John Garcia — OGILVIE

John GarciaC Asheville Tourists

Age 25 R/R 5'10" / 195 lbs A+ HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION193 act + 128 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.183 / .266 / .270

PA128

HR2

K%33

BB%7

BABIP269

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	ROK	2 teams	—	53	46	3	2	0	0	2	27	5	0	1	65	189	109	297	43	158	51	4	127	-45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK	2 teams	—	53	45	4	3	0	0	3	18	5	0	1	89	226	156	382	67	148	34	6	199	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	2 teams	—	382	325	61	13	1	3	28	128	26	8	6	188	303	262	565	74	294	34	7	259	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	2 teams	—	382	309	69	17	1	4	44	92	26	8	6	223	367	324	690	100	301	24	12	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	333	302	66	13	2	6	19	117	11	9	2	219	289	334	624	116	333	35	6	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	333	294	86	21	2	10	27	86	11	9	2	293	373	480	853	187	382	26	8	378	147	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	319	274	47	9	0	3	31	109	9	9	2	172	277	237	514	66	267	34	10	236	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	319	265	50	9	0	4	40	91	9	9	2	189	315	268	583	79	266	29	13	276	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	A+	HOU	—	193	175	32	7	0	2	10	67	7	7	2	183	255	257	512	74	280	35	5	235	38	-14	+1	+0	+3	+5	-0.4
YTD	25	A+	HOU	—	193	170	38	9	0	3	15	51	7	7	2	224	312	329	642	106	299	26	8	295	84	-3	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.6
ROS	25	A+	HOU	0%	128	114	21	4	0	2	9	43	4	3	1	183	266	270	537	87	277	33	7	250	49	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
ROS	25	MLB	HOU	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						279	0	0	230	34	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	25	A+	HOU	—	194	176	32	7	0	2	10	67	7	7	2	182	254	256	510	74	278	35	5	235	38	-14	+1	+0	+3	+5	-0.4
TOT	25	A+	HOU	—	321	289	53	11	0	4	19	110	11	10	3	183	260	262	522	79	276	34	6	241	42	-21	+1	+0	+6	+9	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	HOU	30%	336	300	58	12	1	5	24	108	9	7	2	193	273	290	563	97	279	32	7	260	57	-16	+1	+0	+6	+10	-0.0
2028	27	MLB	HOU	42%	367	328	65	13	1	6	27	116	9	7	2	198	277	299	576	101	280	32	7	265	61	-16	+1	+0	+7	+10	0.1
2029	28	MLB	HOU	48%	387	346	69	14	1	7	29	121	9	7	2	199	279	306	585	107	281	31	7	267	62	-16	+1	-1	+7	+11	0.1
2030	29	MLB	HOU	49%	391	349	70	14	1	7	30	122	9	7	2	201	281	307	588	106	280	31	8	266	62	-17	+1	-1	+7	+11	0.1
2031	30	MLB	HOU	50%	392	350	70	14	1	7	30	123	9	7	2	200	280	306	586	106	279	31	8	264	60	-18	+1	-2	+7	+11	-0.1
2027	26	MLB	HOU	30%	102	91	18	4	0	2	7	33	3	2	1	198	277	308	585	110	282	32	7	244	45	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.2
2028	27	MLB	HOU	42%	153	137	28	6	0	3	11	48	4	3	1	204	283	314	597	109	283	31	7	249	49	-9	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.2
2029	28	MLB	HOU	48%	185	165	33	7	0	3	14	58	4	4	1	200	279	297	576	97	283	31	8	252	51	-10	+0	-0	+3	+5	-0.2
2030	29	MLB	HOU	49%	193	171	34	7	0	3	15	60	5	3	1	199	283	292	575	94	283	31	8	252	51	-11	+0	-1	+3	+5	-0.2
2031	30	MLB	HOU	50%	197	175	34	7	0	3	15	62	5	3	1	194	277	286	563	91	281	31	8	249	49	-11	+0	-1	+4	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	831	740	147	31	0	14	62	261	21	15	5	199	279	297	577	99	283	31	7	250	49	-48	+1	-2	+15	+24	-1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	115	24	0	11	48	204	16	12	4	199	278	297	575	98	283	31	7	250	49	-37	+1	-2	+12	+18	-0.8
Career	—			—	3088	2734	530	108	8	46	229	1014	100	64	22	194	280	290	570	96	286	33	7	259	56	-152	+4	-4	+55	+88	-1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	112	23	2	10	48	213	21	13	5	194	281	293	574	99	286	33	7	259	56	-32	+1	-1	+12	+18	-0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	26	23	4	3	0	0	0	11	3	0	0	174	269	304	574	130	333	42	0	268	63	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2022	21	ROK	FCL Astros Blue	—	27	22	0	0	0	0	3	7	2	0	1		185		185			26	11	132	-41	-4	-0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2023	22	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	88	72	22	5	1	0	8	18	7	0	1	306	425	403	828	97	400	20	9	378	147	+5	-0	—	—	+2	0.7
2023	22	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	294	237	47	12	0	4	36	74	19	8	5	198	349	300	649	101	267	25	12	309	95	-2	-0	—	—	+8	0.6
2024	23	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	333	294	86	21	2	10	27	86	11	9	2	293	373	480	853	187	382	26	8	378	147	+18	+1	—	—	+9	2.9
2025	24	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	319	265	50	9	0	4	40	91	9	9	2	189	315	268	583	79	266	29	13	276	69	-11	+1	—	—	+9	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	830	14	15	198	276	301	+15	+8	0.2	0.2
	/162	664	11	12	198	276	301	+11.9	+6.4	0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
John Garcia (OGILVIE)	25	30	30	50	55	183/260/262	79	276	4	10	34%	6%	42	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Givin 2022 · AA	25	38	38→30	50→45	42	186/246/261	75	259	6	6	30%	7%	37	-2.6	202/265/279	77	274	6	7	26%	7%	50	-1.8	195/263/252	57	256	4	5	24%	8%	40	-1.1
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	38	44→40	50	44	193/277/309	116	270	12	12	32%	8%	65	-0.7	203/293/294	91	284	8	11	29%	9%	67	-0.5	196/291/271	75	277	5	10	28%	10%	57	-0.6
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	36	42→40	49→50	47	183/268/285	102	256	10	13	31%	9%	54	-1.4	203/302/300	97	289	8	11	29%	11%	72	-0.2	190/312/271	81	272	7	11	29%	13%	66	-0.4
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	40	49→50	44	178/256/260	82	272	8	14	35%	9%	42	-2.3	211/287/303	92	304	7	12	30%	9%	66	-0.6	219/303/313	94	309	5	13	28%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Anthony Mulrine 2023 · AAA	25	36	37→40	45→40	39	177/253/247	71	262	5	5	32%	6%	38	-2.6	192/271/279	87	273	7	6	30%	7%	53	-1.5	147/251/218	70	204	5	0	28%	8%	28	-0.7
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	35	36→40	52→50	40	172/231/233	61	252	4	15	32%	6%	24	-3.6	212/280/299	87	278	9	14	25%	8%	62	-0.9	207/281/290	83	267	10	16	25%	8%	57	-0.6
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	34	40→45	50→45	38	172/234/264	91	270	8	7	38%	7%	33	-2.9	198/262/311	113	286	10	8	32%	7%	57	-1.2	182/252/296	114	256	10	5	31%	7%	45	-1.0
✕Eric Yang 2023 · AAA	25	38	39→40	47→40	43	183/265/268	86	275	7	6	34%	8%	48	-1.9	196/271/271	75	301	5	6	34%	8%	51	-1.7	178/263/236	57	284	5	1	35%	8%	36	-0.6
✕Jackson Cluff 2022 · AA	25	40→29	40→45	49→60	37	191/259/277	86	288	7	12	34%	6%	48	-1.9	177/254/283	106	281	10	16	38%	8%	47	-1.9	181/273/314	133	265	15	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Jayson Langfels 2014 · AA	25	41→32	43→40	46→50	37	199/262/305	106	309	11	11	37%	6%	56	-1.3	205/280/293	88	338	7	15	38%	8%	60	-1.0	202/285/275	73	344	5	17	38%	8%	55	-0.7
✕Andres Sosa 2023 · A	25	38	42→40	52→45	46	187/288/295	108	267	9	9	31%	9%	66	-0.6	194/280/284	90	288	7	7	32%	8%	59	-1.1	177/267/253	76	271	5	4	33%	7%	42	-0.8
✕Connor Justus 2021 · AA	26	35→37	37→40	43→45	42	172/248/244	72	250	5	8	31%	7%	35	-2.8	192/256/268	76	294	6	7	34%	7%	43	-2.2	166/232/217	51	261	3	3	35%	7%	17	-2.1
✕Cody Bohanek 2019 · AAA	24	39→36	38→40	47→50	41	189/267/262	73	276	7	10	32%	7%	48	-1.9	173/266/261	88	295	8	12	40%	8%	48	-1.9	147/253/237	90	268	8	16	43%	8%	36	-1.6
✕Quincy McAfee 2023 · AA	25	38	43→45	42→45	46	189/279/295	106	260	11	6	30%	9%	62	-0.9	198/275/331	133	251	15	10	27%	7%	69	-0.4	185/264/327	142	224	17	12	25%	7%	61	-0.5
✕Matt Whatley 2022 · AA	26	40→36	38→40	45→50	44	192/263/267	75	276	7	14	31%	8%	46	-2.0	190/249/283	93	268	11	9	32%	6%	45	-2.1	167/230/254	87	226	12	8	31%	6%	27	-1.2
✕Jayson Hernandez 2013 · AA	24	39	39→30	49→30	36	190/233/274	83	280	6	8	33%	5%	34	-2.8	215/261/287	72	286	5	5	25%	4%	50	-1.8	229/273/258	30	292	2	0	21%	3%	43	-0.8
✕Stephen McGee 2017 · AAA	26	40	38→40	44→30	45	193/269/273	80	275	6	4	30%	8%	50	-1.7	204/290/316	112	313	11	4	35%	10%	71	-0.3	189/289/303	113	293	12	0	36%	12%	63	-0.3
✕Bobby Stevens 2012 · AA	25	43	41→40	47→50	42	209/281/304	95	283	9	11	28%	6%	64	-0.8	206/259/318	112	293	12	10	33%	5%	57	-1.2	188/228/300	112	272	15	9	36%	3%	37	-1.6
✕Gerardo Bustamante 2011 · AAA	25	41	40→45	50	44	201/272/294	93	265	8	9	26%	7%	57	-1.2	222/267/338	116	273	14	13	24%	5%	66	-0.6	226/262/325	99	269	14	12	22%	4%	56	-0.4
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	37→28	42→45	48→50	40	187/248/281	94	262	11	15	32%	6%	43	-2.2	194/265/312	118	265	14	14	31%	8%	59	-1.1	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5