Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park. Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors. WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025
20
AMLE
Lakeland Flying Tigers
4
2
5
27
5
8
0
50%
1.2
18.5%
29.6%
-11.1%
0.0%
5.40
5.29
—
2025
20
AMLE
Lakeland Flying Tigers
4
2
5
27
5
8
0
50%
1.2
18.5%
29.6%
-11.1%
0.0%
5.40
5.29
—
2025
20
ARAW
Lakeland Flying Tigers
4
2
5
27
5
8
0
50%
1.2
18.5%
29.6%
-11.1%
0.0%
5.40
5.90
—
2026
21
AMLE
Lakeland Flying Tigers
16
13
52
237
46
22
8
81%
3.2
14.4%
11.0%
3.4%
4.4%
6.06
5.68
—
2026
21
AMLE
Lakeland Flying Tigers
16
13
52
237
46
22
8
81%
3.2
14.4%
11.0%
3.4%
4.4%
6.06
5.68
—
2026
21
ARAW
Lakeland Flying Tigers
16
13
52
237
46
22
8
81%
3.2
19.4%
9.3%
10.1%
3.4%
6.06
4.60
—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027
22
MLB
DET
7
7
36
152
27
16
5
100%
5.1
17.5%
10.7%
6.8%
3.2%
5.09
5.09
-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028
23
MLBMLE
DET
9
9
49
205
40
20
6
100%
5.4
19.3%
9.8%
9.5%
3.1%
4.88
4.80
+0.1
2029
24
MLBMLE
DET
9
9
50
210
43
20
6
100%
5.5
20.4%
9.3%
11.1%
3.1%
4.71
4.62
+0.2
2030
25
MLBMLE
DET
9
9
50
213
45
19
6
100%
5.6
21.0%
9.0%
12.0%
3.0%
4.59
4.52
+0.2
2031
26
MLBMLE
DET
8
8
50
213
45
19
6
100%
6.3
21.3%
9.0%
12.3%
3.0%
4.53
4.50
+0.2
2032
27
MLBMLE
DET
8
8
50
209
45
19
6
100%
6.2
21.3%
9.1%
12.2%
3.1%
4.53
4.53
+0.2
2028
23
MLBCTX
DET
4
4
24
101
20
10
3
100%
6.0
19.3%
9.8%
9.5%
3.0%
4.81
4.73
+0.0
2029
24
MLBCTX
DET
6
6
35
148
30
14
4
100%
5.8
20.4%
9.3%
11.1%
2.9%
4.64
4.55
+0.1
2030
25
MLBCTX
DET
7
7
41
173
36
16
5
100%
5.9
21.0%
9.0%
12.0%
2.9%
4.52
4.45
+0.2
2031
26
MLBCTX
DET
7
7
44
186
40
17
5
100%
6.3
21.3%
9.0%
12.3%
2.9%
4.46
4.43
+0.2
2032
27
MLBCTX
DET
8
8
45
190
40
17
6
100%
5.6
21.3%
9.1%
12.2%
3.0%
4.46
4.46
+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career
—
RAW
32
32
188
795
166
73
23
100%
5.9
20.8%
9.2%
11.6%
2.9%
4.55
4.12
+1.7
/ 200 IP
—
RAW
34
34
200
844
176
78
24
100%
5.8
20.8%
9.2%
11.6%
2.9%
4.55
4.12
+1.8
Career
—
MLE
20
15
57
264
39
34
10
75%
2.9
14.8%
12.9%
1.9%
3.9%
6.00
5.64
+0.9
/ 200 IP
—
MLE
70
53
200
926
137
119
36
75%
2.9
14.8%
12.9%
1.9%
3.9%
6.00
5.64
+0.7
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.