John Garcia — OGILVIE

John GarciaC Asheville Tourists

Age 25 R/R 5'10" / 195 lbs A+ HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION322 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP298

ISO86

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	21	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	26	23	4	3	0	0	0	11	3	0	0	174	269	304	574	130	333	42	0	268	67	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2022	21	ROK	FCL Astros Blue	—	27	22	0	0	0	0	3	7	2	0	1		185		185			26	11	132	-25	-4	-0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2023	22	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	88	72	22	5	1	0	8	18	7	0	1	306	425	403	828	97	400	20	9	378	142	+4	-0	—	—	+2	0.6
2023	22	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	294	237	47	12	0	4	36	74	19	8	5	198	349	300	649	101	267	25	12	309	95	-2	-0	—	—	+6	0.4
2024	23	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	333	294	86	21	2	10	27	86	11	9	2	293	373	480	853	187	382	26	8	378	142	+17	+1	—	—	+7	2.5
2025	24	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	319	265	50	9	0	4	40	91	9	9	2	189	315	268	583	79	266	29	13	276	73	-10	+1	—	—	+7	-0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	21	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	26	23	3	2	0	0	0	16	3	0	0	130	231	217	448	87	302	62	0	171	2	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2022	21	ROK MLE	FCL Astros Blue	—	27	23	0	0	0	0	2	10	2	0	1		148		148			37	7	84	-57	-5	-0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2023	22	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	88	75	19	4	1	0	5	25	7	0	1	253	356	333	690	80	349	28	6	297	87	-1	-0	—	—	+2	0.0
2023	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	294	250	40	9	0	3	23	103	19	8	5	160	281	232	513	72	253	35	8	244	51	-17	-0	—	—	+6	-1.1
2024	23	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	333	303	68	14	2	7	18	116	11	9	2	224	292	353	645	129	331	35	5	280	76	-10	+1	—	—	+7	-0.1
2025	24	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	319	276	46	8	0	3	29	107	9	9	2	167	268	228	496	62	245	34	9	229	41	-22	+1	—	—	+7	-1.5
2022	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	53	46	3	2	0	0	2	26	5	0	1	65	189	109	297	43	150	49	4	127	-28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	53	45	4	3	0	0	3	18	5	0	1	89	226	156	382	67	148	34	6	199	-28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	382	325	60	13	1	3	28	128	26	8	6	185	301	258	559	74	289	34	7	256	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	382	309	69	17	1	4	44	92	26	8	6	223	367	324	690	100	301	24	12	325	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	333	303	68	14	2	7	18	116	11	9	2	224	292	353	645	129	337	35	5	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	Asheville Tourists	—	333	294	86	21	2	10	27	86	11	9	2	293	373	480	853	187	382	26	8	378	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	319	276	46	8	0	3	29	107	9	9	2	167	268	228	496	62	254	34	9	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA RAW	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	319	265	50	9	0	4	40	91	9	9	2	189	315	268	583	79	266	29	13	276	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	53	46	3	2	0	0	2	26	5	0	1	65	189	109	297	43	148	49	4	127	-28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	382	325	60	13	1	3	28	128	26	8	6	185	301	258	559	74	275	34	7	256	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	333	301	68	14	2	7	18	116	11	9	2	226	292	355	648	130	331	35	5	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	319	278	46	8	0	3	29	107	9	9	2	165	268	227	494	61	245	34	9	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	382	325	60	13	1	3	28	128	26	8	6	185	301	258	559	74	275	34	7	256	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	333	301	68	14	2	7	18	116	11	9	2	226	292	355	648	130	331	35	5	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	319	278	46	8	0	3	29	107	9	9	2	165	268	227	494	61	245	34	9	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	A+ MLE	HOU	—	322	292	65	11	0	4	21	98	8	15	2	223	293	301	594	79	319	30	7	262	64	-14	+2	+0	+6	+7	0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	A+ RAW	HOU	—	261	225	63	12	0	3	28	54	8	13	2	280	379	373	753	93	357	21	11	347	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	AA RAW	HOU	—	61	55	9	1	0	2	5	21	0	2	0	164	233	291	524	127	212	34	8	235	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	25	A+ MLE	HOU	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		296	33	11	263	64	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	25	A+ MLE	HOU	—	331	300	66	11	0	4	22	101	8	15	2	220	291	297	588	77	316	31	7	262	64	-14	+2	+0	+6	+7	0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	HOU	30%	341	305	65	12	1	5	25	103	8	8	1	213	290	308	598	95	294	30	7	271	69	-12	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.2
2028	27	MLB MLE	HOU	42%	371	332	71	13	1	6	28	110	8	9	2	214	291	313	604	99	294	30	8	275	72	-12	+1	+0	+7	+8	0.3
2029	28	MLB MLE	HOU	48%	389	348	75	14	1	7	30	114	8	8	2	216	293	322	615	106	293	29	8	276	73	-12	+1	-1	+7	+8	0.3
2030	29	MLB MLE	HOU	49%	392	351	75	14	1	7	30	115	8	8	1	214	290	319	610	105	292	29	8	275	73	-13	+1	-1	+7	+8	0.3
2031	30	MLB MLE	HOU	50%	393	352	74	13	1	7	30	116	8	7	1	210	287	312	600	102	291	30	8	273	71	-14	+1	-2	+7	+9	0.1
2027	26	MLB CTX	HOU	30%	103	92	20	4	0	2	8	31	2	2	0	217	294	326	620	109	296	30	8	255	69	-4	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	HOU	42%	155	139	30	6	0	3	12	46	3	4	1	216	292	324	616	108	296	30	8	260	72	-5	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	HOU	48%	185	165	35	7	0	3	14	54	4	4	1	212	290	309	599	97	295	29	8	262	73	-6	+0	-0	+3	+4	0.1
2030	29	MLB CTX	HOU	49%	193	172	36	7	0	3	15	57	4	4	1	209	288	302	590	93	294	30	8	261	73	-6	+0	-1	+3	+4	0.1
2031	30	MLB CTX	HOU	50%	197	176	37	7	0	3	15	58	4	4	1	210	287	301	588	91	293	29	8	258	71	-7	+0	-1	+4	+4	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	833	744	158	31	0	14	64	246	17	18	4	212	290	310	600	98	294	30	8	260	65	-28	+2	-2	+15	+18	0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	123	24	0	11	50	192	13	14	3	212	289	310	599	98	293	30	8	260	65	-22	+2	-2	+12	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	2982	2646	538	103	8	45	221	938	91	66	18	203	287	299	587	96	293	31	7	265	65	-64	+5	-4	+34	+41	1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	117	22	2	10	48	204	20	14	4	203	287	300	587	97	292	31	7	265	65	-22	+2	-1	+12	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	4.3	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
/162	664	4	15	+6.9	+19.7	2.4	pk7: 11
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.3	835	14	18	213	287	312	+15	+8	1.2	1.2
/162	664	11	14	+11.9	+6.4	0.9	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
John Garcia (OGILVIE)	25	30	30	50	55	204/281/286	82	296	4	10	31%	7%	64	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	177/255/257	79	269	8	14	35%	9%	48	-2.5	207/287/299	92	295	7	12	29%	9%	69	-0.9	212/301/305	93	294	5	13	27%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Chris Givin 2022 · AA	25	38	38→30	50→45	43	188/250/263	74	259	6	6	29%	7%	46	-2.6	203/267/280	77	271	6	7	26%	7%	57	-1.8	197/264/256	59	255	4	5	23%	8%	47	-1.2
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	38	42→40	49→50	48	189/277/293	104	262	10	13	30%	10%	65	-1.2	203/300/302	99	285	9	11	29%	11%	76	-0.4	188/304/272	85	264	8	11	28%	12%	68	-0.6
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	41→45	48→30	43	190/254/280	91	265	9	6	31%	7%	52	-2.2	214/281/329	115	298	12	3	30%	8%	73	-0.6	208/278/322	114	287	13	1	30%	9%	68	-0.5
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	35	41→45	50→45	39	175/237/270	95	265	8	7	36%	7%	43	-2.8	201/267/311	110	285	10	8	31%	7%	64	-1.3	188/261/294	106	261	9	5	30%	7%	54	-1.0
✕Logan Warmoth 2021 · AA	25	43→40	37→40	53→55	41	199/268/276	76	310	4	13	34%	7%	56	-1.9	197/276/296	99	311	9	20	36%	8%	65	-1.2	190/273/288	98	292	9	24	35%	8%	59	-1.1
✕Anthony Mulrine 2023 · AAA	25	37	37→40	45→40	40	178/255/248	70	259	5	5	32%	6%	46	-2.6	192/272/277	85	272	7	6	30%	7%	59	-1.7	144/248/206	63	200	4	0	27%	8%	33	-0.8
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	36	36→40	52→50	41	176/235/239	63	249	4	15	30%	6%	35	-3.4	212/281/292	80	276	8	14	24%	8%	65	-1.2	205/280/278	73	264	8	16	24%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Jackson Cluff 2022 · AA	25	40→30	40→45	49→60	38	194/261/281	86	283	7	12	32%	5%	55	-1.9	180/256/281	101	278	9	16	36%	8%	53	-2.1	179/271/301	122	264	12	28	34%	10%	62	-0.8
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	39	44→40	50	44	196/280/314	118	270	12	12	31%	8%	70	-0.8	201/290/289	88	281	7	11	29%	9%	68	-1.0	190/279/259	68	265	4	8	27%	9%	56	-0.7
✕Branden Fryman 2023 · AAA	25	37	39→30	50	38	186/229/264	78	254	7	15	29%	5%	38	-3.2	203/241/302	99	289	8	11	31%	4%	51	-2.3	193/216/293	100	272	7	9	31%	2%	36	-1.1
✕Eric Yang 2023 · AAA	25	39	39→40	47→40	44	186/268/270	84	277	6	6	33%	8%	56	-1.9	197/273/272	75	298	5	6	33%	8%	57	-1.8	178/263/231	54	280	4	1	35%	9%	43	-0.6
✕Jayson Langfels 2014 · AA	25	42→34	43→40	46→50	37	203/264/308	105	309	11	11	36%	6%	62	-1.4	210/284/294	84	333	6	15	36%	8%	66	-1.1	209/291/277	68	340	4	17	36%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Jayson Hernandez 2013 · AA	24	39	39→30	49→30	37	192/235/277	84	280	6	8	33%	5%	43	-2.8	215/262/289	74	286	5	5	25%	4%	56	-1.9	229/274/261	32	293	2	0	21%	3%	51	-0.9
✕Cody Bohanek 2019 · AAA	24	39→36	38→40	47→50	41	188/265/260	72	272	7	10	31%	6%	53	-2.1	177/270/265	88	291	8	12	39%	8%	56	-1.9	151/256/238	88	264	7	16	41%	8%	45	-1.6
✕Shea Vucinich 2014 · AA	25	42→45	39→40	46→50	45	199/277/286	86	287	6	10	30%	8%	62	-1.4	200/275/291	91	285	6	12	29%	8%	63	-1.4	175/256/263	89	248	4	14	29%	9%	47	-0.9
✕Cadyn Grenier 2022 · AAA	25	41→38	40	48→50	40	193/269/287	94	312	8	10	38%	8%	60	-1.6	198/279/295	97	292	8	13	32%	9%	65	-1.2	174/270/262	88	250	6	16	30%	10%	53	-1.4
✕Matt Whatley 2022 · AA	26	40→38	38→40	45→50	45	194/267/268	75	278	6	14	31%	8%	54	-2.0	189/250/280	91	266	10	9	31%	6%	51	-2.3	166/228/249	83	225	11	8	31%	6%	34	-1.3
✕Justin Twine 2021 · AA	25	46→32	38→40	48→50	37	217/258/299	82	300	5	10	29%	4%	57	-1.8	208/251/313	105	359	9	17	42%	4%	57	-1.8	188/220/292	104	356	9	25	48%	2%	40	-1.3
✕Chris Denove 2008 · A	25	40	38→40	47→40	42	196/254/274	78	267	6	5	28%	6%	51	-2.3	232/289/320	88	288	5	4	20%	6%	74	-0.6	245/303/334	88	297	6	3	18%	6%	79	-0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps