Manuel Bolivar

C DSL Tigers 2

Age 18 R/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Tigers 2	178	.322/.452/.594	9	5	78	—	.197/.311/.329
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLB—	288	.212/.288/.316	4	6	72	0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLB—	81	.216/.294/.328	1	2	77	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLB—	176	.220/.298/.338	3	5	81	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

ISO96

wOBA94

wRC+93

Chase%58

Speed56

BB%52

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsJett Williams (age 19) · Eddys Leonard (age 18) · Alfredo Duno (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 149 proj PA

wRC+72

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .286 / .314

PA149

HR2

K%28

BB%8

ISO104

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$43M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2036	Arb-1	$4M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.4M
2037	Arb-2	$6M	+0.8	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$7M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$11M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	—	178	143	46	10	1	9	28	44	6	5	0	322	452	594	1.046	273	407	25	16	453	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	178	152	30	6	1	4	19	54	6	5	0	197	311	329	640	132	261	30	11	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	178	152	30	6	1	4	19	54	6	5	0	197	311	329	640	132	274	30	11	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 2	—	178	143	46	10	1	9	28	44	6	5	0	322	452	594	1.046	273	407	25	16	453	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	178	151	30	6	1	4	19	54	6	5	0	199	311	331	642	132	261	30	11	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	178	151	30	6	1	4	19	54	6	5	0	199	311	331	642	132	261	30	11	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	—	0%	288	259	54	10	2	4	23	81	4	6	2	212	288	316	604	104	289	28	8	275	72	-10	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	—	34%	235	210	46	8	2	4	19	65	4	6	2	216	294	328	622	112	291	28	8	282	77	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2029	20	MLB MLE	—	48%	364	325	71	13	2	7	30	100	6	9	3	220	298	338	636	118	292	27	8	288	81	-8	+1	+0	+7	+8	0.7
2030	21	MLB MLE	—	54%	462	413	92	17	3	9	38	125	8	12	4	223	302	347	649	124	293	27	8	293	85	-9	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.1
2031	22	MLB MLE	—	57%	520	463	104	19	3	11	43	139	9	14	5	226	304	355	659	129	294	27	8	297	87	-8	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.4
2032	23	MLB MLE	—	58%	520	462	105	19	3	12	44	137	9	14	5	228	307	361	667	133	295	26	8	300	89	-7	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.5
2033	24	MLB MLE	—	57%	520	462	105	19	3	12	44	137	9	14	5	229	308	364	671	135	296	26	8	302	90	-6	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.6
2034	25	MLB MLE	—	57%	520	462	105	19	3	12	44	137	9	13	5	230	308	366	674	136	296	26	8	303	91	-6	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.6
2035	26	MLB MLE	—	57%	520	462	105	19	3	12	44	137	9	13	5	230	308	366	674	137	295	26	8	303	91	-5	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.6
2036	27	MLB MLE	—	60%	520	462	105	19	3	12	44	138	9	13	5	229	307	364	671	135	295	27	8	302	90	-6	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.5
2037	28	MLB MLE	—	62%	520	463	105	19	3	12	44	139	8	13	5	227	305	359	664	132	294	27	8	299	88	-7	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.4
2038	29	MLB MLE	—	63%	520	463	105	19	3	12	44	140	8	12	6	224	302	352	654	128	292	27	8	295	86	-9	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.1
2039	30	MLB MLE	—	63%	520	464	102	18	3	11	43	142	8	12	6	221	298	344	643	124	290	27	8	290	83	-11	+0	-2	+9	+11	0.8
2040	31	MLB MLE	—	65%	504	450	97	17	3	10	41	140	8	11	7	217	293	334	628	118	287	28	8	284	79	-13	-1	-3	+9	+11	0.4
2041	32	MLB MLE	—	65%	489	439	92	16	2	9	40	138	7	11	9	211	287	322	609	111	283	28	8	277	73	-16	-1	-4	+9	+11	-0.1
2028	19	MLB CTX	—	34%	81	73	16	3	1	1	7	23	1	2	1	216	294	328	622	112	291	28	9	282	77	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	—	48%	176	156	34	6	1	3	15	48	3	5	2	220	298	338	636	118	292	27	9	288	81	-4	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2030	21	MLB CTX	—	54%	251	224	50	9	2	5	21	68	4	7	2	223	302	347	649	124	293	27	8	293	85	-5	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2031	22	MLB CTX	—	57%	294	262	59	11	2	6	25	78	5	8	3	226	304	355	659	129	294	27	9	297	87	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2032	23	MLB CTX	—	58%	299	267	61	11	2	7	25	79	5	8	3	228	307	361	667	133	295	26	8	300	89	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.9
2033	24	MLB CTX	—	57%	296	264	61	11	2	7	25	78	5	8	3	229	308	364	671	135	296	26	8	302	90	-3	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.9
2034	25	MLB CTX	—	57%	295	263	61	11	2	7	25	78	5	8	3	230	308	366	674	136	296	26	8	303	91	-3	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.9
2035	26	MLB CTX	—	57%	294	262	60	11	2	7	25	78	5	8	3	230	308	366	674	137	295	27	9	303	91	-3	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.9
2036	27	MLB CTX	—	60%	311	277	63	11	2	7	26	82	5	8	3	229	307	364	671	135	295	26	8	302	90	-4	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.9
2037	28	MLB CTX	—	62%	321	286	65	12	2	7	27	86	5	8	3	227	305	359	664	132	294	27	8	299	88	-4	+0	-0	+6	+7	0.8
2038	29	MLB CTX	—	63%	327	292	65	12	2	7	27	88	5	8	4	224	302	352	654	128	292	27	8	295	86	-6	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.7
2039	30	MLB CTX	—	63%	330	295	66	12	2	7	27	90	5	8	4	221	298	344	643	124	290	27	8	290	83	-7	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.5
2040	31	MLB CTX	—	65%	328	293	64	11	2	7	27	91	5	7	5	217	293	334	628	118	287	28	8	284	79	-8	-1	-2	+6	+7	0.2
2041	32	MLB CTX	—	65%	318	284	61	11	2	6	26	90	5	7	6	211	287	322	609	111	283	28	8	277	73	-10	-1	-2	+6	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3921	3498	786	142	26	84	328	1057	63	100	45	225	303	352	655	128	295	27	8	295	85	-67	+2	-7	+70	+85	8.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	131	24	4	14	54	175	10	17	7	226	302	353	656	128	297	27	8	295	85	-11	+0	-1	+12	+14	1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	7061	6286	1397	252	41	151	593	1910	119	175	73	222	301	347	649	125	292	27	8	294	85	-121	+5	-10	+123	+149	14.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	129	23	4	14	55	176	11	16	7	223	303	349	652	126	293	27	8	294	85	-11	+0	-1	+12	+14	1.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ray Schalk'12-'29 * career totals — 15 seasons, 6,217 PA	9.4	6,217	11	177	238*	322*	355*	+111	+0	22.1	19.8
/162	664	1	19	+11.9	+0.0	2.4	pk7: 18
#2Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	3.3	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
/162	664	19	8	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.1	4,071	88	100	225	299	352	+73	+36	11.6	9.6
/162	664	14	16	+11.9	+5.9	1.9	pk7: 8
#5Randy Hundley'64-'77 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,797 PA	5.7	3,797	82	12	236*	295*	383*	+68	+0	8.0	8.7
/162	664	14	2	+11.8	+0.0	1.4	pk7: 9
#6Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Manuel Bolivar (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	210/286/314	103	289	2	3	28%	8%	72	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	39→47	39→50	48→50	51	188/277/271	84	242	6	14	24%	10%	59	-1.6	207/281/319	112	295	10	8	31%	8%	72	-0.7	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Alfredo Duno 2024 · A	18	43→48	41→55	53→45	53	207/305/309	102	280	9	8	27%	11%	78	-0.3	224/320/362	138	312	14	6	30%	12%	95	+1.0	229/330/392	163	306	18	4	29%	12%	104	+0.9
✕Jonathan Galvez 2010 · A	19	43→51	42→50	50→55	51	209/299/315	106	278	8	12	26%	10%	77	-0.3	225/289/347	122	328	11	16	32%	7%	80	-0.1	244/294/364	120	343	10	23	30%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Jefferson Rojas 2024 · A	19	45→48	41→50	52→50	43	221/283/322	101	279	9	15	24%	6%	72	-0.7	222/283/337	115	269	12	16	21%	7%	76	-0.4	225/287/358	133	263	15	18	21%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Tyler Rodriguez 2024 · A	18	41	38→40	49→55	55	196/307/275	79	247	6	14	22%	11%	73	-0.6	208/326/276	68	266	5	17	21%	11%	80	-0.1	203/334/262	59	262	5	20	21%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Leo Balcazar 2022 · A	18	39→49	43→40	51→45	43	196/262/309	114	263	9	12	28%	7%	61	-1.5	218/276/313	95	325	8	12	33%	6%	68	-1.0	230/279/312	82	298	8	9	25%	5%	65	-0.8
✕Echedry Vargas 2024 · A	19	40→47	44→50	53→55	40	202/260/326	123	269	11	15	29%	6%	65	-1.2	215/258/351	136	288	15	14	30%	4%	70	-0.9	218/259/369	151	284	19	13	30%	4%	72	-0.5
✕Alirio Ferrebus 2024 · A	18	47	37→50	49→45	43	218/293/295	77	297	5	9	26%	6%	70	-0.8	229/288/340	111	275	11	6	20%	5%	78	-0.3	235/286/353	118	276	13	4	19%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Joendry Vargas 2024 · A	18	44→51	40→45	52→55	53	213/288/305	92	259	7	17	20%	9%	70	-0.8	215/273/324	109	300	9	18	30%	7%	69	-0.9	226/269/345	120	310	11	19	30%	5%	70	-0.4
●Bryan Rincon 2023 · A	19	42→47	45	53→55	45	210/280/332	122	276	12	11	28%	8%	74	-0.6	194/285/295	101	272	9	22	29%	10%	68	-1.0	192/290/337	145	263	17	31	32%	11%	77	-0.2
✕Mairoshendrick Martinus 2023 · A	18	38→48	41→45	50	43	191/254/292	102	253	8	11	27%	7%	55	-2.0	176/229/262	86	311	8	13	43%	6%	38	-3.2	204/248/323	118	308	13	17	37%	5%	57	-1.1
✕Miguel Palma 2021 · A	19	40	39→45	48→40	45	193/281/280	88	261	6	11	27%	7%	63	-1.3	215/293/337	122	281	13	5	27%	8%	80	-0.1	217/284/341	124	274	15	2	26%	7%	76	-0.2
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	45→55	40→45	49→50	48	215/278/314	99	274	7	9	23%	8%	68	-1.0	227/295/327	100	280	6	12	20%	8%	78	-0.3	265/326/372	107	319	9	16	19%	7%	96	+0.8
✕Ezequiel Duran 2018 · A	19	45→55	43→55	54→50	39	221/262/338	118	304	9	10	30%	5%	68	-1.0	185/227/272	87	291	7	8	37%	4%	39	-3.1	254/295/406	151	322	16	12	25%	5%	95	+0.7
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2011 · A	18	42	41→45	52→50	43	206/268/305	99	267	8	9	25%	6%	63	-1.4	203/274/291	88	258	5	11	22%	6%	62	-1.4	210/267/312	102	264	5	11	22%	5%	62	-0.6
✕Wendell Rijo 2015 · A	19	44→45	41→50	51→50	45	211/277/319	108	290	7	12	28%	8%	70	-0.9	206/259/297	91	291	6	11	30%	6%	57	-1.8	210/267/353	143	267	17	14	28%	6%	71	-0.5
✕Javier Mogollon 2024 · A	18	41	43→50	52→60	52	202/278/312	110	233	10	12	18%	8%	68	-1.0	189/274/314	125	302	13	19	38%	9%	68	-1.0	177/267/312	135	297	15	27	42%	9%	63	-0.6
✕Michael Arroyo 2024 · A	19	44→51	40→50	46→50	49	208/316/308	101	279	6	7	25%	9%	84	+0.1	228/322/372	144	297	15	11	27%	8%	99	+1.3	232/324/382	150	294	16	12	25%	8%	100	+1.3
✕Johanfran Garcia 2024 · A	19	41	40→50	49→45	42	199/270/291	93	282	8	6	31%	7%	61	-1.5	219/276/349	130	326	16	5	36%	6%	76	-0.4	218/265/369	151	318	23	4	38%	5%	74	-0.3

Manuel Bolivar

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps