Player 837684 — OGILVIE

Player 8376841B DSL Arizona Red

Age — —/— ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION218 act + 27 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+82

AVG/OBP/SLG.160 / .222 / .200

PA27

HR0

K%22

BB%7

BABIP275

ISO40

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 56 / POW 41

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT56

scouting grade only

POWER41

scouting grade only

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED64

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	—	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	218	185	39	8	3	4	20	42	6	26	2	211	308	351	659	141	246	19	9	282	77	-6	+4	+0	-4	+5	-0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	—	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Red	—	218	173	48	11	4	5	32	29	6	26	2	277	408	474	882	197	303	13	15	381	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	—	ROK MLE	—	0%	27	25	4	1	0	0	2	6	0	2	0	160	222	200	422	40	275	22	7	290	82	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
TOT	—	ROK MLE	—	—	245	210	43	9	3	4	22	48	6	28	2	205	298	333	632	129	242	20	9	283	78	-7	+5	+0	-4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	—	0%	340	303	67	13	4	6	29	81	5	11	1	221	300	350	650	129	274	24	9	291	83	-7	+2	+0	-6	+7	-0.4
2028	25	MLB MLE	—	0%	424	378	83	16	4	8	37	100	6	13	1	220	299	347	646	127	275	24	9	294	85	-8	+2	+0	-8	+9	-0.4
2029	25	MLB MLE	—	0%	481	429	95	18	5	10	42	113	7	14	1	221	301	357	658	135	276	23	9	295	86	-8	+2	+0	-9	+10	-0.4
2030	25	MLB MLE	—	0%	520	462	103	20	5	11	45	122	8	14	2	223	303	359	662	136	276	23	9	296	87	-8	+2	+0	-9	+11	-0.4
2031	25	MLB MLE	—	0%	547	486	108	21	5	11	48	128	8	15	2	222	303	354	656	132	275	23	9	296	87	-9	+2	+0	-10	+12	-0.5
2032	25	MLB MLE	—	0%	567	505	112	22	5	12	49	133	8	15	2	222	301	356	657	135	275	23	9	296	87	-9	+2	+0	-10	+12	-0.5
2033	25	MLB MLE	—	0%	582	517	115	22	6	12	51	137	9	16	2	222	303	358	661	135	275	24	9	296	87	-9	+2	+0	-10	+13	-0.5
2034	25	MLB MLE	—	0%	593	527	117	23	6	12	52	139	9	16	2	222	303	357	659	135	275	23	9	296	87	-9	+2	+0	-11	+13	-0.5
2027	25	MLB CTX	—	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	274	—	—	291	83	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB CTX	—	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	275	—	—	294	85	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB CTX	—	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	276	—	—	295	86	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB CTX	—	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	276	—	—	296	87	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB CTX	—	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	275	—	—	296	87	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB CTX	—	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	275	—	—	296	87	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2033	25	MLB CTX	—	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	275	—	—	296	87	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2034	25	MLB CTX	—	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	275	—	—	296	87	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	4081	3632	804	156	40	82	355	959	60	116	13	221	301	354	655	133	276	23	9	295	86	-68	+18	+0	-73	+88	-3.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	128	25	6	13	57	153	10	18	2	221	302	353	655	131	277	24	9	295	86	-11	+3	+0	-12	+14	-0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	7.5	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
/162	664	24	4	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#2Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#3Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Nate Schierholtzlast yr '14 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,275 PA	3.4	2,275	52	30	253	302	405	-24	-6	2.0	2.8
/162	664	15	9	-7.1	-1.8	0.6	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.6	4,374	88	122	223	299	356	-49	+0	2.3	2.2
/162	664	13	19	-7.5	+0.0	0.3	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 837684 (OGILVIE)	25	56	41	64	53	215/297/338	123	275	5	19	24%	9%	82	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jonathan Davis 2017 · A	25	42→52	46→45	55	45	207/293/340	133	287	12	21	30%	8%	81	-0.1	221/300/334	113	289	9	19	25%	8%	82	-0.0	221/304/328	106	311	9	22	29%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Adalberto Santos 2012 · A	24	51→54	43→45	59→55	48	246/306/367	121	297	8	21	20%	7%	91	+0.6	255/316/349	94	318	6	20	20%	7%	90	+0.6	259/323/341	82	327	5	21	21%	8%	88	+0.2
✕Aaron Mathews 2006 · A	24	48→53	43→45	55→45	44	232/282/350	118	296	9	13	24%	6%	78	-0.3	247/285/359	112	295	9	7	19%	5%	80	-0.1	255/291/364	109	301	8	5	18%	4%	81	-0.0
✕TJ Hopkins 2022 · AA	25	49→54	44→50	57→45	43	232/291/362	129	317	9	7	28%	7%	84	+0.1	228/291/364	136	320	15	7	31%	7%	85	+0.2	228/295/365	136	320	16	6	32%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Justin Dean 2021 · A	24	47→49	42→45	58→65	44	222/293/331	108	316	8	23	30%	8%	78	-0.3	203/281/302	99	319	8	27	36%	8%	68	-1.0	212/292/295	83	324	7	47	34%	9%	67	-0.7
✕Shawn Payne 2014 · A	25	47→57	40	56→55	48	225/296/321	96	287	6	24	23%	8%	77	-0.3	213/283/315	102	293	7	16	28%	8%	71	-0.8	203/278/305	103	285	7	17	29%	8%	63	-0.9
✕Jared Triolo 2023 · AA	25	50→60	43→45	54→55	47	241/300/353	113	305	10	20	24%	8%	85	+0.2	239/317/352	113	322	10	17	26%	10%	92	+0.7	235/321/349	114	313	11	17	26%	10%	90	+0.5
✕Levi Michael 2016 · AA	25	49→59	40→45	57→55	48	233/301/331	98	299	6	21	23%	8%	81	-0.1	225/289/319	94	310	7	12	28%	6%	74	-0.6	228/294/337	109	315	10	11	29%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Nate Tenbrink 2012 · AA	25	47→53	45→50	58→50	46	228/296/364	135	295	12	17	26%	8%	86	+0.3	224/296/368	144	325	14	13	33%	8%	88	+0.4	219/293/364	145	332	15	11	36%	8%	83	+0.1
✕Daniel Carbonell 2015 · A	24	50→53	45→50	55	42	247/292/377	130	307	13	18	24%	5%	88	+0.4	212/250/306	94	281	8	15	27%	4%	56	-1.9	243/288/376	132	309	13	21	25%	5%	84	+0.1
✕Anthony Norman 2010 · A	25	45→42	47→50	60→55	50	223/302/368	145	266	13	19	22%	8%	90	+0.6	211/279/321	110	284	8	11	27%	7%	70	-0.8	206/275/315	109	281	7	9	27%	7%	67	-0.3
✕Hunter Stovall 2022 · A	25	52→49	39→45	54→50	46	243/301/332	89	319	6	19	25%	7%	80	-0.1	232/280/333	101	293	8	15	23%	6%	73	-0.6	227/272/322	96	275	8	14	20%	6%	64	-0.9
✕Allen Córdoba 2021 · A	25	47→52	40→45	53→55	40	228/277/321	93	297	7	20	25%	5%	70	-0.9	229/299/337	108	283	9	16	21%	6%	82	+0.0	227/303/337	110	275	9	18	20%	6%	82	+0.0
✕Corey Toups 2017 · AA	24	47→50	43→45	56→50	43	228/289/352	124	303	9	17	27%	7%	81	-0.1	208/269/313	105	313	9	15	34%	7%	65	-1.2	191/255/282	91	299	8	16	37%	7%	50	-1.4
✕Kellen Strahm 2022 · A	25	49→54	45→40	53→60	45	227/303/352	125	344	12	10	35%	9%	86	+0.3	238/315/337	99	329	9	13	28%	10%	87	+0.4	238/316/326	88	324	7	16	26%	10%	83	+0.1
✕Taylor Young 2023 · A	24	50→46	41→40	57→60	52	233/326/331	99	319	8	18	27%	11%	91	+0.7	206/290/286	80	288	5	33	28%	9%	68	-1.0	219/295/286	67	293	4	33	24%	8%	65	-1.0
✕Brad McElroy 2011 · A	25	45→55	41→45	55	45	219/282/321	102	288	8	17	26%	7%	72	-0.7	230/289/317	87	299	5	21	23%	6%	73	-0.6	238/299/314	76	305	3	29	22%	6%	73	-0.3
✕Anthony Jackson 2008 · A	24	43→53	41→40	61→55	42	209/264/315	106	286	6	19	28%	6%	63	-1.4	228/283/306	78	291	4	25	21%	6%	68	-1.0	250/318/323	72	306	4	28	18%	7%	83	+0.0
✕Anthony Seratelli 2008 · A	25	46→48	46→45	56→55	46	229/291/363	134	291	12	19	25%	8%	84	+0.2	206/263/302	96	297	8	17	31%	7%	59	-1.6	230/302/348	119	296	13	20	25%	9%	84	+0.1
✕Tucker Bradley 2022 · A	24	48→53	41→45	54→50	46	227/299/335	107	310	8	11	28%	8%	81	-0.1	243/306/369	126	316	11	15	25%	8%	91	+0.7	250/313/384	134	318	12	17	24%	8%	95	+0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps