Carlos Caro — OGILVIE

Carlos CaroIF Greensboro Grasshoppers

Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 160 lbs A+ HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION259 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP261

ISO62

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	18	ROK	DSL Pirates Gold	—	159	129	40	8	1	5	20	33	10	11	5	310	440	504	944	194	385	21	13	422	172	+14	+0	—	—	+3	1.8
2024	19	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	27	23	5	1	0	0	3	6	1	1	1	217	333	261	594	43	294	22	11	286	80	-1	-0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2024	19	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	156	131	40	8	2	2	22	24	2	9	3	305	413	443	856	137	358	15	14	383	146	+8	+1	—	—	+3	1.3
2025	20	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	161	141	21	2	1	0	14	51	4	4	2	149	245	177	423	28	233	32	9	206	26	-14	+0	—	—	+3	-1.1
2025	20	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	116	92	21	6	0	0	20	23	3	13	3	228	383	293	676	65	304	20	17	323	105	+1	+1	—	—	+3	0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	159	137	31	5	1	4	12	49	10	11	5	226	333	365	698	139	308	31	8	297	87	-2	+0	—	—	+3	0.1
2024	19	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	27	24	4	1	0	0	2	9	1	1	1	167	259	208	468	42	272	33	7	226	39	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	156	139	31	6	1	2	14	34	2	9	3	223	303	324	627	101	274	22	9	277	74	-5	+1	—	—	+3	-0.1
2025	20	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	161	145	17	2	1	0	10	72	4	4	2	117	195	145	340	28	219	45	6	155	-9	-21	+0	—	—	+3	-1.8
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	116	100	16	4	0	0	12	33	3	13	3	160	270	200	470	40	229	28	10	218	34	-9	+1	—	—	+3	-0.5
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	159	137	31	5	1	4	12	49	10	11	5	226	333	365	698	139	321	31	8	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Gold	—	159	129	40	8	1	5	20	33	10	11	5	310	440	504	944	194	385	21	13	422	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	183	163	35	7	1	2	16	42	3	10	4	215	297	307	603	92	275	23	9	269	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	183	154	45	9	2	2	25	30	3	10	4	292	401	416	817	123	350	16	14	369	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	277	245	32	5	1	0	22	105	7	17	5	131	223	159	382	29	229	38	8	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	277	233	42	8	1	0	34	74	7	17	5	180	303	223	526	43	264	27	12	255	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	159	136	31	5	1	4	12	49	10	11	5	228	333	368	701	140	308	31	8	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	183	162	35	7	1	2	16	42	3	10	4	216	297	309	605	93	274	23	9	269	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	277	246	32	5	1	0	22	105	7	17	5	130	223	159	381	28	223	38	8	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	159	136	31	5	1	4	12	49	10	11	5	228	333	368	701	140	308	31	8	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	183	162	35	7	1	2	16	42	3	10	4	216	297	309	605	93	274	23	9	269	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	277	246	32	5	1	0	22	105	7	17	5	130	223	159	381	28	223	38	8	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A+ MLE	PIT	—	259	231	50	4	2	6	21	94	4	15	3	216	293	329	622	113	331	36	8	276	73	-8	+2	+0	+0	+6	-0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A RAW	PIT	—	43	39	12	0	2	3	2	15	1	1	1	308	357	641	998	333	409	35	5	417	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A+ RAW	PIT	—	216	181	48	5	1	5	30	54	3	14	2	265	379	387	765	122	350	25	14	347	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	A+ MLE	PIT	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		262	33	11	243	51	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	21	A+ MLE	PIT	—	268	239	51	4	2	6	22	97	4	15	3	213	291	322	613	109	326	36	8	275	73	-9	+2	+0	+0	+6	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	PIT	35%	329	293	56	8	2	5	28	101	5	10	3	191	273	283	556	92	267	31	9	257	60	-16	+1	+0	+0	+7	-0.8
2028	23	MLB MLE	PIT	49%	411	366	72	10	2	8	35	122	7	13	3	197	279	301	580	104	270	30	9	267	67	-16	+1	+0	+0	+9	-0.6
2029	24	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	465	415	84	12	3	10	40	136	7	15	4	202	284	318	602	116	272	29	9	272	71	-16	+1	+0	+0	+10	-0.5
2030	25	MLB MLE	PIT	58%	494	440	90	13	3	11	43	143	8	15	4	205	287	323	610	118	272	29	9	276	73	-16	+1	+0	+0	+11	-0.4
2031	26	MLB MLE	PIT	61%	510	453	93	14	3	11	44	147	8	16	4	205	287	322	609	117	272	29	9	276	73	-16	+2	+0	+0	+11	-0.4
2032	27	MLB MLE	PIT	63%	516	457	94	14	3	11	46	149	8	16	4	206	290	322	611	116	272	29	9	276	73	-16	+2	+0	+0	+11	-0.4
2033	28	MLB MLE	PIT	64%	515	456	93	14	3	11	46	150	8	15	4	204	288	320	608	116	271	29	9	275	72	-17	+1	-1	+0	+11	-0.5
2027	22	MLB CTX	PIT	35%	114	101	20	3	1	2	10	35	2	4	1	198	283	307	590	109	265	31	9	242	60	-5	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.3
2028	23	MLB CTX	PIT	49%	199	177	35	5	1	4	17	59	3	6	2	198	279	305	584	107	268	30	9	251	67	-8	+0	+0	+0	+4	-0.3
2029	24	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	245	218	43	6	1	5	21	72	4	8	2	197	280	303	583	106	270	29	9	257	71	-9	+1	+0	+0	+5	-0.3
2030	25	MLB CTX	PIT	58%	288	256	53	8	2	6	25	83	5	9	2	207	290	324	614	117	270	29	9	260	73	-9	+1	+0	+0	+6	-0.2
2031	26	MLB CTX	PIT	61%	313	278	56	8	2	6	27	90	5	10	2	201	284	309	593	108	270	29	9	260	73	-10	+1	+0	+0	+7	-0.2
2032	27	MLB CTX	PIT	63%	324	287	59	9	2	7	29	94	5	10	3	206	290	324	614	118	270	29	9	261	73	-10	+1	+0	+0	+7	-0.3
2033	28	MLB CTX	PIT	64%	327	290	59	9	2	7	29	95	5	10	2	203	287	321	608	117	269	29	9	260	72	-11	+1	-0	+0	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1810	1607	325	48	11	37	158	528	29	57	14	202	285	315	600	113	274	29	9	258	67	-62	+6	-0	+0	+39	-1.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	116	17	4	13	57	190	10	20	5	201	284	312	596	111	272	29	9	258	67	-22	+2	-0	+0	+14	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	3868	3433	681	102	22	73	333	1147	71	138	40	198	283	305	587	106	273	30	9	267	67	-115	+10	-1	+0	+70	-3.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	114	17	4	12	56	193	12	23	7	198	282	303	585	106	272	30	9	267	67	-23	+2	-0	+0	+14	-0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.7	1,811	38	56	203	282	315	+0	+0	-0.6	-0.3
/162	664	14	21	+0.0	+0.0	-0.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Caro (OGILVIE)	21	20	20	45	35	179/261/258	78	262	3	11	32%	8%	51	-1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Juan Beltre 2007 · A	21	36	34→30	47→60	34	173/221/220	48	266	2	10	34%	4%	25	-4.1	209/274/272	63	297	3	19	29%	6%	57	-1.8	243/319/291	49	314	2	32	21%	7%	76	-0.2
✕Randy Claxton 2007 · A	21	35	35→30	46→45	40	170/233/226	56	243	3	7	30%	6%	32	-3.7	195/281/257	62	265	2	6	25%	8%	57	-1.8	184/298/226	42	243	0	2	21%	10%	58	-0.6
✕Jose Ramirez 2010 · A	21	39	38→40	46→50	43	188/249/265	77	248	5	10	25%	6%	47	-2.6	211/278/295	84	273	7	11	24%	7%	65	-1.2	214/288/286	72	266	9	15	22%	7%	63	-0.5
✕Gregori Gonzalez 2010 · A	21	39	35→30	46→55	38	188/230/246	58	269	3	14	30%	5%	34	-3.5	217/258/295	78	269	3	13	20%	4%	55	-1.9	230/267/317	87	275	3	15	17%	3%	63	-0.4
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	36	36→40	45→40	46	170/263/235	65	253	4	5	32%	9%	47	-2.6	187/263/267	80	309	5	4	37%	8%	53	-2.1	184/258/270	86	308	5	2	39%	8%	49	-0.9
✕Omar Guerra 2008 · A	21	41	35→30	48→50	45	193/274/246	53	257	2	9	24%	7%	53	-2.1	220/315/279	59	272	2	11	19%	6%	76	-0.4	229/342/268	39	277	0	15	15%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Ronaldo Pulgar 2018 · A	21	35	34→30	46→55	44	170/241/222	52	239	2	7	28%	7%	34	-3.5	197/260/265	68	266	4	12	26%	7%	50	-2.3	189/250/244	55	249	4	19	24%	6%	38	-1.3
✕Luis Sanchez 2008 · A	21	37	36→30	45→40	44	178/253/238	60	259	4	7	31%	8%	42	-2.9	198/256/251	53	276	2	4	27%	7%	45	-2.7	190/246/233	43	263	1	2	26%	7%	36	-1.6
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	40	37→40	50→55	42	192/252/267	75	262	4	12	27%	6%	48	-2.5	202/274/290	88	285	7	19	30%	8%	61	-1.5	196/282/285	89	259	11	29	27%	9%	63	-0.8
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2016 · A	21	36	33→30	49→50	35	172/223/217	44	258	1	14	32%	4%	25	-4.1	198/259/255	57	293	2	11	31%	5%	48	-2.5	191/263/226	34	287	0	13	30%	5%	40	-1.1
✕Yovanny Cuevas 2019 · A	21	38	35→30	47→50	46	182/255/241	60	248	2	11	26%	8%	44	-2.8	209/288/308	99	310	8	10	32%	9%	72	-0.7	233/322/379	146	326	19	19	32%	9%	98	+0.2
✕Carlos Torres 2014 · A	21	39	38→30	47→50	42	192/253/263	71	257	6	9	27%	6%	47	-2.5	191/232/261	70	262	5	6	28%	4%	38	-3.2	186/218/244	58	251	3	4	27%	3%	26	-1.2
✕Victor Duarte 2022 · A	21	39	38→30	48→45	42	188/251/270	82	260	6	7	29%	6%	49	-2.4	199/275/282	83	287	6	6	30%	8%	61	-1.5	182/254/249	67	248	6	11	27%	8%	43	-0.7
✕Emilio King 2011 · A	21	37	36→45	45→40	37	178/245/248	70	273	3	6	34%	5%	42	-2.9	214/256/307	93	316	7	4	33%	4%	58	-1.7	250/279/366	116	337	11	3	28%	2%	76	-0.3
✕Frank Hernandez 2023 · A	21	43	35→30	47→50	44	203/272/257	54	274	2	10	25%	7%	53	-2.1	205/260/264	59	299	3	8	30%	6%	50	-2.3	206/256/217	11	328	0	9	35%	5%	34	-0.9
✕Alfredo González 2012 · A	20	36	36→30	47→45	38	174/218/242	68	245	2	8	29%	5%	28	-3.9	194/246/266	72	256	4	10	25%	5%	45	-2.7	232/294/283	50	313	3	6	25%	7%	64	-0.5
✕Franklin Tineo 2016 · A	21	36	38→45	41→50	47	177/258/254	77	247	5	7	29%	9%	48	-2.5	190/264/281	91	260	7	10	28%	8%	56	-1.9	184/261/280	96	239	8	13	25%	8%	53	-0.7
✕Richard Nunez 2016 · A	21	41	36→30	45→55	43	193/260/262	69	278	3	7	30%	7%	50	-2.3	196/273/264	68	268	3	11	26%	9%	55	-1.9	200/288/269	69	247	5	16	19%	10%	61	-0.4
✕Daniel Berg 2006 · A	21	38	37→40	44→40	40	185/251/255	69	257	5	9	29%	6%	45	-2.7	190/258/282	92	283	7	4	33%	7%	54	-2.0	189/261/280	90	282	8	2	33%	7%	52	-1.1
✕Erick Gonzalez 2011 · A	20	38	34→40	43→50	42	182/243/237	55	268	2	7	31%	7%	37	-3.3	210/295/284	74	272	3	10	22%	10%	68	-1.0	214/322/287	73	261	2	14	16%	13%	77	-0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps