Diego Lanzosa — OGILVIE

Diego Lanzosa P ACL Rangers

Age 20 RHP 5'11" / 165 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 22 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125116vR 108

ERA4.81

FIP4.81

K%22.6%

BB%12.2%

K-BB%10.4%

ROS IP23

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 22 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	12	7	38	162	51	17	7	58%	3.2	21.4%	13.1%	8.3%	4.8%	3.08	5.59	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	12	7	38	162	51	17	7	58%	3.2	21.4%	13.1%	8.3%	4.8%	3.08	5.59	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Red	12	7	38	162	51	17	7	58%	3.2	31.5%	10.5%	21.0%	4.3%	3.08	4.15	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	8	2	31	123	34	14	2	25%	3.8	18.8%	14.2%	4.6%	2.3%	3.23	4.56	—
YTD	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	8	2	31	123	34	14	2	25%	3.8	18.8%	14.2%	4.6%	2.3%	3.23	4.56	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	20	ROK RAW	TEX	8	2	31	123	34	14	2	25%	3.8	27.6%	11.4%	16.3%	1.6%	3.23	3.10	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	TEX	34	0	36	152	35	17	5	0%	1.1	23.1%	11.1%	12.0%	3.0%	4.66	4.59	-0.0
2027	21	MLB CTX	TEX	17	0	18	76	18	8	2	0%	1.1	23.1%	11.1%	12.0%	3.0%	4.66	4.59	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		17	0	18	75	17	8	2	0%	1.0	23.1%	11.1%	12.0%	3.0%	4.66	4.21	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	193	91	23	0%	1.1	23.1%	11.1%	12.0%	3.0%	4.66	4.21	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		20	9	69	285	58	39	11	45%	3.4	20.3%	13.6%	6.7%	3.7%	3.15	5.15	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		58	26	200	830	168	113	31	45%	3.4	20.3%	13.6%	6.7%	3.7%	3.15	5.15	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Diego Lanzosa (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.81	22.6%	12.2%	3.1%	—	4.59	23.1%	12.0%	36	-0.22	—	—	—
Kobe Robinson R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SW	4.49	23.2%	14.3%	2.8%	.296	3.44	18.8%	4.9%	84	-1.05	2.98	107	91
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	88
Felix Arronde R 2023 · 4.42 FIP	20	SW	4.42	20.2%	12.1%	2.7%	.275	4.98	15.8%	5.8%	344	+0.56	4.16	442	87
Rodolfo Sanchez R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	23.0%	13.6%	3.3%	.264	4.83	19.9%	6.3%	104	+0.12	3.59	255	82
Alix Hernandez R 2023 · 4.80 FIP	19	SW	4.80	21.7%	15.6%	2.8%	.254	4.91	22.5%	10.2%	119	+0.11	3.55	170	82
Yimi Presinal R 2023 · 4.75 FIP	18	SW	4.75	20.2%	15.0%	2.7%	.326	4.71	20.8%	4.6%	92	-0.04	3.62	157	80
Luis Aguilar R 2023 · 4.45 FIP	19	SW	4.45	17.6%	10.3%	2.8%	.356	4.27	16.7%	6.7%	111	-0.18	3.51	146	79
Jeisson Cabrera R 2019 · 4.42 FIP	20	SP-	4.42	21.3%	15.5%	2.1%	.227	—	—	—	—	—	3.78	244	79
Joseph Hernandez R 2021 · 4.39 FIP	21	SW	4.39	24.7%	16.7%	2.3%	.348	4.92	18.1%	4.0%	190	+0.53	4.39	260	78
Jake Lyons R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	22	SP-	4.46	21.8%	13.9%	2.6%	.325	4.64	19.4%	9.2%	105	+0.18	4.13	174	78
Deretd Parra R 2019 · 5.29 FIP	19	SP-	5.29	16.8%	10.9%	4.1%	.295	3.85	15.7%	2.3%	83	-1.44	2.79	161	78
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	78
Noah Skirrow R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP-	4.55	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.72	16.0%	6.0%	316	+0.17	3.97	371	77
Nolan Perry R 2023 · 4.58 FIP	19	SW	4.58	19.3%	11.1%	3.1%	.385	4.07	25.2%	10.2%	129	-0.51	3.62	167	77
Lisandro Almonte R 2022 · 4.73 FIP	20	SP-	4.73	17.9%	10.3%	3.3%	.310	5.04	20.5%	3.3%	50	+0.31	3.81	128	77
Julio Goff R 2019 · 4.80 FIP	19	SW	4.80	16.1%	11.9%	2.8%	.364	4.70	16.4%	5.9%	207	-0.10	4.46	251	77
Colin Fields R 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SP-	3.62	20.5%	10.3%	1.7%	.246	3.86	22.0%	13.3%	208	+0.24	2.87	254	77
Andinson Ferrer R 2023 · 4.72 FIP	19	SW	4.72	17.4%	13.7%	2.5%	.287	4.64	21.7%	2.1%	34	-0.08	4.04	101	77
Ricardo Brizuela R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	20	SW	4.09	17.0%	9.1%	2.3%	.305	4.49	15.6%	6.9%	157	+0.40	3.20	246	76
Sean Paul Liñan R 2023 · 4.05 FIP	18	SP-	4.05	17.7%	8.3%	2.5%	.324	4.30	22.1%	10.2%	210	+0.25	3.29	272	76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	29	22.9%	11.5%	1.18	4.72
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82