Hector Barroso — OGILVIE

Hector BarrosoOF DSL Colorado

Age 19 L/R 6'1" / 165 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 140 proj PA

wRC+72

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .292 / .305

PA140

HR1

K%26

BB%9

ISO93

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 53 / POW 39

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT53

scouting grade only

POWER39

scouting grade only

EYE67

scouting grade only

SPEED51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2036	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2037	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	102	82	15	2	1	0	17	17	1	3	2	183	330	232	562	49	227	17	17	271	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	168	133	37	9	2	5	28	35	6	2	2	278	425	489	914	211	340	21	17	406	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	102	87	11	1	1	0	12	20	1	3	2	126	240	161	401	34	161	20	12	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	168	141	24	6	1	2	20	43	6	2	2	170	299	270	569	99	220	26	12	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	102	87	11	1	1	0	12	20	1	3	2	126	240	161	401	34	162	20	12	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	—	102	82	15	2	1	0	17	17	1	3	2	183	330	232	562	49	227	17	17	271	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	168	141	24	6	1	2	20	43	6	2	2	170	299	270	569	99	227	26	12	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	—	168	133	37	9	2	5	28	35	6	2	2	278	425	489	914	211	340	21	17	406	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	102	88	11	1	1	0	12	20	1	3	2	125	240	159	399	34	161	20	12	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	168	140	24	6	1	2	20	43	6	2	2	171	299	271	571	100	220	26	12	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	102	88	11	1	1	0	12	20	1	3	2	125	240	159	399	34	161	20	12	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	168	140	24	6	1	2	20	43	6	2	2	171	299	271	571	100	220	26	12	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	—	0%	278	249	54	9	3	3	24	72	3	4	1	215	294	308	602	93	288	26	9	275	72	-9	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	—	34%	225	200	44	8	2	3	20	58	3	4	1	219	299	320	619	101	290	26	9	282	77	-6	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
2029	21	MLB MLE	—	48%	352	313	69	12	3	5	31	89	5	7	3	222	303	330	632	107	291	25	9	287	81	-8	+0	+0	-2	+8	-0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	—	54%	443	395	89	16	4	7	39	111	6	8	3	225	305	338	643	113	292	25	9	291	83	-9	+0	+0	-3	+10	-0.1
2031	23	MLB MLE	—	57%	504	447	102	18	4	9	45	125	7	10	4	227	307	345	652	117	293	25	9	295	86	-9	+0	+0	-3	+11	-0.0
2032	24	MLB MLE	—	57%	543	483	111	20	4	10	48	134	7	11	4	229	309	350	659	121	293	25	9	298	88	-8	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.1
2033	25	MLB MLE	—	57%	566	503	116	21	5	10	50	140	8	11	4	229	309	351	660	122	294	25	9	298	88	-8	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.1
2034	26	MLB MLE	—	56%	579	514	119	21	5	11	52	143	8	11	4	229	309	351	660	122	293	25	9	298	88	-8	+1	+0	-3	+13	0.1
2035	27	MLB MLE	—	55%	582	517	119	21	5	11	52	144	8	11	5	228	308	348	656	120	293	25	9	297	87	-9	+0	+0	-3	+13	0.0
2036	28	MLB MLE	—	55%	579	515	117	21	5	10	52	145	7	10	5	226	306	344	649	117	292	25	9	294	85	-10	+0	-1	-3	+13	-0.2
2037	29	MLB MLE	—	58%	570	508	114	20	4	10	50	144	7	9	5	224	303	337	640	114	290	25	9	290	82	-12	-0	-1	-3	+12	-0.5
2028	20	MLB CTX	—	34%	77	69	16	3	1	1	7	20	1	1	0	219	299	320	619	101	290	26	9	282	77	-2	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	—	48%	171	152	33	6	1	2	15	43	2	3	1	222	303	330	632	107	291	25	9	287	81	-4	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	—	54%	240	214	48	8	2	4	21	60	3	5	2	225	305	338	643	113	292	25	9	291	83	-5	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
2031	23	MLB CTX	—	57%	285	254	57	10	2	5	25	71	4	6	2	227	307	345	652	117	293	25	9	295	86	-5	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.0
2032	24	MLB CTX	—	57%	307	273	63	11	3	6	27	76	4	6	2	229	309	350	659	121	293	25	9	298	88	-5	+0	+0	-2	+7	0.1
2033	25	MLB CTX	—	57%	320	285	66	12	3	6	28	79	4	6	2	229	309	351	660	122	294	25	9	298	88	-5	+0	+0	-2	+7	0.1
2034	26	MLB CTX	—	56%	327	291	67	12	3	6	29	81	4	6	3	229	309	351	660	122	293	25	9	298	88	-5	+0	+0	-2	+7	0.0
2035	27	MLB CTX	—	55%	323	287	66	12	3	6	29	80	4	6	3	228	308	348	656	120	293	25	9	297	87	-5	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.0
2036	28	MLB CTX	—	55%	318	283	65	11	3	6	28	80	4	5	3	226	306	344	649	117	292	25	9	294	85	-6	-0	-0	-2	+7	-0.1
2037	29	MLB CTX	—	58%	331	295	67	12	3	6	29	84	4	5	3	224	303	337	640	114	290	25	9	290	82	-7	-0	-1	-2	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2699	2403	548	97	24	48	238	674	34	49	21	228	307	348	655	120	295	25	9	294	83	-47	+1	-1	-16	+58	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	132	23	6	12	57	162	8	12	5	228	306	351	657	123	293	25	9	294	83	-11	+0	-0	-4	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	5353	4748	1061	190	44	89	483	1332	75	99	43	223	305	338	643	115	290	25	9	291	83	-92	+3	-2	-30	+110	-1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	129	23	5	11	59	162	9	12	5	224	306	338	644	114	289	25	9	291	83	-12	+0	-0	-4	+14	-0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	4.3	2,839	48	52	227	303	344	-17	+0	1.3	1.4
/162	664	11	12	-4.0	+0.0	0.3	pk7: 1
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Dylan Carlsonlast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,987 PA	3.0	1,987	43	16	233	312	372	-9	-22	0.8	0.8
/162	664	14	5	-3.0	-7.4	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Hector Barroso (OGILVIE)	19	48→53	34→39	46→51	67	213/292/305	92	288	1	2	26%	9%	72	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Daniel Montesino 2023 · A	19	46	38→40	48→45	50	212/301/299	87	300	5	8	28%	10%	74	-0.5	199/264/269	70	309	2	9	33%	7%	53	-2.1	176/234/225	50	289	0	8	36%	6%	29	-1.1
✕Cornelius Randolph 2016 · A	19	48→51	38→45	46→45	50	224/305/314	90	293	3	8	23%	9%	79	-0.2	226/294/317	91	317	7	6	28%	8%	75	-0.5	226/294/313	87	317	7	5	29%	8%	72	-0.5
✕Max Clark 2024 · A	19	44→53	42→45	51→55	48	207/292/314	106	308	9	11	33%	10%	74	-0.5	238/314/357	119	306	11	17	24%	9%	92	+0.7	245/323/369	124	304	11	19	22%	10%	96	+0.9
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	46	37→45	47→50	49	215/299/289	74	290	4	8	25%	9%	72	-0.7	205/319/270	65	256	3	14	19%	12%	76	-0.4	223/323/350	127	253	16	10	18%	10%	93	+0.4
✕Ramón Flores 2011 · A	19	45→55	37→45	48→50	47	211/276/288	77	274	4	7	23%	8%	61	-1.5	238/295/334	96	303	7	9	22%	7%	78	-0.3	255/328/354	99	304	9	8	18%	9%	94	+0.6
✕Akil Baddoo 2018 · A	19	46→53	42→50	52→55	49	220/298/335	114	290	7	10	25%	9%	80	-0.1	201/274/317	116	305	8	13	34%	9%	68	-1.0	238/319/386	148	309	15	24	26%	11%	100	+0.9
✕Hendry Mendez 2023 · A	19	48→57	38→45	42→45	53	224/303/299	75	281	5	6	21%	10%	75	-0.5	238/304/328	90	293	7	5	20%	8%	81	-0.1	262/336/372	110	313	10	6	18%	9%	101	+1.0
✕Matthew Sulentic 2007 · A	19	45→55	40→45	45→50	45	218/279/312	94	283	7	7	25%	7%	68	-1.0	222/270/317	95	300	8	9	27%	5%	65	-1.2	256/305/351	95	360	7	13	29%	6%	83	+0.1
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2019 · A	20	46→51	41→45	46→55	51	218/304/317	98	298	9	7	28%	10%	79	-0.2	237/308/353	116	333	10	11	29%	9%	88	+0.5	242/319/359	118	343	9	15	29%	10%	91	+0.4
✕Jeisson Rosario 2019 · A	19	50→52	36→45	46→50	48	231/302/299	68	321	3	11	27%	9%	74	-0.6	214/298/284	70	316	4	10	30%	10%	70	-0.9	207/300/312	106	295	10	12	30%	11%	74	-0.4
✕Carlos Sanchez 2024 · A	19	49→54	37→40	50	56	218/326/301	83	327	4	13	30%	13%	84	+0.2	217/305/303	86	356	6	12	36%	11%	76	-0.4	225/310/326	101	351	8	14	35%	11%	79	-0.1
✕Raynel Delgado 2019 · A	19	50→56	36→40	50→60	45	226/293/294	68	335	3	11	31%	9%	69	-0.9	208/262/282	74	311	4	10	32%	6%	55	-2.0	246/311/338	92	338	7	32	27%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Termarr Johnson 2023 · A	19	46→53	41→45	52→55	47	212/293/316	104	323	7	14	34%	10%	75	-0.5	217/315/345	128	302	15	12	30%	12%	91	+0.6	218/312/337	119	292	14	14	28%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Victor Arias 2023 · A	19	43→50	37→45	49→50	47	199/284/273	74	302	3	11	32%	10%	62	-1.4	217/300/325	108	317	8	16	31%	9%	80	-0.2	226/304/342	116	321	9	18	30%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Ronny Hernandez 2024 · A	19	44→53	39→40	49→30	46	211/281/302	91	288	6	4	28%	8%	67	-1.1	227/301/310	83	296	7	3	24%	9%	76	-0.4	229/306/323	94	287	11	1	22%	10%	79	-0.1
✕Forrest Wall 2015 · A	19	48→55	41→45	56→70	47	227/291/331	104	301	7	17	26%	8%	76	-0.4	226/279/325	99	296	7	16	25%	6%	70	-0.8	250/321/350	101	344	8	50	27%	8%	89	+0.3
✕Cam Maron 2010 · A	19	47→57	40	50→40	47	223/290/317	95	292	7	7	25%	8%	74	-0.6	241/309/329	88	308	7	5	22%	8%	83	+0.1	245/318/319	74	316	4	2	22%	9%	82	-0.0
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2023 · A	20	46	37→45	47→55	56	216/300/287	72	267	3	12	19%	11%	71	-0.8	208/277/303	95	322	9	15	35%	8%	65	-1.2	191/260/285	94	305	11	18	38%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Jorge Burgos 2022 · A	19	50→53	37→50	51→45	44	230/293/317	87	325	3	9	28%	7%	74	-0.5	224/290/322	98	312	8	5	29%	8%	74	-0.5	207/275/311	104	285	11	3	30%	8%	65	-0.8
✕Cam Collier 2024 · A	19	46→44	40→45	47→40	46	215/292/308	93	309	8	5	31%	9%	72	-0.7	214/289/325	111	309	11	3	32%	9%	76	-0.4	204/279/320	116	291	12	1	32%	8%	69	-0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps