Leo Balcazar — OGILVIE

Leo BalcazarSS Chattanooga Lookouts

Age 22 R/R 5'10" / 190 lbs AA HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION575 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%20

BB%10

BABIP268

ISO90

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 47 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT47

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1.0M
2030	Arb-1	$3M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-2	$5M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-3	$7M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$2M		$7M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	130	112	29	5	4	6	13	29	3	8	4	259	352	536	887	277	291	22	10	379	143	+7	+0	—	—	+3	1.0
2022	18	ROK	ACL Reds	—	168	143	46	6	2	4	18	42	5	13	1	322	416	476	891	154	424	25	11	394	153	+11	+2	—	—	+4	1.7
2023	19	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	82	68	22	5	1	1	13	22	0	2	2	324	432	471	903	147	457	27	16	400	157	+6	-0	—	—	+2	0.7
2024	20	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	410	390	103	13	2	6	14	100	4	9	4	264	297	354	650	90	339	24	3	291	83	-8	+0	—	—	+9	0.1
2025	21	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	217	186	49	3	0	3	23	24	3	4	5	263	354	328	682	65	284	11	11	310	96	-1	-1	—	—	+5	0.2
2025	21	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	343	305	80	17	1	9	29	51	5	4	0	262	336	413	749	151	286	15	8	332	111	+5	+1	—	—	+7	1.3
2025	21	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	103	94	26	6	0	0	9	29	0	5	0	277	340	340	680	64	400	28	9	311	97	-0	+1	—	—	+2	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	130	117	22	4	3	4	8	42	3	8	4	188	258	376	634	188	228	32	6	262	63	-6	+0	—	—	+3	-0.3
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	168	150	33	4	1	3	11	60	5	13	1	220	295	320	615	100	325	36	7	270	69	-6	+2	—	—	+4	-0.0
2023	19	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	82	71	18	4	1	1	10	31	0	2	2	254	346	380	726	127	399	38	12	304	92	-1	-0	—	—	+2	0.1
2024	20	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	410	394	81	10	1	4	10	134	4	9	4	206	233	266	499	61	298	33	2	220	35	-32	+0	—	—	+9	-2.3
2025	21	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	217	194	50	3	0	2	15	29	3	4	5	258	321	304	625	46	279	13	7	280	76	-6	-1	—	—	+5	-0.3
2025	21	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	343	313	70	15	1	7	21	69	5	4	0	224	283	345	628	121	257	20	6	270	69	-13	+1	—	—	+7	-0.5
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	130	117	22	4	3	4	8	42	3	8	4	188	258	376	634	188	247	32	6	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	130	112	29	5	4	6	13	29	3	8	4	259	352	536	887	277	291	22	10	379	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	168	150	33	4	1	3	11	60	5	13	1	220	295	320	615	100	337	36	7	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	ACL Reds	—	168	143	46	6	2	4	18	42	5	13	1	322	416	476	891	154	424	25	11	394	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	82	71	18	4	1	1	10	31	0	2	2	254	346	380	726	127	425	38	12	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A RAW	Daytona Tortugas	—	82	68	22	5	1	1	13	22	0	2	2	324	432	471	903	147	457	27	16	400	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	410	394	81	10	1	4	10	134	4	9	4	206	233	266	499	61	298	33	2	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ RAW	Dayton Dragons	—	410	390	103	13	2	6	14	100	4	9	4	264	297	354	650	90	339	24	3	291	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	663	604	143	21	1	11	42	116	8	13	5	237	295	329	625	93	273	17	6	274	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	663	585	155	26	1	12	61	104	8	13	5	265	343	374	717	109	301	16	9	322	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	130	118	22	4	3	4	8	42	3	8	4	186	258	373	631	186	228	32	6	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	168	150	33	4	1	3	11	60	5	13	1	220	295	320	615	100	325	36	7	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	82	72	18	4	1	1	10	31	0	2	2	250	346	375	721	125	399	38	12	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	410	393	81	10	1	4	10	134	4	9	4	206	233	267	500	61	298	33	2	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	663	608	143	21	1	11	42	116	8	13	5	235	295	327	622	92	266	17	6	274	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	82	72	18	4	1	1	10	31	0	2	2	250	346	375	721	125	399	38	12	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	410	393	81	10	1	4	10	134	4	9	4	206	233	267	500	61	298	33	2	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	663	608	143	21	1	11	42	116	8	13	5	235	295	327	622	92	266	17	6	274	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	AA MLE	CIN	—	575	526	109	21	2	9	43	131	5	3	6	207	274	306	580	99	258	23	7	258	60	-27	-2	+0	+6	+12	-1.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	AA RAW	CIN	—	443	390	94	16	1	10	46	88	5	2	5	241	328	364	692	123	287	20	10	315	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	AAA RAW	CIN	—	132	116	28	9	1	2	16	20	0	1	1	241	333	388	721	147	277	15	12	326	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	22	AA MLE	CIN	10%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		265	20	10	266	66	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	22	MLB CTX	CIN	10%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						268	0	0	263	66	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	22	MLB A+C	CIN	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	263	61	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	22	AA MLE	CIN	—	585	535	110	21	2	9	44	133	5	3	6	206	272	303	575	97	256	23	8	258	61	-27	-2	+0	+6	+13	-1.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	CIN	38%	547	498	111	20	2	10	39	119	5	4	4	223	286	331	617	108	268	22	7	277	74	-17	-1	+3	+6	+12	0.3
2028	24	MLB MLE	CIN	48%	585	532	119	21	2	12	43	126	5	4	4	224	288	338	626	115	270	22	7	285	79	-15	-1	+3	+6	+13	0.7
2029	25	MLB MLE	CIN	53%	607	550	125	22	2	14	46	130	6	4	5	227	294	351	645	124	271	21	8	289	82	-13	-1	+3	+7	+13	0.9
2030	26	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	618	560	128	23	2	14	47	132	6	4	5	229	295	352	647	123	272	21	8	291	83	-12	-1	+3	+7	+13	1.0
2031	27	MLB MLE	CIN	54%	620	561	128	23	2	14	48	133	6	4	5	228	296	351	647	123	272	21	8	292	84	-12	-1	+3	+7	+13	1.0
2032	28	MLB MLE	CIN	54%	617	558	127	23	2	14	48	133	6	4	4	228	296	351	647	124	271	22	8	291	83	-13	-1	+2	+7	+13	0.9
2033	29	MLB MLE	CIN	53%	608	549	125	22	2	14	48	132	6	4	4	228	297	352	648	124	271	22	8	289	82	-13	-1	+2	+7	+13	0.7
2034	30	MLB MLE	CIN	52%	598	540	121	21	2	13	47	132	6	3	4	224	293	343	636	119	270	22	8	287	80	-14	-1	+1	+6	+13	0.5
2035	31	MLB MLE	CIN	52%	585	529	117	21	2	12	46	131	5	3	3	221	290	336	626	115	268	22	8	283	77	-16	-1	+0	+6	+13	0.3
2027	23	MLB CTX	CIN	38%	210	191	43	8	1	4	15	46	2	1	2	225	288	340	629	115	271	22	7	276	74	-7	-1	+1	+2	+5	0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	CIN	48%	281	255	59	11	1	6	21	60	3	2	2	231	297	353	650	122	273	21	7	283	79	-7	-0	+1	+3	+6	0.3
2029	25	MLB CTX	CIN	53%	319	289	67	12	1	8	24	68	3	2	2	232	297	363	661	131	274	21	8	288	82	-7	-0	+2	+3	+7	0.5
2030	26	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	338	306	71	13	1	8	26	72	3	2	3	232	299	359	658	127	275	21	8	290	83	-7	-1	+2	+4	+7	0.5
2031	27	MLB CTX	CIN	54%	338	306	71	13	1	8	26	72	3	2	3	232	299	359	658	127	275	21	8	290	84	-7	-1	+2	+4	+7	0.5
2032	28	MLB CTX	CIN	54%	336	304	70	13	1	8	26	73	3	2	2	230	297	359	656	128	274	22	8	289	83	-7	-0	+1	+4	+7	0.5
2033	29	MLB CTX	CIN	53%	323	292	67	12	1	8	25	70	3	2	2	229	297	360	656	130	274	22	8	288	82	-7	-0	+1	+3	+7	0.4
2034	30	MLB CTX	CIN	52%	314	283	65	12	1	7	25	69	3	2	2	230	299	353	652	124	273	22	8	285	80	-7	-0	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2035	31	MLB CTX	CIN	52%	304	274	62	11	1	7	24	68	3	1	2	226	296	350	646	124	271	22	8	281	77	-8	-1	+0	+3	+7	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2764	2501	575	105	9	64	212	598	26	16	20	230	297	356	653	126	275	22	8	286	76	-63	-5	+10	+30	+60	3.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	135	25	2	15	50	141	6	4	5	230	297	355	652	126	275	22	8	286	76	-15	-1	+2	+7	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	6848	6222	1399	239	25	140	494	1553	71	79	54	225	289	339	628	114	276	23	7	281	76	-125	-8	+20	+58	+117	6.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	132	23	2	13	47	147	7	7	5	223	289	335	624	112	274	23	7	281	76	-15	-1	+2	+7	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#5Yuniesky Betancourtlast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,278 PA	6.4	4,278	80	30	261	285	388	+41	-20	6.1	7.2
/162	664	12	5	+6.4	-3.1	0.9	pk7: 8
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	4.2	2,795	62	17	227	290	348	+30	+12	3.8	3.6
/162	664	15	4	+7.1	+2.8	0.9	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Leo Balcazar (OGILVIE)	22	30→47	40	50	40	213/274/308	94	265	5	2	22%	7%	66	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jacob Amaya 2022 · AA	23	40→45	43→45	48→45	46	200/265/306	106	257	11	6	26%	8%	62	-1.4	212/281/326	114	273	12	7	25%	8%	73	-0.6	207/280/316	108	268	11	6	26%	9%	68	-0.9
✕Yairo Muñoz 2017 · AA	22	43→53	42→45	44→55	40	215/250/315	100	262	10	7	22%	4%	57	-1.8	248/288/372	124	305	13	14	22%	5%	85	+0.2	263/305/392	130	320	14	17	22%	5%	92	+0.4
✕Danny Mendick 2016 · A	22	42→48	42→45	50	46	207/265/308	101	249	10	9	21%	6%	63	-1.4	208/264/298	90	261	7	9	22%	6%	59	-1.6	238/297/343	105	299	11	4	23%	7%	80	-0.0
✕Pedro Severino 2015 · A	22	40→49	41→50	50→45	40	202/242/300	98	251	9	4	24%	4%	51	-2.2	218/255/300	82	264	8	4	20%	4%	55	-1.9	240/309/375	135	295	17	3	24%	8%	92	+0.4
✕Livan Soto 2022 · AA	22	36→46	40	50	42	182/238/271	89	250	7	11	30%	6%	43	-2.8	225/293/312	87	303	7	9	26%	8%	74	-0.6	234/307/314	80	309	6	8	24%	9%	77	-0.3
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	42	42→40	46→45	48	206/291/311	105	278	9	6	28%	9%	73	-0.6	220/302/308	88	316	7	6	30%	9%	76	-0.4	234/327/306	73	330	7	6	28%	11%	84	+0.1
✕Adolfo Gonzalez 2007 · AA	22	44	42→40	46→45	37	219/257/325	106	283	9	6	26%	4%	62	-1.4	240/274/330	90	326	6	7	27%	4%	70	-0.9	251/282/333	82	340	6	6	27%	4%	70	-0.4
✕Gerson Montilla 2012 · AA	22	40→47	42→50	48→45	38	198/244/308	109	261	9	8	28%	4%	54	-2.0	224/264/345	121	270	13	6	22%	5%	70	-0.9	226/266/344	118	270	13	5	21%	5%	68	-0.9
✕Ramón Rodríguez 2022 · AA	23	43	43→40	47→45	40	214/258/320	106	272	11	5	26%	5%	62	-1.4	224/278/317	93	261	9	8	17%	6%	69	-0.9	220/282/315	95	243	11	8	14%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	49→40	40	195/262/275	80	276	6	7	30%	6%	54	-2.0	219/298/304	85	284	8	4	24%	7%	74	-0.5	216/302/271	55	271	5	1	21%	8%	67	-0.3
✕Wynston Sawyer 2014 · A	22	41	42→45	47→45	46	203/265/304	101	254	9	3	24%	7%	61	-1.5	215/280/313	98	272	8	5	23%	7%	69	-0.9	228/314/342	113	289	10	2	23%	9%	86	+0.1
✕Charles Leblanc 2018 · A	22	45→52	41→50	50→45	45	221/270/313	92	269	9	7	22%	6%	65	-1.2	219/268/304	85	307	7	5	29%	6%	61	-1.5	217/303/352	136	309	15	7	32%	10%	84	+0.1
✕Chris Gutierrez 2006 · A	22	41→51	39→40	47→45	44	198/258/283	85	253	6	5	24%	6%	54	-2.0	211/285/282	71	268	3	4	21%	8%	63	-1.3	239/317/307	68	332	2	6	26%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Kevin Flores 2008 · AAA	23	45→50	41→40	47→45	42	220/264/321	101	277	9	10	24%	5%	64	-1.3	225/273/305	80	285	5	8	22%	6%	63	-1.3	267/309/348	81	315	7	1	17%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Blake Hunt 2021 · A	22	42	40→45	49→40	43	204/260/298	94	268	7	6	26%	6%	58	-1.7	192/251/306	114	277	11	4	33%	6%	57	-1.8	208/275/351	144	265	17	1	28%	7%	74	-0.2
✕Colton Welker 2021 · AA	23	45→55	42→45	47→45	42	223/266/328	106	281	10	5	24%	5%	67	-1.1	215/286/322	107	283	10	6	26%	8%	74	-0.6	193/287/267	73	266	6	3	27%	10%	60	-0.4
✕Cody Freeman 2023 · A	22	41→51	43→50	47→50	46	204/266/306	103	244	12	9	22%	6%	63	-1.4	220/268/349	129	260	14	9	21%	5%	73	-0.6	248/292/385	137	277	15	10	16%	5%	89	+0.4
✕Luis Vázquez 2023 · AAA	23	42→46	41→45	45→50	39	209/255/305	96	283	9	11	29%	5%	57	-1.8	226/286/347	121	297	13	9	27%	6%	79	-0.2	227/293/349	122	296	14	8	27%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Luis Santana 2022 · AA	23	40	43→45	47→50	40	201/259/308	107	270	11	10	29%	6%	60	-1.6	217/276/340	123	279	13	9	26%	6%	74	-0.5	208/269/326	118	262	13	7	25%	5%	65	-0.7
✕J.C. Millan 2019 · AA	23	43	40	48→30	43	209/259/302	93	263	8	8	23%	6%	58	-1.7	224/270/322	98	275	9	6	21%	6%	67	-1.1	226/266/311	85	270	9	2	19%	5%	59	-0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps