Player 837684 — OGILVIE

Player 837684— DSL Arizona Red

Age — —/— ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION124 act + 190 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+78

AVG/OBP/SLG.225 / .303 / .355

PA190

HR3

SB9

K%23

BB%8

BABIP282

ISO130

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	—	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	124	106	22	7	1	2	11	19	4	14	1	208	306	349	655	142	233	15	9	280	72	-4	+2	+0	-2	+4	-0.0
YTD	—	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	124	100	28	9	1	3	17	13	4	14	1	280	405	480	885	200	294	10	14	385	153	+7	+2	+0	-2	+4	1.1
ROS	—	ROK	—	0%	190	169	38	9	2	3	16	43	3	9	1	225	303	355	658	130	274	23	8	288	78	-5	+1	+0	-3	+5	-0.1
ROS	—	MLB	—	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		274	—	—	288	78	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	—	ROK	—	—	124	107	22	7	1	2	11	19	4	14	1	206	306	346	652	140	230	15	9	280	72	-4	+2	+0	-2	+4	-0.0
TOT	—	ROK	—	—	314	275	60	16	3	5	27	62	7	23	2	218	304	353	657	135	262	20	9	285	76	-9	+4	+0	-6	+9	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	—	0%	317	283	62	14	2	5	26	71	5	11	1	219	296	336	632	117	273	22	8	290	80	-7	+2	+0	-6	+9	-0.2
2028	25	MLB	—	0%	409	366	82	18	3	8	34	92	6	13	1	224	300	355	656	131	275	22	8	294	83	-8	+2	+0	-7	+12	-0.1
2029	25	MLB	—	0%	471	422	94	21	3	9	39	106	7	15	2	223	299	351	650	128	275	23	8	296	85	-8	+2	+0	-8	+13	-0.1
2030	25	MLB	—	0%	514	458	104	23	3	11	43	115	8	17	2	227	305	362	667	135	276	22	8	297	86	-8	+3	+0	-9	+15	-0.0
2031	25	MLB	—	0%	543	485	109	24	4	11	45	122	8	18	2	225	301	359	660	134	275	22	8	298	86	-8	+3	+0	-10	+15	0.0
2032	25	MLB	—	0%	564	503	114	25	4	12	47	127	9	18	2	227	304	364	668	137	275	23	8	299	87	-8	+3	+0	-10	+16	0.0
2027	25	MLB	—	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		273	—	—	290	80	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB	—	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		275	—	—	294	83	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB	—	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		275	—	—	296	85	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB	—	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		276	—	—	297	86	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB	—	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		275	—	—	298	86	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB	—	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		275	—	—	299	87	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3008	2686	603	134	21	59	250	676	46	101	11	224	301	356	657	131	277	22	8	296	84	-53	+16	+0	-54	+85	-0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	131	29	5	13	54	146	10	22	2	226	302	360	663	134	278	22	8	296	84	-11	+4	+0	-12	+18	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	3,132	61	101	226	299	357	-36	+0	1.4	1.4
	/162	664	13	21	226	299	357	-7.6	+0.0	0.3	pk7: 2
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 837684 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	218/304/353	135	262	5	23	20%	9%	76	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Allen Córdoba 2021 · A	25	48→53	41→45	53→55	40	231/281/330	100	302	7	20	26%	5%	69	-0.4	233/301/351	118	292	10	16	23%	6%	84	+0.6	231/305/357	125	285	11	18	22%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Jonathan Davis 2017 · A	25	40→50	46→45	54→55	44	199/284/331	132	279	13	21	32%	8%	72	-0.2	219/298/335	116	289	10	19	26%	8%	79	+0.3	221/302/335	114	287	10	20	25%	8%	78	+0.2
✕Jeremy Rathjen 2014 · A	24	44→41	42→50	51→50	47	214/288/323	109	274	9	17	24%	8%	72	-0.2	210/270/352	142	276	16	11	29%	7%	72	-0.2	199/257/359	161	255	21	7	31%	6%	64	-0.4
✕Mario Lisson 2008 · A	24	47→49	42→55	52→55	43	226/287/335	108	297	9	19	26%	6%	73	-0.1	206/252/321	115	268	12	17	27%	5%	55	-1.4	231/301/377	146	300	19	8	28%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Nate Eaton 2022 · A	25	40→49	40→50	55→60	44	195/262/286	91	267	7	19	29%	7%	50	-1.7	218/272/351	133	286	15	28	28%	6%	72	-0.2	219/272/357	138	284	14	27	27%	5%	70	-0.2
✕Daniel Lyons 2010 · A	25	44→48	40→45	51→50	50	209/293/306	97	268	7	15	23%	9%	69	-0.4	198/286/274	76	275	4	12	27%	9%	59	-1.1	173/276/223	50	249	2	11	28%	10%	41	-1.4
✕Dylan Moore 2017 · A	24	44→47	43→50	55→65	47	214/294/334	120	273	10	23	24%	8%	77	+0.1	206/272/327	121	267	11	18	26%	7%	66	-0.6	210/332/386	176	289	16	41	30%	12%	104	+1.0
✕Phillip Ervin 2016 · AA	24	43→50	43→50	54→55	47	210/282/326	116	268	10	20	25%	8%	69	-0.4	217/288/344	127	270	13	25	24%	7%	77	+0.1	232/296/372	140	294	14	21	25%	7%	84	+0.5
✕Jared Oliva 2019 · A	23	46→45	42→50	56→65	43	219/288/328	109	304	8	24	29%	7%	72	-0.2	218/277/322	104	307	8	25	30%	6%	66	-0.6	227/296/370	142	284	15	55	24%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Justin Dean 2021 · A	24	47→49	43→45	58→65	44	222/293/335	113	314	10	23	31%	8%	76	+0.1	203/280/315	112	322	11	27	37%	8%	66	-0.6	232/303/321	89	344	6	48	32%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Shawn Payne 2014 · A	25	48→58	41→45	57→55	49	227/299/329	102	287	7	24	22%	8%	77	+0.1	216/285/323	107	294	8	16	27%	8%	69	-0.4	207/282/317	110	287	8	17	28%	8%	64	-0.5
✕Michael Gigliotti 2022 · A	26	45	43→40	54→55	45	217/293/331	114	301	9	20	29%	8%	76	+0.0	209/307/325	116	287	11	20	28%	10%	81	+0.4	198/306/304	106	267	10	24	27%	11%	74	-0.0
✕José Caballero 2021 · A	24	45	43→45	52→70	46	221/293/334	113	279	10	25	24%	7%	76	+0.1	224/326/350	126	288	13	35	25%	11%	95	+1.4	225/318/339	114	299	10	63	26%	9%	86	+0.5
✕Aaron Mathews 2006 · A	24	48→52	43→45	55→45	44	232/282/350	118	296	9	13	24%	6%	75	-0.0	247/285/361	114	296	9	7	19%	5%	79	+0.3	254/290/367	113	301	9	5	18%	4%	79	+0.2
✕Scott Heineman 2017 · A	24	46→56	43→45	51→50	42	222/289/341	118	312	10	17	30%	7%	76	+0.1	239/297/355	116	328	11	14	29%	6%	83	+0.6	257/317/388	131	330	15	16	25%	6%	97	+0.8
✕Quincy Hamilton 2022 · A	24	46→44	40→50	51→50	46	220/295/307	87	301	7	15	28%	8%	70	-0.3	219/300/362	143	286	16	14	28%	9%	87	+0.8	207/292/361	154	264	18	14	28%	9%	80	+0.3
✕Kyle Datres 2022 · A	26	39→40	45→50	54→55	44	194/276/317	123	270	12	18	31%	8%	66	-0.6	209/287/354	145	287	18	23	32%	8%	79	+0.3	198/279/346	148	268	20	26	32%	8%	71	-0.1
✕Nick Podkul 2021 · A	24	43	38→50	52→50	48	205/281/287	81	278	5	14	26%	8%	59	-1.1	205/289/343	138	278	16	8	30%	9%	78	+0.2	208/303/367	159	284	21	3	32%	10%	85	+0.3
✕Kyle Petty 2016 · A	25	46→49	42→50	53→50	39	221/266/325	104	308	9	11	30%	5%	61	-1.0	230/288/343	113	330	11	9	32%	6%	76	+0.1	233/295/348	115	335	12	8	32%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Taylor Motter 2014 · A	24	48→50	41→55	53→55	50	230/297/334	104	287	7	24	22%	8%	77	+0.1	233/281/356	123	273	13	18	19%	6%	76	+0.1	214/291/395	181	261	23	5	27%	9%	90	+0.6