Luis Valdez

P Columbia Fireflies
Age 22 RHP 6'0" / 170 lbs A
Overview
APROSPECT
ETA2028MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamGGSIPERAFIPK%BB%WARMLE rates
202419ROKKC92235.963.6328.7%5.9%—K 19.5% · BB 7.4% · FIP 5.60
202520ROKKC1010.004.6025.0%25.0%—K 25.0% · BB 25.0% · FIP 4.16
202621MIX2 levels140215.665.6628.4%14.7%—K 14.8% · BB 21.8% · FIP 7.90
2027PROJ22MLBKC——05.405.4020.4%15.3%—
2028PROJ49% MLB23MLBKC8085.135.0321.5%13.3%-0.0
Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
Contract
No contract data on file.
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%
CompsJuan Mendez (age 22) · Tyler Santana (age 23) · Junior Rincon (age 23)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136128vR 119
ERA5.40
FIP5.40
K%20.4%
BB%15.3%
K-BB%5.1%
Proj IP9
Value2027 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 9 IP
K: -0.1 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: -0.7 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: -0.3 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-0CONTACTSTAM: +0.4 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+0STAMTotal WAR: -0.09 (9 IP)-0.1WAR
-0.10.02728
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
202217ROK MLEDSL KC Glass12126104221018%2.214.4%12.0%2.4%1.5%2.774.25—
202217ROK RAWDSL KC Glass12126104221018%2.221.2%9.6%11.5%1.0%2.773.06—
202318ROK MLEDSL Royals Blue1212421684692100%3.518.6%6.7%11.9%1.8%3.023.39—
202318ROK RAWDSL Royals Blue1212421684692100%3.527.4%5.4%22.0%1.2%3.022.16—
202419ROK MLEACL Royals9223101296422%2.519.5%7.4%12.1%5.8%5.965.60—
202419ROK MLEACL Royals9223101296422%2.519.5%7.4%12.1%5.8%5.965.60—
202419ROK RAWACL Royals9223101296422%2.528.7%5.9%22.8%4.0%5.963.63—
202520ROK MLEACL Royals10141100%0.725.0%25.0%0.0%0.0%0.004.16—
202520ROK MLEACL Royals10141100%0.725.0%25.0%0.0%0.0%0.004.16—
202520ROK RAWACL Royals10141100%0.725.0%25.0%0.0%0.0%0.004.60—
202621MIX MLE2 levels1402195271450%1.514.8%21.8%-7.0%6.0%5.667.90—
202621MIX MLE2 levels1402195271450%1.514.8%21.8%-7.0%6.0%5.667.90—
202621MIX RAW2 levels1402195271450%1.528.4%14.7%13.7%5.3%5.665.66—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
202722MLBKC——0——————20.4%15.3%5.1%3.1%5.405.40—
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
202823MLB MLEKC150156514920%1.021.5%13.3%8.2%3.1%5.135.03-0.1
202823MLB CTXKC808347410%1.021.5%13.3%8.2%3.1%5.135.03-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— RAW708327410%1.121.5%13.3%8.2%3.1%5.134.65-0.0
/ 200 IP— RAW1900200844186106270%1.121.5%13.3%8.2%3.1%5.134.65-0.2
Career— MLE481511247281531631%2.317.2%11.2%5.9%3.5%4.034.97-0.1
/ 200 IP— MLE8627200845145952931%2.317.2%11.2%5.9%3.5%4.034.97-1.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AColumbia Fireflies · 13 IPFIP 6.28 → 7.90 (+1.62)K% 20.0% → 14.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF20.00%—×0.74014.80%
BB% (unintentional) /BF18.46%—×1.18021.78%
HR / BF /BF4.62%÷1.000×1.3006.00%

Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 6.28 → 7.90, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ROKACL Royals · 8 IPFIP 3.66 → 6.60 (+2.94)K% 46.7% → 31.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF46.67%—×0.68031.73%
BB% (unintentional) /BF6.67%—×1.2508.33%
HR / BF /BF6.67%÷1.000×1.4009.33%

Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 3.66 → 6.60, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKACL Royals · 23 IPFIP 3.60 → 5.60 (+2.00)K% 28.7% → 19.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF28.71%—×0.68019.52%
BB% (unintentional) /BF5.94%—×1.2507.43%
HR / BF /BF3.96%÷0.949×1.4005.84%

Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 90).

Result: FIP 3.60 → 5.60, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKDSL Royals Blue · 42 IPFIP 2.12 → 3.39 (+1.27)K% 27.4% → 18.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF27.38%—×0.68018.62%
BB% (unintentional) /BF5.36%—×1.2506.70%
HR / BF /BF1.19%÷0.903×1.4001.85%

Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 81).

Result: FIP 2.12 → 3.39, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ROKDSL KC Glass · 26 IPFIP 3.06 → 4.25 (+1.19)K% 21.2% → 14.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF21.15%—×0.68014.38%
BB% (unintentional) /BF9.62%—×1.25012.02%
HR / BF /BF0.96%÷0.879×1.4001.53%

Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 76).

Result: FIP 3.06 → 4.25, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).