Riely Hunsaker — OGILVIE

Riely Hunsaker P Myrtle Beach Pelicans

Age 23 RHP 6'4" / 235 lbs A peak 0.3 · 2028

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 20 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 102

ERA4.50

FIP4.50

K%21.4%

BB%9.3%

K-BB%12.2%

ROS IP20

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	26	8	85	366	86	29	10	31%	3.3	17.4%	9.3%	8.0%	3.6%	5.08	4.77	—
YTD	23	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	26	8	85	366	86	29	10	31%	3.3	17.4%	9.3%	8.0%	3.6%	5.08	4.77	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	A RAW	CHC	26	8	85	366	86	29	10	31%	3.3	23.5%	7.9%	15.6%	2.7%	5.08	3.62	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	CHC	81	0	85	360	79	32	11	0%	1.1	22.0%	8.8%	13.2%	3.0%	4.41	4.37	+0.2
2028	25	MLB MLE	CHC	82	0	86	365	82	31	11	0%	1.1	22.4%	8.5%	13.9%	3.0%	4.34	4.30	+0.3
2029	26	MLB MLE	CHC	82	0	86	365	82	31	11	0%	1.1	22.6%	8.5%	14.1%	3.0%	4.30	4.28	+0.3
2030	27	MLB MLE	CHC	81	0	85	359	81	31	11	0%	1.1	22.6%	8.5%	14.0%	3.0%	4.31	4.31	+0.2
2031	28	MLB MLE	CHC	79	0	82	348	78	30	11	0%	1.0	22.4%	8.7%	13.8%	3.1%	4.36	4.40	+0.1
2032	29	MLB MLE	CHC	75	0	79	333	80	27	11	0%	1.1	24.2%	8.1%	16.1%	3.3%	4.30	4.26	+0.3
2033	30	MLB MLE	CHC	71	0	74	313	75	26	11	0%	1.0	23.8%	8.4%	15.4%	3.5%	4.38	4.44	+0.1
2027	24	MLB CTX	CHC	34	0	36	152	34	13	5	0%	1.1	22.0%	8.8%	13.2%	3.0%	4.41	4.37	+0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	CHC	54	0	57	241	54	21	7	0%	1.1	22.4%	8.5%	13.9%	3.0%	4.34	4.30	+0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	CHC	65	0	68	287	65	24	9	0%	1.0	22.6%	8.5%	14.1%	3.0%	4.30	4.28	+0.2
2030	27	MLB CTX	CHC	70	0	73	308	70	26	9	0%	1.0	22.6%	8.5%	14.0%	3.0%	4.31	4.31	+0.2
2031	28	MLB CTX	CHC	70	0	73	308	69	27	10	0%	1.0	22.4%	8.7%	13.8%	3.1%	4.36	4.40	+0.1
2032	29	MLB CTX	CHC	69	0	72	304	74	25	10	0%	1.0	24.2%	8.1%	16.1%	3.3%	4.30	4.26	+0.2
2033	30	MLB CTX	CHC	65	0	68	287	68	24	10	0%	1.0	23.8%	8.4%	15.4%	3.5%	4.38	4.44	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		427	0	448	1892	434	160	59	0%	1.0	22.9%	8.5%	14.5%	3.1%	4.34	3.96	+3.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	194	71	26	0%	1.1	22.9%	8.5%	14.5%	3.1%	4.34	3.96	+1.4
Career	—	MLE		26	8	85	366	64	34	13	31%	3.3	17.4%	9.3%	8.0%	3.6%	5.08	4.77	+1.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		61	19	200	861	150	81	31	31%	3.3	17.4%	9.3%	8.0%	3.6%	5.08	4.77	+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Riely Hunsaker (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.50	21.4%	9.3%	3.0%	—	4.32	22.3%	13.8%	258	-0.18	—	—	—
Clark Beeker R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	23	SW	4.04	20.0%	7.1%	3.2%	.270	4.35	11.6%	6.4%	244	+0.31	4.04	287	86
Ben Anderson R 2021 · 4.84 FIP	23	SW	4.84	19.8%	9.4%	4.0%	.309	4.02	16.2%	7.7%	147	-0.82	3.80	399	82
Kyle Zimmer R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	23	SW	3.74	21.8%	8.6%	2.5%	.293	4.55	20.4%	9.0%	33	+0.81	2.08	276	82
Yunior Montero R 2016 · 3.65 FIP	23	SW	3.65	21.9%	11.9%	1.6%	.239	5.21	21.3%	3.7%	54	+1.56	3.65	127	80
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	80
Rico Garcia R 2017 · 3.37 FIP	23	SP-	3.37	18.8%	7.0%	1.8%	.316	4.07	19.8%	11.5%	296	+0.70	3.37	587	80
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	79
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.40	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.40	3.65	299	79
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	78
Dawil Almonte R 2022 · 3.59 FIP	20	SW	3.59	17.4%	7.8%	1.8%	.271	4.54	14.7%	3.3%	97	+0.95	3.59	138	78
Casey Legumina R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP-	4.08	23.3%	9.3%	3.2%	.260	4.36	19.8%	10.9%	189	+0.28	3.06	349	78
Patrick Halligan R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SW	4.43	18.8%	11.6%	2.6%	.330	3.73	25.0%	14.9%	174	-0.70	2.47	304	78
Trent Fennell R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	23	SW	4.08	20.6%	12.2%	2.1%	.328	5.52	19.4%	3.5%	107	+1.44	4.08	163	78
Brendan Collins R 2022 · 3.67 FIP	22	SW	3.67	21.8%	10.3%	2.0%	.294	3.86	20.2%	5.1%	54	+0.19	3.67	122	77
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	77
John Matthews R 2021 · 4.87 FIP	23	SW	4.87	18.6%	10.4%	3.7%	.351	4.75	15.5%	1.6%	145	-0.12	4.51	213	77
Michael Santos R 2018 · 4.41 FIP	23	SW	4.41	17.4%	9.1%	2.9%	.289	4.87	15.0%	6.4%	49	+0.46	2.26	276	76
Colin Fields R 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SP-	3.62	20.5%	10.3%	1.7%	.246	3.86	22.0%	13.3%	208	+0.24	2.87	254	76
Hunter Gregory R 2022 · 3.90 FIP	23	SP-	3.90	21.2%	8.7%	2.7%	.374	4.56	20.4%	7.8%	188	+0.66	3.84	249	76
Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2022 · 4.61 FIP	24	SU	4.61	21.0%	13.2%	2.9%	.341	4.74	15.7%	4.0%	343	+0.13	3.65	492	76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.0	75	22.8%	8.5%	1.20	4.35
Daniel Norris ('22)	2.8	70	21.7%	8.5%	1.37	4.70
Matt Wisler ('22)	2.5	63	20.1%	7.6%	1.40	4.59
Michael Fulmer ('23)	3.4	96	20.3%	7.6%	0.99	3.94
Luis Cessa ('23)	2.1	53	18.3%	7.8%	1.40	4.43
Austin Voth ('24)	1.7	58	22.2%	8.2%	1.50	4.63
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04