Juan Rijo

OF DSL Mariners

Age 18 L/L ROK K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKSEA	219	.310/.442/.477	3	9	68	—	.195/.307/.281
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBSEA	329	.210/.288/.300	3	6	68	-0.3
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBSEA	92	.212/.292/.308	1	2	73	-0.2
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBSEA	189	.216/.297/.319	2	4	78	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

wOBA83

wRC+80

Chase%80

Speed76

Whiff%75

ISO72

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsAngel Guzman (age 18) · Hector Osorio (age 18) · Yeicok Calderon (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 188 proj PA

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .286 / .297

PA188

HR2

K%26

BB%9

ISO90

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$5M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 46 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT46

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE66

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2036	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2037	Arb-2	$0.7M	—	—	—
2038	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	219	174	54	14	3	3	36	48	5	9	2	310	442	477	919	167	402	22	16	405	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	219	185	36	9	2	1	25	58	5	9	2	195	307	281	588	86	257	26	11	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	219	185	36	9	2	1	25	58	5	9	2	195	307	281	588	86	269	26	11	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	219	174	54	14	3	3	36	48	5	9	2	310	442	477	919	167	402	22	16	405	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	219	187	36	9	2	1	25	58	5	9	2	193	307	278	585	86	257	26	11	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	219	187	36	9	2	1	25	58	5	9	2	193	307	278	585	86	257	26	11	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	329	293	62	12	3	3	29	87	4	6	1	210	288	300	588	90	284	26	9	269	68	-12	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	SEA	34%	269	239	51	10	2	3	24	70	4	5	2	214	294	312	606	98	286	26	9	277	73	-9	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.4
2029	20	MLB MLE	SEA	48%	391	348	75	14	3	5	34	101	6	8	3	218	298	323	621	105	288	26	9	283	78	-10	+0	+0	-2	+8	-0.4
2030	21	MLB MLE	SEA	54%	482	429	95	18	4	7	43	123	7	11	4	221	302	332	634	111	289	26	9	288	81	-11	+1	+0	-3	+10	-0.3
2031	22	MLB MLE	SEA	57%	546	485	109	21	4	9	48	137	8	12	4	224	304	340	644	116	290	25	9	292	84	-11	+1	+0	-3	+12	-0.1
2032	23	MLB MLE	SEA	58%	590	524	119	23	5	10	52	147	9	13	5	226	306	346	652	120	291	25	9	295	86	-10	+1	+0	-4	+13	-0.0
2033	24	MLB MLE	SEA	57%	616	547	125	24	5	11	55	154	9	13	5	227	307	348	655	121	292	25	9	296	87	-10	+1	+0	-4	+13	0.0
2034	25	MLB MLE	SEA	57%	627	557	126	24	5	11	56	156	9	14	5	227	308	349	657	122	292	25	9	297	87	-10	+1	+0	-4	+14	0.1
2035	26	MLB MLE	SEA	57%	634	564	128	24	5	12	56	158	9	14	5	227	307	349	657	122	292	25	9	297	87	-10	+1	+0	-4	+14	0.1
2036	27	MLB MLE	SEA	55%	634	564	127	24	5	11	56	159	9	13	5	226	306	347	653	121	291	25	9	295	86	-11	+1	+0	-4	+14	-0.0
2037	28	MLB MLE	SEA	59%	629	559	126	24	5	11	56	159	9	12	5	224	304	342	646	118	290	25	9	292	84	-12	+0	-1	-4	+14	-0.2
2038	29	MLB MLE	SEA	61%	619	551	122	23	5	10	55	158	8	11	5	221	301	335	637	114	289	26	9	289	81	-14	+0	-1	-4	+13	-0.5
2028	19	MLB CTX	SEA	34%	92	83	17	3	1	1	8	24	1	2	1	212	292	308	600	96	284	26	9	274	73	-3	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
2029	20	MLB CTX	SEA	48%	189	167	36	7	2	2	17	49	3	4	1	216	297	319	615	103	286	26	9	280	78	-5	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
2030	21	MLB CTX	SEA	54%	261	232	51	10	2	4	23	66	4	6	2	219	300	328	628	109	287	25	9	285	81	-6	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.1
2031	22	MLB CTX	SEA	57%	309	274	61	12	2	5	27	78	5	7	2	222	302	335	637	113	288	25	9	289	84	-6	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.1
2032	23	MLB CTX	SEA	58%	340	302	68	13	3	6	30	85	5	7	3	224	304	341	646	117	289	25	9	292	86	-6	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.0
2033	24	MLB CTX	SEA	57%	351	312	70	13	3	6	31	87	5	8	3	225	305	343	649	119	289	25	9	294	87	-6	+0	+0	-2	+8	0.0
2034	25	MLB CTX	SEA	57%	356	316	71	13	3	6	32	89	5	8	3	225	306	344	650	119	290	25	9	294	87	-6	+0	+0	-2	+8	0.0
2035	26	MLB CTX	SEA	57%	359	319	72	14	3	6	32	89	5	8	3	225	305	344	650	120	289	25	9	294	87	-6	+0	+0	-2	+8	0.0
2036	27	MLB CTX	SEA	55%	352	313	70	13	3	6	31	88	5	7	3	224	304	342	646	118	289	25	9	292	86	-6	+0	+0	-2	+8	-0.0
2037	28	MLB CTX	SEA	59%	372	331	74	14	3	6	33	94	5	7	3	222	302	337	639	115	288	25	9	290	84	-7	+0	-0	-2	+8	-0.1
2038	29	MLB CTX	SEA	61%	377	336	74	14	3	6	33	96	5	7	3	219	299	331	630	111	286	25	9	286	81	-8	+0	-1	-2	+8	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3358	2985	664	126	28	54	297	845	48	71	27	222	303	338	641	115	290	25	9	290	83	-64	+3	-1	-20	+73	-0.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	127	24	5	10	57	164	9	14	5	220	299	330	630	111	287	25	9	290	83	-12	+1	-0	-4	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	6444	5720	1275	245	52	103	576	1630	94	138	51	223	304	338	642	115	291	25	9	291	83	-123	+6	-2	-37	+135	-2.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	128	25	5	10	58	164	9	14	5	222	302	334	637	113	291	25	9	291	83	-13	+1	-0	-4	+14	-0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Jack Rothrock'25-'37 * career totals — 10 seasons, 3,719 PA	5.6	3,719	28	75	248*	313*	376*	-15	-14	2.5	4.0
/162	664	5	13	-2.7	-2.5	0.4	pk7: 5
#5Jake Powell'30-'45 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,767 PA	4.2	2,767	22	65	248*	294*	373*	-14	-2	0.2	2.0
/162	664	5	16	-3.3	-0.5	0.0	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.3	3,547	58	74	224	301	341	-21	+0	1.1	1.3
/162	664	11	14	-4.0	+0.0	0.2	pk7: 2
#6Eric Owens'95-'03 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,576 PA	3.9	2,576	26	126	253*	303*	334*	-18	+1	-0.9	0.4
/162	664	7	32	-4.5	+0.2	-0.2	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Rijo (OGILVIE)	18	41→46	32→37	50→55	66	208/286/297	89	284	2	3	26%	9%	68	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Angel Guzman 2024 · A	18	39	39→45	51→55	51	190/275/281	91	246	6	9	24%	9%	61	-1.5	193/294/290	97	272	8	10	29%	11%	70	-0.8	182/294/282	100	260	9	9	30%	12%	65	-0.4
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	46	37→45	47→50	49	215/299/289	74	290	4	8	25%	9%	72	-0.7	205/319/270	65	256	3	14	19%	12%	76	-0.4	223/323/350	127	253	16	10	18%	10%	93	+0.4
✕Yeicok Calderon 2010 · A	18	45	36→40	52→45	51	211/299/277	65	280	4	9	24%	10%	68	-1.0	195/262/299	104	279	9	6	31%	8%	59	-1.6	174/238/294	121	251	12	4	34%	7%	48	-0.9
✕Derek Bernard 2024 · A	18	43→46	40	54→50	47	206/274/303	97	275	7	16	26%	8%	65	-1.2	215/276/314	99	339	7	13	36%	7%	68	-1.0	218/283/320	102	353	8	12	38%	8%	68	-0.5
✕Daniel Montesino 2023 · A	19	46	38→40	48→45	50	212/301/299	87	300	5	8	28%	10%	74	-0.5	199/264/269	70	309	2	9	33%	7%	53	-2.1	176/234/225	50	289	0	8	36%	6%	29	-1.1
✕Marco Vargas 2023 · A	18	44→46	37→40	50→60	55	207/289/284	77	258	3	13	20%	10%	66	-1.1	207/297/275	68	283	3	18	25%	11%	67	-1.1	220/295/283	63	320	3	36	29%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Victor Arias 2022 · A	18	42→50	37→45	46→50	48	196/277/265	70	283	4	9	30%	10%	57	-1.8	206/294/301	95	310	7	14	32%	10%	72	-0.7	226/304/342	116	321	9	18	30%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Estevan Florial 2016 · A	18	43→53	41→50	54→60	45	205/273/309	104	282	7	12	28%	8%	65	-1.2	211/272/326	115	344	10	13	38%	7%	69	-0.9	214/285/371	157	317	17	29	36%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Jean Ramirez 2019 · A	18	44→49	36→40	51→65	47	208/275/276	67	273	3	15	24%	8%	59	-1.7	204/271/266	62	260	4	22	21%	8%	55	-2.0	200/270/265	65	257	6	39	23%	8%	53	-0.7
✕Ronny Ugarte 2023 · A	18	39	41→45	47→30	46	193/268/298	105	252	7	6	26%	8%	61	-1.5	208/273/298	90	262	5	5	21%	7%	63	-1.4	229/293/323	94	294	8	2	24%	8%	73	-0.3
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	41→44	37→50	55	45	194/259/272	77	267	4	14	28%	8%	51	-2.2	178/254/255	77	256	5	12	30%	8%	47	-2.6	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Daniel Lopez 2024 · A	18	43	39→45	50→65	46	205/281/293	89	290	5	10	29%	8%	65	-1.2	192/256/279	87	261	5	17	27%	7%	52	-2.2	182/247/268	86	249	5	28	27%	6%	43	-1.0
✕Jorge Ruiz 2022 · A	18	44→52	36→40	52→50	49	201/280/270	69	241	3	17	17%	7%	60	-1.6	235/288/308	73	291	3	12	19%	5%	70	-0.8	236/286/309	73	301	3	13	21%	5%	67	-0.6
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	42→52	40	57→45	42	203/256/302	99	255	6	15	23%	5%	57	-1.8	219/288/315	96	285	8	12	24%	7%	72	-0.7	236/304/334	98	303	8	8	23%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Samuel Zavala 2022 · A	18	42→44	38→45	48→50	50	199/273/290	91	249	4	11	21%	8%	61	-1.5	196/285/316	120	290	11	11	33%	10%	72	-0.7	193/290/301	108	265	12	12	29%	11%	68	-0.8
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	36→43	37→45	52→60	51	173/263/245	72	222	4	13	23%	9%	49	-2.4	197/285/299	102	255	9	17	24%	9%	69	-0.9	197/288/299	102	260	10	24	26%	9%	68	-0.6
✕Alberto Rodriguez 2019 · A	18	38→48	37→50	51→50	46	184/251/255	71	245	5	16	26%	8%	45	-2.7	213/271/308	95	288	7	14	27%	7%	64	-1.3	228/292/360	132	326	11	7	31%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Alexander Ovalles 2019 · A	18	46→41	36→50	47→50	51	216/289/281	65	279	3	13	22%	9%	65	-1.2	229/289/333	104	297	6	8	23%	7%	76	-0.4	220/284/353	133	282	13	7	26%	7%	77	-0.2
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	44→53	39→45	54→55	48	206/278/298	92	275	5	13	25%	9%	65	-1.2	213/265/301	88	288	6	11	27%	6%	60	-1.6	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Tyler Rodriguez 2024 · A	18	41	38→40	49→55	55	196/307/275	79	247	6	14	22%	11%	73	-0.6	208/326/276	68	266	5	17	21%	11%	80	-0.1	203/334/262	59	262	5	20	21%	12%	79	-0.1

Juan Rijo

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps