Enniel Cortez — OGILVIE

Enniel Cortez P Wilson Warbirds

Age 20 RHP 6'0" / 180 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 1.0 · 2030

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 28 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115107vR 98

ERA4.29

FIP4.29

K%20.8%

BB%7.2%

K-BB%13.6%

ROS IP28

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 28 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$25M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5060

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	11	8	46	176	49	5	1	73%	4.2	18.9%	3.6%	15.4%	0.8%	1.58	2.38	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	11	8	46	176	49	5	1	73%	4.2	18.9%	3.6%	15.4%	0.8%	1.58	2.38	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 1	11	8	46	176	49	5	1	73%	4.2	27.8%	2.8%	25.0%	0.6%	1.58	1.57	—
2024	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	11	48	212	51	13	6	85%	3.7	17.0%	7.3%	9.7%	3.8%	5.44	4.66	—
2024	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	11	48	212	51	13	6	85%	3.7	17.0%	7.3%	9.7%	3.8%	5.44	4.66	—
2024	18	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	11	48	212	51	13	6	85%	3.7	24.1%	6.1%	17.9%	2.8%	5.44	3.41	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A MLE	Wilson Warbirds	14	8	37	176	32	24	6	57%	2.7	13.5%	16.1%	-2.6%	4.4%	7.47	6.43	—
YTD	20	A MLE	Wilson Warbirds	14	8	37	176	32	24	6	57%	2.7	13.5%	16.1%	-2.6%	4.4%	7.47	6.43	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	20	A RAW	MIL	14	8	37	176	32	24	6	57%	2.7	18.2%	13.6%	4.5%	3.4%	7.47	5.16	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	MIL	9	9	45	192	41	14	6	100%	5.0	21.4%	7.2%	14.2%	2.9%	4.24	4.20	+0.4
2028	22	MLB MLE	MIL	9	9	48	201	45	14	6	100%	5.3	22.5%	7.0%	15.5%	2.9%	4.13	4.05	+0.5
2029	23	MLB MLE	MIL	9	9	50	209	49	14	6	100%	5.5	23.3%	6.8%	16.5%	2.9%	4.02	3.94	+0.6
2030	24	MLB MLE	MIL	9	9	51	214	51	14	6	100%	5.6	23.8%	6.6%	17.2%	2.8%	3.93	3.86	+0.6
2031	25	MLB MLE	MIL	9	9	51	217	52	14	6	100%	5.7	24.2%	6.5%	17.7%	2.8%	3.85	3.80	+0.7
2032	26	MLB MLE	MIL	9	9	51	217	53	14	6	100%	5.7	24.4%	6.4%	18.0%	2.8%	3.81	3.78	+0.7
2033	27	MLB MLE	MIL	8	8	50	213	52	14	6	100%	6.3	24.4%	6.5%	17.9%	2.9%	3.81	3.82	+0.7
2027	21	MLB CTX	MIL	5	5	22	93	20	7	3	100%	4.4	21.4%	7.2%	14.2%	3.1%	4.32	4.28	+0.2
2028	22	MLB CTX	MIL	7	7	35	148	33	10	4	100%	5.0	22.5%	7.0%	15.5%	3.0%	4.21	4.13	+0.4
2029	23	MLB CTX	MIL	8	8	42	177	41	12	5	100%	5.2	23.3%	6.8%	16.5%	3.0%	4.10	4.02	+0.5
2030	24	MLB CTX	MIL	8	8	45	190	45	13	6	100%	5.6	23.8%	6.6%	17.2%	3.0%	4.01	3.94	+0.6
2031	25	MLB CTX	MIL	8	8	47	198	48	13	6	100%	5.9	24.2%	6.5%	17.7%	3.0%	3.93	3.88	+0.6
2032	26	MLB CTX	MIL	8	8	48	203	49	13	6	100%	6.0	24.4%	6.4%	18.0%	3.0%	3.89	3.86	+0.6
2033	27	MLB CTX	MIL	8	8	48	203	49	13	6	100%	6.0	24.4%	6.5%	17.9%	3.0%	3.89	3.90	+0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		51	51	287	1211	286	81	36	100%	5.6	23.6%	6.6%	17.0%	3.0%	4.02	3.59	+4.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		36	36	200	844	199	56	25	100%	5.6	23.6%	6.6%	17.0%	3.0%	4.02	3.59	+3.2
Career	—	MLE		38	27	131	564	93	50	17	71%	3.4	16.5%	8.9%	7.6%	3.0%	4.67	4.50	+4.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		58	41	200	861	142	77	26	71%	3.4	16.5%	8.9%	7.6%	3.0%	4.67	4.50	+2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Enniel Cortez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.29	20.8%	7.2%	3.0%	—	4.06	22.4%	15.5%	143	-0.23	—	—	—
Joelvis Del Rosario R 2021 · 3.76 FIP	20	SP-	3.76	22.5%	8.0%	2.8%	.315	4.97	14.6%	6.0%	197	+1.21	3.13	286	85
David Lorduy R 2023 · 4.01 FIP	19	SP-	4.01	20.4%	7.1%	3.2%	.267	4.79	17.4%	7.1%	184	+0.78	3.38	269	83
Miguel Díaz R 2015 · 3.40 FIP	20	SP-	3.40	19.3%	7.7%	1.7%	.365	4.40	19.4%	8.2%	233	+1.00	2.18	573	82
Connor Cooke R 2022 · 3.35 FIP	22	SP-	3.35	23.7%	8.4%	2.2%	.350	4.13	24.0%	11.4%	56	+0.78	2.93	103	82
Andrew Sopko R 2015 · 3.76 FIP	20	SP-	3.76	17.4%	4.1%	2.9%	.282	3.97	16.6%	8.8%	353	+0.21	3.62	479	82
Porter Hodge R 2021 · 4.20 FIP	20	SP-	4.20	19.3%	8.8%	2.9%	.336	3.40	24.2%	10.6%	249	-0.80	2.97	349	82
Gilberto Batista R 2023 · 3.63 FIP	18	SP-	3.63	22.8%	6.2%	3.0%	.323	5.53	15.1%	5.0%	210	+1.90	3.63	250	82
Ryan Fernandez R 2018 · 4.44 FIP	20	SP-	4.44	19.2%	6.8%	3.8%	.357	3.37	20.8%	13.2%	53	-1.07	3.02	360	81
Hunter Gregory R 2022 · 3.90 FIP	23	SP-	3.90	21.2%	8.7%	2.7%	.374	4.56	20.4%	7.8%	188	+0.66	3.84	249	81
Duque Hebbert R 2023 · 3.18 FIP	21	SP-	3.18	17.8%	4.8%	1.8%	.324	4.54	13.4%	6.1%	130	+1.36	3.18	168	81
Francys Peguero R 2016 · 3.38 FIP	20	SP-	3.38	17.0%	4.6%	2.1%	.305	4.93	15.6%	9.0%	116	+1.55	2.85	293	80
Juan Bello R 2022 · 4.02 FIP	18	SP	4.02	18.3%	6.9%	2.9%	.256	3.93	18.2%	7.6%	155	-0.09	3.77	187	80
Dualvert Gutierrez R 2021 · 3.22 FIP	20	SP-	3.22	23.5%	9.1%	1.7%	.352	4.29	15.9%	2.2%	78	+1.07	3.22	130	80
Sean Paul Liñan R 2023 · 4.05 FIP	18	SP-	4.05	17.7%	8.3%	2.5%	.324	4.30	22.1%	10.2%	210	+0.25	3.29	272	80
Fraynel Nova R 2022 · 3.83 FIP	20	SP-	3.83	16.4%	7.9%	2.0%	.296	4.17	14.9%	4.9%	110	+0.34	3.38	129	79
Nick Fraze R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	23	SP-	4.49	18.8%	7.3%	3.8%	.271	4.70	17.9%	10.2%	162	+0.21	3.86	278	79
Saul Gonzalez R 2021 · 3.66 FIP	21	SP-	3.66	16.1%	8.4%	1.6%	.320	3.24	19.8%	9.6%	70	-0.42	2.94	110	78
Rico Garcia R 2017 · 3.37 FIP	23	SP-	3.37	18.8%	7.0%	1.8%	.316	4.07	19.8%	11.5%	296	+0.70	3.37	587	78
Clay Chandler R 2017 · 4.97 FIP	23	SP-	4.97	18.3%	6.0%	4.8%	.319	4.89	14.8%	8.8%	293	-0.08	4.49	328	78
Jordany Ventura R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	19	SP	4.08	16.8%	8.9%	2.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.08	219	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.9	47	23.3%	6.7%	1.11	3.99
Nick Wittgren ('23)	1.6	41	21.6%	7.0%	1.15	4.04
Chris Devenski ('24)	1.9	62	26.0%	6.9%	1.25	3.61
Craig Stammen ('22)	2.0	66	23.0%	5.4%	1.19	3.36
JT Chargois ('24)	1.2	33	23.3%	9.3%	0.97	3.35
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79