Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Brewers 1 | 11 | 8 | 46 | 176 | 49 | 5 | 1 | 73% | 4.2 | 18.9% | 3.6% | 15.4% | 0.8% | 1.58 | 2.37 | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Brewers 1 | 11 | 8 | 46 | 176 | 49 | 5 | 1 | 73% | 4.2 | 27.8% | 2.8% | 25.0% | 0.6% | 1.58 | 1.57 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 11 | 48 | 212 | 51 | 13 | 6 | 85% | 3.7 | 17.0% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 3.7% | 5.44 | 4.65 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 11 | 48 | 212 | 51 | 13 | 6 | 85% | 3.7 | 24.1% | 6.1% | 17.9% | 2.8% | 5.44 | 3.41 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | A | Wilson Warbirds | 12 | 7 | 35 | 162 | 32 | 19 | 6 | 58% | 2.9 | 14.6% | 13.8% | 0.8% | 4.8% | 7.01 | 6.26 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | MIL | 6 | 6 | 28 | 119 | 27 | 11 | 4 | 100% | 4.7 | 22.7% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 4.36 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.7% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 4.36 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 63 | 281 | 59 | 30 | 10 | — | — | 21.0% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 3.4% | 5.82 | 5.41 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | MIL | 6 | 6 | 30 | 125 | 29 | 11 | 4 | 100% | 4.9 | 23.2% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 2.9% | 4.29 | 4.25 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | MIL | 3 | 3 | 15 | 63 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.2% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 2.9% | 4.29 | 4.25 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3 | 3 | 15 | 61 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 100% | 4.9 | 23.2% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 2.9% | 4.29 | 3.87 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 40 | 40 | 200 | 844 | 192 | 69 | 27 | 100% | 4.9 | 23.2% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 2.9% | 4.29 | 3.87 | +3.6 | ||
| Career | — | 36 | 26 | 128 | 550 | 93 | 44 | 17 | 72% | 3.6 | 16.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 3.1% | 4.49 | 4.39 | +1.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 56 | 41 | 200 | 857 | 145 | 69 | 27 | 72% | 3.6 | 16.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 3.1% | 4.49 | 4.39 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Enniel Cortez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.36 | 22.7% | 9.0% | 3.0% | — | 4.25 | 23.2% | 14.4% | 30 | -0.11 | — | — | — |
| Joelvis Del Rosario R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.85 | 22.5% | 8.0% | 3.0% | .315 | 4.81 | 14.6% | 6.0% | 197 | +0.96 | 3.13 | 286 | 85 |
| Connor Cooke R 2028 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .350 | 4.29 | 24.6% | 10.4% | 56 | +0.82 | 2.92 | 103 | 84 |
| Alejandro Rivera R 2025 · 3.30 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.30 | 24.1% | 10.7% | 1.6% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.30 | 116 | 83 |
| Porter Hodge R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.18 | 19.3% | 8.8% | 2.9% | .336 | 3.40 | 24.3% | 10.5% | 249 | -0.78 | 2.98 | 349 | 82 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2029 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 81 |
| Gabe Bierman R 2027 · 5.08 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.08 | 21.3% | 11.8% | 4.2% | .277 | 4.65 | 16.2% | 4.0% | 187 | -0.43 | 4.20 | 301 | 81 |
| Chad Donato R 2028 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .333 | 3.99 | 21.4% | 12.6% | 184 | +0.14 | 2.91 | 439 | 81 |
| Michael Knorr R 2029 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.03 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .312 | 5.16 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 93 | +1.13 | 4.03 | 152 | 80 |
| Miguel Díaz R 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.40 | 19.3% | 7.7% | 1.7% | .365 | 4.50 | 19.4% | 8.2% | 233 | +1.10 | 2.22 | 573 | 80 |
| Sean Sullivan R 2027 · 4.82 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.82 | 19.9% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .298 | 4.56 | 17.0% | 8.2% | 243 | -0.26 | 4.30 | 318 | 79 |
| Rayner Urbaez R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 20 | SP | 3.82 | 23.6% | 11.4% | 2.3% | .337 | 3.35 | 15.0% | 3.0% | 27 | -0.47 | 2.50 | 103 | 79 |
| Robert Colina R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.46 | 19.0% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .312 | 3.70 | 21.5% | 12.7% | 111 | -0.76 | 3.25 | 266 | 79 |
| Anderson Brito R 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.39 | 27.5% | 11.9% | 2.0% | .231 | 3.83 | 23.2% | 7.4% | 82 | +0.44 | 3.24 | 135 | 78 |
| Miguel Rodriguez R 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.30 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.0% | .329 | 5.83 | 19.9% | 7.7% | 108 | +2.53 | 2.55 | 272 | 78 |
| Tanner Hall R 2028 · 4.56 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.56 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 3.0% | .295 | 5.39 | 10.1% | -4.6% | 72 | +0.83 | 4.56 | 137 | 78 |
| Ryan Fernandez R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.44 | 19.2% | 6.8% | 3.8% | .357 | 3.52 | 20.8% | 13.2% | 53 | -0.92 | 2.97 | 335 | 77 |
| Noah Denoyer R 2029 · 4.45 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.45 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.0% | .275 | 4.09 | 25.9% | 14.9% | 121 | -0.36 | 3.05 | 181 | 77 |
| Colin Fields R 2029 · 3.48 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.48 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 1.5% | .246 | 4.20 | 21.6% | 12.8% | 184 | +0.72 | 3.07 | 229 | 77 |
| Yordi Rosario R 2025 · 3.53 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.53 | 21.3% | 6.7% | 2.5% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.25 | 163 | 77 |
| Logan Hofmann R 2027 · 4.21 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.21 | 22.1% | 11.3% | 2.8% | .239 | 6.50 | 9.7% | -12.0% | 47 | +2.29 | 4.21 | 129 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 29 | 23.0% | 8.9% | 1.15 | 4.32 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Zach McAllister ('18) | 4 | 57 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 3.63 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |