Carlos Tejera — OGILVIE

Carlos TejeraOF FCL Pirates

Age 19 L/L ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 96 proj PA

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .286 / .312

PA96

HR2

K%28

BB%9

ISO106

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2036	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	18	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	113	88	22	4	1	3	24	24	0	10	1	250	407	420	828	170	311	21	21	375	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	113	98	18	3	1	2	15	35	0	10	1	184	292	296	588	112	250	31	13	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	113	98	18	3	1	2	15	35	0	10	1	184	292	296	588	112	262	31	13	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	FCL Pirates	—	113	88	22	4	1	3	24	24	0	10	1	250	407	420	828	170	311	21	21	375	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	113	97	18	3	1	2	15	35	0	10	1	186	292	299	591	113	250	31	13	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	113	97	18	3	1	2	15	35	0	10	1	186	292	299	591	113	250	31	13	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	223	199	41	7	2	3	21	63	1	5	1	209	288	315	603	106	284	28	9	274	72	-7	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	PIT	25%	186	166	35	6	1	3	17	52	1	4	1	213	293	324	617	111	286	28	9	280	76	-5	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
2029	21	MLB MLE	PIT	38%	321	285	61	10	2	6	30	88	3	7	1	216	296	333	629	116	287	27	9	285	79	-8	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	PIT	45%	421	376	82	14	3	8	39	114	3	9	2	219	299	340	639	121	288	27	9	289	82	-9	+1	+0	-3	+9	-0.2
2031	23	MLB MLE	PIT	49%	487	435	97	17	4	10	45	130	4	11	2	222	301	346	647	124	289	27	9	292	84	-9	+1	+0	-3	+11	-0.0
2032	24	MLB MLE	PIT	50%	530	472	105	18	4	11	49	140	4	12	2	224	303	351	654	127	290	26	9	295	86	-9	+2	+0	-3	+11	0.1
2033	25	MLB MLE	PIT	51%	556	494	111	19	4	12	52	147	5	12	2	224	303	351	655	127	290	26	9	295	86	-9	+2	+0	-3	+12	0.1
2034	26	MLB MLE	PIT	51%	569	506	113	20	4	12	53	151	5	12	3	224	303	351	654	127	290	27	9	295	86	-10	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.0
2035	27	MLB MLE	PIT	50%	574	510	114	20	4	12	54	153	5	12	3	222	302	348	650	126	289	27	9	293	85	-10	+1	+0	-3	+12	-0.0
2036	28	MLB MLE	PIT	50%	571	509	112	19	4	12	53	153	4	11	2	221	300	344	644	123	288	27	9	291	83	-12	+1	-1	-3	+12	-0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	PIT	25%	46	42	9	2	0	1	4	13	0	1	0	212	292	321	613	108	287	28	9	279	76	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	PIT	38%	123	110	23	4	1	2	11	34	1	3	1	216	296	329	625	113	288	28	9	283	79	-3	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	PIT	45%	191	169	37	7	1	3	18	52	2	4	1	218	298	336	634	117	289	27	9	287	82	-4	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
2031	23	MLB CTX	PIT	49%	240	214	47	8	2	5	22	64	2	5	1	221	301	341	642	121	290	27	9	290	84	-5	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.0
2032	24	MLB CTX	PIT	50%	267	238	53	10	2	5	25	71	2	6	1	223	302	346	648	123	291	27	9	293	86	-5	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.0
2033	25	MLB CTX	PIT	51%	283	253	56	10	2	6	26	75	2	6	1	223	303	347	649	124	291	27	9	293	86	-5	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.0
2034	26	MLB CTX	PIT	51%	292	261	58	10	2	6	27	77	2	6	1	223	302	346	649	124	291	26	9	293	86	-5	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.0
2035	27	MLB CTX	PIT	50%	290	259	57	10	2	6	27	77	2	6	1	222	301	344	645	122	290	27	9	291	85	-5	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.0
2036	28	MLB CTX	PIT	50%	286	255	55	10	2	5	27	77	2	6	1	220	299	339	638	119	289	27	9	289	83	-6	+1	-0	-2	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2018	1801	395	71	14	39	187	540	15	43	8	219	298	339	637	120	289	27	9	290	83	-39	+5	-0	-12	+44	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	128	23	5	13	60	174	5	14	3	221	299	345	644	124	290	27	9	290	83	-12	+2	-0	-4	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	4424	3937	867	149	32	90	416	1190	35	102	19	220	300	343	643	123	290	27	9	291	83	-85	+11	-1	-26	+93	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	128	22	5	13	61	175	5	15	3	221	301	344	645	123	293	27	9	291	83	-13	+2	-0	-4	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	3.2	2,112	43	46	222	298	346	-13	+0	1.1	1.1
/162	664	14	14	-4.0	+0.0	0.3	pk7: 1
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Dylan Carlsonlast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,987 PA	3.0	1,987	43	16	233	312	372	-9	-22	0.8	0.8
/162	664	14	5	-3.0	-7.4	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Tejera (OGILVIE)	19	45	45	55	—	207/286/312	105	284	2	2	28%	9%	72	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Max Clark 2024 · A	19	44→53	42→45	51→55	48	207/292/314	106	308	9	11	33%	10%	74	-0.5	238/314/357	119	306	11	17	24%	9%	92	+0.7	245/323/369	124	304	11	19	22%	10%	96	+0.9
✕Marcelo Mayer 2022 · A	19	46→47	42→50	53→50	42	215/279/322	107	328	10	12	35%	8%	71	-0.8	225/292/370	145	321	15	12	32%	8%	86	+0.3	229/294/381	151	313	16	14	30%	8%	88	+0.3
✕Forrest Wall 2015 · A	19	48→55	41→45	56→70	47	227/291/331	104	301	7	17	26%	8%	76	-0.4	226/279/325	99	296	7	16	25%	6%	70	-0.8	250/321/350	101	344	8	50	27%	8%	89	+0.3
✕Termarr Johnson 2023 · A	19	46→53	41→45	52→55	47	212/293/316	104	323	7	14	34%	10%	75	-0.5	217/315/345	128	302	15	12	30%	12%	91	+0.6	218/312/337	119	292	14	14	28%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	36→44	39→50	53→55	48	177/265/262	85	249	7	11	30%	9%	53	-2.1	194/283/299	105	299	9	16	34%	10%	68	-1.0	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Estevan Florial 2017 · A	19	39→49	42→50	52→60	40	192/255/297	106	289	10	11	35%	7%	56	-1.9	217/275/334	117	369	10	13	40%	7%	72	-0.7	214/285/371	157	317	17	29	36%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Akil Baddoo 2018 · A	19	46→53	42→50	52→55	49	220/298/335	114	290	7	10	25%	9%	80	-0.1	201/274/317	116	305	8	13	34%	9%	68	-1.0	238/319/386	148	309	15	24	26%	11%	100	+0.9
✕Angel Ortiz 2022 · A	19	42→45	41→50	46→45	44	206/261/296	90	269	9	9	26%	7%	57	-1.8	207/257/302	95	281	7	7	27%	6%	57	-1.8	227/286/370	143	294	13	8	26%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Samuel Zavala 2023 · A	19	42→44	45	48→50	46	206/278/339	133	281	12	10	30%	9%	74	-0.5	193/287/305	112	289	11	12	34%	11%	71	-0.8	193/290/301	108	265	12	12	29%	11%	68	-0.8
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Khalil Lee 2017 · A	19	44→54	44→45	50→55	43	205/286/327	123	320	10	9	36%	9%	76	-0.4	209/286/328	119	343	11	17	39%	8%	75	-0.5	216/317/330	114	346	10	25	36%	10%	84	+0.1
✕Kahlil Watson 2022 · A	19	50→43	39→50	53→55	48	232/307/326	94	323	4	11	27%	9%	82	-0.0	189/259/312	123	318	13	17	41%	8%	61	-1.5	203/280/353	149	296	17	24	35%	8%	76	-0.3
●Bryan Rincon 2023 · A	19	42→47	45	53→55	45	210/280/332	122	276	12	11	28%	8%	74	-0.6	194/285/295	101	272	9	22	29%	10%	68	-1.0	192/290/337	145	263	17	31	32%	11%	77	-0.2
✕Daniel Montesino 2023 · A	19	46	38→40	48→45	50	212/301/299	87	300	5	8	28%	10%	74	-0.5	199/264/269	70	309	2	9	33%	7%	53	-2.1	176/234/225	50	289	0	8	36%	6%	29	-1.1
✕Victor Arias 2024 · A	20	41→50	40→45	55→50	48	193/289/289	97	300	7	16	35%	11%	68	-1.0	227/296/340	113	318	9	15	29%	8%	81	-0.1	226/289/343	117	310	10	15	29%	7%	76	-0.3
✕Héctor Rodríguez 2023 · A	19	48→52	42→50	53→50	45	231/273/348	117	266	7	15	16%	5%	74	-0.6	241/277/370	129	290	12	11	21%	4%	80	-0.1	243/284/388	145	281	17	9	20%	5%	85	+0.2
✕Carlos Caro 2024 · A	19	44	41→45	48→55	46	210/298/307	97	285	8	13	27%	8%	76	-0.4	196/272/275	79	283	6	15	30%	8%	58	-1.7	182/259/257	76	270	7	19	33%	8%	46	-1.0
✕Junior Franco 2022 · A	19	47→43	42→45	57→55	41	216/282/326	110	338	8	15	36%	8%	73	-0.6	210/260/314	104	303	10	18	32%	6%	61	-1.5	227/282/332	105	286	10	21	23%	6%	71	-0.5
✕Angel Guzman 2024 · A	18	39	39→45	51→55	51	190/275/281	91	246	6	9	24%	9%	61	-1.5	193/294/290	97	272	8	10	29%	11%	70	-0.8	182/294/282	100	260	9	9	30%	12%	65	-0.4
✕William Beckwith 2011 · A	20	43→44	41→50	52→50	47	211/282/312	101	273	9	9	25%	8%	70	-0.8	217/282/362	145	287	16	10	29%	6%	82	-0.0	210/276/362	152	278	19	11	31%	6%	78	-0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps