Alexander Benua — OGILVIE

Alexander BenuaSS Visalia Rawhide

Age 22 R/R 6'2" / 185 lbs A HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 261 proj PA

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .264 / .291

PA261

HR3

K%28

BB%7

ISO93

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$1M	+$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL D-backs 1	—	152	134	16	4	1	0	9	51	7	11	1	119	213	164	378	45	188	34	6	164	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK	DSL D-backs 1	—	152	128	20	5	1	0	15	35	7	11	1	156	280	211	491	55	211	23	10	239	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	ACL D-backs Black	—	206	182	35	7	1	1	12	66	9	21	5	192	276	258	534	66	291	32	6	232	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	ACL D-backs Black	—	206	174	47	11	1	1	20	45	9	21	5	270	374	362	736	92	354	22	10	336	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL D-backs Red	—	82	73	11	1	1	1	5	29	3	3	3	151	235	233	467	82	233	35	6	197	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL D-backs Red	—	82	70	15	2	1	1	8	20	3	3	3	214	321	314	635	100	286	24	10	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	161	144	30	5	1	4	10	59	3	11	1	208	274	340	614	132	306	37	6	266	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	161	136	41	8	2	4	18	38	3	11	1	301	395	478	873	176	378	24	11	379	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	2 teams	—	272	242	42	7	3	2	19	105	6	7	2	174	251	252	503	79	290	39	7	220	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	2 teams	—	272	232	55	10	3	3	28	73	6	7	2	237	333	345	678	108	327	27	10	306	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	22	MLB	ARI	—	261	238	47	9	2	3	18	73	3	4	1	197	263	290	552	92	271	28	7	255	53	-14	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	ARI	34%	309	280	58	11	2	5	22	84	4	5	1	207	275	314	589	107	274	27	7	267	62	-13	+1	+0	+3	+9	-0.1
2028	24	MLB	ARI	46%	388	351	74	14	2	7	29	104	5	6	2	211	281	322	602	111	277	27	7	274	68	-14	+0	+0	+4	+11	0.2
2029	25	MLB	ARI	52%	432	391	84	16	3	8	33	114	5	7	2	215	284	332	617	118	278	26	8	279	71	-14	+1	+0	+5	+12	0.4
2030	26	MLB	ARI	54%	459	415	90	17	3	9	35	121	6	8	2	217	287	337	625	120	278	26	8	280	73	-14	+1	+0	+5	+13	0.5
2031	27	MLB	ARI	54%	470	425	91	17	3	9	36	124	6	8	2	214	285	332	617	118	278	26	8	281	73	-14	+1	+0	+5	+13	0.5
2027	23	MLB	ARI	34%	106	96	21	4	1	2	8	29	1	2	0	219	286	344	629	125	277	27	8	260	57	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2028	24	MLB	ARI	46%	179	162	35	7	1	3	13	48	2	3	1	216	282	327	610	111	279	27	7	268	63	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.0
2029	25	MLB	ARI	52%	223	201	43	8	1	4	17	59	3	4	1	214	285	323	608	109	280	26	8	272	66	-9	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.1
2030	26	MLB	ARI	54%	249	225	49	9	2	5	19	65	3	4	1	218	287	342	630	124	280	26	8	274	68	-9	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2031	27	MLB	ARI	54%	255	230	50	9	2	5	20	67	3	4	1	217	289	339	628	122	280	26	8	274	68	-9	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1012	914	198	37	7	19	77	268	12	17	4	217	286	335	621	118	283	26	8	271	65	-40	+2	+0	+11	+29	0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	127	24	4	12	49	172	8	11	3	216	286	332	618	116	283	26	8	271	65	-25	+1	+0	+7	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	3192	2875	578	108	22	49	228	930	57	91	22	201	273	305	578	104	276	29	7	259	57	-156	+9	+0	+34	+90	-2.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	117	22	4	10	46	189	12	19	4	200	272	303	574	103	274	29	7	259	57	-32	+2	+0	+7	+18	-0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL D-backs 1	—	152	128	20	5	1	0	15	35	7	11	1	156	280	211	491	55	211	23	10	239	41	-10	+2	—	—	+4	-0.4
2022	18	ROK	ACL D-backs Black	—	206	174	47	11	1	1	20	45	9	21	5	270	374	362	736	92	354	22	10	336	115	+4	+2	—	—	+6	1.2
2023	19	ROK	ACL D-backs Red	—	82	70	15	2	1	1	8	20	3	3	3	214	321	314	635	100	286	24	10	293	82	-2	-1	—	—	+2	0.0
2024	20	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	161	136	41	8	2	4	18	38	3	11	1	301	395	478	873	176	378	24	11	379	148	+9	+2	—	—	+5	1.5
2025	21	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	204	172	43	7	3	3	23	53	3	6	1	250	347	378	725	128	336	26	11	321	104	+1	+1	—	—	+6	0.8
2025	21	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	68	60	12	3	0	0	5	20	3	1	1	200	294	250	544	50	300	29	7	260	57	-3	-0	—	—	+2	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,273	23	21	212	278	325	+14	+9	0.5	0.7
	/162	664	12	11	212	278	325	+7.1	+4.7	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alexander Benua (OGILVIE)	22	35	35	45	45	198/264/291	92	271	3	4	28%	7%	53	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A	22	36	38→45	46→50	45	179/245/253	75	239	5	10	26%	7%	35	-2.8	198/277/298	100	282	8	10	30%	8%	60	-1.0	201/298/325	124	262	10	12	25%	10%	74	-0.0
✕Claudio Finol 2022 · A	22	40	39→40	46→45	40	193/251/277	85	270	5	6	30%	6%	43	-2.2	194/250/277	83	275	7	9	30%	6%	43	-2.2	181/246/258	77	260	9	12	32%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Glenn Santiago 2023 · A	22	42	41→40	46→45	39	204/256/303	99	288	9	8	31%	6%	52	-1.6	199/262/282	83	293	7	9	32%	7%	50	-1.8	183/253/253	70	269	6	8	32%	7%	37	-1.1
✕Narbe Cruz 2023 · A	22	41	38→40	44→45	40	197/250/273	76	268	5	7	28%	5%	42	-2.3	215/268/305	90	308	8	6	31%	5%	58	-1.2	215/271/305	90	313	9	6	32%	5%	54	-0.7
✕Alex Todd 2012 · A	22	38	37→40	44→45	38	185/246/256	71	259	4	4	29%	5%	37	-2.7	220/285/305	85	299	6	6	27%	5%	65	-0.7	236/303/318	83	317	6	5	26%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Andy Paz 2015 · A	22	38	38→40	45	44	185/245/261	75	253	6	5	28%	7%	37	-2.7	210/264/277	67	293	4	6	28%	7%	48	-1.9	226/270/274	48	296	3	7	23%	6%	46	-0.7
✕Malvin Matos 2019 · A	22	43→38	39→45	48→50	44	207/272/295	88	279	6	10	26%	7%	57	-1.2	211/277/333	122	296	14	11	32%	7%	69	-0.4	196/266/321	125	267	17	13	32%	7%	58	-0.9
✕Luis De La Cruz 2011 · A	22	39	40	47→30	38	193/229/294	101	252	6	6	26%	4%	37	-2.6	234/265/316	82	286	5	6	19%	4%	58	-1.2	263/286/335	71	310	4	4	16%	3%	67	-0.2
✕Yoel Romero 2021 · A	23	43	38→40	46→50	45	205/266/285	80	275	6	9	27%	7%	52	-1.6	212/262/306	94	320	8	4	34%	6%	55	-1.4	201/249/291	90	304	8	0	35%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Francisco Acuna 2022 · A	22	39→49	38→45	48→50	44	184/272/269	85	267	5	10	31%	8%	52	-1.6	206/276/298	92	284	6	11	28%	6%	60	-1.0	223/293/322	99	294	9	16	26%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Steven Baron 2013 · A	22	39	41→45	50	37	193/232/296	103	263	8	10	30%	4%	40	-2.4	194/233/281	87	280	5	9	31%	5%	36	-2.7	240/300/311	71	326	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A	22	40→36	43→45	49→50	41	200/271/316	116	273	11	8	30%	6%	63	-0.9	212/286/347	135	281	14	10	29%	6%	78	+0.2	214/295/369	155	271	17	10	26%	6%	84	+0.2
✕David Narodowski 2011 · A	22	36	40	42→45	46	181/257/264	83	246	8	7	29%	8%	43	-2.2	200/260/286	86	282	7	8	29%	7%	50	-1.8	185/240/258	73	257	4	7	28%	7%	30	-0.7
✕Willy Diaz 2016 · A	22	39	38→40	43→40	46	187/275/268	81	281	6	3	33%	9%	53	-1.5	189/257/267	78	337	4	5	41%	7%	43	-2.2	169/224/243	75	318	2	4	44%	5%	20	-1.2
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A	21	39	38→40	47→55	47	190/263/273	82	247	5	9	24%	8%	47	-1.9	212/292/300	88	256	8	17	19%	9%	67	-0.5	209/299/290	80	241	9	25	16%	10%	66	-0.2
✕Blake Hunt 2021 · A	22	41	39→50	49→40	43	198/254/288	90	263	6	6	26%	6%	47	-1.9	192/251/307	115	278	12	4	34%	6%	52	-1.6	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	41→40	46→45	48	206/290/308	102	278	8	6	27%	9%	69	-0.4	221/302/309	88	318	7	6	30%	9%	74	-0.1	242/332/316	74	335	8	6	27%	10%	86	+0.3
✕Juan Aponte 2010 · A	22	43	39→45	47→40	42	205/270/296	91	272	6	5	26%	6%	56	-1.3	208/257/272	64	306	3	5	31%	5%	43	-2.2	199/234/217	18	292	0	0	30%	3%	20	-0.8
✕J.C. Millan 2018 · A	22	40	37→45	45→30	36	194/235/268	74	277	4	8	31%	4%	33	-2.9	221/267/321	100	274	9	6	22%	6%	61	-1.0	227/273/327	101	266	11	4	19%	6%	61	-0.4