Jeremy Suriel

OF DSL Arizona Red

Age 18 S/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1066ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Arizona R…	218	.277/.408/.474	5	26	55	—	.180/.289/.301
2027PROJMLE	18	MLB—	328	.237/.309/.345	4	9	86	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLB—	57	.240/.314/.354	1	2	90	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLB—	138	.242/.317/.363	2	4	93	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed96

K%87

ISO83

Whiff%79

wOBA73

Z-Con%70

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsEduardo Quintero (age 18) · Angel Genao (age 18) · Xavier Edwards (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 116 proj PA

wRC+86

AVG/OBP/SLG.234 / .307 / .342

PA116

HR1

K%23

BB%8

ISO108

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$22M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 67 / POW 41

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT67

scouting grade only

POWER41

scouting grade only

EYE62

scouting grade only

SPEED69

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.1M
2037	Arb-2	$4M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$4M	+0.3	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$7M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	218	173	48	11	4	5	32	29	6	26	2	277	408	474	882	197	303	13	15	381	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	218	183	33	7	3	3	22	35	6	26	2	180	289	301	590	120	189	16	10	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	218	183	33	7	3	3	22	35	6	26	2	180	289	301	590	120	203	16	10	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Red	—	218	173	48	11	4	5	32	29	6	26	2	277	408	474	882	197	303	13	15	381	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	218	188	33	7	3	3	22	35	6	26	2	176	289	293	582	117	189	16	10	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	218	188	33	7	3	3	22	35	6	26	2	176	289	293	582	117	189	16	10	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	—	0%	328	294	70	13	4	4	27	74	4	9	1	237	309	345	654	108	301	23	8	295	86	-5	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	—	34%	166	149	36	7	2	2	14	37	2	5	1	240	314	354	668	115	303	22	8	301	90	-2	+1	+0	-1	+4	0.1
2029	20	MLB MLE	—	48%	284	254	61	11	3	4	24	63	4	9	2	242	317	363	680	120	303	22	8	306	93	-2	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.3
2030	21	MLB MLE	—	54%	397	355	87	16	4	7	33	88	6	12	3	244	320	369	689	125	304	22	8	310	96	-2	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.5
2031	22	MLB MLE	—	57%	475	425	103	19	5	8	40	105	7	14	3	246	321	375	696	129	304	22	8	312	98	-1	+2	+0	-3	+10	0.8
2032	23	MLB MLE	—	58%	528	470	116	21	6	10	45	116	8	16	3	247	322	379	701	132	304	22	9	314	99	-1	+2	+0	-3	+11	1.0
2033	24	MLB MLE	—	57%	561	500	125	23	6	11	47	123	9	17	4	248	323	381	704	133	305	22	8	315	100	-0	+2	+0	-3	+12	1.1
2034	25	MLB MLE	—	57%	578	515	127	23	6	11	49	127	9	17	4	248	324	381	705	134	305	22	8	316	100	-0	+2	+0	-3	+13	1.1
2035	26	MLB MLE	—	57%	590	526	130	24	6	11	50	129	9	17	4	248	323	381	705	134	305	22	8	316	100	-0	+2	+0	-4	+13	1.1
2036	27	MLB MLE	—	55%	590	526	130	24	6	11	50	130	9	17	4	246	322	379	701	132	304	22	8	314	99	-1	+2	+0	-4	+13	1.0
2037	28	MLB MLE	—	55%	582	519	127	23	6	11	49	130	9	16	4	245	320	374	694	129	304	22	8	312	97	-2	+2	-1	-3	+13	0.8
2038	29	MLB MLE	—	53%	565	504	123	22	6	10	48	128	8	15	4	242	318	368	685	125	302	23	8	308	95	-4	+1	-1	-3	+12	0.5
2039	30	MLB MLE	—	53%	552	493	117	21	5	9	46	126	8	14	4	239	314	360	674	120	301	23	8	303	91	-6	+1	-2	-3	+12	0.2
2040	31	MLB MLE	—	57%	534	478	112	20	5	8	44	124	7	12	4	235	309	350	659	115	298	23	8	297	87	-8	+1	-3	-3	+12	-0.2
2028	19	MLB CTX	—	34%	57	51	13	2	1	1	5	13	1	2	0	240	314	354	668	115	303	23	9	301	90	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	—	48%	138	124	30	5	2	2	11	31	2	4	1	242	317	363	680	120	303	22	8	306	93	-1	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.1
2030	21	MLB CTX	—	54%	215	192	47	9	2	4	18	48	3	7	1	244	320	369	689	125	304	22	8	310	96	-1	+1	+0	-1	+5	0.3
2031	22	MLB CTX	—	57%	269	240	59	11	3	5	23	59	4	8	2	246	321	375	696	129	304	22	9	312	98	-1	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.4
2032	23	MLB CTX	—	58%	304	270	67	12	3	6	26	67	5	9	2	247	322	379	701	132	304	22	9	314	99	-0	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.5
2033	24	MLB CTX	—	57%	320	285	70	13	3	6	27	70	5	10	2	248	323	381	704	133	305	22	8	315	100	-0	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.6
2034	25	MLB CTX	—	57%	328	292	71	13	3	6	28	72	5	10	2	248	324	381	705	134	305	22	9	316	100	-0	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.6
2035	26	MLB CTX	—	57%	334	298	74	14	4	6	28	73	5	10	2	248	323	381	705	134	305	22	8	316	100	-0	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.6
2036	27	MLB CTX	—	55%	327	291	71	13	3	6	28	72	5	10	2	246	322	379	701	132	304	22	9	314	99	-0	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.6
2037	28	MLB CTX	—	55%	320	285	70	13	3	6	27	71	5	9	2	245	320	374	694	129	304	22	8	312	97	-1	+1	-0	-2	+7	0.5
2038	29	MLB CTX	—	53%	302	270	65	12	3	5	25	68	4	8	2	242	318	368	685	125	302	23	8	308	95	-2	+1	-1	-2	+7	0.3
2039	30	MLB CTX	—	53%	291	261	62	11	3	5	24	67	4	7	2	239	314	360	674	120	301	23	8	303	91	-3	+1	-1	-2	+6	0.1
2040	31	MLB CTX	—	57%	302	270	64	11	3	5	25	70	4	7	2	235	309	350	659	115	298	23	8	297	87	-5	+1	-2	-2	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3507	3129	763	139	36	63	295	781	52	101	22	244	319	372	691	128	304	22	8	310	95	-16	+11	-4	-21	+76	4.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	142	26	7	12	55	145	10	19	4	245	321	376	697	131	304	22	8	310	95	-3	+2	-1	-4	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	6736	6002	1451	266	70	117	570	1487	102	210	46	242	318	368	686	126	301	22	8	308	95	-31	+19	-7	-39	+141	8.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	140	26	7	11	55	143	10	20	4	242	318	368	686	126	301	22	8	308	95	-3	+2	-1	-4	+14	0.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Arizona Red · 218 PAwOBA .377 → .250 (−127)K% 13.3% → 16.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.30%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	16.23%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.68%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	—	10.28%
HBP% /PA	2.75%	—	×0.700	—	—	1.93%
Singles /BIP	19.44%	÷1.000	×0.680	×0.971	—	12.84%
Doubles /BIP	7.64%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.971	—	4.45%
Triples /BIP	2.78%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.971	—	1.62%
Home runs /BIP	3.47%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	—	1.63%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age unknown — no age adjustment. Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.

Result: wOBA .377 → .250; ISO .197 → .113; BABIP .303 → .189. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Billy Hatcher'84-'95 * career totals — 10 seasons, 4,752 PA	7.2	4,752	54	218	261*	310*	385*	-20	-5	4.9	6.8
/162	664	8	30	-2.9	-0.7	0.7	pk7: 9
#3Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.5	3,622	64	102	245	317	373	-22	+0	7.1	6.2
/162	664	12	19	-4.0	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 5
#4Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Pat Sheridan'81-'91 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,700 PA	4.1	2,700	51	86	250*	319*	387*	-22	-3	4.0	4.2
/162	664	13	21	-5.4	-0.8	1.0	pk7: 4
#6Emil Brown'97-'09 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,508 PA	3.8	2,508	59	52	247*	314*	388*	-25	+8	3.5	4.0
/162	664	16	14	-6.6	+2.1	0.9	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jeremy Suriel (OGILVIE)	18	62→67	36→41	64→69	62	234/307/342	107	301	1	3	23%	8%	86	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Eduardo Quintero 2024 · A	18	46→54	40→45	58→60	53	216/306/324	108	273	5	19	21%	10%	82	-0.0	225/320/342	117	312	9	25	28%	11%	91	+0.7	231/334/361	130	321	12	30	28%	12%	99	+1.0
●Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	43→53	36→45	58→50	59	198/299/266	68	249	3	16	20%	12%	67	-1.1	232/295/324	92	306	6	11	24%	8%	77	-0.3	271/329/396	125	328	10	12	19%	8%	104	+1.3
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	53→63	37→40	56→60	50	245/308/320	75	309	3	18	21%	8%	80	-0.2	257/303/319	62	306	1	19	15%	6%	77	-0.3	308/366/390	82	353	4	36	13%	8%	116	+2.2
✕Nelson Rada 2024 · A	18	52→61	36→30	60	51	240/329/312	72	318	3	29	23%	9%	87	+0.4	246/323/306	60	340	2	33	26%	9%	83	+0.1	255/332/312	57	351	2	38	25%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Carlos Jorge 2022 · A	18	46→56	39→45	62→60	49	216/288/319	103	277	5	24	23%	8%	73	-0.6	208/282/338	130	299	12	26	32%	8%	76	-0.4	193/266/325	132	285	13	29	35%	8%	65	-0.7
✕Jaison Chourio 2024 · A	19	49→55	36→40	55	55	224/319/299	75	316	2	18	27%	12%	80	-0.1	232/327/322	90	320	6	23	26%	12%	88	+0.5	235/331/328	92	319	6	27	25%	12%	90	+0.4
✕Pedro Ramírez 2023 · A	19	50→57	40→45	53→55	44	237/287/335	98	286	6	14	19%	5%	76	-0.4	245/302/345	100	311	7	14	22%	7%	84	+0.1	265/318/375	110	323	9	22	20%	6%	95	+0.8
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→56	37→40	56→65	55	217/314/292	75	284	3	19	23%	11%	78	-0.3	191/275/274	83	293	5	10	33%	10%	59	-1.7	244/357/336	92	322	8	44	24%	14%	103	+1.0
●L.J. Hoes 2009 · A	19	50→60	37→40	56→50	53	235/305/308	72	289	4	11	19%	9%	76	-0.4	247/295/316	69	318	4	12	22%	6%	74	-0.6	288/348/379	91	345	5	15	17%	8%	105	+1.7
✕Forrest Wall 2015 · A	19	48→55	41→45	56→70	47	227/291/331	104	301	7	17	26%	8%	76	-0.4	226/279/325	99	296	7	16	25%	6%	70	-0.8	250/321/350	101	344	8	50	27%	8%	89	+0.3
●Ozzie Albies 2015 · A	18	58→62	36→60	55	51	271/332/343	72	321	3	18	16%	7%	94	+0.9	270/316/368	98	332	4	20	19%	6%	94	+0.9	273/321/453	180	310	18	16	18%	6%	116	+2.9
✕Victor Robles 2016 · A	19	48→54	41→50	55→60	46	230/305/334	104	275	7	21	18%	6%	84	+0.1	249/317/371	122	312	8	23	22%	5%	97	+1.1	251/319/400	149	311	12	27	22%	5%	103	+1.2
✕Alen Hanson 2012 · A	19	44→53	38→50	57→60	45	209/264/300	92	257	4	19	20%	6%	59	-1.6	242/290/382	140	307	10	20	23%	6%	88	+0.4	250/295/399	149	313	11	21	23%	5%	90	+0.5
✕Dalton Pompey 2012 · A	19	39→49	41→45	56→55	45	194/267/288	94	272	9	17	30%	8%	59	-1.6	221/287/321	100	309	7	21	28%	8%	73	-0.6	269/328/372	103	341	7	29	22%	7%	97	+0.9
✕Ricky Cabrera 2024 · A	19	48→44	40→45	57→60	43	224/310/324	99	311	7	18	28%	7%	84	+0.1	216/282/315	99	309	8	12	31%	6%	71	-0.8	213/277/319	106	299	10	14	30%	5%	67	-0.8
✕Andrew Velazquez 2013 · A	19	47→53	38→50	60	41	214/274/305	90	332	3	20	34%	7%	64	-1.3	228/282/312	84	346	4	17	32%	7%	68	-1.0	226/274/363	137	318	12	31	31%	6%	74	-0.4
✕Abiatal Avelino 2014 · A	19	50→54	36→45	60→55	50	229/296/300	71	270	2	24	15%	7%	72	-0.7	231/278/311	80	292	4	22	21%	5%	67	-1.1	253/294/359	106	312	9	19	21%	5%	80	-0.1
●Alex Verdugo 2015 · A	19	54→60	41→50	56→45	49	256/309/361	105	291	6	11	15%	6%	90	+0.6	262/301/373	111	300	9	7	16%	5%	90	+0.6	284/340/436	152	320	15	7	16%	7%	121	+1.9
●Esteury Ruiz 2018 · A	19	46→56	42→50	57→70	39	220/265/344	123	298	7	19	28%	5%	70	-0.9	203/255/308	105	317	9	27	36%	5%	58	-1.7	268/342/400	133	331	12	74	21%	6%	111	+1.5
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2016 · A	20	50	39→45	60→65	52	228/315/331	103	312	4	16	26%	10%	86	+0.3	205/273/295	90	330	6	26	36%	7%	62	-1.4	220/296/327	107	310	12	41	30%	9%	75	-0.2

Jeremy Suriel

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps