Michael Guzman — OGILVIE

Michael GuzmanSS ACL Rangers

Age 20 R/R 6'1" / 165 lbs ROK K +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 2.5 · 2033

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .290 / .319

PA64

HR1

K%29

BB%9

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

29↗34

PWR

30↗35

SPD

52↗57

EYE

59↗64

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.5peak

2033

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.4	$23M	+$22M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.5	$25M	+$24M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.4	$24M	+$23M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+2.2	$23M	+$19M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+1.9	$20M	+$14M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$8M	+1.7	$19M	+$10M
Totals		$22M		$134M	+$112M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	211	184	29	3	1	2	21	72	4	13	2	.158	.258	.217	.476	.060	.241	34	10	.223	29	-17	+2	+0	+2	+6	-0.7
2024	18	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	218	187	34	6	0	1	23	67	6	14	1	.182	.292	.230	.522	.048	.273	31	11	.240	42	-14	+2	+0	+2	+6	-0.3
2025	19	ROK	ACL Rangers	50	43	5	2	0	0	7	21	0	1	0	.116	.240	.163	.403	.047	.227	42	14	.193	6	-5	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.3
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	MLB	TEX	64	57	11	2	0	1	6	18	1	1	0	.193	.281	.281	.562	.088	.284	28	9	.280	72	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	21	MLB 11%	TEX	145	128	28	5	1	3	14	39	2	3	1	.219	.306	.344	.649	.125	.286	27	10	.296	84	-3	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.3
2028	22	MLB 28%	TEX	283	248	55	10	1	7	29	74	4	7	1	.222	.313	.355	.668	.133	.287	26	10	.306	92	-2	+1	+0	+3	+8	1.0
2029	23	MLB 48%	TEX	381	333	76	14	2	10	40	97	5	9	2	.228	.320	.372	.692	.144	.288	25	10	.313	97	-1	+1	+0	+4	+11	1.5
2030	24	MLB 62%	TEX	447	390	90	17	2	12	48	112	6	11	2	.231	.324	.377	.701	.146	.289	25	11	.317	101	+0	+1	+0	+5	+13	2.0
2031	25	MLB 87%	TEX	486	424	99	18	3	14	53	121	6	11	2	.233	.327	.389	.716	.156	.289	25	11	.320	103	+2	+1	+0	+5	+14	2.3
2032	26	MLB	TEX	508	441	103	19	3	15	56	126	6	12	2	.234	.328	.392	.720	.159	.290	25	11	.322	104	+3	+2	+0	+5	+14	2.4
2033	27	MLB	TEX	518	448	105	19	3	15	58	129	7	12	2	.234	.331	.391	.722	.156	.290	25	11	.322	105	+3	+2	+0	+6	+15	2.5
2034	28	MLB	TEX	520	449	105	19	3	15	59	131	7	11	2	.234	.332	.390	.722	.156	.289	25	11	.321	104	+2	+1	-1	+6	+15	2.4
2035	29	MLB	TEX	514	445	102	19	2	15	58	131	6	11	1	.229	.326	.382	.708	.153	.288	25	11	.319	102	+1	+2	-1	+6	+15	2.2
2036	30	MLB	TEX	506	438	99	18	2	14	57	130	6	10	1	.226	.323	.372	.695	.146	.287	26	11	.316	100	-0	+2	-2	+5	+14	1.9
2037	31	MLB	TEX	494	429	96	18	2	13	56	129	6	9	0	.224	.322	.366	.688	.142	.285	26	11	.312	97	-2	+2	-3	+5	+14	1.7
2038	32	MLB	TEX	476	413	91	17	2	12	54	127	6	8	0	.220	.319	.358	.678	.138	.284	27	11	.307	93	-4	+2	-4	+5	+13	1.3
2039	33	MLB	TEX	447	389	84	15	2	11	50	123	5	8	0	.216	.313	.350	.663	.134	.282	28	11	.302	89	-6	+2	-4	+5	+13	0.9
2040	34	MLB	TEX	402	349	73	13	2	9	45	114	5	7	0	.209	.308	.335	.644	.126	.280	28	11	.295	84	-7	+1	-5	+4	+11	0.5
2041	35	MLB	TEX	348	302	62	11	1	8	39	102	4	6	0	.205	.304	.328	.632	.123	.278	29	11	.287	78	-9	+1	-6	+4	+10	0.1
2042	36	MLB	TEX	290	253	50	9	1	6	32	88	3	6	0	.198	.295	.312	.607	.115	.275	30	11	.279	71	-9	+1	-6	+3	+8	-0.3
2043	37	MLB	TEX	226	198	37	6	1	4	24	71	2	4	0	.187	.281	.288	.569	.101	.271	31	11	.269	64	-9	+1	-7	+2	+6	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7534	6548	1434	260	34	187	829	2022	97	174	19	.219	.316	.355	.671	.136	.285	27	11	.304	91	-80	+27	-38	+81	+213	20.7
/ 162G	—			650	565	123	22	3	16	72	174	8	15	2	.218	.315	.352	.667	.135	.283	27	11	.304	91	-7	+2	-3	+7	+18	1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	211	170	42	3	2	4	35	47	4	13	2	.247	.388	.359	.746	.112	.314	22	17	.344	122	+5	+2	—	—	+6	1.3
2024	18	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	218	174	48	9	1	2	35	44	6	14	1	.276	.412	.374	.786	.098	.354	20	16	.361	135	+9	+2	—	—	+6	1.7
2025	19	ROK	ACL Rangers	50	39	7	3	0	0	11	14	0	1	0	.179	.360	.256	.616	.077	.280	28	22	.303	90	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Michael Guzman (OGILVIE)	20	29→34	30→35	52→57	64	.208/.290/.319	.111	.284	1	1	29%	9%	72	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Oswaldo Linares 2023 · A	20	42	41→40	48→40	52	.203/.300/.294	.091	.264	9	7	25%	10%	70	-0.3	.191/.289/.274	.083	.279	7	4	31%	11%	60	-1.0	.164/.268/.232	.068	.248	6	2	32%	11%	39	-0.9
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	48→44	45→50	48→55	46	.232/.304/.355	.124	.309	12	12	28%	8%	86	+0.8	.239/.303/.370	.131	.306	13	16	25%	7%	89	+1.0	.238/.303/.382	.143	.296	14	19	24%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A	19	42	42→45	47→50	43	.205/.277/.309	.104	.271	9	8	27%	6%	64	-0.8	.224/.284/.326	.102	.290	5	11	24%	5%	70	-0.3	.226/.280/.337	.111	.291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2009 · A	20	40	43→45	43→50	47	.193/.290/.298	.105	.281	11	10	32%	10%	67	-0.5	.182/.264/.285	.103	.284	10	6	37%	8%	52	-1.6	.153/.236/.254	.101	.237	11	2	38%	9%	32	-0.9
✕Robert Gonzalez 2021 · A	20	41	40→45	54→60	47	.189/.291/.289	.100	.303	7	8	36%	10%	66	-0.6	.201/.301/.282	.081	.273	6	17	26%	10%	68	-0.5	.180/.308/.228	.048	.225	5	30	19%	12%	56	-0.5
✕Christian Cerda 2023 · A	20	40→38	39→45	50→40	50	.195/.279/.287	.092	.255	6	9	25%	9%	59	-1.1	.193/.287/.299	.106	.258	11	4	27%	11%	66	-0.6	.180/.275/.286	.106	.231	13	2	27%	11%	56	-0.9
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	45	38→30	48→60	46	.214/.278/.298	.084	.285	5	12	26%	8%	60	-1.0	.216/.302/.277	.061	.288	3	24	23%	10%	66	-0.6	.216/.317/.260	.044	.285	1	34	22%	12%	65	-0.3
✕Efrain Contreras 2007 · A	20	44	41→45	51→55	44	.212/.278/.308	.097	.264	8	8	22%	6%	63	-0.8	.227/.291/.336	.109	.276	10	14	21%	6%	76	+0.0	.227/.291/.331	.104	.281	10	15	22%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	38	40→45	47→45	45	.183/.271/.272	.089	.286	7	6	36%	10%	52	-1.6	.190/.265/.267	.077	.298	5	6	35%	9%	47	-1.9	.182/.268/.267	.085	.274	6	3	33%	10%	48	-0.6
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	43	46→50	51→55	47	.214/.294/.340	.125	.274	14	15	26%	8%	79	+0.3	.220/.281/.362	.142	.292	16	13	29%	7%	79	+0.3	.205/.253/.387	.182	.264	22	15	31%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→46	40→50	46→45	45	.200/.274/.295	.095	.288	7	9	31%	8%	59	-1.1	.227/.293/.378	.151	.302	17	5	29%	7%	89	+0.9	.224/.290/.376	.152	.290	17	4	28%	6%	83	+0.5
✕Miguel Palma 2022 · A	20	42	43→45	47→40	47	.204/.301/.317	.113	.282	11	9	29%	9%	77	+0.1	.216/.277/.335	.119	.281	14	4	27%	6%	70	-0.3	.209/.267/.315	.106	.274	13	2	27%	6%	58	-0.6
✕Luke Adams 2023 · A	19	49→37	40→45	54→55	45	.229/.303/.328	.098	.328	7	17	30%	8%	79	+0.3	.197/.323/.323	.126	.275	12	20	30%	11%	89	+1.0	.179/.324/.312	.133	.244	14	22	29%	12%	86	+0.5
✕Jose Paez 2014 · A	20	46	39→45	51→50	38	.218/.263/.312	.093	.303	5	12	29%	5%	56	-1.3	.209/.259/.289	.080	.322	4	10	34%	6%	50	-1.8	.195/.251/.252	.057	.320	4	11	38%	6%	32	-0.6
✕Jeter Downs 2018 · A	20	42→41	43→50	47→55	47	.210/.276/.316	.107	.260	11	9	24%	7%	65	-0.7	.212/.278/.349	.137	.268	15	17	26%	7%	74	-0.1	.178/.268/.330	.152	.242	18	26	33%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A	20	38→41	46→50	53→55	45	.189/.278/.319	.129	.289	14	15	37%	10%	67	-0.5	.210/.289/.331	.121	.326	12	16	36%	9%	74	-0.1	.216/.296/.349	.133	.314	15	19	33%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Juan Mora 2021 · A	21	43	42→45	53→55	49	.209/.289/.316	.107	.254	9	14	21%	8%	70	-0.3	.226/.290/.341	.115	.304	10	11	28%	6%	77	+0.1	.220/.277/.325	.105	.292	10	8	27%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Miguel Amaya 2019 · A	20	43→42	43→50	47→40	45	.213/.279/.320	.107	.262	11	5	23%	7%	67	-0.5	.211/.287/.337	.126	.265	13	4	25%	8%	75	-0.0	.233/.304/.378	.146	.278	16	1	22%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Ameilis Carvajal 2009 · A	20	40	39→40	50	47	.189/.277/.272	.083	.292	6	12	34%	10%	54	-1.4	.193/.265/.266	.073	.318	4	10	37%	8%	46	-2.0	.140/.204/.175	.034	.267	0	8	44%	7%	-3	-1.2
✕Maximo Rivera 2013 · A	20	44	40→45	51→60	43	.216/.269/.303	.087	.273	9	22	24%	6%	57	-1.2	.215/.266/.291	.076	.289	5	15	26%	6%	53	-1.5	.193/.242/.246	.053	.273	2	10	28%	5%	28	-0.7

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)