Wanderlin PadillaIF DSL Marlins
Age 18 R/R 5'10" / 155 lbs ROK HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION88 act + 58 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†74
AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .307 / .310
PA58
HR1
K%22
BB%10
BABIP265
ISO97
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -7.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-8BATRUN: +1.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +4.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
0.01.12.30.10.50.81.21.41.61.71.81.81.61.4+$92M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.6$8M+$8M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.7$8M+$8M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.8$8M+$7M
2035Arb-1$4M+1.8$7M+$6M
2036Arb-2$5M+1.6$6M+$4M
2037Arb-3$7M+1.4$5M+$3M
Totals $19M $42M +$35M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202517 ROKDSL Miami 7560 9100 11123 33 150311167477 17184 1615 234 37
202517 ROKDSL Miami 7554 10100 1793 33 185405204609 19217 1223 313 98
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD18 ROKMIA 8870 8202 14143 40 114287229516 114109 1616 237 40 -6 +1 +0 +0 +2 -0.3
YTD18 ROKMIA 8861 9202 23103 40 148402279681 131140 1126 335 115 +1 +1 +0 +0 +2 0.5
ROS18 ROKMIA 0% 5851 11201 6131 10 213307310616 97256 2210 282 74 -2 +0 +0 +0 +2 0.0
ROS18 MLBMIA 0% 01 0000 000 00 252 265 61 +0 +0
FULL18 ROKMIA 8871 8202 14143 40 113287225513 113107 1616 237 40 -6 +1 +0 +0 +2 -0.3
TOT18 ROKMIA 146121 19403 20274 50 156295263558 107173 1814 255 53 -8 +1 +0 +0 +4 -0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202719 MLBMIA 34% 163141 30513 18353 41 213315326641 113262 2111 290 80 -4 +0 +0 +0 +5 0.1
202820 MLBMIA 48% 308266 591026 33666 71 222321342663 120266 2111 297 86 -5 +1 +0 +0 +9 0.5
202921 MLBMIA 54% 419363 801428 45898 102 220320336656 116269 2111 302 90 -5 +1 +0 +0 +12 0.8
203022 MLBMIA 57% 499432 9717310 5410610 122 225325347672 123270 2111 306 92 -4 +2 +0 +0 +14 1.2
203123 MLBMIA 58% 552476 10819312 6011611 133 227327355682 128271 2111 308 94 -4 +1 +0 +0 +16 1.4
203224 MLBMIA 57% 587508 11520313 6312311 143 226325354679 128272 2111 310 96 -3 +2 +0 +0 +17 1.6
203325 MLBMIA 57% 608525 11920314 6612712 153 227327356683 130272 2111 311 96 -2 +2 +0 +0 +17 1.7
203426 MLBMIA 57% 619535 12121314 6713012 153 226326355681 129272 2111 312 97 -2 +2 +0 +0 +18 1.8
203527 MLBMIA 55% 620535 12121314 6813012 153 226327355682 129272 2111 312 97 -2 +2 +0 +0 +18 1.8
203628 MLBMIA 55% 617532 12020314 6813112 153 226327353680 128271 2111 311 96 -3 +2 -1 +0 +17 1.6
203729 MLBMIA 53% 608523 11820314 6813012 143 226328356684 130270 2111 309 95 -4 +2 -1 +0 +17 1.4
203830 MLBMIA 53% 598515 11419313 6712911 143 221324346669 124269 2211 306 93 -5 +2 -2 +0 +17 1.2
203931 MLBMIA 52% 584503 11018312 6512811 133 219321338659 119266 2211 302 90 -7 +1 -3 +0 +17 0.8
204032 MLBMIA 52% 566487 10417211 6312611 132 214317324642 111263 2211 297 85 -9 +2 -4 +0 +16 0.5
204133 MLBMIA 56% 536462 9615210 5912210 122 208311314625 106259 2311 290 80 -12 +2 -4 +0 +15 0.1
202719 MLBMIA 34% 5649 10201 6121 10 204304306610 102258 2111 273 67 -2 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.0
202820 MLBMIA 48% 149129 29513 16323 41 225324349673 124262 2111 280 72 -5 +0 +0 +0 +4 -0.0
202921 MLBMIA 54% 227197 42714 24484 51 213311320631 107264 2111 284 76 -6 +1 +0 +0 +6 0.1
203022 MLBMIA 57% 282245 54926 30605 71 220318347665 127266 2111 288 78 -7 +1 +0 +0 +8 0.2
203123 MLBMIA 58% 318275 611027 34676 82 222321349670 127266 2111 290 80 -7 +1 +0 +0 +9 0.3
203224 MLBMIA 57% 335290 651127 36706 82 224322348671 124267 2111 292 82 -7 +1 +0 +0 +9 0.3
203325 MLBMIA 57% 345298 671128 37727 82 225325356680 131267 2111 293 82 -7 +1 +0 +0 +10 0.4
203426 MLBMIA 57% 350302 671128 38737 82 222323351674 129267 2111 294 83 -7 +1 +0 +0 +10 0.4
203527 MLBMIA 55% 344296 671128 38727 82 226328358687 132267 2111 294 83 -7 +1 +0 +0 +10 0.4
203628 MLBMIA 55% 339292 661128 37727 82 226327360687 134266 2111 293 82 -7 +1 -0 +0 +10 0.3
203729 MLBMIA 53% 325280 621027 36696 81 221323346669 125266 2111 291 81 -7 +1 -1 +0 +9 0.3
203830 MLBMIA 53% 315271 591017 35686 71 218321339660 122264 2211 288 79 -7 +1 -1 +0 +9 0.1
203931 MLBMIA 52% 305262 56916 34676 71 214318324642 111262 2211 285 76 -8 +1 -1 +0 +9 -0.0
204032 MLBMIA 52% 294254 54916 33665 71 213315327642 114259 2211 279 72 -9 +1 -2 +0 +8 -0.2
204133 MLBMIA 56% 300259 53816 33685 71 205306313619 108255 2311 273 67 -11 +1 -2 +0 +8 -0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career 42843700 8121342292 46791681 10120 219320342662 123265 2111 288 79 -104 +12 -8 +0 +121 2.2
/ 162G 650561 12320314 7113912 153 219320340660 121265 2111 288 79 -16 +2 -1 +0 +18 0.3
Career 80176914 153225939169 8811713156 19040 222323344667 122269 2111 305 91 -78 +22 -15 +0 +227 16.0
/ 162G 650561 12421314 7113913 153 221322344667 123268 2111 305 91 -6 +2 -1 +0 +18 1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202517 ROKDSL Miami 7554 10100 1793 33 185405204609 19217 1223 313 98 -0 -1 +2 0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Aaron Hickslast yr '24
career totals — 12 seasons, 3,651 PA
123,65110971231330383+7-911.812.4
/1626642013+1.3-1.62.1pk7: 13
#2Logan Forsythelast yr '19
career totals — 9 seasons, 3,502 PA
93,5027042246327370+5-118.69.2
/162664138+0.9-2.21.6pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons
94,35493102224321348+0+09.37.8
/1626641416+0.0+0.01.4pk7: 6
#3Jace Petersonlast yr '23
career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA
102,7534277228318337+4+55.36.0
/1626641019+1.0+1.31.3pk7: 7
#4Desi Relafordlast yr '05
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,443 PA
62,4433464246329356-1-75.15.1
/162664917-0.3-1.81.4pk7: 5
#5Tony Kemplast yr '23
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA
72,1983552238326354-4-34.34.3
/1626641116-1.3-0.81.3pk7: 4
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA
62,3474631241304367-5+73.83.8
/162664139-1.3+1.91.1pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Wanderlin Padilla (OGILVIE) 18 156/295/263 107173 35 18% 14% 53 -0.3
Dilson Herrera
2012 · A
18 46→56 39→50 50 47 218/290/315 98283 413 23% 7% 70 -0.3 228/279/361 133299 1212 27% 6% 77 +0.1 258/308/400143315151323%6%96+1.3
Eddys Leonard
2019 · A
18 41→47 41→55 48→50 48 200/282/301 101267 914 27% 9% 64 -0.8 211/283/328 117302 118 32% 8% 71 -0.3 225/292/37815329318428%6%84+0.6
Jesus Morelli
2009 · A
19 49 42→45 48→50 49 234/311/346 112300 912 24% 8% 87 +0.8 220/282/289 69304 410 27% 6% 59 -1.1 219/279/2604128701422%6%47-0.5
Victor Robles
2015 · A
18 49→54 41→50 53→60 44 231/298/338 107281 619 20% 5% 79 +0.3 242/311/355 113302 722 22% 5% 89 +1.0 241/311/384143300122722%6%93+1.0
Aroon Escobar
2023 · A
18 43→46 38→45 47→55 49 203/297/279 76256 612 22% 8% 66 -0.6 211/299/308 97254 916 20% 9% 72 -0.2 216/299/322106259121921%8%75-0.0
Orlando Arcia
2013 · A
18 46→56 43→55 49→55 50 222/282/333 110247 1011 15% 7% 71 -0.3 239/280/330 91280 516 16% 5% 68 -0.5 245/305/40616227321319%8%97+1.0
Royce Lewis
2018 · A
19 45→49 41→60 55→50 47 217/288/313 96267 816 21% 7% 69 -0.4 215/262/314 99286 816 27% 5% 57 -1.2 261/322/478218301311424%8%123+1.6
Osleivis Basabe
2019 · A
18 51→61 38→45 49→50 48 238/291/324 86288 312 18% 7% 71 -0.3 236/280/312 76293 312 19% 5% 63 -0.8 270/315/37110232841718%5%90+0.8
Jose Paez
2013 · A
19 49 40→45 51→50 43 233/286/331 98308 613 25% 6% 71 -0.3 210/256/293 83314 411 32% 5% 49 -1.8 178/220/2466828331236%4%17-1.1
Miguel Vargas
2019 · A
19 51→53 39→55 52→50 46 239/296/332 93306 58 23% 7% 76 +0.0 248/300/371 123304 118 21% 6% 88 +0.9 221/322/407185244211119%12%106+1.7
Edmundo Sosa
2014 · A
18 48→49 40→55 47→50 50 227/285/322 95254 79 14% 7% 69 -0.4 218/265/304 86270 68 21% 5% 56 -1.3 252/297/42217030419923%4%99+0.8
Angel Genao
2022 · A
18 45→55 37→50 58→50 55 210/300/285 75268 416 22% 11% 66 -0.6 232/290/328 96308 711 25% 7% 72 -0.2 264/318/398134323111321%7%100+1.2
Hendry Mendez
2022 · A
18 49→53 39→45 51→45 51 232/297/329 97272 57 16% 8% 76 +0.0 218/285/291 73279 55 22% 8% 61 -1.0 257/332/37011331111720%9%99+1.0
Ramon Mendoza
2019 · A
18 46→51 41→45 48→45 46 220/292/328 108287 74 25% 7% 74 -0.1 209/280/297 88296 54 29% 7% 61 -1.0 232/306/34711631011327%9%82+0.3
Jose Tabata
2007 · A
18 52→60 40→45 51→55 43 249/302/344 96311 716 22% 6% 82 +0.5 258/307/346 88320 714 21% 5% 84 +0.6 276/333/3759932062615%7%100+1.5
Francisco Herrera
2012 · A
18 46 40→45 47→30 49 220/280/315 95261 78 19% 7% 66 -0.6 225/284/324 99267 95 19% 6% 69 -0.4 225/284/3209526010317%6%67-0.2
Michael Arroyo
2023 · A
18 48→42 42→50 44→50 45 227/318/334 107303 87 26% 7% 88 +0.9 214/310/343 129287 128 28% 8% 88 +0.9 219/307/369150281181327%8%90+0.9
Josue De Paula
2023 · A
18 51→42 43→45 51→55 52 244/320/360 116300 914 21% 9% 94 +1.3 228/320/325 97311 817 26% 11% 85 +0.7 226/320/360134289142625%12%91+0.8
Ronarsy Ledesma
2011 · A
18 44 44→45 53→50 41 217/277/335 118288 119 28% 6% 69 -0.4 219/286/320 101286 611 24% 6% 69 -0.4 226/280/33711129161123%4%69-0.2
Gabriel Gonzalez
2022 · A
18 43→53 46→50 52→45 43 216/277/348 132271 1210 25% 6% 73 -0.1 235/292/359 124285 148 22% 5% 82 +0.5 253/307/38212930314621%5%91+0.9