Alexander Benua
SS Visalia Rawhide| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 19 | ROKACL D-backs R… | 82 | .214/.321/.314 | 1 | 3 | 20 | — | .151/.235/.233 |
| 2024 | 20 | ROKARI | 161 | .301/.395/.478 | 4 | 11 | 65 | — | .201/.268/.312 |
| 2025 | 21 | A/ROKARI | 272 | .237/.333/.345 | 3 | 7 | 38 | — | .178/.255/.257 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 23 | MLBARI | 382 | .199/.265/.293 | 5 | 6 | 58 | -0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 24 | MLBARI | 32 | .210/.275/.317 | 0 | 1 | 63 | -0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ44% MLB | 25 | MLBARI | 76 | .213/.279/.325 | 1 | 1 | 66 | -0.0 |
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 35
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL D-backs 1 | — | 152 | 128 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 35 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 156 | 280 | 211 | 491 | 55 | 211 | 23 | 10 | 239 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | ACL D-backs Black | — | 206 | 174 | 47 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 45 | 9 | 21 | 5 | 270 | 374 | 362 | 736 | 92 | 354 | 22 | 10 | 336 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | ACL D-backs Red | — | 82 | 70 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 214 | 321 | 314 | 635 | 100 | 286 | 24 | 10 | 293 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | ACL D-backs | — | 161 | 136 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 301 | 395 | 478 | 873 | 176 | 378 | 24 | 11 | 379 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A | Visalia Rawhide | — | 204 | 172 | 43 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 53 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 250 | 347 | 378 | 725 | 128 | 336 | 26 | 11 | 321 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK | ACL D-backs | — | 68 | 60 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 200 | 294 | 250 | 544 | 50 | 300 | 29 | 7 | 260 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL D-backs 1 | — | 152 | 133 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 105 | 207 | 143 | 350 | 38 | 139 | 28 | 7 | 159 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs Black | — | 206 | 182 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 66 | 9 | 21 | 5 | 192 | 276 | 258 | 534 | 66 | 279 | 32 | 6 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs Red | — | 82 | 73 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 151 | 235 | 233 | 467 | 82 | 222 | 35 | 6 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs | — | 161 | 144 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 57 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 201 | 268 | 312 | 580 | 111 | 287 | 35 | 6 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 204 | 180 | 35 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 73 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 194 | 271 | 289 | 560 | 94 | 295 | 36 | 8 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs | — | 68 | 62 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 129 | 206 | 161 | 367 | 32 | 230 | 44 | 4 | 161 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL D-backs 1 | — | 152 | 133 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 105 | 207 | 143 | 350 | 38 | 152 | 28 | 7 | 159 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL D-backs 1 | — | 152 | 128 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 35 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 156 | 280 | 211 | 491 | 55 | 211 | 23 | 10 | 239 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs Black | — | 206 | 182 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 66 | 9 | 21 | 5 | 192 | 276 | 258 | 534 | 66 | 291 | 32 | 6 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK RAW | ACL D-backs Black | — | 206 | 174 | 47 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 45 | 9 | 21 | 5 | 270 | 374 | 362 | 736 | 92 | 354 | 22 | 10 | 336 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs Red | — | 82 | 73 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 151 | 235 | 233 | 467 | 82 | 233 | 35 | 6 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK RAW | ACL D-backs Red | — | 82 | 70 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 214 | 321 | 314 | 635 | 100 | 286 | 24 | 10 | 293 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs | — | 161 | 144 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 57 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 201 | 268 | 312 | 580 | 111 | 295 | 35 | 6 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK RAW | ACL D-backs | — | 161 | 136 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 301 | 395 | 478 | 873 | 176 | 378 | 24 | 11 | 379 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 272 | 242 | 43 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 103 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 178 | 255 | 256 | 511 | 79 | 293 | 38 | 7 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 272 | 232 | 55 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 73 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 237 | 333 | 345 | 678 | 108 | 327 | 27 | 10 | 306 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL D-backs 1 | — | 152 | 134 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 104 | 207 | 142 | 348 | 37 | 139 | 28 | 7 | 159 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs Black | — | 206 | 183 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 66 | 9 | 21 | 5 | 191 | 276 | 257 | 533 | 66 | 279 | 32 | 6 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs Red | — | 82 | 74 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 149 | 235 | 230 | 464 | 81 | 222 | 35 | 6 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs | — | 161 | 147 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 57 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 197 | 268 | 306 | 574 | 109 | 287 | 35 | 6 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 272 | 245 | 43 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 103 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 176 | 255 | 253 | 508 | 78 | 279 | 38 | 7 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs | — | 161 | 147 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 57 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 197 | 268 | 306 | 574 | 109 | 287 | 35 | 6 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 272 | 245 | 43 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 103 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 176 | 255 | 253 | 508 | 78 | 279 | 38 | 7 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB MLE | ARI | 0% | 382 | 348 | 70 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 109 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 199 | 265 | 293 | 557 | 94 | 271 | 29 | 7 | 254 | 58 | -19 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +8 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 24 | MLB MLE | ARI | 30% | 105 | 96 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 203 | 270 | 305 | 575 | 102 | 273 | 28 | 7 | 261 | 63 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB MLE | ARI | 44% | 172 | 156 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 48 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 206 | 273 | 314 | 587 | 107 | 274 | 28 | 7 | 266 | 66 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB MLE | ARI | 51% | 238 | 216 | 45 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 65 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 209 | 276 | 320 | 595 | 111 | 275 | 27 | 7 | 269 | 68 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +5 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB MLE | ARI | 52% | 285 | 259 | 54 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 78 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 209 | 277 | 322 | 599 | 112 | 276 | 27 | 7 | 270 | 69 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB MLE | ARI | 57% | 314 | 285 | 60 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 86 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 210 | 277 | 322 | 599 | 112 | 276 | 27 | 7 | 271 | 69 | -11 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +7 | -0.2 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB MLE | ARI | 60% | 321 | 291 | 61 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 88 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 207 | 275 | 316 | 590 | 108 | 275 | 27 | 7 | 267 | 67 | -13 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +7 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB CTX | ARI | 30% | 32 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 210 | 275 | 317 | 592 | 107 | 283 | 28 | 6 | 268 | 63 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB CTX | ARI | 44% | 76 | 70 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 213 | 279 | 325 | 604 | 113 | 285 | 28 | 7 | 272 | 66 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB CTX | ARI | 51% | 121 | 110 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 215 | 281 | 331 | 612 | 116 | 285 | 27 | 7 | 276 | 68 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | -0.0 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB CTX | ARI | 52% | 149 | 135 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 41 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 216 | 283 | 333 | 616 | 117 | 286 | 28 | 7 | 277 | 69 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB CTX | ARI | 57% | 180 | 163 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 49 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 216 | 283 | 333 | 616 | 117 | 286 | 27 | 7 | 277 | 69 | -7 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB CTX | ARI | 60% | 192 | 174 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 53 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 213 | 280 | 327 | 607 | 113 | 284 | 28 | 7 | 274 | 67 | -8 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +4 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 750 | 682 | 146 | 30 | 5 | 12 | 54 | 206 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 214 | 280 | 326 | 605 | 111 | 286 | 27 | 7 | 275 | 56 | -29 | +1 | -1 | +8 | +16 | -0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 591 | 126 | 26 | 4 | 10 | 47 | 179 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 213 | 279 | 321 | 601 | 108 | 286 | 28 | 7 | 275 | 56 | -25 | +1 | -1 | +7 | +14 | -0.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2398 | 2160 | 422 | 76 | 18 | 34 | 166 | 718 | 44 | 76 | 17 | 195 | 267 | 294 | 561 | 99 | 272 | 30 | 7 | 250 | 56 | -60 | +3 | -2 | +16 | +33 | -1.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 585 | 115 | 21 | 5 | 9 | 45 | 195 | 12 | 21 | 5 | 197 | 267 | 296 | 563 | 99 | 275 | 30 | 7 | 250 | 56 | -25 | +1 | -1 | +7 | +14 | -0.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AVisalia Rawhide · 204 PAwOBA .318 → .247 (−71)K% 26.0% → 35.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.98% | ÷0.983 | ×1.360 | — | — | 35.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.27% | ÷1.012 | ×0.690 | — | — | 7.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.47% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 1.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.21% | ÷1.027 | ×0.920 | ×0.995 | — | 22.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.005 | ×0.830 | ×0.995 | — | 4.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.52% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×0.995 | — | 2.54% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.52% | ÷1.283 | ×0.800 | — | — | 1.57% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 157, 1B 105, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 97, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .318 → .247; ISO .128 → .096; BABIP .336 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKACL D-backs · 68 PAwOBA .254 → .161 (−93)K% 29.4% → 44.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.41% | ÷0.952 | ×1.440 | — | — | 44.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.35% | ÷0.942 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 4.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.41% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 3.10% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.50% | ÷1.030 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 17.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.50% | ÷0.945 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 5.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.939 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.862 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 106, 2B 89, 3B 88, K 90, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .254 → .161; ISO .050 → .030; BABIP .300 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKACL D-backs · 161 PAwOBA .379 → .264 (−115)K% 23.6% → 35.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.60% | ÷0.965 | ×1.440 | — | — | 35.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.18% | ÷1.069 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 6.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.86% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 1.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.55% | ÷1.009 | ×0.820 | ×0.994 | ×0.985 | 21.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.16% | ÷1.031 | ×0.720 | ×0.994 | ×0.985 | 5.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.04% | ÷0.984 | ×0.720 | ×0.994 | ×0.985 | 1.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.08% | ÷0.875 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 3.59% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 102, 2B 106, 3B 97, K 93, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .379 → .264; ISO .176 → .130; BABIP .378 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL D-backs Red · 82 PAwOBA .286 → .198 (−87)K% 24.4% → 34.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.39% | ÷1.005 | ×1.440 | — | — | 34.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.76% | ÷1.023 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 5.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.66% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 2.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.00% | ÷1.033 | ×0.820 | ×1.015 | ×0.995 | 17.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.00% | ÷0.987 | ×0.720 | ×1.015 | ×0.995 | 2.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | ×1.015 | ×0.995 | 1.26% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.00% | ÷0.918 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 1.69% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 107, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 101, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.
Result: wOBA .286 → .198; ISO .100 → .070; BABIP .286 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL D-backs Black · 206 PAwOBA .331 → .235 (−95)K% 21.8% → 31.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.84% | ÷0.988 | ×1.440 | — | — | 31.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.71% | ÷1.016 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 5.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.37% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 3.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.36% | ÷0.996 | ×0.820 | ×0.993 | ×1.008 | 21.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.53% | ÷1.043 | ×0.720 | ×0.993 | ×1.008 | 5.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.78% | ÷0.958 | ×0.720 | ×0.993 | ×1.008 | 0.58% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.78% | ÷0.948 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.64% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 99, 2B 109, 3B 92, K 98, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .331 → .235; ISO .092 → .063; BABIP .354 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 DSLDSL D-backs 1 · 152 PAwOBA .237 → .159 (−78)K% 23.0% → 28.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.03% | ÷0.995 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.87% | ÷1.041 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 6.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.61% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 3.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.05% | ÷0.996 | ×0.680 | ×0.982 | ×1.008 | 10.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.38% | ÷0.967 | ×0.600 | ×0.982 | ×1.008 | 3.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.08% | ÷0.911 | ×0.600 | ×0.982 | ×1.008 | 0.70% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.936 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 99, 2B 93, 3B 82, K 99, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.
Result: wOBA .237 → .159; ISO .055 → .035; BABIP .211 → .139. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).