Luis Valdez
P
Columbia Fireflies
Age 21
RHP
6'0" / 170 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION19 act + 16 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 99
ERA4.34
FIP4.34
K%23.2%
BB%9.1%
K-BB%14.1%
ROS IP16
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL KC Glass | 12 | 1 | 26 | 104 | 22 | 10 | 1 | 8% | 2.2 | 14.4% | 12.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.77 | 4.38 | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL KC Glass | 12 | 1 | 26 | 104 | 22 | 10 | 1 | 8% | 2.2 | 21.2% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 1.0% | 2.77 | 3.06 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Royals Blue | 12 | 12 | 42 | 168 | 46 | 9 | 2 | 100% | 3.5 | 18.6% | 6.7% | 11.9% | 2.1% | 3.02 | 3.51 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Royals Blue | 12 | 12 | 42 | 168 | 46 | 9 | 2 | 100% | 3.5 | 27.4% | 5.4% | 22.0% | 1.2% | 3.02 | 2.16 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | ACL Royals | 9 | 2 | 23 | 101 | 29 | 6 | 4 | 22% | 2.5 | 19.5% | 7.4% | 12.1% | 6.2% | 5.96 | 5.78 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | ACL Royals | 9 | 2 | 23 | 101 | 29 | 6 | 4 | 22% | 2.5 | 28.7% | 5.9% | 22.8% | 4.0% | 5.96 | 3.63 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | ACL Royals | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0.7 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 4.16 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | ACL Royals | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0.7 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 4.60 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 13 | 0 | 19 | 91 | 27 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.5 | 15.8% | 23.2% | -7.4% | 6.4% | 6.05 | 8.22 | -0.8 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | KC | 16 | 0 | 16 | 69 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.2% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.34 | 4.34 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | KC | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.2% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.34 | 4.34 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | KC | — | — | 36 | 160 | 43 | 20 | 7 | — | — | 26.9% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 4.4% | 5.27 | 6.44 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | KC | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.1% | 8.6% | 15.5% | 3.0% | 4.23 | 4.16 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | KC | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.1% | 8.6% | 15.5% | 3.0% | 4.23 | 4.16 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.1% | 8.6% | 15.5% | 3.0% | 4.23 | 3.78 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.1% | 8.6% | 15.5% | 3.0% | 4.23 | 3.78 | +3.8 | ||
| Career | — | 47 | 15 | 110 | 468 | 81 | 53 | 17 | 32% | 2.3 | 17.4% | 11.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.08 | 5.12 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 85 | 27 | 200 | 848 | 147 | 97 | 32 | 32% | 2.3 | 17.4% | 11.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.08 | 5.12 | +0.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Luis Valdez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.34 | 23.2% | 9.1% | 3.0% | — | 4.16 | 24.1% | 15.5% | 20 | -0.18 | — | — | — |
| Kyle Zurak R 2027 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.48 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 121 | -0.48 | 3.28 | 181 | 87 |
| Cody Palmquist R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.04 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 3.0% | .278 | 5.78 | 14.7% | 7.1% | 62 | +1.74 | 4.04 | 104 | 85 |
| Daniel Bies R 2027 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.96 | 24.5% | 6.8% | 3.8% | .339 | 3.22 | 20.3% | 11.0% | 89 | -0.74 | 3.22 | 115 | 84 |
| Austin Hutchison R 2027 · 4.05 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.05 | 19.7% | 6.0% | 3.4% | .340 | 5.20 | 18.7% | 9.2% | 213 | +1.15 | 3.60 | 235 | 83 |
| Addison Russ R 2027 · 3.90 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.90 | 22.2% | 7.9% | 3.1% | .324 | 3.02 | 25.6% | 17.5% | 121 | -0.88 | 2.96 | 194 | 82 |
| Jake Elliott R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.82 | 19.2% | 7.1% | 2.6% | .353 | 3.81 | 18.1% | 10.0% | 202 | -0.01 | 3.10 | 354 | 82 |
| Michael Gomez R 2027 · 3.38 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.38 | 22.6% | 9.2% | 1.9% | .283 | 3.78 | 17.9% | 8.3% | 110 | +0.40 | 3.33 | 286 | 81 |
| J.T. Hintzen R 2027 · 3.20 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.20 | 20.1% | 7.0% | 1.7% | .303 | 4.45 | 24.1% | 15.1% | 123 | +1.25 | 3.20 | 205 | 80 |
| Chris Gau R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.76 | 20.0% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .290 | 3.23 | 29.5% | 23.5% | 37 | -1.53 | 2.88 | 211 | 80 |
| Danny Dopico R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.87 | 25.4% | 10.8% | 2.8% | .333 | 3.98 | 22.8% | 8.1% | 173 | +0.11 | 3.00 | 318 | 80 |
| Cole Stapler R 2027 · 3.83 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.83 | 19.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% | .266 | 3.29 | 18.1% | 13.2% | 220 | -0.54 | 3.28 | 255 | 80 |
| Luis Romero R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.50 | 22.1% | 11.9% | 3.2% | .367 | 4.16 | 21.6% | 12.5% | 132 | -0.34 | 3.99 | 293 | 80 |
| Parker Curry R 2028 · 3.68 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.68 | 22.5% | 8.2% | 2.6% | .341 | 4.68 | 18.6% | 11.6% | 193 | +1.00 | 3.68 | 256 | 80 |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2028 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 80 |
| Ismael Cabrera R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.56 | 19.0% | 7.4% | 2.1% | .250 | 5.44 | 17.4% | 6.6% | 117 | +1.88 | 3.56 | 133 | 79 |
| Sam Delaplane R 2027 · 3.18 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.18 | 24.6% | 7.7% | 2.1% | .342 | 3.15 | 32.7% | 23.4% | 128 | -0.03 | 3.11 | 194 | 79 |
| Kevin Coulter R 2027 · 3.27 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.27 | 21.0% | 7.4% | 1.8% | .287 | 4.31 | 16.1% | 7.6% | 92 | +1.04 | 3.27 | 128 | 79 |
| Brendan Collins R 2027 · 3.60 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.60 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 1.9% | .294 | 3.85 | 20.2% | 5.1% | 54 | +0.25 | 3.60 | 122 | 79 |
| Breidy Encarnación R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.48 | 21.8% | 9.4% | 1.9% | .222 | 3.47 | 23.0% | 11.0% | 67 | -0.01 | 3.10 | 164 | 79 |
| Sandy Lugo R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.86 | 20.7% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .352 | 3.94 | 23.6% | 12.5% | 119 | +0.08 | 3.28 | 146 | 79 |