Timothy Mogen

SS DSL Padres Gold

Age 18 R/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Padres Go…	225	.232/.387/.311	2	21	35	—	.151/.284/.194
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLB—	335	.196/.278/.267	3	8	57	-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLB—	94	.201/.284/.281	1	2	63	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLB—	191	.205/.289/.294	2	5	68	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Chase%64

Speed61

wOBA43

BB%42

wRC+32

Whiff%32

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsJohn Gil (age 18) · Cristian Hernández (age 18) · Ryan Burrowes (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 194 proj PA

wRC+57

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .275 / .265

PA194

HR2

SB5

K%28

BB%8

ISO71

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$8M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 37 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT37

scouting grade only

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE61

scouting grade only

SPEED64

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	225	177	41	8	0	2	32	58	13	21	3	232	387	311	698	79	328	26	14	331	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	225	186	28	5	0	1	22	71	13	21	3	151	284	194	477	43	214	32	10	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	225	187	28	5	0	1	22	71	13	21	3	150	284	193	476	43	231	32	10	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Gold	—	225	177	41	8	0	2	32	58	13	21	3	232	387	311	698	79	328	26	14	331	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	225	188	28	5	0	1	22	71	13	21	3	149	284	191	475	43	214	32	10	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	225	188	28	5	0	1	22	71	13	21	3	149	284	191	475	43	214	32	10	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	—	0%	335	298	59	10	2	3	27	95	7	8	1	196	278	267	544	71	274	28	8	253	57	-17	+1	+0	+4	+7	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	—	34%	274	244	48	8	1	3	22	77	6	7	2	201	284	281	565	80	277	28	8	262	63	-12	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.3
2029	20	MLB MLE	—	48%	395	351	72	12	2	5	32	109	9	11	3	205	289	294	583	88	279	28	8	269	68	-15	+1	+0	+4	+9	-0.1
2030	21	MLB MLE	—	54%	485	431	90	15	3	7	40	132	11	13	3	209	293	305	598	95	281	27	8	274	72	-16	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.1
2031	22	MLB MLE	—	57%	548	485	104	18	3	9	46	147	12	15	4	212	296	314	610	101	283	27	8	279	75	-16	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.3
2032	23	MLB MLE	—	58%	592	525	112	19	3	10	49	157	13	16	4	215	298	322	620	106	284	27	8	283	78	-16	+2	+0	+6	+13	0.5
2033	24	MLB MLE	—	57%	616	546	118	20	3	11	52	163	13	17	4	216	299	324	623	108	285	26	8	284	79	-16	+2	+0	+7	+13	0.6
2034	25	MLB MLE	—	57%	627	556	120	21	3	11	53	166	13	17	4	217	300	325	625	108	285	26	8	285	79	-16	+2	+0	+7	+14	0.7
2035	26	MLB MLE	—	57%	635	564	121	21	3	11	53	168	13	17	4	217	300	325	625	109	284	26	8	285	79	-16	+2	+0	+7	+14	0.7
2036	27	MLB MLE	—	55%	634	563	121	21	3	11	53	169	13	17	4	216	299	323	621	107	284	27	8	284	78	-17	+2	+0	+7	+14	0.6
2037	28	MLB MLE	—	55%	629	558	119	20	3	11	53	169	13	15	4	214	297	318	615	105	283	27	8	281	76	-18	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.3
2038	29	MLB MLE	—	58%	619	549	117	20	3	10	52	168	13	14	4	212	294	312	606	101	282	27	8	278	74	-19	+1	-1	+7	+13	0.1
2039	30	MLB MLE	—	60%	609	542	113	19	3	9	50	167	12	13	4	209	291	305	596	96	280	27	8	273	71	-21	+1	-2	+7	+13	-0.2
2028	19	MLB CTX	—	34%	94	84	16	3	0	1	8	26	2	2	1	201	284	281	565	80	277	28	9	262	63	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	—	48%	191	169	35	6	1	2	16	53	4	5	1	205	289	294	583	88	279	28	8	269	68	-7	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2030	21	MLB CTX	—	54%	263	233	48	8	1	4	22	71	6	7	2	209	293	305	598	95	281	27	8	274	72	-9	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.0
2031	22	MLB CTX	—	57%	310	274	59	10	2	5	26	83	7	8	2	212	296	314	610	101	283	27	8	279	75	-9	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.2
2032	23	MLB CTX	—	58%	341	303	65	11	2	6	28	90	7	9	2	215	298	322	620	106	284	26	8	283	78	-9	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.3
2033	24	MLB CTX	—	57%	351	312	68	12	2	6	29	93	7	10	2	216	299	324	623	108	285	26	8	284	79	-9	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.4
2034	25	MLB CTX	—	57%	356	315	69	12	2	6	30	94	8	10	2	217	300	325	625	108	285	26	8	285	79	-9	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.4
2035	26	MLB CTX	—	57%	359	318	69	12	2	6	30	95	8	10	2	217	300	325	625	109	284	26	8	285	79	-9	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.4
2036	27	MLB CTX	—	55%	352	312	68	12	2	6	30	94	7	9	2	216	299	323	621	107	284	27	9	284	78	-9	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.3
2037	28	MLB CTX	—	55%	345	306	66	11	2	6	29	92	7	8	2	214	297	318	615	105	283	27	8	281	76	-10	+1	-0	+4	+7	0.2
2038	29	MLB CTX	—	58%	360	320	69	12	2	6	30	98	7	8	2	212	294	312	606	101	282	27	8	278	74	-11	+1	-1	+4	+8	0.1
2039	30	MLB CTX	—	60%	367	327	69	12	2	6	30	101	7	8	3	209	291	305	596	96	280	28	8	273	71	-13	+0	-1	+4	+8	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3689	3273	701	121	20	60	308	990	77	94	23	214	297	318	615	104	286	27	8	280	73	-108	+10	-2	+40	+80	1.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	124	21	4	11	54	174	14	17	4	215	298	322	620	107	285	27	8	280	73	-19	+2	-0	+7	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	7082	6273	1318	225	34	111	593	1918	158	198	48	210	295	310	604	100	282	27	8	277	73	-207	+17	-4	+73	+149	2.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	121	21	3	10	54	176	15	18	4	210	295	309	604	99	282	27	8	277	73	-20	+2	-0	+7	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.8	3,884	61	100	213	293	314	+42	+24	4.2	4.0
/162	664	10	17	+7.1	+4.1	0.7	pk7: 4
#5Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Enzo Hernandez'71-'78 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,612 PA	3.9	2,612	2	129	222*	281*	294*	+28	+4	1.6	1.9
/162	664	1	33	+7.0	+1.0	0.4	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Timothy Mogen (OGILVIE)	18	32→37	31→36	59→64	61	194/275/265	71	274	2	5	28%	8%	57	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕John Gil 2024 · A	18	43→45	36→40	55→60	52	202/288/273	71	266	3	18	23%	10%	63	-1.3	209/283/287	78	275	6	30	24%	9%	64	-1.3	211/283/297	86	272	8	38	24%	8%	65	-1.0
✕Cristian Hernández 2022 · A	18	42→48	37→45	55→60	50	201/278/273	72	271	5	19	26%	9%	59	-1.6	194/257/266	72	306	5	18	35%	7%	49	-2.4	217/285/319	102	301	8	34	29%	8%	69	-0.8
✕Ryan Burrowes 2023 · A	18	42→45	37→40	55→60	49	196/284/271	75	254	4	13	23%	8%	62	-1.4	189/256/252	63	311	4	20	37%	6%	47	-2.6	200/271/277	77	308	7	32	35%	7%	56	-1.4
✕Heiker Meneses 2010 · A	19	35→45	34→40	56→55	47	166/264/218	52	252	2	18	31%	9%	43	-2.8	207/263/280	73	304	4	18	31%	5%	55	-2.0	236/284/314	78	342	3	18	30%	4%	66	-0.8
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	41→44	37→50	55	45	194/259/272	77	267	4	14	28%	8%	51	-2.2	178/254/255	77	256	5	12	30%	8%	47	-2.6	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Neyfy Castillo 2019 · A	18	35→33	35→45	54→55	42	170/240/227	57	247	3	16	31%	7%	35	-3.4	181/247/272	91	291	7	13	38%	7%	47	-2.5	173/246/300	127	303	15	16	45%	7%	52	-1.2
✕Ruben Santana 2023 · A	18	45→41	36→40	57→50	50	208/295/280	72	287	3	16	26%	10%	68	-1.0	199/271/282	83	306	5	10	34%	8%	59	-1.7	181/257/261	79	289	6	10	36%	8%	47	-1.6
✕Dashyll Tejeda 2024 · A	18	38	35→40	52→60	45	178/263/238	59	271	3	17	32%	9%	47	-2.6	195/280/265	70	269	4	38	26%	9%	59	-1.7	186/279/257	71	263	5	49	28%	10%	55	-0.7
✕Gilbert Gomez 2010 · A	18	40→39	37→40	55→50	53	190/284/262	72	256	4	23	25%	11%	60	-1.6	199/264/283	84	277	5	13	28%	7%	56	-1.9	205/267/293	88	287	6	10	29%	7%	56	-0.8
✕Vladi Gomez 2024 · A	18	34	38→30	55→65	49	165/258/243	77	232	5	14	29%	10%	47	-2.6	177/267/241	64	248	3	28	27%	10%	49	-2.4	170/262/223	53	238	2	43	27%	10%	41	-1.0
✕José Mejía 2024 · A	18	47→45	37→40	52→50	50	220/299/296	76	279	4	16	21%	8%	72	-0.7	209/295/292	83	249	5	20	17%	9%	70	-0.8	206/298/295	89	251	6	19	19%	10%	70	-0.4
✕Jorge Alcantara 2010 · A	18	42	37→45	51→50	44	200/264/274	74	285	4	11	30%	7%	54	-2.0	207/273/305	98	302	7	11	31%	7%	64	-1.3	189/258/298	110	269	7	17	30%	7%	57	-0.6
✕Jonathan Martinez 2024 · A	17	40	36→40	54→65	49	184/282/254	70	267	3	16	29%	10%	58	-1.7	199/294/275	76	309	3	22	33%	10%	66	-1.1	201/317/288	87	345	4	40	37%	13%	76	-0.1
✕Alexander Benua 2022 · A	18	34	35→40	54→55	42	165/240/223	58	237	2	13	29%	7%	34	-3.5	189/258/264	75	282	5	16	32%	6%	50	-2.3	185/254/265	80	289	5	17	35%	7%	48	-0.9
✕Michael Guzman 2024 · A	18	39	37→30	53→50	50	187/278/257	70	263	5	13	29%	10%	57	-1.8	187/280/252	65	272	3	12	29%	10%	56	-1.9	162/276/207	45	226	2	17	25%	12%	45	-1.0
✕Pablo Aliendo 2019 · A	18	41	36→50	54→45	38	190/251/263	73	299	3	12	35%	6%	47	-2.6	179/260/245	66	274	4	11	33%	8%	47	-2.5	206/275/350	144	296	17	5	34%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Francisco Acuna 2018 · A	18	37→47	36→45	54→50	59	173/286/238	65	220	3	15	21%	12%	57	-1.8	191/267/256	65	260	3	9	25%	8%	52	-2.2	213/284/310	97	279	9	16	25%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Jose Vinicio 2011 · A	18	43→32	38→40	59→55	39	207/244/290	83	266	4	14	24%	4%	49	-2.4	210/245/286	76	288	4	20	27%	3%	48	-2.5	254/278/317	63	323	1	12	21%	3%	64	-0.4
✕Félix Amparo 2024 · A	18	39	34→30	54→55	38	186/235/239	53	245	2	14	24%	4%	34	-3.5	200/260/271	71	244	5	20	19%	5%	52	-2.2	204/270/265	61	251	5	26	19%	6%	54	-0.7
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2023 · A	18	40	36→45	51→60	50	186/273/253	67	253	2	13	25%	9%	54	-2.0	202/271/287	85	305	6	23	33%	7%	60	-1.6	207/258/332	125	300	14	35	34%	5%	62	-1.0

Timothy Mogen

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps