Jose Gonzalez

P DSL Cubs Red

Age 18 RHP ROK peak 0.5 · 2028

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	17	ROKDSL Cubs Red	12	11	40	4.99	2.29	19.2%	6.8%	—	K 13.1% · BB 8.5% · FIP 3.07
2027PROJ	18	MLB—	4	4	24	4.53	4.53	19.1%	8.6%	0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	19	MLB—	3	3	18	4.43	4.39	20.2%	8.5%	0.1

Next 2 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 98%

CompsJuan Bello (age 18) · Jordany Ventura (age 19) · Nelfy Ynfante (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 103

ERA4.53

FIP4.53

K%19.1%

BB%8.6%

K-BB%10.5%

Proj IP24

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 24 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	12	11	40	177	34	12	0	92%	3.3	13.1%	8.5%	4.6%	0.0%	4.99	3.07	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	12	11	40	177	34	12	0	92%	3.3	13.1%	8.5%	4.6%	0.0%	4.99	3.07	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	12	11	40	177	34	12	0	92%	3.3	19.2%	6.8%	12.4%	0.0%	4.99	2.29	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	18	MLB	—	4	4	24	101	19	9	3	100%	6.0	19.1%	8.6%	10.5%	2.9%	4.53	4.53	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	—	7	7	38	158	32	13	4	100%	5.4	20.2%	8.5%	11.8%	2.8%	4.43	4.39	+0.2
2028	19	MLB CTX	—	3	3	18	76	15	6	2	100%	6.0	20.2%	8.5%	11.8%	2.8%	4.43	4.39	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		4	4	18	78	16	7	2	100%	4.6	20.2%	8.5%	11.8%	2.8%	4.43	4.01	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		46	46	200	844	174	76	22	100%	4.3	20.2%	8.5%	11.8%	2.8%	4.43	4.01	+2.1
Career	—	MLE		12	11	40	177	23	15	0	92%	3.3	13.1%	8.5%	4.6%	0.0%	4.99	3.07	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		61	55	200	892	117	76	0	92%	3.3	13.1%	8.5%	4.6%	0.0%	4.99	3.07	+1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jose Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.53	19.1%	8.6%	2.9%	—	4.39	20.2%	11.8%	38	-0.14	—	—	—
Juan Bello R 2022 · 4.02 FIP	18	SP	4.02	18.3%	6.9%	2.9%	.256	3.93	18.2%	7.6%	155	-0.09	3.77	187	90
Jordany Ventura R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	19	SP	4.08	16.8%	8.9%	2.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.08	219	87
Nelfy Ynfante R 2023 · 4.22 FIP	18	SP	4.22	18.1%	10.7%	2.4%	.309	4.71	16.8%	5.5%	225	+0.49	3.70	297	86
Luis Arejula R 2021 · 3.52 FIP	19	SP	3.52	21.9%	8.7%	2.1%	.318	4.46	15.7%	3.5%	71	+0.94	3.52	115	86
Kyle Glogoski R 2018 · 3.46 FIP	19	SP-	3.46	19.9%	8.5%	1.7%	.277	3.92	20.6%	9.1%	93	+0.46	3.32	206	85
Jose Montero R 2022 · 3.72 FIP	19	SP	3.72	20.8%	7.9%	2.5%	.377	4.03	15.8%	4.6%	234	+0.31	3.72	375	84
Logan Gragg R 2019 · 4.14 FIP	20	SP	4.14	17.4%	9.5%	2.4%	.343	5.20	15.2%	8.2%	202	+1.06	4.14	412	84
Moises Castillo R 2024 · 4.58 FIP	19	SP-	4.58	18.1%	11.7%	2.8%	.269	4.06	19.4%	4.9%	67	-0.52	3.76	104	84
Andry Rondon R 2015 · 3.46 FIP	19	SP	3.46	19.8%	8.2%	1.8%	.283	3.98	15.6%	1.1%	49	+0.52	3.26	105	84
Shawndrick Oduber R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	18	SP	3.99	22.0%	7.2%	3.4%	.337	5.40	15.2%	3.4%	72	+1.41	3.99	104	84
Carlos Naveda R 2017 · 3.77 FIP	18	SP	3.77	19.9%	10.5%	1.9%	.297	2.63	16.9%	11.7%	64	-1.14	2.63	120	84
Javier Bartolozzi R 2023 · 3.39 FIP	18	SP	3.39	16.9%	8.1%	1.2%	.325	4.56	13.8%	5.4%	125	+1.17	3.39	164	83
Enniel Cortez R 2024 · 4.66 FIP	18	SP	4.66	17.0%	7.3%	3.8%	.366	6.43	13.5%	-2.6%	37	+1.77	2.38	131	83
Giussepe Velasquez R 2021 · 4.21 FIP	18	SP	4.21	17.2%	10.7%	2.2%	.329	5.64	19.1%	4.8%	53	+1.43	4.21	222	83
Luis Valdez R 2023 · 3.39 FIP	18	SP	3.39	18.6%	6.7%	1.8%	.270	6.44	17.8%	5.1%	36	+3.05	3.39	103	82
Luis Maracara R 2024 · 3.75 FIP	16	SP	3.75	18.4%	10.4%	1.6%	.344	6.03	18.9%	1.0%	78	+2.28	3.75	123	81
Marco Raya R 2022 · 4.77 FIP	19	SP	4.77	21.4%	10.3%	4.0%	.250	4.42	19.8%	8.6%	254	-0.35	3.99	383	81
José López R 2015 · 4.04 FIP	21	SP	4.04	19.1%	9.9%	2.3%	.329	3.77	17.9%	9.9%	436	-0.27	3.12	543	80
Yohanse Morel R 2019 · 4.77 FIP	18	SP-	4.77	17.0%	10.0%	3.4%	.350	5.18	16.2%	2.7%	96	+0.41	3.33	263	80
Anderson Bido R 2017 · 3.52 FIP	18	SP	3.52	15.4%	6.5%	1.6%	.320	—	—	—	—	—	2.90	292	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	31	19.8%	8.5%	1.09	4.47
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41
Tyler Walker ('10)	1.5	50	18.9%	8.5%	1.11	4.23
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
Ed Vosberg ('86-'02, 1 WAR*)	1.2	47	21.0%*	9.6%*	0.86*	4.06*