Enniel Cortez P Wilson Warbirds
+0.3 WAR
Age 20 RHP 6'0" / 180 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 0.6 · 2030
ERA4.36
FIP4.36
xFIP
SIERA
K%22.7%
BB%9.0%
K-BB%13.7%
IP40
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.6peak
2030
K†5560

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR K%BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202317ROKDSL Brewers 111846176495118.9%3.6%0.8%1.582.37+1.3
202418ACarolina Mudcats1311482125113617.0%7.3%3.8%5.444.69+0.1
▸ 2026 Season
202620AWilson Warbirds3273663110.29
ROS20MLBMIL40401703915522.7%9.0%3.0%4.364.36+0.3
2026 Total20MLBMIL472064518621.7%8.9%3.0%5.243.71+0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
202721MLBMIL42421794116523.2%8.8%2.9%4.294.25+0.3
202822MLBMIL44441874516524.1%8.3%2.9%4.174.09+0.4
202923MLBMIL46461954816624.8%8.1%2.9%4.063.97+0.5
203024MLBMIL47472005116625.3%7.9%2.8%3.963.89+0.6
203125MLBMIL48482025216625.7%7.8%2.8%3.893.84+0.6
203226MLBMIL48482025216625.9%7.7%2.8%3.843.81+0.6
203327MLBMIL48482015216625.9%7.7%2.8%3.833.82+0.6
203428MLBMIL47471985115625.9%7.8%2.9%3.843.85+0.6
203529MLBMIL46461935015625.7%7.9%2.9%3.873.90+0.5
203630MLBMIL44441874815625.5%8.0%3.0%3.923.96+0.5
203731MLBMIL43431804615525.3%8.1%3.0%3.994.03+0.4
203832MLBMIL41411734314525.0%8.2%3.1%4.074.12+0.4
203933MLBMIL39391664114524.7%8.4%3.2%4.164.22+0.3
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career272110142475251017.8%5.8%2.5%4.023.69+1.8
/ 200 IP5442200842149502017.8%5.8%2.5%4.023.69+3.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Enniel Cortez (OGILVIE) 4.36 22.7%9.0%3.0% 4.10 24.1%15.7%133 -0.26
Cody Palmquist R 2028 · 4.20 FIP 22 SU 4.20 21.9%9.0%3.3%.278 5.95 14.7%7.1%62 +1.75 4.20 104 90
Kai Wynyard R 2026 · 4.23 FIP 20 SU 4.23 21.1%9.1%3.2%.269 4.12 16.5%3.9%138 -0.11 3.32 206 89
Kyle Zurak R 2028 · 3.96 FIP 22 SU 3.96 21.2%9.4%2.6%.302 3.42 16.7%7.5%121 -0.54 3.19 181 89
Danny Dopico R 2027 · 3.87 FIP 21 SU 3.87 25.4%10.8%2.8%.333 3.88 22.8%8.1%173 +0.01 3.00 318 89
Enmanuel Marcano R 2026 · 4.32 FIP 20 SU 4.32 21.1%8.4%3.5%.268 3.84 138 88
Addison Russ R 2028 · 3.55 FIP 22 SU 3.55 22.2%7.9%2.4%.324 3.08 25.6%17.5%121 -0.47 3.07 194 88
Jonathan Stiever R 2027 · 4.39 FIP 21 SU 4.39 22.9%9.7%3.6%.308 4.29 20.7%14.2%219 -0.10 4.28 247 88
Victor Castaneda R 2026 · 3.94 FIP 20 SU 3.94 21.1%8.9%2.7%.348 4.99 20.1%9.2%230 +1.05 2.90 377 88
Rayner Urbaez R 2026 · 3.83 FIP 20 SU 3.83 23.6%11.4%2.3%.337 3.35 15.0%3.0%27 -0.48 2.50 103 88
Kendeglys Virguez R 2026 · 4.49 FIP 20 SU 4.49 22.5%10.8%3.5%.260 4.49 101 87
Scott Williams R 2027 · 3.36 FIP 21 SU 3.36 22.0%8.6%1.9%.238 3.68 19.3%10.5%76 +0.32 2.89 119 87
Chris Gau R 2027 · 4.76 FIP 21 SU 4.76 20.0%8.6%4.1%.290 3.18 29.5%23.5%37 -1.58 2.98 211 87
Sandy Lugo R 2027 · 3.86 FIP 21 SU 3.86 20.7%9.5%2.4%.352 3.96 23.6%12.5%119 +0.10 3.46 146 87
Joelvis Del Rosario R 2026 · 3.87 FIP 20 SU 3.87 22.5%8.0%3.0%.315 5.01 14.6%6.0%197 +1.14 3.13 286 87
Osiris German R 2025 · 4.26 FIP 19 SU 4.26 20.6%8.7%3.3%.346 3.14 26.3%15.5%59 -1.12 3.11 187 87
Blake Workman R 2026 · 4.00 FIP 20 SU 4.00 18.9%9.5%2.4%.307 3.94 23.8%19.5%105 -0.06 3.11 213 86
Kenny Oakley R 2028 · 3.50 FIP 22 SU 3.50 23.8%9.1%2.3%.348 3.89 17.3%7.8%115 +0.39 3.18 144 86
Matt Walker R 2026 · 3.21 FIP 20 SU 3.21 24.8%10.3%1.7%.326 3.75 19.1%9.8%178 +0.54 2.42 211 86
Connor Cooke R 2028 · 3.37 FIP 22 SU 3.37 23.7%8.4%2.2%.350 4.28 24.6%10.4%56 +0.91 2.93 103 86
Osiel Rodriguez R 2026 · 3.32 FIP 20 SU 3.32 19.6%6.6%1.9%.306 5.30 22.3%7.4%92 +1.98 3.32 124 86

Contract

ESTIMATED  ·  service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Arb-3$0.9M+0.6$3M+$2M
2032Ext / FA-deal$0.9M+0.6$3M+$2M
2033Ext / FA-deal$1.0M+0.6$3M+$2M
2034Ext / FA-deal$1M+0.6$3M+$2M
2035Ext / FA-deal$2M+0.5$3M+$0.9M
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $6M $14M +$9M