Konner Piotto
C Round Rock Express| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 25 | A+/A2 orgs | 252 | .244/.351/.329 | 3 | 7 | 57 | — | .208/.294/.271 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA/A+TEX | 185 | .258/.365/.361 | 2 | 5 | 62 | — | .220/.293/.311 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAATEX | 114 | .221/.345/.263 | 1 | 2 | 47 | — | .192/.292/.232 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 29 | MLBTEX | 10 | .191/.267/.295 | 0 | 0 | 59 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 30 | MLBTEX | 41 | .190/.266/.293 | 1 | 1 | 58 | -0.1 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | — | 28 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 240 | 321 | 280 | 601 | 40 | 333 | 25 | 11 | 282 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 18 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 71 | 278 | 71 | 349 | 333 | 61 | 17 | 207 | -37 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | — | 31 | 26 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 308 | 400 | 462 | 862 | 154 | 333 | 10 | 10 | 374 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | — | 15 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 77 | 200 | 77 | 277 | 111 | 27 | 7 | 156 | -41 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 25 | A | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 237 | 200 | 51 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 48 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 255 | 361 | 345 | 706 | 90 | 314 | 20 | 11 | 322 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 37 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 333 | 323 | 656 | 97 | 368 | 35 | 11 | 296 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | — | 148 | 124 | 33 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 31 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 266 | 372 | 371 | 743 | 105 | 333 | 21 | 11 | 335 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 114 | 95 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 33 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 221 | 345 | 263 | 608 | 42 | 328 | 29 | 14 | 291 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 28 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 192 | 250 | 231 | 481 | 38 | 289 | 36 | 7 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A MLE | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 18 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 167 | 298 | 83 | 11 | 114 | -37 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| 2022 | 24 | A+ MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 31 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 296 | 367 | 444 | 811 | 148 | 275 | 13 | 6 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 15 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 77 | 200 | 77 | 277 | 91 | 33 | 7 | 107 | -41 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 25 | A MLE | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 237 | 208 | 45 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 64 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 216 | 300 | 284 | 584 | 67 | 281 | 27 | 7 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 37 | 32 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 306 | 312 | 618 | 94 | 343 | 41 | 8 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | A+ MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 148 | 132 | 29 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 41 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 220 | 290 | 311 | 600 | 91 | 282 | 28 | 6 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 114 | 99 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 192 | 292 | 232 | 524 | 40 | 284 | 32 | 11 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 46 | 41 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 122 | 217 | 146 | 364 | 24 | 294 | 52 | 9 | 173 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 46 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 304 | 205 | 509 | 26 | 333 | 39 | 13 | 253 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 31 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 296 | 367 | 444 | 811 | 148 | 333 | 13 | 6 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ RAW | Hickory Crawdads | — | 31 | 26 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 308 | 400 | 462 | 862 | 154 | 333 | 10 | 10 | 374 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 252 | 222 | 46 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 69 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 207 | 290 | 270 | 561 | 63 | 284 | 27 | 7 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 252 | 213 | 52 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 52 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 244 | 351 | 329 | 679 | 85 | 302 | 21 | 10 | 313 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 185 | 164 | 36 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 56 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 220 | 293 | 311 | 604 | 91 | 312 | 30 | 6 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 185 | 155 | 40 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 44 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 258 | 365 | 361 | 726 | 103 | 339 | 24 | 11 | 327 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 114 | 99 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 192 | 292 | 232 | 524 | 40 | 290 | 32 | 11 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA RAW | Round Rock Express | — | 114 | 95 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 33 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 221 | 345 | 263 | 608 | 42 | 328 | 29 | 14 | 291 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 46 | 41 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 122 | 217 | 146 | 364 | 24 | 293 | 52 | 9 | 173 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 31 | 28 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 286 | 367 | 429 | 795 | 143 | 275 | 13 | 6 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 252 | 224 | 46 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 69 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 205 | 290 | 268 | 558 | 62 | 270 | 27 | 7 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 185 | 166 | 36 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 56 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 217 | 293 | 307 | 600 | 90 | 294 | 30 | 6 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 114 | 99 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 192 | 292 | 232 | 524 | 40 | 284 | 32 | 11 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 26 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 185 | 166 | 36 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 56 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 217 | 293 | 307 | 600 | 90 | 294 | 30 | 6 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 114 | 99 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 192 | 292 | 232 | 524 | 40 | 284 | 32 | 11 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB MLE | TEX | 10% | 200 | 179 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 54 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 190 | 266 | 291 | 558 | 102 | 247 | 27 | 8 | 255 | 59 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +4 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB CTX | TEX | 10% | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 191 | 267 | 295 | 562 | 105 | 247 | 30 | 10 | 257 | 59 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 30 | MLB MLE | TEX | 27% | 151 | 136 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 41 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 189 | 265 | 290 | 555 | 100 | 247 | 27 | 8 | 254 | 58 | -8 | +0 | -2 | +3 | +3 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB CTX | TEX | 27% | 41 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 190 | 266 | 293 | 559 | 103 | 247 | 27 | 7 | 256 | 58 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 41 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 189 | 268 | 297 | 566 | 108 | 240 | 27 | 7 | 256 | 56 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 587 | 111 | 16 | 0 | 16 | 48 | 174 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 189 | 269 | 298 | 567 | 109 | 239 | 27 | 7 | 256 | 56 | -32 | +3 | -9 | +12 | +14 | -1.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 884 | 784 | 158 | 25 | 4 | 10 | 67 | 258 | 21 | 18 | 6 | 202 | 282 | 282 | 564 | 80 | 281 | 29 | 8 | 250 | 56 | -13 | +0 | -2 | +5 | +6 | -0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 576 | 116 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 49 | 190 | 15 | 13 | 4 | 201 | 280 | 280 | 560 | 78 | 282 | 29 | 8 | 250 | 56 | -32 | +0 | -5 | +12 | +14 | -1.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AAARound Rock Express · 114 PAwOBA .285 → .238 (−47)K% 28.9% → 32.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.95% | ÷1.086 | ×1.200 | — | — | 32.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.04% | ÷0.962 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 10.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.75% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 1.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.65% | ÷1.053 | ×0.930 | ×0.978 | ×1.003 | 26.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.61% | ÷0.881 | ×0.830 | ×0.978 | ×1.003 | 1.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.921 | ×0.970 | ×0.978 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.61% | ÷0.913 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 1.24% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 111, 2B 76, 3B 84, K 117, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .285 → .238; ISO .042 → .035; BABIP .328 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Hickory Crawdads · 148 PAwOBA .329 → .259 (−70)K% 20.9% → 27.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.95% | ÷0.988 | ×1.310 | — | — | 27.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.81% | ÷1.019 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.968 | 6.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.70% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.968 | 2.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.96% | ÷1.026 | ×0.870 | ×1.044 | ×0.968 | 23.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.23% | ÷0.994 | ×0.780 | ×1.044 | ×0.968 | 2.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.15% | ÷1.014 | ×0.850 | ×1.044 | ×0.968 | 1.82% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.15% | ÷1.014 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.968 | 1.81% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 105, 2B 99, 3B 103, K 98, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.
Result: wOBA .329 → .259; ISO .105 → .089; BABIP .333 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAARound Rock Express · 37 PAwOBA .297 → .263 (−34)K% 35.1% → 39.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.14% | ÷1.069 | ×1.200 | — | — | 39.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.81% | ÷1.040 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 7.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.70% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 2.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.78% | ÷0.989 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 26.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.56% | ÷0.987 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 4.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.56% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 4.77% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.928 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 98, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 114, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .297 → .263; ISO .097 → .086; BABIP .368 → .343. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ADown East Wood Ducks · 237 PAwOBA .318 → .261 (−57)K% 20.3% → 26.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.25% | ÷1.022 | ×1.360 | — | — | 26.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.13% | ÷0.971 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.970 | 6.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.38% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.970 | 2.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.66% | ÷0.979 | ×0.920 | ×0.995 | ×0.970 | 23.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.92% | ÷0.914 | ×0.830 | ×0.995 | ×0.970 | 5.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.124 | ×0.910 | ×0.995 | ×0.970 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.97% | ÷1.082 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.970 | 1.42% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 96, 2B 83, 3B 125, K 104, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .318 → .261; ISO .090 → .071; BABIP .314 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Hickory Crawdads · 15 PAwOBA .153 → .107 (−45)K% 26.7% → 35.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.67% | ÷0.974 | ×1.310 | — | — | 35.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.978 | 3.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.67% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.978 | 5.02% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.040 | ×0.870 | — | ×0.978 | 9.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.960 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.948 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 108, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 95, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .153 → .107; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .111 → .091. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Hickory Crawdads · 31 PAwOBA .376 → .309 (−68)K% 9.7% → 12.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.68% | ÷1.007 | ×1.310 | — | — | 12.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.68% | ÷0.985 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.988 | 5.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.23% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.988 | 2.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.39% | ÷1.039 | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 14.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 17.39% | ÷0.939 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 14.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.984 | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.123 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 108, 2B 88, 3B 97, K 101, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .376 → .309; ISO .154 → .135; BABIP .333 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Hickory Crawdads · 28 PAwOBA .276 → .211 (−65)K% 25.0% → 34.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷0.990 | ×1.350 | — | — | 34.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.71% | ÷0.964 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 7.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.78% | ÷1.024 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.998 | 24.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.56% | ÷1.091 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 4.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.881 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 105, 2B 118, 3B 80, K 98, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .276 → .211; ISO .040 → .027; BABIP .333 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ADown East Wood Ducks · 18 PAwOBA .204 → .114 (−90)K% 61.1% → 81.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 61.11% | ÷1.017 | ×1.360 | — | — | 81.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.67% | ÷1.050 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 10.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.56% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 4.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.020 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.990 | 29.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.006 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.069 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.996 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 104, 2B 101, 3B 114, K 103, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .204 → .114; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .333 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).