Andrew Pintar
CF Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | AA/A+/INTL3 orgs | 571 | .259/.359/.392 | 12 | 32 | 81 | — | .215/.288/.330 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAAMIA | 332 | .269/.339/.384 | 4 | 23 | 67 | — | .229/.285/.320 |
| 2026 | 25 | AAAMIA | 364 | .266/.360/.420 | 10 | 27 | 84 | — | .238/.310/.352 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 26 | MLBMIA | 16 | .220/.288/.320 | 0 | 1 | 78 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ31% MLB | 27 | MLBMIA | 70 | .220/.288/.321 | 1 | 3 | 79 | 0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ42% MLB | 28 | MLBMIA | 106 | .219/.287/.320 | 2 | 5 | 78 | 0.0 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | — | 157 | 141 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 36 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 241 | 305 | 348 | 653 | 106 | 302 | 23 | 7 | 291 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Visalia Rawhide | — | 61 | 54 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 241 | 328 | 370 | 698 | 130 | 293 | 20 | 8 | 318 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | ACL D-backs Red | — | 24 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 263 | 417 | 263 | 680 | 357 | 21 | 12 | 337 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 191 | 163 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 47 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 190 | 290 | 239 | 530 | 49 | 263 | 25 | 10 | 247 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | — | 254 | 217 | 66 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 35 | 43 | 1 | 17 | 1 | 304 | 402 | 516 | 918 | 212 | 345 | 17 | 14 | 404 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | — | 126 | 107 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 28 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 271 | 373 | 374 | 747 | 103 | 342 | 22 | 11 | 343 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 332 | 297 | 80 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 98 | 5 | 23 | 4 | 269 | 339 | 384 | 723 | 114 | 386 | 30 | 8 | 325 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 364 | 312 | 83 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 41 | 83 | 5 | 27 | 7 | 266 | 360 | 420 | 780 | 154 | 327 | 23 | 11 | 346 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 22 | A+ MLE | Hillsboro Hops | — | 157 | 144 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 49 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 215 | 266 | 312 | 579 | 97 | 293 | 31 | 5 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 61 | 56 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 196 | 262 | 304 | 566 | 107 | 247 | 26 | 5 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs Red | — | 24 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 200 | 333 | 200 | 533 | 276 | 29 | 8 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 191 | 169 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 55 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 183 | 258 | 231 | 489 | 47 | 248 | 29 | 7 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ MLE | Hillsboro Hops | — | 254 | 230 | 55 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 60 | 1 | 17 | 1 | 239 | 311 | 404 | 715 | 165 | 292 | 24 | 9 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 332 | 306 | 70 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 120 | 5 | 23 | 4 | 229 | 285 | 320 | 605 | 92 | 358 | 36 | 6 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 364 | 324 | 77 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 100 | 5 | 27 | 7 | 238 | 310 | 352 | 662 | 114 | 308 | 27 | 8 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 242 | 220 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 72 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 205 | 268 | 282 | 550 | 77 | 289 | 30 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 242 | 214 | 52 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 53 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 243 | 322 | 346 | 668 | 103 | 304 | 22 | 8 | 302 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 571 | 511 | 110 | 20 | 4 | 11 | 47 | 148 | 8 | 32 | 2 | 215 | 292 | 335 | 626 | 119 | 280 | 26 | 8 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 571 | 487 | 126 | 21 | 4 | 12 | 69 | 118 | 8 | 32 | 2 | 259 | 359 | 392 | 751 | 133 | 318 | 21 | 12 | 338 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 332 | 306 | 70 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 120 | 5 | 23 | 4 | 229 | 285 | 320 | 605 | 92 | 362 | 36 | 6 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA RAW | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 332 | 297 | 80 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 98 | 5 | 23 | 4 | 269 | 339 | 384 | 723 | 114 | 386 | 30 | 8 | 325 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 364 | 324 | 77 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 100 | 5 | 27 | 7 | 238 | 310 | 352 | 662 | 114 | 317 | 27 | 8 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA RAW | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 364 | 312 | 83 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 41 | 83 | 5 | 27 | 7 | 266 | 360 | 420 | 780 | 154 | 327 | 23 | 11 | 346 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 242 | 221 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 72 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 204 | 268 | 281 | 548 | 77 | 280 | 30 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 571 | 511 | 110 | 20 | 4 | 11 | 47 | 148 | 8 | 32 | 2 | 215 | 292 | 335 | 626 | 119 | 273 | 26 | 8 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 332 | 305 | 70 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 120 | 5 | 23 | 4 | 230 | 285 | 321 | 606 | 92 | 358 | 36 | 6 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 364 | 327 | 77 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 100 | 5 | 27 | 7 | 235 | 310 | 349 | 659 | 113 | 308 | 27 | 8 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 571 | 511 | 110 | 20 | 4 | 11 | 47 | 148 | 8 | 32 | 2 | 215 | 292 | 335 | 626 | 119 | 273 | 26 | 8 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 332 | 305 | 70 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 120 | 5 | 23 | 4 | 230 | 285 | 321 | 606 | 92 | 358 | 36 | 6 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 364 | 327 | 77 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 100 | 5 | 27 | 7 | 235 | 310 | 349 | 659 | 113 | 308 | 27 | 8 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB MLE | MIA | 10% | 380 | 344 | 78 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 110 | 5 | 19 | 4 | 227 | 294 | 334 | 629 | 107 | 312 | 29 | 7 | 284 | 78 | -10 | +2 | +1 | +1 | +8 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB CTX | MIA | 10% | 16 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 220 | 288 | 320 | 608 | 100 | 302 | 31 | 6 | 276 | 78 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 27 | MLB MLE | MIA | 31% | 225 | 203 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 65 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 227 | 295 | 336 | 630 | 109 | 310 | 29 | 8 | 285 | 79 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB MLE | MIA | 42% | 253 | 229 | 52 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 72 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 226 | 294 | 335 | 629 | 108 | 308 | 28 | 8 | 284 | 78 | -6 | +1 | -0 | +1 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB MLE | MIA | 46% | 263 | 238 | 53 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 75 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 225 | 293 | 333 | 625 | 108 | 306 | 29 | 8 | 283 | 77 | -7 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +6 | -0.0 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB MLE | MIA | 48% | 269 | 244 | 54 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 77 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 223 | 291 | 329 | 620 | 106 | 304 | 29 | 7 | 280 | 76 | -8 | +1 | -2 | +1 | +6 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB CTX | MIA | 31% | 70 | 64 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 220 | 288 | 321 | 609 | 101 | 300 | 29 | 7 | 276 | 79 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB CTX | MIA | 42% | 106 | 96 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 219 | 287 | 320 | 608 | 101 | 299 | 28 | 8 | 276 | 78 | -3 | +1 | -0 | +0 | +2 | 0.0 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB CTX | MIA | 46% | 121 | 110 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 35 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 218 | 286 | 318 | 605 | 101 | 297 | 29 | 7 | 274 | 77 | -3 | +1 | -0 | +0 | +3 | 0.0 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB CTX | MIA | 48% | 130 | 118 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 37 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 216 | 284 | 315 | 599 | 99 | 294 | 28 | 8 | 272 | 76 | -4 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +3 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 427 | 388 | 84 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 122 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 216 | 283 | 322 | 605 | 106 | 294 | 29 | 7 | 274 | 73 | -11 | +2 | -1 | +2 | +9 | 0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 591 | 128 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 49 | 186 | 6 | 26 | 6 | 217 | 284 | 325 | 609 | 108 | 293 | 29 | 8 | 274 | 73 | -17 | +3 | -2 | +2 | +14 | 0.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2674 | 2416 | 540 | 101 | 14 | 41 | 195 | 774 | 38 | 137 | 30 | 224 | 292 | 328 | 620 | 104 | 309 | 29 | 7 | 277 | 73 | -31 | +6 | -2 | +4 | +25 | 0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 587 | 131 | 25 | 3 | 10 | 47 | 188 | 9 | 33 | 7 | 223 | 290 | 327 | 617 | 104 | 308 | 29 | 7 | 277 | 73 | -17 | +3 | -1 | +2 | +14 | 0.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 364 PAwOBA .341 → .293 (−47)K% 22.8% → 27.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.80% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 8.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.37% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.89% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.011 | ×1.033 | 24.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.011 | ×1.033 | 5.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.87% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.011 | ×1.033 | 0.88% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.37% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 3.16% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .341 → .293; ISO .154 → .122; BABIP .327 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 332 PAwOBA .318 → .267 (−51)K% 29.5% → 36.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.52% | ÷0.978 | ×1.200 | — | — | 36.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.13% | ÷1.027 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 5.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.51% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 1.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.14% | ÷1.051 | ×0.930 | ×1.026 | ×1.048 | 26.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.05% | ÷1.023 | ×0.830 | ×1.026 | ×1.048 | 7.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.01% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.026 | ×1.048 | 0.91% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.01% | ÷0.903 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 1.63% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 110, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 96, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.
Result: wOBA .318 → .267; ISO .114 → .092; BABIP .386 → .358. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Hillsboro Hops · 254 PAwOBA .393 → .314 (−80)K% 16.9% → 23.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.93% | ÷0.964 | ×1.350 | — | — | 23.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.78% | ÷1.086 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 8.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.39% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 0.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.56% | ÷1.049 | ×0.910 | ×1.011 | ×0.998 | 20.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.47% | ÷1.066 | ×0.830 | ×1.011 | ×0.998 | 5.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.72% | ÷1.150 | ×0.820 | ×1.011 | ×0.998 | 1.24% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.17% | ÷0.875 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 4.90% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 110, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 93, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .393 → .314; ISO .212 → .181; BABIP .345 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 191 PAwOBA .244 → .215 (−29)K% 24.6% → 28.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.61% | ÷1.039 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.47% | ÷1.016 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 7.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.57% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 1.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.69% | ÷0.989 | ×0.920 | ×0.997 | ×1.027 | 19.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.17% | ÷1.034 | ×0.910 | ×0.997 | ×1.027 | 4.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.86% | ÷0.909 | ×0.880 | ×0.997 | ×1.027 | 0.85% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.064 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 98, 2B 107, 3B 82, K 108, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.
Result: wOBA .244 → .215; ISO .049 → .047; BABIP .263 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Hillsboro Hops · 157 PAwOBA .289 → .249 (−40)K% 22.9% → 31.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.93% | ÷0.987 | ×1.350 | — | — | 31.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.01% | ÷1.038 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 4.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.27% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.012 | 1.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.86% | ÷0.980 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 22.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷0.947 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 6.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.95% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 0.92% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.90% | ÷0.952 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.012 | 1.68% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 96, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 97, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .289 → .249; ISO .106 → .091; BABIP .302 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AVisalia Rawhide · 61 PAwOBA .310 → .241 (−69)K% 19.7% → 26.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.67% | ÷1.019 | ×1.360 | — | — | 26.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.20% | ÷0.987 | ×0.690 | — | — | 5.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.28% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 2.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.05% | ÷1.060 | ×0.920 | — | — | 16.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.52% | ÷1.029 | ×0.830 | — | — | 7.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.38% | ÷1.003 | ×0.800 | — | — | 1.90% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 112, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 104, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .310 → .241; ISO .130 → .099; BABIP .293 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL D-backs Red · 24 PAwOBA .330 → .232 (−98)K% 20.8% → 29.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.83% | ÷1.005 | ×1.440 | — | — | 29.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.023 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 7.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 8.33% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 5.85% |
| Singles /BIP | 35.71% | ÷1.033 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 27.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.987 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.918 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 107, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 101, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .330 → .232; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .357 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .