 7 | 310 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | — | 50 | 39 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 231 | 400 | 385 | 785 | 154 | 348 | 30 | 22 | 363 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 291 | 264 | 61 | 18 | 0 | 8 | 24 | 94 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 231 | 297 | 390 | 687 | 159 | 325 | 32 | 8 | 306 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | — | 252 | 201 | 56 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 41 | 55 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 279 | 406 | 443 | 849 | 164 | 333 | 22 | 16 | 371 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 198 | 178 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 60 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 230 | 305 | 393 | 698 | 163 | 310 | 30 | 10 | 311 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | — | 229 | 163 | 35 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 64 | 49 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 215 | 439 | 362 | 801 | 147 | 279 | 21 | 28 | 376 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 199 | 177 | 45 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 254 | 327 | 486 | 812 | 232 | 337 | 34 | 10 | 351 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 27 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 333 | 292 | 625 | 42 | 500 | 44 | 11 | 293 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 17 | ROK MLE | AZL Brewers | — | 132 | 126 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 56 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 190 | 227 | 222 | 449 | 32 | 343 | 42 | 5 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | Helena Brewers | — | 271 | 251 | 56 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 82 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 223 | 280 | 279 | 559 | 56 | 334 | 30 | 7 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 423 | 385 | 66 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 35 | 146 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 171 | 240 | 231 | 472 | 60 | 271 | 35 | 8 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 312 | 289 | 60 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 115 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 208 | 254 | 294 | 548 | 87 | 310 | 37 | 5 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 291 | 273 | 45 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 125 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 165 | 214 | 267 | 481 | 103 | 279 | 43 | 5 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | Vancouver Canadians | — | 252 | 214 | 49 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 76 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 229 | 324 | 341 | 665 | 112 | 300 | 30 | 11 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 198 | 184 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 76 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 185 | 239 | 315 | 554 | 130 | 274 | 38 | 7 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ MLE | Vancouver Canadians | — | 229 | 186 | 34 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 41 | 69 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 183 | 333 | 312 | 645 | 129 | 253 | 30 | 18 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 199 | 183 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 82 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 191 | 245 | 339 | 584 | 148 | 281 | 41 | 7 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 27 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 259 | 240 | 499 | 40 | 465 | 56 | 7 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK MLE | AZL Brewers | — | 132 | 126 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 56 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 190 | 227 | 222 | 449 | 32 | 343 | 42 | 5 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK RAW | AZL Brewers | — | 132 | 123 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 39 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 276 | 326 | 325 | 651 | 49 | 405 | 30 | 7 | 298 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | Helena Brewers | — | 271 | 251 | 56 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 82 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 223 | 280 | 279 | 559 | 56 | 327 | 30 | 7 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK RAW | Helena Brewers | — | 271 | 238 | 73 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 57 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 307 | 391 | 403 | 795 | 97 | 397 | 21 | 12 | 361 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 423 | 385 | 66 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 35 | 146 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 171 | 240 | 231 | 472 | 60 | 272 | 35 | 8 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A RAW | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 423 | 373 | 84 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 47 | 107 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 225 | 312 | 322 | 634 | 97 | 309 | 25 | 11 | 289 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 312 | 289 | 60 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 115 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 208 | 254 | 294 | 548 | 87 | 324 | 37 | 5 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ RAW | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 312 | 282 | 73 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 85 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 259 | 316 | 387 | 702 | 128 | 345 | 27 | 7 | 310 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | INTL MLE | Glendale Desert Dogs | — | 50 | 39 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 231 | 400 | 385 | 785 | 154 | 348 | 30 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | INTL RAW | Glendale Desert Dogs | — | 50 | 39 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 231 | 400 | 385 | 785 | 154 | 348 | 30 | 22 | 363 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 291 | 273 | 45 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 125 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 165 | 214 | 267 | 481 | 103 | 278 | 43 | 5 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ RAW | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 291 | 264 | 61 | 18 | 0 | 8 | 24 | 94 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 231 | 297 | 390 | 687 | 159 | 325 | 32 | 8 | 306 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | Vancouver Canadians | — | 252 | 214 | 49 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 76 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 229 | 324 | 341 | 665 | 112 | 312 | 30 | 11 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ RAW | Vancouver Canadians | — | 252 | 201 | 56 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 41 | 55 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 279 | 406 | 443 | 849 | 164 | 333 | 22 | 16 | 371 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 427 | 370 | 68 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 54 | 145 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 184 | 289 | 314 | 603 | 130 | 271 | 34 | 13 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 427 | 341 | 76 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 83 | 109 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 223 | 376 | 378 | 755 | 155 | 295 | 26 | 19 | 346 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 226 | 208 | 40 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 96 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 192 | 247 | 327 | 574 | 135 | 306 | 42 | 7 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 226 | 201 | 51 | 9 | 0 | 11 | 22 | 80 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 254 | 327 | 463 | 790 | 209 | 354 | 35 | 10 | 344 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK MLE | AZL Brewers | — | 132 | 125 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 56 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 192 | 227 | 224 | 451 | 32 | 343 | 42 | 5 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | Helena Brewers | — | 271 | 249 | 56 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 82 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 225 | 280 | 281 | 562 | 56 | 334 | 30 | 7 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 423 | 385 | 66 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 35 | 146 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 171 | 240 | 231 | 472 | 60 | 271 | 35 | 8 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 312 | 291 | 60 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 115 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 206 | 254 | 292 | 546 | 86 | 310 | 37 | 5 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 291 | 272 | 45 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 125 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 165 | 214 | 268 | 482 | 103 | 279 | 43 | 5 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | Vancouver Canadians | — | 252 | 220 | 49 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 76 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 223 | 324 | 332 | 656 | 109 | 300 | 30 | 11 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 427 | 369 | 68 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 54 | 145 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 184 | 289 | 314 | 604 | 130 | 263 | 34 | 13 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 226 | 209 | 40 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 96 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 191 | 247 | 325 | 572 | 134 | 303 | 42 | 7 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | Vancouver Canadians | — | 252 | 220 | 49 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 76 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 223 | 324 | 332 | 656 | 109 | 300 | 30 | 11 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 427 | 369 | 68 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 54 | 145 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 184 | 289 | 314 | 604 | 130 | 263 | 34 | 13 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 226 | 209 | 40 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 96 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 191 | 247 | 325 | 572 | 134 | 303 | 42 | 7 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB MLE | TOR | 10% | 276 | 249 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 104 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 187 | 261 | 318 | 579 | 131 | 280 | 38 | 9 | 261 | 63 | -12 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +6 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB CTX | TOR | 10% | 15 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 261 | 319 | 581 | 131 | 282 | 40 | 7 | 262 | 63 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 28 | MLB MLE | TOR | 31% | 175 | 158 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 65 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 188 | 262 | 318 | 579 | 130 | 280 | 37 | 9 | 262 | 63 | -8 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +4 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB CTX | TOR | 31% | 54 | 49 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 189 | 262 | 319 | 581 | 130 | 281 | 37 | 9 | 262 | 63 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -1 | +1 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 54 | 49 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 184 | 259 | 286 | 545 | 102 | 286 | 37 | 9 | 262 | 51 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -1 | +1 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 590 | 108 | 24 | 0 | 12 | 60 | 241 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 183 | 258 | 285 | 543 | 102 | 285 | 37 | 9 | 262 | 51 | -28 | +2 | -3 | -7 | +14 | -2.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2705 | 2445 | 472 | 90 | 13 | 41 | 229 | 976 | 6 | 64 | 36 | 193 | 264 | 291 | 555 | 98 | 297 | 36 | 8 | 244 | 51 | -14 | +0 | -1 | -3 | +7 | -1.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 588 | 114 | 22 | 3 | 10 | 55 | 235 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 194 | 264 | 293 | 556 | 99 | 299 | 36 | 8 | 244 | 51 | -29 | +0 | -1 | -7 | +14 | -2.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAABuffalo Bisons · 199 PAwOBA .347 → .259 (−88)K% 34.2% → 41.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.17% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 41.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 6.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 21.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.34% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 5.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 7.09% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .347 → .259; ISO .232 → .159; BABIP .337 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 27 PAwOBA .286 → .219 (−67)K% 44.4% → 54.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 44.44% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 54.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 7.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 41.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.978 | 39.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.978 | 7.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .286 → .219; ISO .042 → .030; BABIP .500 → .465. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Vancouver Canadians · 229 PAwOBA .367 → .294 (−74)K% 21.4% → 30.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.40% | ÷0.958 | ×1.350 | — | — | 30.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 27.07% | ÷1.039 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.968 | 17.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.44% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.968 | 0.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.30% | ÷1.022 | ×0.910 | ×1.048 | ×0.968 | 17.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷0.898 | ×0.830 | ×1.048 | ×0.968 | 4.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.63% | ÷0.939 | ×0.820 | ×1.048 | ×0.968 | 2.33% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.51% | ÷0.855 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.968 | 3.30% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 104, 2B 80, 3B 88, K 92, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.048.
Result: wOBA .367 → .294; ISO .147 → .141; BABIP .279 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 198 PAwOBA .304 → .240 (−65)K% 30.3% → 38.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.30% | ÷0.964 | ×1.220 | — | — | 38.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.60% | ÷0.983 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 6.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.19% | ÷1.029 | ×0.970 | ×0.985 | ×0.988 | 19.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.63% | ÷1.030 | ×0.860 | ×0.985 | ×0.988 | 6.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.85% | ÷0.997 | ×0.950 | ×0.985 | ×0.988 | 0.79% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.08% | ÷0.885 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 4.43% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 106, 2B 106, 3B 99, K 93, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .304 → .240; ISO .163 → .129; BABIP .310 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Vancouver Canadians · 252 PAwOBA .371 → .306 (−66)K% 21.8% → 30.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.83% | ÷0.980 | ×1.350 | — | — | 30.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.48% | ÷0.974 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 11.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.79% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.978 | 0.63% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.34% | ÷0.964 | ×0.910 | ×1.030 | ×0.978 | 24.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.22% | ÷1.071 | ×0.830 | ×1.030 | ×0.978 | 6.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.936 | ×0.820 | ×1.030 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.79% | ÷1.062 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.978 | 3.67% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 93, 2B 114, 3B 87, K 96, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .371 → .306; ISO .164 → .127; BABIP .333 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 291 PAwOBA .298 → .217 (−82)K% 32.3% → 43.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.30% | ÷0.955 | ×1.270 | — | — | 42.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.25% | ÷1.024 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 5.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.34% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 0.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.59% | ÷1.013 | ×0.920 | ×0.995 | ×0.988 | 18.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.59% | ÷0.966 | ×0.810 | ×0.995 | ×0.988 | 8.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.995 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.71% | ÷1.033 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 3.60% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 103, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 91, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .298 → .217; ISO .159 → .110; BABIP .325 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 312 PAwOBA .306 → .240 (−67)K% 27.2% → 36.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.24% | ÷1.001 | ×1.350 | — | — | 36.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.37% | ÷0.988 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 5.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.32% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.012 | 0.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.87% | ÷0.982 | ×0.910 | ×1.021 | ×1.012 | 23.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.63% | ÷1.132 | ×0.830 | ×1.021 | ×1.012 | 6.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.02% | ÷0.956 | ×0.820 | ×1.021 | ×1.012 | 0.90% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.54% | ÷1.155 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.012 | 1.85% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 96, 2B 126, 3B 91, K 100, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .306 → .240; ISO .128 → .088; BABIP .345 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AWisconsin Timber Rattlers · 423 PAwOBA .283 → .218 (−65)K% 25.3% → 34.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.30% | ÷0.994 | ×1.360 | — | — | 34.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷0.953 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 8.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.18% | ÷0.963 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 20.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.02% | ÷1.136 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 4.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.63% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 2.04% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.75% | ÷1.022 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 0.61% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 92, 2B 127, 3B 130, K 99, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .283 → .218; ISO .097 → .066; BABIP .309 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .