Grif Hughes
P
Fresno Grizzlies
Age 24
LHP
6'4" / 225 lbs
A
2026 ROS PROJECTION34 act + 15 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 103112vR 121
ERA4.49
FIP4.49
K%22.4%
BB%9.9%
K-BB%12.5%
ROS IP15
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 48 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 11 | 0 | 25 | 109 | 22 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 2.2 | 14.2% | 15.5% | -1.4% | 2.3% | 5.84 | 5.12 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 11 | 0 | 25 | 109 | 22 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 2.2 | 20.2% | 12.8% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 5.84 | 4.60 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 11 | 4 | 34 | 141 | 43 | 4 | 5 | 36% | 3.1 | 21.6% | 3.4% | 18.2% | 4.8% | 3.74 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | COL | 14 | 0 | 15 | 62 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 3.0% | 4.49 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | COL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.4% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 3.0% | 4.49 | 4.49 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | COL | — | — | 48 | 203 | 57 | 10 | 7 | — | — | 28.0% | 5.0% | 23.0% | 3.4% | 3.97 | 4.37 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | COL | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 3.0% | 4.42 | 4.39 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | COL | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 3.0% | 4.42 | 4.39 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 3.0% | 4.42 | 4.01 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 187 | 70 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 3.0% | 4.42 | 4.01 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 22 | 4 | 58 | 250 | 46 | 22 | 9 | 18% | 2.7 | 18.4% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 3.7% | 4.63 | 4.67 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 75 | 14 | 200 | 857 | 158 | 75 | 31 | 18% | 2.7 | 18.4% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 3.7% | 4.63 | 4.67 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Grif Hughes (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.49 | 22.4% | 9.9% | 3.0% | — | 4.39 | 22.9% | 13.4% | 20 | -0.10 | — | — | — |
| Sean Mellen L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.97 | 21.3% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 101 | 77 |
| Garrett Irvin L 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.53 | 23.2% | 11.6% | 3.5% | .283 | 4.48 | 17.7% | 2.9% | 39 | -0.05 | 4.48 | 110 | 75 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2029 · 3.30 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.30 | 22.8% | 12.2% | 1.1% | .292 | 3.80 | 20.2% | 11.3% | 127 | +0.50 | 2.68 | 175 | 75 |
| R.C. Orlan L 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.01 | 21.0% | 10.9% | 2.4% | .326 | 4.55 | 17.2% | 5.0% | 119 | +0.54 | 1.71 | 206 | 74 |
| Ethan Flanagan L 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.23 | 21.3% | 6.5% | 3.9% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 102 | 74 |
| Randy Labaut L 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.06 | 23.2% | 14.0% | 3.9% | .240 | 4.73 | 19.5% | 5.0% | 190 | -0.33 | 1.91 | 302 | 74 |
| Matt Walker L 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.74 | 17.7% | 12.8% | 2.7% | .338 | 4.62 | 12.7% | 2.7% | 41 | -0.12 | 4.27 | 156 | 73 |
| Jordan Woods L 2024 · 3.74 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.74 | 24.2% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 143 | 73 |
| Russell Smith L 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.14 | 23.3% | 12.8% | 4.3% | .343 | 3.89 | 19.0% | 5.1% | 53 | -1.25 | 3.89 | 175 | 73 |
| Brandon Hughes L 2027 · 3.62 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.62 | 27.0% | 11.1% | 2.5% | .300 | 4.49 | 24.4% | 14.8% | 149 | +0.87 | 3.62 | 206 | 72 |
| Samuel Strickland L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.86 | 19.5% | 7.3% | 4.5% | .337 | 3.71 | 20.5% | 14.3% | 133 | -1.15 | 3.09 | 277 | 72 |
| Mac Lardner L 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.23 | 17.4% | 9.4% | 4.4% | .318 | 3.54 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 62 | -1.69 | 3.54 | 186 | 72 |
| Graeme Stinson L 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.54 | 23.0% | 10.5% | 1.9% | .275 | 4.75 | 19.5% | 3.9% | 45 | +1.21 | 3.54 | 146 | 72 |
| Ben Griset L 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.43 | 21.1% | 9.1% | 1.8% | .255 | 3.64 | 14.5% | 3.6% | 49 | +0.21 | 2.91 | 148 | 71 |
| Austin Hamilton L 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.37 | 14.6% | 6.5% | 3.1% | .323 | 4.06 | 17.3% | 9.4% | 68 | -0.31 | 4.06 | 135 | 71 |
| Michael Theofanopoulos L 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.66 | 21.0% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.53 | 201 | 71 |
| Jared Tobey L 2025 · 4.11 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.11 | 21.0% | 12.1% | 2.3% | .320 | 5.97 | 22.4% | 8.2% | 73 | +1.86 | 4.11 | 158 | 71 |
| Christian Jones L 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.30 | 18.5% | 7.4% | 1.5% | .319 | 4.09 | 15.0% | 3.7% | 89 | +0.79 | 3.30 | 161 | 71 |
| Jordan Harrison L 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.93 | 15.6% | 9.0% | 1.8% | .263 | 4.15 | 16.3% | 0.5% | 152 | +0.22 | 3.88 | 244 | 71 |
| Daniel Stumpf L 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.54 | 20.8% | 11.5% | 3.2% | .268 | 3.58 | 22.5% | 15.3% | 123 | -0.96 | 1.84 | 238 | 71 |