Michael Guzman — OGILVIE

Michael GuzmanSS ACL Rangers

Age 20 R/R 6'1" / 165 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 64 proj PA

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .280 / .279

PA64

HR1

K%27

BB%9

ISO82

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 33 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT33

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE64

scouting grade only

SPEED57

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.8M
2036	Arb-2	$2M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.4M
2037	Arb-3	$1M	+0.3	$0.5M	+$0.1M
Totals		$8M		$15M	+$12M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	211	184	29	3	1	2	21	72	4	13	2	158	258	217	476	60	241	34	10	222	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	211	170	42	3	2	4	35	47	4	13	2	247	388	359	746	112	314	22	17	344	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	—	218	187	34	6	1	1	23	68	6	14	1	182	292	241	532	59	275	31	11	238	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	—	218	174	48	9	1	2	35	44	6	14	1	276	412	374	786	98	354	20	16	361	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	50	43	5	2	0	0	7	21	0	1	0	116	240	163	403	47	227	42	14	191	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	50	39	7	3	0	0	11	14	0	1	0	179	360	256	616	77	280	28	22	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	MLB	TEX	—	64	57	11	2	0	1	6	17	1	1	0	193	281	281	562	88	270	27	9	260	57	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	TEX	34%	145	129	27	5	1	2	13	38	2	3	1	209	292	310	602	101	274	26	9	272	67	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
2028	22	MLB	TEX	48%	283	252	54	10	2	5	26	73	3	6	1	214	295	329	625	115	276	26	9	281	73	-9	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.3
2029	23	MLB	TEX	54%	381	338	72	13	2	7	35	97	5	8	2	213	296	325	622	112	278	25	9	286	77	-10	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.6
2030	24	MLB	TEX	55%	447	397	87	16	3	9	42	113	5	10	2	219	302	343	644	123	279	25	9	289	79	-11	+1	+0	+5	+13	0.8
2031	25	MLB	TEX	60%	486	432	95	17	3	10	45	122	6	11	3	220	302	343	645	123	279	25	9	290	80	-11	+1	+0	+5	+14	0.9
2032	26	MLB	TEX	62%	508	450	99	18	3	10	47	128	6	12	3	220	302	340	642	120	279	25	9	290	80	-11	+1	+0	+5	+14	1.0
2033	27	MLB	TEX	63%	518	458	100	18	3	10	49	131	6	12	3	218	302	336	638	118	279	25	9	290	80	-12	+1	+0	+6	+15	1.0
2034	28	MLB	TEX	65%	520	459	100	18	3	10	50	132	6	12	3	218	303	336	638	118	278	25	10	289	80	-12	+1	-1	+6	+15	0.9
2035	29	MLB	TEX	65%	514	454	99	18	3	10	49	132	6	11	3	218	303	337	640	119	278	26	10	288	78	-13	+1	-1	+6	+15	0.7
2036	30	MLB	TEX	65%	506	446	95	17	3	9	49	131	6	11	2	213	299	325	625	112	277	26	10	285	76	-14	+1	-2	+5	+14	0.6
2037	31	MLB	TEX	65%	494	438	92	17	2	9	47	129	6	10	2	210	295	320	615	110	275	26	10	281	73	-15	+1	-3	+5	+14	0.3
2038	32	MLB	TEX	65%	476	421	86	15	2	8	46	126	6	9	2	204	292	306	598	102	272	26	10	276	69	-16	+1	-4	+5	+13	-0.0
2027	21	MLB	TEX	34%	50	44	10	2	0	1	5	13	1	1	0	227	320	341	661	114	275	26	10	265	61	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	22	MLB	TEX	48%	137	121	26	5	1	2	13	35	2	3	1	215	301	322	624	107	278	26	9	273	67	-5	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.0
2029	23	MLB	TEX	54%	207	183	40	7	1	4	19	53	3	5	1	219	302	333	636	115	279	26	9	278	71	-7	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.2
2030	24	MLB	TEX	55%	248	220	48	9	1	5	23	63	3	6	1	218	301	336	637	118	281	25	9	281	73	-7	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2031	25	MLB	TEX	60%	290	257	57	10	2	6	27	73	4	7	1	222	306	346	652	125	281	25	9	282	74	-9	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.4
2032	26	MLB	TEX	62%	315	279	61	11	2	6	29	79	4	7	2	219	301	337	638	118	281	25	9	282	74	-9	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.4
2033	27	MLB	TEX	63%	327	289	65	12	2	7	31	83	4	7	2	225	309	353	662	128	280	25	9	283	74	-9	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.4
2034	28	MLB	TEX	65%	338	299	66	12	2	7	32	86	4	8	2	221	304	344	649	124	280	25	9	282	74	-10	+1	-0	+4	+10	0.4
2035	29	MLB	TEX	65%	334	295	64	12	2	6	32	85	4	7	2	217	302	332	634	115	279	25	10	280	72	-10	+1	-1	+4	+9	0.2
2036	30	MLB	TEX	65%	329	290	62	11	2	6	32	85	4	7	2	214	301	328	628	114	278	26	10	278	71	-11	+1	-1	+4	+9	0.1
2037	31	MLB	TEX	65%	321	283	61	11	2	6	31	84	4	6	1	216	302	332	634	117	276	26	10	274	68	-12	+1	-2	+3	+9	-0.0
2038	32	MLB	TEX	65%	309	272	56	10	1	5	30	82	4	6	1	206	294	305	599	99	273	27	10	269	64	-13	+1	-2	+3	+9	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3205	2832	616	112	18	61	304	821	41	70	16	218	302	334	637	117	282	26	9	278	71	-104	+8	-7	+34	+91	2.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	125	23	4	12	62	167	8	14	3	218	303	334	637	117	283	26	10	278	71	-21	+2	-1	+7	+18	0.5
Career	—			—	5821	5145	1085	195	32	103	555	1530	74	144	30	211	297	321	618	110	277	26	10	280	73	-179	+17	-10	+62	+165	5.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	122	22	4	12	62	171	8	16	3	212	298	327	625	115	278	26	10	280	73	-20	+2	-1	+7	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	211	170	42	3	2	4	35	47	4	13	2	247	388	359	746	112	314	22	17	344	122	+5	+2	—	—	+6	1.3
2024	18	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	—	218	174	48	9	1	2	35	44	6	14	1	276	412	374	786	98	354	20	16	361	135	+9	+2	—	—	+6	1.7
2025	19	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	50	39	7	3	0	0	11	14	0	1	0	179	360	256	616	77	280	28	22	303	90	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#6Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,270	61	71	215	297	330	+35	+24	4.6	4.1
	/162	664	12	14	215	297	330	+7.1	+4.9	0.9	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Michael Guzman (OGILVIE)	20	28→33	30→35	52→57	64	197/280/279	82	270	1	1	27%	9%	57	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Albert Laboy 2007 · A	20	40→38	38→40	48→45	41	193/236/269	76	242	5	10	22%	5%	34	-2.8	216/262/306	90	258	9	7	19%	5%	55	-1.4	213/261/298	85	248	10	6	18%	5%	51	-0.9
✕Ryan Vega 2016 · A	19	40	35→40	52→45	41	190/245/253	62	253	3	9	25%	5%	34	-2.8	221/274/312	91	286	8	7	24%	6%	62	-0.9	199/262/287	88	273	8	6	29%	6%	49	-0.8
✕Edwin Ventura 2018 · A	20	42	35→30	52→55	39	198/239/256	58	257	3	9	24%	4%	31	-3.0	194/248/246	52	266	2	16	26%	6%	33	-2.9	176/234/198	22	242	0	27	25%	6%	14	-1.7
✕Edwin Gomez 2007 · A	19	42	35→45	52→50	42	197/253/253	57	281	2	16	29%	7%	37	-2.6	219/296/310	91	297	7	13	26%	9%	71	-0.3	224/321/329	105	291	9	17	24%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2014 · A	20	39	38→40	47→50	39	189/242/268	78	269	6	5	31%	6%	37	-2.7	186/245/258	72	280	3	6	32%	6%	36	-2.7	147/214/205	58	225	0	6	32%	6%	7	-1.5
✕Erick Gonzalez 2011 · A	20	38	34→40	43→50	42	182/243/237	55	268	2	7	31%	7%	29	-3.2	210/295/284	74	272	3	10	22%	10%	64	-0.8	214/322/287	73	261	2	14	16%	13%	74	-0.0
✕Stanley Martinez 2016 · A	19	40	36→45	48→50	44	189/254/259	70	267	2	9	28%	7%	40	-2.4	203/274/293	90	276	7	8	27%	7%	58	-1.2	202/276/292	90	272	8	7	27%	7%	57	-0.5
✕George Feliz 2023 · A	20	36	40→50	54→45	36	177/234/268	91	293	8	13	40%	6%	33	-2.9	180/242/287	107	318	12	11	44%	6%	43	-2.2	173/237/300	127	283	16	9	43%	6%	41	-0.8
✕Jose Rojas 2013 · A	20	41	37→45	47→45	48	195/256/275	80	244	4	3	21%	7%	44	-2.1	204/261/309	105	241	9	4	19%	6%	56	-1.3	196/258/308	113	223	10	4	17%	6%	54	-0.5
✕Emilio King 2011 · A	21	37	36→45	45→40	37	178/245/248	70	273	3	6	34%	5%	34	-2.8	215/257/310	95	317	7	4	33%	4%	54	-1.4	252/282/371	119	340	11	3	28%	2%	76	+0.0
✕Olivber Moreno 2019 · A	18	40	36→40	52→50	41	192/248/253	61	272	3	13	29%	6%	36	-2.7	198/268/274	76	279	6	11	29%	7%	50	-1.7	203/284/283	80	254	7	13	21%	8%	56	-0.6
✕Franklin Labour 2017 · A	19	41	36→45	50	43	193/254/253	60	257	3	6	25%	6%	39	-2.5	202/268/291	89	283	6	10	29%	7%	54	-1.4	189/257/284	94	275	6	11	31%	7%	46	-0.6
✕Luis Liberato 2016 · A	20	37→47	37→55	53→50	41	180/242/256	76	271	4	13	33%	7%	33	-2.9	213/262/339	126	310	10	6	32%	6%	63	-0.8	237/280/389	152	300	18	5	27%	6%	82	+0.3
✕Jose Paniagua 2015 · A	21	38	40→50	50→55	42	189/249/288	99	268	7	12	31%	7%	46	-2.0	198/248/295	97	289	8	8	32%	6%	46	-2.0	179/215/276	97	256	10	2	33%	3%	23	-1.0
✕Henry Ramos 2023 · A	18	37	34→45	55	45	175/253/225	50	259	2	17	31%	8%	31	-3.0	179/240/248	69	278	4	16	35%	7%	30	-3.1	199/257/269	70	294	5	20	32%	6%	41	-1.0
✕Alvaro Rubi 2016 · A	19	41	36→30	49→45	50	190/258/252	62	226	3	6	17%	7%	40	-2.4	206/294/284	78	244	4	7	16%	9%	65	-0.7	201/303/279	78	232	4	6	14%	9%	68	-0.1
✕Luis Pimentel 2009 · A	20	41	35→45	48→50	47	194/249/253	59	233	3	6	18%	6%	36	-2.7	216/269/306	90	253	8	7	17%	6%	58	-1.2	223/274/321	98	252	10	6	16%	5%	65	-0.2
✕Edgar Corcino 2012 · A	20	34→44	40→45	44→45	37	171/230/254	83	267	8	6	37%	6%	29	-3.2	198/252/297	99	300	9	6	35%	6%	49	-1.8	229/276/341	113	292	10	4	25%	5%	68	-0.3
✕Adonis Pacheco 2011 · A	20	40	35→50	42→55	45	188/250/244	57	257	2	9	26%	7%	34	-2.8	204/261/291	87	267	3	14	23%	7%	50	-1.7	202/257/304	102	256	4	17	21%	6%	49	-0.6
✕Felix Abreu 2017 · A	19	38	37→30	51→45	43	185/251/257	72	261	4	8	29%	7%	38	-2.6	202/259/264	62	276	3	8	26%	5%	43	-2.2	202/251/235	33	269	0	8	23%	4%	28	-1.1