Kai MurphyOF
San Antonio Missions
Age 25
L/L
5'8" / 173 lbs
AA
HR +13%BB +8%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
wRC+†53
AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .279 / .286
PA320
HR3
SB9
K%27
BB%8
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
40→40
PWR
25→25
SPD
45→45
EYE
50→50
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.4peak
2028
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $-7M | $-26M | -$19M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | A | 2 teams | 50 | 46 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 0 | .196 | .260 | .239 | .499 | .043 | .273 | 26 | 8 | .221 | 27 | -4 | +1 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.2 |
| 2023 | 22 | A | 2 teams | 371 | 339 | 74 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 130 | 5 | 12 | 5 | .218 | .274 | .310 | .584 | .091 | .333 | 35 | 6 | .254 | 53 | -20 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +11 | -1.1 |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 482 | 428 | 85 | 20 | 2 | 5 | 41 | 138 | 6 | 10 | 7 | .199 | .278 | .290 | .568 | .091 | .279 | 29 | 9 | .254 | 53 | -26 | -1 | +0 | -3 | +14 | -1.6 |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 379 | 338 | 71 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 83 | 8 | 8 | 7 | .210 | .288 | .249 | .537 | .038 | .271 | 22 | 8 | .249 | 49 | -22 | -1 | +0 | -2 | +11 | -1.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 45 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 1 | .179 | .289 | .205 | .494 | .026 | .241 | 22 | 11 | .222 | 28 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | SD | 275 | 246 | 51 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 72 | 4 | 6 | 3 | .207 | .286 | .289 | .574 | .081 | .275 | 26 | 8 | .261 | 58 | -13 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +8 | -0.7 |
| TOT | 25 | MLB | SD | 320 | 285 | 58 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 82 | 5 | 9 | 4 | .204 | .286 | .277 | .563 | .074 | .274 | 26 | 9 | .255 | 53 | -17 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +9 | -1.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB 11% | SD | 352 | 313 | 66 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 31 | 84 | 5 | 7 | 4 | .211 | .292 | .304 | .596 | .093 | .271 | 24 | 9 | .274 | 68 | -13 | -0 | +0 | -2 | +10 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB 26% | SD | 380 | 338 | 72 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 34 | 90 | 5 | 7 | 4 | .213 | .294 | .311 | .605 | .098 | .272 | 24 | 9 | .278 | 71 | -12 | -0 | +0 | -2 | +11 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB 38% | SD | 395 | 351 | 75 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 36 | 94 | 5 | 7 | 4 | .214 | .296 | .311 | .606 | .097 | .273 | 24 | 9 | .279 | 72 | -12 | -0 | -1 | -2 | +11 | -0.5 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB 47% | SD | 397 | 353 | 75 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 36 | 96 | 5 | 6 | 3 | .212 | .294 | .309 | .603 | .096 | .273 | 24 | 9 | .279 | 71 | -13 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +11 | -0.6 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB 56% | SD | 396 | 352 | 74 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 36 | 97 | 5 | 5 | 3 | .210 | .293 | .304 | .597 | .094 | .271 | 24 | 9 | .275 | 69 | -14 | -0 | -2 | -2 | +11 | -0.8 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB 73% | SD | 385 | 342 | 71 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 96 | 5 | 4 | 3 | .208 | .291 | .295 | .586 | .088 | .270 | 25 | 9 | .272 | 66 | -15 | -0 | -3 | -2 | +11 | -1.0 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB 91% | SD | 369 | 328 | 67 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 33 | 94 | 5 | 3 | 3 | .204 | .287 | .293 | .580 | .088 | .268 | 25 | 9 | .267 | 63 | -16 | -1 | -4 | -2 | +10 | -1.2 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | SD | 340 | 302 | 61 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 89 | 4 | 2 | 3 | .202 | .285 | .285 | .570 | .083 | .267 | 26 | 9 | .262 | 59 | -16 | -1 | -4 | -2 | +10 | -1.4 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | SD | 298 | 265 | 52 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 80 | 4 | 2 | 4 | .196 | .280 | .272 | .552 | .075 | .265 | 27 | 9 | .256 | 54 | -15 | -1 | -5 | -2 | +8 | -1.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4869 | 4341 | 903 | 164 | 14 | 60 | 417 | 1256 | 66 | 82 | 53 | .208 | .287 | .294 | .581 | .086 | .276 | 26 | 9 | .266 | 62 | -211 | -5 | -20 | -29 | +138 | -12.9 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 580 | 121 | 22 | 2 | 8 | 56 | 168 | 9 | 11 | 7 | .209 | .289 | .295 | .584 | .086 | .277 | 26 | 9 | .266 | 62 | -28 | -1 | -3 | -4 | +18 | -1.7 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 33 | 30 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | .200 | .273 | .267 | .539 | .067 | .231 | 12 | 9 | .251 | 50 | -2 | +1 | — | — | +1 | -0.0 |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | ACL Padres | 17 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .357 | .471 | .429 | .899 | .071 | .556 | 29 | 18 | .412 | 173 | +1 | +0 | — | — | +0 | 0.2 |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 103 | 93 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .204 | .260 | .280 | .540 | .075 | .277 | 28 | 6 | .241 | 43 | -7 | +0 | — | — | +3 | -0.4 |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 268 | 237 | 68 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 67 | 4 | 11 | 5 | .287 | .362 | .435 | .797 | .148 | .376 | 25 | 9 | .353 | 129 | +9 | +0 | — | — | +8 | 1.7 |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 482 | 408 | 96 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 61 | 107 | 6 | 10 | 7 | .235 | .343 | .353 | .696 | .118 | .303 | 22 | 13 | .316 | 100 | -0 | -1 | — | — | +14 | 1.3 |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 379 | 324 | 71 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 43 | 69 | 8 | 8 | 7 | .219 | .325 | .262 | .588 | .043 | .271 | 18 | 11 | .278 | 71 | -12 | -1 | — | — | +11 | -0.3 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Kai Murphy (OGILVIE) | 25 | 40 | 25 | 45 | 50 | .205/.279/.286 | .081 | .278 | 3 | 5 | 27% | 8% | 58 | -0.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Jake Thomas 2017 · A |
24 | 43 | 37→30 | 48→50 | 46 | .203/.273/.276 | .073 | .280 | 4 | 8 | 27% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .213/.304/.285 | .072 | .317 | 3 | 9 | 30% | 11% | 69 | -0.4 | .212/.328/.269 | .058 | .327 | 1 | 10 | 30% | 14% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Forrestt Allday 2016 · AA |
25 | 48→47 | 36→30 | 40→50 | 48 | .222/.302/.286 | .064 | .298 | 4 | 9 | 25% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .230/.306/.288 | .058 | .291 | 3 | 11 | 20% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .231/.309/.280 | .049 | .287 | 2 | 13 | 19% | 8% | 66 | -0.4 |
|
✕John Mora 2018 · AAA |
25 | 47→48 | 39→40 | 47→50 | 46 | .222/.281/.312 | .089 | .287 | 5 | 10 | 24% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .214/.269/.308 | .094 | .295 | 6 | 9 | 28% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .201/.256/.306 | .105 | .278 | 6 | 5 | 29% | 6% | 50 | -1.1 |
|
✕Carlos Penuelas 2013 · AAA |
25 | 46 | 41→30 | 45→50 | 41 | .224/.264/.318 | .094 | .285 | 8 | 9 | 24% | 5% | 58 | -1.2 | .246/.294/.326 | .080 | .306 | 6 | 10 | 20% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .269/.316/.325 | .056 | .331 | 3 | 12 | 19% | 5% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Adam Melker 2013 · AA |
25 | 47 | 39→40 | 46→50 | 43 | .227/.281/.311 | .084 | .299 | 7 | 9 | 26% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .231/.277/.328 | .097 | .296 | 10 | 11 | 24% | 5% | 67 | -0.5 | .232/.276/.325 | .092 | .292 | 10 | 13 | 23% | 4% | 63 | -0.5 |
|
✕Chase Calabuig 2022 · AA |
26 | 42→52 | 39→40 | 44→45 | 49 | .206/.278/.287 | .081 | .268 | 8 | 6 | 25% | 9% | 58 | -1.2 | .246/.307/.366 | .120 | .290 | 11 | 5 | 18% | 8% | 89 | +1.0 | .277/.336/.411 | .134 | .318 | 11 | 3 | 16% | 8% | 109 | +1.2 |
|
✕Shayne Fontana 2022 · AA |
25 | 41 | 42→45 | 48→55 | 46 | .197/.276/.303 | .106 | .284 | 9 | 9 | 32% | 9% | 61 | -1.0 | .215/.297/.325 | .110 | .300 | 11 | 14 | 30% | 9% | 76 | +0.1 | .222/.305/.326 | .104 | .296 | 11 | 19 | 27% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Junior Sosa 2016 · AA |
25 | 46 | 38→30 | 48→55 | 44 | .220/.268/.301 | .081 | .278 | 5 | 10 | 22% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .228/.292/.288 | .060 | .305 | 3 | 10 | 24% | 8% | 63 | -0.8 | .230/.299/.257 | .027 | .312 | 0 | 9 | 24% | 8% | 55 | -0.8 |
|
✕Ender Chavez 2006 · A |
25 | 47→48 | 36→30 | 46→55 | 44 | .223/.272/.290 | .067 | .284 | 4 | 12 | 22% | 6% | 54 | -1.4 | .233/.303/.293 | .060 | .297 | 3 | 16 | 20% | 9% | 69 | -0.4 | .242/.327/.288 | .045 | .305 | 1 | 19 | 19% | 10% | 75 | -0.0 |
|
✕Devyn Bolasky 2018 · AAA |
25 | 46 | 37→30 | 46→45 | 45 | .217/.266/.297 | .080 | .265 | 4 | 8 | 19% | 6% | 54 | -1.4 | .245/.292/.320 | .075 | .292 | 3 | 6 | 16% | 5% | 70 | -0.3 | .292/.338/.340 | .048 | .331 | 0 | 2 | 11% | 5% | 90 | +0.5 |
|
✕Chantz Mack 2016 · AA |
25 | 44→47 | 42→45 | 45 | 45 | .215/.277/.322 | .106 | .284 | 9 | 7 | 27% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .219/.293/.330 | .111 | .299 | 11 | 5 | 28% | 9% | 75 | -0.0 | .216/.298/.325 | .108 | .293 | 12 | 3 | 28% | 10% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Derek Gibson 2015 · A |
24 | 46 | 39→30 | 47→40 | 47 | .220/.279/.310 | .090 | .264 | 6 | 6 | 19% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .234/.283/.306 | .072 | .285 | 3 | 5 | 18% | 5% | 63 | -0.8 | .263/.303/.317 | .054 | .314 | 0 | 2 | 15% | 4% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
✕Francisco Ferreiro 2019 · AAA |
25 | 46→53 | 41→40 | 46→45 | 42 | .222/.264/.323 | .101 | .277 | 7 | 11 | 22% | 5% | 60 | -1.0 | .239/.280/.334 | .095 | .308 | 6 | 8 | 23% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 | .250/.289/.337 | .087 | .323 | 4 | 5 | 23% | 5% | 70 | -0.3 |
|
✕Cornelius Randolph 2021 · AA |
24 | 44→47 | 41→40 | 45 | 43 | .214/.273/.310 | .095 | .296 | 9 | 8 | 30% | 7% | 61 | -1.0 | .207/.267/.322 | .115 | .334 | 12 | 12 | 38% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .194/.259/.309 | .115 | .296 | 14 | 15 | 37% | 8% | 53 | -0.5 |
|
✕Preston Beck 2016 · AA |
25 | 42→43 | 42→45 | 48→45 | 48 | .206/.274/.311 | .105 | .258 | 9 | 8 | 23% | 8% | 62 | -0.9 | .214/.268/.320 | .106 | .269 | 9 | 6 | 23% | 6% | 61 | -1.0 | .212/.262/.314 | .102 | .269 | 9 | 3 | 24% | 5% | 54 | -0.9 |
|
✕Mitchell Tolman 2019 · A |
25 | 44→47 | 40→45 | 45→50 | 48 | .211/.286/.301 | .089 | .282 | 7 | 9 | 26% | 8% | 65 | -0.7 | .212/.281/.308 | .096 | .301 | 8 | 9 | 30% | 8% | 65 | -0.7 | .215/.285/.332 | .118 | .284 | 11 | 8 | 27% | 7% | 70 | -0.2 |
|
✕Bryant Flete 2018 · AA |
25 | 43→45 | 39→40 | 43→50 | 41 | .209/.255/.292 | .082 | .270 | 6 | 6 | 24% | 5% | 48 | -1.9 | .215/.280/.294 | .079 | .298 | 6 | 6 | 28% | 6% | 60 | -1.0 | .206/.291/.267 | .061 | .300 | 5 | 4 | 30% | 8% | 55 | -0.5 |
|
✕Austin Krum 2011 · AA |
25 | 48→51 | 38→40 | 49→50 | 47 | .227/.291/.309 | .083 | .290 | 5 | 12 | 23% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .230/.291/.305 | .075 | .299 | 4 | 18 | 23% | 7% | 67 | -0.5 | .235/.295/.300 | .065 | .307 | 2 | 23 | 23% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 |
|
✕Evan Marzilli 2016 · AAA |
25 | 44→45 | 39→40 | 48→50 | 43 | .208/.273/.298 | .090 | .304 | 5 | 12 | 31% | 8% | 58 | -1.2 | .201/.278/.284 | .083 | .293 | 5 | 14 | 30% | 9% | 57 | -1.2 | .190/.274/.267 | .077 | .279 | 4 | 14 | 31% | 9% | 48 | -1.2 |
|
✕Norberto Obeso 2019 · A |
24 | 45→42 | 37→30 | 47→45 | 51 | .213/.281/.281 | .068 | .253 | 4 | 8 | 17% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .207/.269/.280 | .073 | .273 | 4 | 7 | 24% | 7% | 51 | -1.7 | .198/.261/.263 | .065 | .271 | 1 | 5 | 26% | 8% | 41 | -1.2 |