Ely BrownOF
Winston-Salem Dash
Age 22
L/L
6'0" / 190 lbs
A+
BB +6%HR -6%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 1.2 · 2031
wRC+†72
AVG/OBP/SLG.218 / .285 / .333
PA120
HR2
K%27
BB%7
MLB%0%
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.2peak
2031
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +1.1 | $10M | +$9M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +1.2 | $11M | +$10M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +1.1 | $11M | +$10M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.9 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.7 | $4M | +$1M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.5 | $3M | +$0.1M |
| Totals | $9M | $42M | +$33M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | 122 | 109 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 27 | 1 | 15 | 0 | .294 | .358 | .321 | .679 | .028 | .386 | 22 | 8 | .302 | 89 | -1 | +3 | +0 | -1 | +3 | 0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | 71 | 59 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 3 | .237 | .338 | .271 | .609 | .034 | .368 | 32 | 10 | .278 | 71 | -2 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +2 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | CWS | 49 | 44 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .227 | .306 | .341 | .647 | .114 | .300 | 29 | 8 | .282 | 74 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.0 |
| TOT | 22 | MLB | CWS | 120 | 103 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 3 | 3 | 3 | .233 | .325 | .301 | .626 | .068 | .343 | 31 | 9 | .280 | 72 | -4 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB 11% | CWS | 203 | 180 | 42 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 46 | 3 | 4 | 2 | .233 | .313 | .350 | .663 | .117 | .287 | 23 | 9 | .303 | 90 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +6 | 0.2 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB 26% | CWS | 309 | 273 | 66 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 69 | 4 | 7 | 3 | .242 | .324 | .385 | .708 | .143 | .289 | 22 | 9 | .312 | 97 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +9 | 0.6 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB 44% | CWS | 373 | 330 | 80 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 83 | 5 | 8 | 4 | .242 | .324 | .388 | .712 | .145 | .290 | 22 | 9 | .317 | 101 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +11 | 0.9 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB 59% | CWS | 414 | 366 | 88 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 40 | 92 | 5 | 9 | 4 | .240 | .324 | .383 | .706 | .142 | .291 | 22 | 10 | .320 | 103 | +1 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +12 | 1.1 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB 76% | CWS | 433 | 383 | 93 | 16 | 2 | 12 | 42 | 96 | 5 | 9 | 4 | .243 | .326 | .389 | .715 | .146 | .291 | 22 | 10 | .320 | 103 | +1 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +12 | 1.2 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB 84% | CWS | 442 | 391 | 94 | 16 | 2 | 12 | 43 | 99 | 5 | 9 | 4 | .240 | .323 | .384 | .707 | .143 | .290 | 22 | 10 | .319 | 102 | +1 | +0 | -1 | -3 | +13 | 1.1 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB 90% | CWS | 439 | 388 | 93 | 16 | 2 | 12 | 43 | 100 | 5 | 8 | 3 | .240 | .323 | .384 | .707 | .144 | .289 | 23 | 10 | .317 | 101 | +0 | +0 | -1 | -3 | +12 | 0.9 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB | CWS | 434 | 383 | 90 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 43 | 100 | 5 | 7 | 3 | .235 | .320 | .371 | .691 | .136 | .288 | 23 | 10 | .314 | 98 | -1 | +0 | -2 | -3 | +12 | 0.7 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB | CWS | 423 | 373 | 88 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 42 | 99 | 5 | 5 | 2 | .236 | .321 | .375 | .697 | .139 | .287 | 23 | 10 | .310 | 95 | -2 | +0 | -3 | -3 | +12 | 0.5 |
| 2036 | 32 | MLB | CWS | 407 | 359 | 83 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 40 | 98 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .231 | .317 | .365 | .682 | .134 | .285 | 24 | 10 | .305 | 92 | -4 | -0 | -4 | -2 | +12 | 0.2 |
| 2037 | 33 | MLB | CWS | 379 | 335 | 77 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 37 | 94 | 4 | 1 | 1 | .230 | .314 | .361 | .675 | .131 | .284 | 25 | 10 | .300 | 88 | -5 | -0 | -4 | -2 | +11 | -0.1 |
| 2038 | 34 | MLB | CWS | 335 | 296 | 65 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 32 | 86 | 4 | 0 | 1 | .220 | .304 | .334 | .639 | .115 | .282 | 26 | 10 | .293 | 83 | -7 | -0 | -5 | -2 | +9 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4762 | 4210 | 1001 | 168 | 22 | 118 | 458 | 1103 | 57 | 86 | 33 | .238 | .321 | .372 | .693 | .134 | .293 | 23 | 10 | .311 | 96 | -21 | +4 | -20 | -29 | +135 | 7.2 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 575 | 137 | 23 | 3 | 16 | 63 | 151 | 8 | 12 | 5 | .238 | .322 | .372 | .695 | .134 | .294 | 23 | 10 | .311 | 96 | -3 | +0 | -3 | -4 | +18 | 1.0 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | 122 | 101 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 19 | 1 | 15 | 0 | .317 | .417 | .347 | .763 | .030 | .386 | 16 | 14 | .350 | 126 | +4 | +3 | — | — | +3 | 1.0 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Ely Brown (OGILVIE) | 22 | — | — | — | — | .218/.285/.333 | .114 | .290 | 2 | 2 | 27% | 7% | 73 | -0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Trevor Larnach 2019 · A |
22 | 48→53 | 45→55 | 51→45 | 47 | .235/.297/.362 | .127 | .292 | 11 | 7 | 23% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .238/.301/.359 | .121 | .342 | 12 | 4 | 31% | 7% | 86 | +0.8 | .235/.316/.401 | .167 | .293 | 21 | 4 | 26% | 10% | 99 | +1.4 |
|
●TJ Friedl 2018 · A |
22 | 47→53 | 41→50 | 49→55 | 43 | .227/.287/.336 | .109 | .294 | 7 | 11 | 24% | 6% | 74 | -0.1 | .225/.297/.323 | .098 | .293 | 7 | 18 | 24% | 7% | 75 | -0.0 | .246/.337/.381 | .136 | .276 | 15 | 18 | 16% | 10% | 103 | +1.8 |
|
●James Outman 2019 · A |
22 | 40→49 | 47→60 | 53→50 | 39 | .203/.260/.335 | .132 | .285 | 15 | 11 | 34% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .196/.265/.334 | .138 | .273 | 16 | 13 | 33% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .223/.317/.418 | .195 | .310 | 25 | 14 | 34% | 10% | 107 | +2.0 |
|
✕DJ Stewart 2017 · A |
23 | 44→48 | 43→60 | 51→50 | 47 | .213/.288/.324 | .111 | .289 | 10 | 16 | 28% | 9% | 72 | -0.2 | .228/.300/.377 | .149 | .280 | 17 | 14 | 24% | 8% | 91 | +1.1 | .228/.303/.393 | .165 | .269 | 20 | 12 | 23% | 8% | 94 | +1.1 |
|
✕Akil Baddoo 2021 · A |
22 | 41→51 | 43→55 | 55 | 44 | .198/.268/.314 | .116 | .295 | 9 | 14 | 34% | 8% | 60 | -1.0 | .234/.308/.374 | .140 | .313 | 14 | 21 | 27% | 10% | 92 | +1.2 | .232/.314/.375 | .143 | .300 | 15 | 24 | 26% | 11% | 91 | +0.8 |
|
●Zach Borenstein 2013 · A |
23 | 44→54 | 46→60 | 53→50 | 43 | .217/.276/.354 | .136 | .272 | 12 | 14 | 24% | 6% | 74 | -0.1 | .247/.298/.434 | .187 | .311 | 22 | 8 | 27% | 6% | 105 | +2.1 | .250/.301/.438 | .188 | .317 | 23 | 6 | 28% | 6% | 105 | +1.6 |
|
●JJ Bleday 2021 · A |
23 | 44→50 | 43→55 | 48→45 | 42 | .218/.269/.329 | .110 | .289 | 10 | 7 | 28% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .191/.278/.336 | .145 | .249 | 16 | 6 | 29% | 10% | 71 | -0.3 | .233/.319/.423 | .190 | .271 | 22 | 4 | 22% | 11% | 107 | +1.9 |
|
✕Forrest Wall 2018 · A |
22 | 45→55 | 40→45 | 51→70 | 43 | .218/.268/.312 | .094 | .281 | 8 | 16 | 25% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .218/.277/.327 | .109 | .305 | 10 | 19 | 30% | 7% | 67 | -0.5 | .260/.332/.371 | .111 | .354 | 9 | 50 | 27% | 9% | 98 | +1.0 |
|
●Oneil Cruz 2021 · AA |
22 | 46→51 | 46→60 | 50→55 | 37 | .226/.267/.357 | .131 | .317 | 13 | 11 | 32% | 5% | 71 | -0.3 | .239/.295/.432 | .193 | .318 | 24 | 20 | 31% | 7% | 103 | +1.9 | .241/.304/.442 | .201 | .317 | 25 | 22 | 31% | 8% | 103 | +1.7 |
|
●Kyle Manzardo 2022 · A |
22 | 48→42 | 45→60 | 49→40 | 44 | .234/.298/.361 | .127 | .293 | 12 | 6 | 24% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .240/.311/.439 | .199 | .278 | 24 | 3 | 23% | 9% | 111 | +2.5 | .227/.305/.435 | .207 | .258 | 26 | 2 | 23% | 9% | 107 | +1.6 |
|
✕Sam Hilliard 2016 · A |
22 | 46→48 | 44→55 | 53→55 | 44 | .221/.283/.347 | .127 | .309 | 10 | 10 | 30% | 8% | 75 | -0.0 | .209/.260/.321 | .112 | .328 | 11 | 18 | 37% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .203/.279/.381 | .178 | .280 | 21 | 18 | 34% | 9% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
●Max Kepler 2015 · A |
22 | 44→54 | 44→60 | 52→50 | 45 | .216/.272/.339 | .123 | .260 | 10 | 6 | 21% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .242/.305/.393 | .151 | .288 | 12 | 10 | 20% | 8% | 96 | +1.5 | .234/.319/.433 | .200 | .248 | 24 | 4 | 17% | 10% | 108 | +2.2 |
|
●Cedric Mullins 2017 · A |
22 | 42→52 | 47→55 | 55→60 | 39 | .215/.247/.354 | .139 | .261 | 14 | 16 | 24% | 4% | 61 | -1.0 | .224/.266/.362 | .138 | .266 | 14 | 16 | 21% | 5% | 72 | -0.2 | .254/.323/.426 | .171 | .293 | 19 | 27 | 19% | 8% | 108 | +2.3 |
|
✕Dwight Smith Jr. 2015 · A |
22 | 50→53 | 42→50 | 53→50 | 49 | .239/.297/.345 | .106 | .289 | 8 | 12 | 20% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .241/.293/.347 | .106 | .294 | 9 | 9 | 20% | 7% | 78 | +0.2 | .248/.308/.381 | .134 | .295 | 13 | 9 | 20% | 7% | 92 | +0.9 |
|
✕Jason Martin 2017 · A |
21 | 43→50 | 45→60 | 48→50 | 45 | .216/.275/.346 | .130 | .280 | 12 | 13 | 27% | 7% | 71 | -0.3 | .222/.270/.365 | .143 | .297 | 15 | 12 | 29% | 6% | 74 | -0.1 | .218/.285/.408 | .191 | .271 | 26 | 8 | 29% | 8% | 90 | +0.7 |
|
●Mat Gamel 2007 · A |
22 | 45→55 | 47→55 | 49→45 | 41 | .228/.270/.362 | .133 | .277 | 14 | 7 | 23% | 5% | 73 | -0.1 | .247/.297/.394 | .147 | .323 | 14 | 7 | 26% | 6% | 92 | +1.2 | .251/.307/.408 | .157 | .341 | 15 | 6 | 29% | 7% | 101 | +1.6 |
|
●Justyn-Henry Malloy 2022 · A |
22 | 46→56 | 45→50 | 48→45 | 47 | .224/.294/.345 | .121 | .300 | 13 | 10 | 29% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .233/.321/.379 | .146 | .324 | 18 | 5 | 31% | 11% | 100 | +1.7 | .234/.340/.391 | .157 | .320 | 18 | 5 | 30% | 12% | 109 | +2.0 |
|
●David Lough 2008 · A |
22 | 47→57 | 41→50 | 51→50 | 41 | .230/.276/.327 | .098 | .291 | 8 | 11 | 24% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .243/.285/.376 | .133 | .279 | 13 | 11 | 18% | 4% | 83 | +0.6 | .268/.308/.394 | .126 | .308 | 11 | 14 | 16% | 4% | 94 | +1.2 |
|
●Cavan Biggio 2017 · A |
22 | 45→49 | 40→55 | 52→50 | 44 | .218/.279/.313 | .095 | .291 | 8 | 11 | 27% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .205/.294/.341 | .136 | .296 | 15 | 12 | 33% | 10% | 79 | +0.3 | .231/.348/.426 | .194 | .300 | 22 | 16 | 28% | 14% | 122 | +2.6 |
|
✕Christin Stewart 2016 · A |
22 | 47→45 | 47→55 | 49→45 | 42 | .231/.300/.375 | .144 | .304 | 14 | 8 | 28% | 6% | 90 | +1.0 | .212/.293/.383 | .171 | .282 | 21 | 4 | 31% | 9% | 90 | +1.0 | .222/.297/.399 | .177 | .273 | 22 | 1 | 27% | 8% | 93 | +1.0 |