Wanderlin Padilla

IF DSL Marlins

Age 19 R/R 5'10" / 155 lbs ROK HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#974ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Miami	75	.185/.405/.204	0	3	41	—	.136/.311/.153
2026	18	ROKMIA	158	.156/.410/.257	3	6	40	—	.098/.295/.156
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBMIA	268	.234/.332/.318	3	5	89	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBMIA	46	.230/.329/.316	1	1	93	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBMIA	114	.232/.331/.325	1	2	96	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

BB%97

Chase%97

K%94

Whiff%93

Z-Con%80

wOBA47

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsL.J. Hoes (age 19) · Jackson Holliday (age 19) · Jose Tabata (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 81 proj PA

wRC+†89

AVG/OBP/SLG.232 / .330 / .315

PA81

HR1

K%22

BB%11

ISO84

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$27M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 73 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT73

scouting grade only

POWER38

scouting grade only

EYE80

scouting grade only

SPEED54

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$4M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$3M	+0.2	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$7M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Miami	—	75	54	10	1	0	0	17	9	3	3	3	185	405	204	609	19	217	12	23	313	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	158	109	17	2	0	3	43	17	4	6	0	156	410	257	667	101	154	11	27	333	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	75	59	8	1	0	0	12	11	3	3	3	136	311	153	463	17	147	15	16	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	158	122	12	1	0	2	30	21	4	6	0	98	295	156	451	57	97	13	19	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	75	59	8	1	0	0	12	11	3	3	3	136	311	153	463	17	163	15	16	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Miami	—	75	54	10	1	0	0	17	9	3	3	3	185	405	204	609	19	217	12	23	313	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	158	122	12	1	0	2	30	21	4	6	0	98	295	156	451	57	99	13	19	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	—	158	109	17	2	0	3	43	17	4	6	0	156	410	257	667	101	154	11	27	333	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	75	60	8	1	0	0	12	11	3	3	3	133	311	150	461	17	147	15	16	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	158	123	12	1	0	2	30	21	4	6	0	98	295	154	449	57	97	13	19	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	75	60	8	1	0	0	12	11	3	3	3	133	311	150	461	17	147	15	16	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	158	123	12	1	0	2	30	21	4	6	0	98	295	154	449	57	97	13	19	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	268	231	55	8	2	3	31	59	4	5	1	234	332	318	650	84	300	22	12	300	89	-3	+1	+0	+0	+6	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	MIA	34%	135	117	28	4	1	2	15	30	2	3	1	237	335	329	665	93	301	22	11	305	93	-1	+0	+0	+0	+3	0.2
2029	21	MLB MLE	MIA	48%	235	203	49	8	2	3	26	51	4	5	1	239	337	339	676	100	301	22	11	309	96	-1	+1	+0	+0	+5	0.5
2030	22	MLB MLE	MIA	54%	346	300	71	11	2	5	38	75	5	7	2	241	338	347	685	106	302	22	11	313	98	-1	+1	+0	+0	+7	0.7
2031	23	MLB MLE	MIA	57%	422	367	89	14	3	7	46	91	6	9	3	243	338	354	692	111	302	22	11	315	99	-0	+1	+0	+0	+9	1.0
2032	24	MLB MLE	MIA	57%	469	408	99	16	3	8	51	101	7	10	3	244	338	359	697	115	302	22	11	317	100	+0	+1	+0	+0	+10	1.1
2033	25	MLB MLE	MIA	57%	498	434	106	17	3	9	54	108	7	10	3	244	338	360	698	116	302	22	11	317	101	+0	+1	+0	+0	+11	1.2
2034	26	MLB MLE	MIA	56%	512	444	108	17	3	9	56	111	7	11	3	244	338	360	699	116	302	22	11	317	101	+1	+1	+0	+0	+11	1.3
2035	27	MLB MLE	MIA	55%	516	448	108	17	3	9	56	112	7	11	3	243	337	357	695	114	302	22	11	316	100	-0	+1	+0	+0	+11	1.2
2036	28	MLB MLE	MIA	55%	512	444	108	17	3	9	56	112	7	10	3	241	335	353	688	111	301	22	11	313	98	-1	+1	-1	+0	+11	1.0
2037	29	MLB MLE	MIA	53%	502	435	104	16	3	8	55	112	7	9	3	239	333	346	679	107	300	22	11	310	96	-3	+1	-1	+0	+11	0.8
2038	30	MLB MLE	MIA	53%	490	428	101	16	3	7	53	111	6	8	4	236	329	338	667	102	298	23	11	305	93	-4	+0	-2	+0	+11	0.4
2039	31	MLB MLE	MIA	52%	475	415	97	15	3	7	51	109	6	7	5	232	325	328	653	96	296	23	11	299	89	-6	-1	-3	+0	+10	0.0
2040	32	MLB MLE	MIA	52%	453	396	89	13	2	6	48	106	6	6	7	227	319	316	634	89	292	23	11	292	84	-9	-2	-4	+0	+10	-0.4
2028	20	MLB CTX	MIA	34%	46	40	9	1	0	1	5	10	1	1	0	230	329	316	645	86	292	22	11	298	93	-0	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	MIA	48%	114	98	22	3	1	1	13	25	2	2	1	232	331	325	656	93	292	22	11	302	96	-1	+0	+0	+0	+2	0.2
2030	22	MLB CTX	MIA	54%	188	162	39	6	1	3	21	41	3	4	1	234	331	333	664	99	293	22	11	305	98	-1	+0	+0	+0	+4	0.4
2031	23	MLB CTX	MIA	57%	239	207	48	7	1	4	26	52	4	5	2	235	332	339	671	104	293	22	11	307	99	-0	+0	+0	+0	+5	0.5
2032	24	MLB CTX	MIA	57%	265	230	54	8	2	4	29	57	4	6	2	237	332	344	676	107	293	22	11	308	100	+0	+0	+0	+0	+6	0.6
2033	25	MLB CTX	MIA	57%	281	244	59	9	2	5	31	61	4	6	2	237	332	345	677	108	293	22	11	309	101	+0	+0	+0	+0	+6	0.7
2034	26	MLB CTX	MIA	56%	289	251	60	9	2	5	32	62	4	6	2	237	332	345	677	109	293	21	11	309	101	+0	+0	+0	+0	+6	0.7
2035	27	MLB CTX	MIA	55%	286	249	59	9	2	5	31	62	4	6	2	236	331	343	674	107	293	22	11	308	100	-0	+0	+0	+0	+6	0.7
2036	28	MLB CTX	MIA	55%	281	244	58	9	2	5	31	62	4	5	2	234	329	338	667	104	292	22	11	305	98	-1	+0	-0	+0	+6	0.5
2037	29	MLB CTX	MIA	53%	268	233	53	8	1	4	29	60	4	5	2	232	326	332	658	100	291	22	11	302	96	-1	+0	-1	+0	+6	0.4
2038	30	MLB CTX	MIA	53%	258	225	52	8	1	4	28	58	3	4	2	229	323	324	648	95	289	22	11	297	93	-2	+0	-1	+0	+6	0.2
2039	31	MLB CTX	MIA	52%	248	216	48	7	1	3	27	57	3	4	2	225	319	315	634	90	287	23	11	292	89	-3	+0	-1	+0	+5	0.1
2040	32	MLB CTX	MIA	52%	235	205	45	6	1	3	25	55	3	3	4	220	313	303	616	83	284	23	11	285	84	-5	-1	-2	+0	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2998	2604	606	90	17	47	328	662	43	57	24	233	328	334	663	102	293	22	11	303	94	-13	+2	-6	+0	+65	4.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	565	132	20	4	10	71	144	9	12	5	234	329	336	665	103	295	22	11	303	94	-3	+0	-1	+0	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	5879	5091	1194	185	35	92	656	1279	85	116	44	235	332	339	671	104	294	22	11	307	94	-27	+5	-10	+0	+122	9.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	563	132	20	4	10	73	141	9	13	5	234	332	337	669	103	294	22	11	307	94	-3	+1	-1	+0	+14	1.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Marlins · 158 PAwOBA .331 → .228 (−103)K% 10.8% → 13.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.76%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	13.13%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	27.22%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.008	19.19%
HBP% /PA	2.53%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	1.79%
Singles /BIP	13.04%	÷1.000	×0.680	×0.950	×1.008	8.49%
Doubles /BIP	2.17%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.950	×1.008	1.25%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.950	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.26%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×1.008	1.54%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .331 → .228; ISO .101 → .056; BABIP .154 → .097. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Miami · 75 PAwOBA .312 → .229 (−83)K% 12.0% → 14.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.00%	÷1.040	×1.220	—	—	14.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	22.67%	÷0.978	×0.700	—	×1.022	16.58%
HBP% /PA	4.00%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	2.86%
Singles /BIP	20.00%	÷0.978	×0.680	×0.966	×1.022	13.73%
Doubles /BIP	2.22%	÷1.026	×0.600	×0.966	×1.022	1.28%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.088	×0.600	×0.966	×1.022	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.423	×0.470	—	×1.022	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 185, 1B 96, 2B 105, 3B 118, K 108, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.

Result: wOBA .312 → .229; ISO .019 → .012; BABIP .217 → .147. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Lenny Randle'71-'82 * career totals — 10 seasons, 4,427 PA	6.7	4,427	27	156	256*	323*	370*	+10	+7	8.7	9.8
/162	664	4	23	+1.5	+1.0	1.3	pk7: 11
#2Luis Alicea'88-'02 * career totals — 13 seasons, 4,613 PA	6.9	4,613	47	81	250*	336*	368*	+8	-9	8.7	9.3
/162	664	7	12	+1.1	-1.3	1.3	pk7: 10
#3Logan Forsythelast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,502 PA	5.3	3,502	70	42	246	327	370	+5	-11	8.6	9.2
/162	664	13	8	+0.9	-2.2	1.6	pk7: 10
#4Dave Chalk'73-'81 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,330 PA	5.0	3,330	15	36	250*	327*	339*	+20	-13	6.1	6.6
/162	664	3	7	+3.9	-2.5	1.2	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	4.6	3,080	49	58	241	331	348	+0	+0	7.4	6.5
/162	664	11	13	+0.0	+0.0	1.6	pk7: 6
#5Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#6Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Wanderlin Padilla (OGILVIE)	19	68→73	33→38	49→54	80	232/330/315	84	300	1	1	22%	11%	89	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●L.J. Hoes 2009 · A	19	50→60	37→40	56→50	53	235/305/308	72	289	4	11	19%	9%	76	-0.4	247/295/316	69	318	4	12	22%	6%	74	-0.6	288/348/379	91	345	5	15	17%	8%	105	+1.7
●Jackson Holliday 2023 · A	19	51→61	41→50	49→50	60	240/338/346	106	301	8	10	21%	13%	98	+1.2	254/339/391	137	339	12	14	26%	11%	109	+2.0	249/334/388	139	323	13	15	25%	11%	105	+1.7
●Jose Tabata 2008 · A	19	57→62	39→45	49→55	43	270/322/358	89	341	7	14	22%	5%	95	+0.9	274/324/368	94	329	7	18	18%	6%	97	+1.1	284/341/385	101	328	6	26	14%	7%	107	+1.5
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	51→54	39→40	55→50	58	237/332/330	93	293	6	14	20%	12%	93	+0.8	243/319/335	92	311	8	14	23%	8%	88	+0.5	244/321/332	88	312	8	14	22%	8%	87	+0.2
✕Ke'Bryan Hayes 2016 · A	19	51→57	35→50	51→50	48	237/305/292	56	305	2	9	22%	7%	73	-0.6	238/293/326	88	307	6	12	23%	6%	76	-0.4	255/311/393	138	311	13	16	21%	7%	99	+1.0
✕Cedric Hunter 2007 · A	19	55→59	37→55	53→50	55	258/327/338	80	300	3	14	14%	9%	92	+0.7	256/298/341	85	294	6	8	14%	5%	81	-0.1	246/303/399	153	268	15	9	14%	6%	96	+0.7
●Josue De Paula 2024 · A	19	52→54	38→50	51→55	52	242/326/327	85	316	5	14	23%	10%	89	+0.5	236/331/360	124	307	12	20	25%	12%	99	+1.3	241/338/391	150	298	16	24	23%	12%	106	+1.5
●Iván De Jesús Jr. 2008 · A	21	55→65	36→45	47→50	50	256/316/323	67	317	3	9	20%	8%	84	+0.1	274/332/360	86	335	6	10	18%	8%	98	+1.2	272/328/355	83	335	6	8	19%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Rubén Tejada 2008 · A	18	51→61	38→40	51→50	50	240/318/319	79	291	5	13	18%	8%	85	+0.2	237/292/307	70	286	3	9	17%	6%	72	-0.7	264/320/329	64	312	2	6	15%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Jesus Fabela 2015 · AAA	20	58→63	39→40	55→50	47	267/340/359	92	346	4	16	22%	7%	101	+1.4	261/325/348	87	335	5	14	22%	6%	93	+0.8	273/339/361	88	334	7	11	19%	6%	99	+0.7
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	53→63	37→40	56→60	50	245/308/320	75	309	3	18	21%	8%	80	-0.2	257/303/319	62	306	1	19	15%	6%	77	-0.3	308/366/390	82	353	4	36	13%	8%	116	+2.2
✕Luis Matos 2021 · A	19	51→58	44→50	53→50	45	249/309/372	124	290	10	14	18%	5%	94	+0.9	242/288/368	126	279	13	13	18%	5%	84	+0.2	246/298/398	152	258	18	13	13%	6%	95	+0.7
✕Ronald Torreyes 2012 · A	19	62→59	40→45	51→50	46	295/335/400	105	316	6	14	9%	4%	108	+1.9	259/304/349	90	280	4	10	9%	5%	85	+0.2	266/297/345	79	303	3	3	13%	4%	82	-0.0
●Eduardo Quintero 2024 · A	18	46→54	40→45	58→60	53	216/306/324	108	273	5	19	21%	10%	82	-0.0	225/320/342	117	312	9	25	28%	11%	91	+0.7	231/334/361	130	321	12	30	28%	12%	99	+1.0
✕Eury Pérez 2010 · A	20	51→61	38→40	54→65	48	241/306/317	75	289	5	19	18%	7%	79	-0.2	271/304/332	61	335	3	34	19%	4%	80	-0.1	300/333/376	75	363	4	37	18%	3%	96	+0.8
✕Albert Almora Jr. 2013 · A	19	49→59	39→45	52→50	42	233/271/324	92	282	6	11	20%	4%	68	-1.0	251/283/358	107	295	7	6	17%	4%	79	-0.2	280/312/395	115	326	10	5	17%	4%	99	+0.9
●Miguel Vargas 2019 · A	19	51→54	39→55	52→50	46	240/297/334	93	309	5	8	23%	7%	80	-0.2	252/306/371	119	311	10	8	21%	7%	91	+0.7	226/328/409	183	251	21	13	19%	12%	110	+2.0
✕Cristofer Torin 2024 · A	19	46→55	38→40	54→50	54	219/299/292	73	262	5	19	18%	9%	72	-0.7	235/310/323	88	290	7	11	20%	9%	82	+0.0	243/315/341	98	290	8	10	18%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Jaison Chourio 2024 · A	19	49→55	36→40	55	55	224/319/299	75	316	2	18	27%	12%	80	-0.1	232/327/322	90	320	6	23	26%	12%	88	+0.5	235/331/328	92	319	6	27	25%	12%	90	+0.4
✕Max Moroff 2013 · A	20	51→60	39→50	48→50	52	239/316/323	85	302	6	12	22%	10%	84	+0.2	217/281/304	87	307	5	10	29%	8%	67	-1.1	242/324/370	128	322	13	10	27%	10%	96	+0.8

Wanderlin Padilla

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps