Matthew Miura — OGILVIE

Matthew MiuraOF Palm Beach Cardinals

Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 185 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION142 act + 94 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†92

AVG/OBP/SLG.239 / .327 / .347

PA94

HR2

K%22

BB%11

BABIP297

ISO108

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 64 / POW 41

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT64

scouting grade only

POWER41

scouting grade only

EYE68

scouting grade only

SPEED65

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$13M	+$12M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	91	79	14	1	0	1	12	18	0	7	3	177	286	228	514	51	217	20	13	243	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	91	76	15	1	0	1	15	13	0	7	3	197	330	250	580	53	226	14	16	281	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A	STL	—	142	124	31	5	0	2	16	23	2	12	2	250	345	339	684	89	293	16	11	306	92	-1	+2	+0	-1	+4	0.4
YTD	22	A	STL	—	142	118	32	5	0	2	22	16	2	12	2	271	394	364	759	93	300	11	15	352	128	+4	+2	+0	-1	+4	0.9
ROS	22	A	STL	0%	94	83	20	3	0	2	10	21	1	4	1	239	327	347	674	108	299	22	11	306	92	-1	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.2
ROS	22	MLB	STL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		299	—	—	298	86	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	22	A	STL	—	142	125	31	5	0	2	16	23	2	12	2	248	345	336	681	88	290	16	11	306	92	-1	+2	+0	-1	+4	0.4
TOT	22	A	STL	—	236	207	51	8	0	4	26	44	3	16	3	246	338	342	680	96	294	19	11	306	92	-2	+2	+0	-1	+7	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	STL	34%	248	218	53	9	1	5	26	55	2	7	1	243	329	362	692	119	299	22	10	310	95	-1	+1	+0	-1	+7	0.5
2028	24	MLB	STL	46%	343	302	73	12	2	7	35	76	3	10	2	242	326	364	691	123	300	22	10	313	97	-1	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.8
2029	25	MLB	STL	52%	396	349	85	15	2	8	40	88	4	12	2	244	328	367	695	123	299	22	10	314	98	-1	+2	+0	-2	+11	1.0
2030	26	MLB	STL	54%	428	377	92	16	2	9	44	95	4	13	2	244	329	369	698	125	299	22	10	315	99	-1	+2	+0	-3	+12	1.1
2031	27	MLB	STL	54%	441	388	94	16	2	9	45	98	5	13	3	242	329	363	692	121	299	22	10	315	99	-1	+1	+0	-3	+12	1.1
2032	28	MLB	STL	54%	446	392	94	16	2	9	46	100	5	13	2	240	327	360	687	120	299	22	10	314	98	-1	+2	-1	-3	+13	1.0
2033	29	MLB	STL	53%	441	388	93	16	2	9	46	99	4	12	2	240	326	361	687	121	298	22	10	312	97	-2	+2	-1	-3	+12	0.9
2027	23	MLB	STL	34%	85	75	18	3	0	2	9	19	1	3	0	240	329	360	689	120	299	22	11	302	89	-1	+1	+0	-1	+2	0.2
2028	24	MLB	STL	46%	158	139	34	6	1	3	16	35	2	5	1	245	331	367	698	122	300	22	10	305	92	-2	+1	+0	-1	+4	0.3
2029	25	MLB	STL	52%	205	180	44	8	1	4	21	45	2	6	1	244	330	367	697	122	299	22	10	306	93	-2	+1	+0	-1	+6	0.4
2030	26	MLB	STL	54%	232	204	50	9	1	5	24	51	2	7	1	245	330	373	703	127	299	22	10	307	93	-2	+1	+0	-1	+7	0.4
2031	27	MLB	STL	54%	239	210	51	9	1	5	25	53	2	7	1	243	329	367	696	124	299	22	10	307	93	-2	+1	+0	-1	+7	0.5
2032	28	MLB	STL	54%	242	213	52	9	1	5	25	54	2	7	1	244	329	366	695	122	299	22	10	306	92	-2	+1	-0	-1	+7	0.4
2033	29	MLB	STL	53%	234	206	49	8	1	5	24	53	2	6	1	238	323	359	682	121	298	23	10	304	91	-2	+1	-1	-1	+7	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1395	1228	298	52	6	29	144	310	13	41	6	243	329	366	694	123	301	22	10	306	92	-13	+6	-1	-8	+40	2.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	139	24	3	14	67	144	6	19	3	243	329	369	698	126	300	22	10	306	92	-6	+3	-1	-4	+18	1.1
Career	—			—	2928	2576	618	104	13	59	304	650	28	91	18	240	327	359	686	119	297	22	10	311	96	-13	+11	-2	-18	+83	6.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	137	23	3	13	67	144	6	20	4	240	326	358	684	119	297	22	10	311	96	-3	+2	-0	-4	+18	1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	91	76	15	1	0	1	15	13	0	7	3	197	330	250	580	53	226	14	16	281	73	-3	+0	—	—	+3	0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	6	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
	/162	664	16	27	245	323	394	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
#2Desi Relafordlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,443 PA	6	2,443	34	64	246	329	356	-1	-7	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	9	17	246	329	356	-0.3	-1.8	1.4	pk7: 5
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Damian Jacksonlast yr '06 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,930 PA	6	1,930	21	95	248	324	354	-6	-5	3.6	3.6
	/162	664	7	33	248	324	354	-1.9	-1.6	1.2	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,524	31	43	243	325	365	-9	+0	3.5	3.4
	/162	664	14	19	243	325	365	-4.0	+0.0	1.5	pk7: 3
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Matthew Miura (OGILVIE)	22	59→64	36→41	60→65	68	246/338/342	96	294	4	16	19%	11%	92	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Maikel Garcia 2022 · A	22	49→59	39→50	58→60	50	232/296/323	91	293	5	22	22%	8%	73	-0.1	247/302/350	103	314	8	27	22%	7%	83	+0.6	263/322/384	122	308	9	27	17%	8%	99	+1.8
●Sal Frelick 2022 · A	22	52→59	40→45	56→55	48	247/307/344	98	310	7	17	22%	8%	84	+0.6	263/324/374	111	306	8	19	16%	8%	98	+1.6	266/334/365	99	304	8	20	14%	8%	99	+1.4
●Cal Stevenson 2019 · A	22	57→58	39→45	59→60	63	265/358/366	102	307	4	16	14%	13%	111	+2.5	229/304/322	93	288	8	13	21%	10%	77	+0.1	242/335/362	120	310	11	30	23%	12%	99	+1.0
●Kelby Tomlinson 2012 · A	22	49→59	40	56→60	44	236/285/341	105	298	6	13	22%	6%	73	-0.1	220/276/279	59	297	2	21	25%	7%	53	-1.5	281/340/350	69	342	3	24	17%	7%	94	+1.0
●Nicky Lopez 2017 · A	22	47→57	42→40	57→55	51	229/304/337	108	264	10	17	17%	8%	82	+0.5	248/300/333	85	280	5	13	13%	6%	77	+0.1	266/326/350	84	306	4	14	13%	8%	90	+0.8
●Mark Zagunis 2015 · A	22	48→54	41→50	55→50	47	228/298/339	111	301	6	15	25%	8%	79	+0.3	244/333/383	139	311	12	9	24%	10%	106	+2.2	243/340/390	148	308	14	8	24%	11%	107	+1.7
✕Osleivis Basabe 2023 · AA	22	57→61	39→45	56→50	46	268/314/370	102	319	5	17	17%	6%	92	+1.2	244/289/350	106	296	8	13	20%	5%	77	+0.1	231/277/341	111	278	10	11	20%	5%	68	-0.4
●Ke'Bryan Hayes 2019 · AA	22	50→55	42→50	52→50	48	238/300/350	112	299	8	14	22%	8%	82	+0.5	248/307/389	141	308	12	12	22%	7%	96	+1.5	257/313/393	137	315	12	16	21%	7%	97	+1.3
●Nick Van Stratten 2007 · A	22	49→59	39→45	58→55	50	229/293/326	97	253	5	12	12%	6%	73	-0.1	251/308/356	105	291	5	12	15%	6%	87	+0.8	302/337/386	84	339	4	23	12%	4%	102	+0.8
●Desmond Jennings 2009 · A	22	51→59	43→50	56→60	48	246/309/361	115	293	10	25	19%	7%	89	+1.0	255/321/384	129	302	10	34	18%	8%	100	+1.7	245/325/405	160	290	16	28	20%	9%	105	+2.2
✕Carlos Mendoza 2022 · A	22	53→56	37→40	56→55	57	245/341/322	77	298	3	18	17%	11%	94	+1.3	235/338/307	72	307	3	14	22%	12%	89	+0.9	245/334/339	93	298	8	19	19%	9%	92	+0.8
✕Brent Morel 2009 · A	22	51→57	43→50	54→50	45	251/298/360	109	298	11	12	20%	6%	84	+0.6	251/287/381	130	292	13	12	18%	5%	85	+0.7	254/289/385	131	290	13	11	17%	4%	83	+0.5
✕Marty Costes 2019 · A	23	47→57	42→45	53→50	46	227/308/340	113	280	8	11	21%	6%	85	+0.7	234/311/346	112	288	10	10	21%	8%	87	+0.8	249/337/364	115	324	9	16	23%	9%	100	+0.8
✕Taylor Motter 2012 · A	22	49→50	42→55	55	53	235/311/343	108	288	9	20	21%	10%	85	+0.7	230/295/334	104	286	9	20	21%	8%	76	+0.1	214/291/395	181	261	23	5	27%	9%	90	+0.6
✕Cole Gillespie 2007 · A	23	49→59	46→50	52→50	52	239/317/369	129	293	13	15	22%	9%	95	+1.4	230/310/366	136	297	12	13	25%	10%	92	+1.2	225/307/369	144	290	13	14	25%	10%	89	+0.8
●Matt McLain 2022 · A	22	45→55	44→55	53→55	48	218/295/334	116	293	11	20	28%	9%	77	+0.1	236/317/422	186	323	21	22	31%	9%	109	+2.4	231/315/405	174	310	20	23	30%	9%	102	+1.7
✕Mario Lisson 2006 · A	22	46→49	43→55	57→55	49	219/303/341	122	299	9	19	28%	10%	82	+0.5	220/282/336	116	290	11	21	26%	7%	72	-0.2	231/301/377	146	300	19	8	28%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Nick Senzel 2017 · A	22	47→56	44→50	51→50	46	228/291/356	128	301	9	16	26%	8%	81	+0.4	248/302/388	140	329	12	14	27%	7%	93	+1.3	253/307/401	148	331	14	16	26%	7%	96	+0.9
●Michael Reed 2015 · A	22	49→59	39→45	55	49	224/307/319	95	322	4	20	29%	10%	78	+0.2	203/285/298	95	302	6	20	32%	10%	63	-0.8	205/293/302	96	315	11	16	35%	10%	66	-0.4
●Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	44→48	43→50	58→60	54	209/313/325	116	289	9	21	28%	12%	83	+0.6	220/319/358	138	276	15	33	24%	11%	94	+1.3	216/315/358	142	266	16	40	24%	11%	89	+1.0