Kai Murphy — OGILVIE

Kai MurphyOF San Antonio Missions

Age 25 L/L 5'8" / 173 lbs AA HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION158 act + 162 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†47

AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .261 / .250

PA162

HR1

K%25

BB%7

BABIP262

ISO54

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	2 teams	—	50	46	8	2	0	0	4	13	0	3	0	174	240	217	457	43	242	26	8	215	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	2 teams	—	50	44	11	3	0	0	6	9	0	3	0	250	340	318	658	68	314	18	12	306	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	2 teams	—	371	339	73	12	1	5	21	137	5	12	5	215	271	301	572	86	340	37	6	250	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	2 teams	—	371	330	87	19	1	7	30	96	5	12	5	264	334	391	725	127	348	26	8	322	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	482	430	84	20	2	6	39	150	6	10	7	195	272	293	565	98	283	31	8	250	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	482	408	96	24	3	6	61	107	6	10	7	235	343	353	696	118	303	22	13	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	379	339	76	9	1	1	28	80	8	8	7	224	299	265	564	41	286	21	7	258	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	379	324	71	9	1	1	43	69	8	8	7	219	325	262	588	43	271	18	11	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	AA	SD	—	158	147	29	4	0	2	7	37	3	8	3	197	248	265	514	68	250	23	4	219	26	-13	+0	+0	-1	+4	-1.0
YTD	25	AA	SD	—	158	144	30	4	0	2	10	29	3	8	3	208	274	278	552	69	248	18	6	254	53	-8	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.5
ROS	25	AA	SD	2%	162	148	29	5	0	1	11	41	2	4	2	196	261	250	511	54	265	25	7	246	47	-10	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.6
ROS	25	MLB	SD	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						262	33	0	232	36	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	25	AA	SD	—	161	150	29	4	0	2	7	38	3	8	3	193	244	260	504	67	245	24	4	219	26	-13	+0	+0	-1	+5	-1.0
TOT	25	AA	SD	—	320	295	58	9	0	3	18	78	5	12	5	197	255	258	512	61	256	24	6	233	36	-23	+0	+0	-2	+9	-1.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	SD	31%	352	320	66	11	1	5	24	88	5	8	4	206	272	294	566	88	267	25	7	256	54	-18	+0	+0	-2	+10	-1.0
2028	27	MLB	SD	42%	380	345	71	12	1	5	27	95	5	8	4	206	273	290	563	84	268	25	7	262	58	-18	+0	+0	-2	+11	-1.0
2027	26	MLB	SD	31%	109	99	19	3	0	1	7	27	2	2	1	192	259	253	512	61	264	25	6	243	44	-7	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.5
2028	27	MLB	SD	42%	160	146	29	5	0	2	11	40	2	3	2	199	264	274	538	75	265	25	7	248	48	-9	-0	+0	-1	+5	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	272	248	48	8	0	3	18	68	4	5	3	194	259	262	521	69	251	25	7	246	46	-16	-0	+0	-2	+8	-1.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	114	19	0	7	43	162	10	12	7	192	259	260	519	67	249	25	7	246	46	-39	-0	+0	-4	+18	-2.6
Career	—			—	2176	1967	407	71	6	23	154	604	31	53	29	207	275	284	559	77	284	28	7	253	52	-118	-1	+0	-13	+62	-7.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	122	21	2	7	46	180	9	16	9	207	275	286	561	78	284	28	7	253	52	-35	-0	+0	-4	+18	-2.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	33	30	6	2	0	0	3	4	0	3	0	200	273	267	539	67	231	12	9	251	50	-2	+1	—	—	+1	-0.0
2022	21	ROK	ACL Padres	—	17	14	5	1	0	0	3	5	0	0	0	357	471	429	899	71	556	29	18	412	173	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.2
2023	22	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	103	93	19	4	0	1	6	29	1	1	0	204	260	280	540	75	277	28	6	241	43	-7	+0	—	—	+3	-0.4
2023	22	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	268	237	68	15	1	6	24	67	4	11	5	287	362	435	797	148	376	25	9	353	129	+9	+0	—	—	+8	1.7
2024	23	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	482	408	96	24	3	6	61	107	6	10	7	235	343	353	696	118	303	22	13	316	100	-0	-1	—	—	+14	1.3
2025	24	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	379	324	71	9	1	1	43	69	8	8	7	219	325	262	588	43	271	18	11	278	71	-12	-1	—	—	+11	-0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	275	4	6	208	272	294	-2	+0	-0.8	-0.4
	/162	664	9	14	208	272	294	-4.0	+0.0	-1.9	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kai Murphy (OGILVIE)	25	40	25	45	50	197/255/258	61	256	3	12	24%	6%	36	-1.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Devyn Bolasky 2018 · AAA	25	45	37→30	47→45	44	215/262/297	82	266	4	7	20%	5%	53	-1.5	245/293/320	75	292	4	6	17%	6%	71	-0.3	295/340/341	47	334	0	2	11%	5%	92	+0.5
✕Cole Daily 2022 · AA	25	41	35→30	43→55	45	193/258/249	56	273	3	8	29%	8%	39	-2.5	201/272/270	69	315	4	16	34%	9%	50	-1.7	184/263/228	44	298	1	24	35%	9%	33	-1.4
✕Junior Sosa 2016 · AA	25	46	39→30	50→55	44	223/271/312	89	279	6	10	22%	6%	60	-1.0	226/295/288	62	305	3	10	25%	9%	65	-0.7	227/303/254	27	310	0	9	24%	9%	56	-0.8
✕Bryant Flete 2018 · AA	25	43→44	38→40	43→50	40	208/252/288	80	274	5	6	26%	5%	46	-2.0	213/282/291	78	299	6	6	29%	7%	60	-1.0	203/291/266	63	295	5	4	30%	8%	56	-0.5
✕Tim Arakawa 2017 · AAA	24	43→42	36→30	48→50	50	205/276/273	67	268	4	10	24%	9%	53	-1.5	213/278/296	83	301	8	12	29%	8%	59	-1.1	204/273/276	72	302	10	13	34%	8%	53	-0.7
✕Sean McCraw 2011 · AA	25	43	37→30	43→30	46	201/271/272	71	279	3	4	28%	8%	50	-1.7	205/270/304	99	282	8	6	28%	8%	59	-1.1	165/239/265	100	221	9	0	28%	8%	31	-0.8
✕Norberto Obeso 2019 · A	24	44→41	36→30	47→45	50	206/271/271	66	250	4	8	19%	8%	50	-1.7	205/266/280	75	275	4	8	25%	7%	50	-1.7	193/258/257	64	268	1	5	26%	8%	37	-1.3
✕Andrew Moritz 2022 · A	25	48	35→30	47→50	41	226/265/275	50	295	3	13	24%	5%	47	-1.9	230/291/306	76	312	5	10	26%	7%	67	-0.5	230/299/304	74	312	4	9	25%	8%	67	-0.2
✕Ian Parmley 2016 · AA	26	43	35→30	50	46	202/263/254	52	276	3	13	26%	8%	42	-2.3	227/268/291	64	330	3	15	30%	5%	53	-1.5	239/273/297	58	348	2	17	31%	4%	52	-0.6
✕Forrestt Allday 2016 · AA	25	47→45	36→30	40→50	48	221/301/287	66	300	4	9	26%	8%	68	-0.5	229/305/287	58	289	3	12	20%	8%	69	-0.4	227/306/274	47	283	2	13	19%	8%	64	-0.4
✕Luis Mendez 2018 · AA	25	42	37→30	47→50	44	203/263/276	72	274	5	12	27%	7%	48	-1.9	211/268/310	99	299	9	10	31%	7%	59	-1.1	197/253/279	82	279	8	7	31%	6%	41	-1.0
✕Mike Rozema 2007 · AA	25	46→47	37→40	47→50	41	219/261/298	79	282	4	11	23%	5%	52	-1.6	229/275/331	102	297	10	10	25%	5%	66	-0.6	238/285/347	108	304	13	11	25%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Carlos Penuelas 2013 · AAA	25	45	40→30	45→50	40	218/257/310	92	285	8	8	26%	5%	53	-1.5	243/292/323	80	305	6	11	21%	6%	72	-0.2	266/314/322	56	329	3	12	19%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Wade Robinson 2006 · AA	25	47→48	36→30	41→50	41	222/261/279	57	290	4	12	24%	5%	46	-2.0	227/263/281	54	293	4	10	23%	5%	47	-1.9	234/263/262	27	299	1	8	21%	4%	39	-0.8
✕Cole Billingsley 2019 · A	25	42→51	37→30	49→50	45	200/259/270	70	261	4	14	24%	7%	44	-2.1	213/264/286	73	273	4	14	22%	6%	50	-1.7	228/269/284	56	285	2	17	20%	4%	46	-1.1
✕Peter Mooney 2016 · AA	25	45→51	36→40	47→45	51	208/285/271	63	261	3	6	20%	9%	56	-1.3	219/272/296	77	258	5	5	16%	6%	56	-1.3	200/267/288	88	244	8	7	20%	8%	50	-0.7
✕Evan Marzilli 2016 · AAA	25	44→46	39→40	49→50	42	209/271/299	91	301	5	13	31%	7%	57	-1.2	196/276/276	80	290	5	14	31%	9%	54	-1.4	183/270/255	72	274	4	14	31%	10%	44	-1.4
✕Jake Opitz 2011 · AA	25	44→51	37→40	45	46	209/268/286	77	263	3	6	21%	7%	53	-1.5	211/253/308	97	279	7	6	26%	5%	52	-1.6	214/243/328	114	270	9	4	24%	4%	50	-0.9
✕Jake Thomas 2017 · A	24	42	37→30	49→50	44	197/266/269	72	280	4	7	29%	8%	48	-1.9	212/297/284	72	324	3	9	31%	10%	65	-0.7	209/316/264	56	329	1	10	32%	13%	66	-0.4
✕Joey DeMichele 2016 · AA	25	44→47	37→40	50	39	210/253/288	78	290	4	10	28%	5%	46	-2.0	214/264/329	115	298	10	7	30%	6%	62	-0.9	204/256/336	132	279	13	2	31%	6%	57	-1.1