Carlos Caro — OGILVIE

Carlos CaroIF Greensboro Grasshoppers

Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 160 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION149 act + 117 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†46

AVG/OBP/SLG.183 / .267 / .288

PA117

HR2

K%31

BB%9

BABIP254

ISO106

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL Pirates Gold	—	159	137	31	5	1	4	12	50	10	11	5	226	333	365	698	139	325	31	8	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Pirates Gold	—	159	129	40	8	1	5	20	33	10	11	5	310	440	504	944	194	385	21	13	422	181	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	2 teams	—	183	162	35	7	1	2	17	41	3	10	4	216	302	309	611	93	275	22	9	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	2 teams	—	183	154	45	9	2	2	25	30	3	10	4	292	401	416	817	123	350	16	14	369	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	2 teams	—	277	245	32	5	1	0	22	105	7	17	5	131	223	159	382	29	229	38	8	179	-5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	2 teams	—	277	233	42	8	1	0	34	74	7	17	5	180	303	223	526	43	264	27	12	255	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A+	PIT	—	149	128	30	3	1	5	15	55	3	7	3	234	329	391	719	156	357	37	10	315	99	-0	+0	+0	+0	+4	0.4
YTD	21	A+	PIT	—	149	121	35	3	2	7	22	40	3	7	3	289	411	521	932	231	368	27	15	403	166	+11	+0	+0	+0	+4	1.6
ROS	21	A+	PIT	0%	117	104	19	3	1	2	10	36	2	4	1	183	267	288	556	106	253	31	9	245	46	-7	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.3
ROS	21	MLB	PIT	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						252	0	0	230	34	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	21	A+	PIT	—	150	129	30	3	1	5	15	55	3	7	3	233	327	388	714	155	352	37	10	314	99	-0	+0	+0	+0	+4	0.4
TOT	21	A+	PIT	—	266	232	49	6	2	7	25	91	5	11	4	211	302	345	646	134	307	34	9	284	76	-7	+1	+0	+0	+8	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	PIT	35%	327	289	53	8	2	5	29	99	6	9	3	183	272	277	548	93	257	30	9	257	55	-17	+1	+0	+0	+9	-0.7
2028	23	MLB	PIT	49%	409	363	70	11	2	8	36	120	7	11	4	193	278	300	579	107	261	29	9	266	62	-18	+1	+0	+0	+12	-0.6
2029	24	MLB	PIT	53%	464	412	81	13	2	10	41	133	8	13	5	197	282	311	593	114	263	29	9	272	66	-18	+1	+0	+0	+13	-0.4
2030	25	MLB	PIT	58%	494	438	87	14	2	11	44	141	9	13	5	199	285	315	600	116	264	29	9	274	68	-18	+1	+0	+0	+14	-0.3
2031	26	MLB	PIT	61%	510	450	91	15	3	11	46	145	9	14	5	202	289	322	611	120	264	28	9	275	69	-18	+1	+0	+0	+14	-0.3
2027	22	MLB	PIT	35%	113	100	19	3	1	2	10	34	2	3	1	190	277	300	577	110	256	30	9	242	44	-7	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.4
2028	23	MLB	PIT	49%	199	175	34	5	1	4	18	58	4	5	2	194	284	303	587	109	259	29	9	252	51	-11	+0	+0	+0	+6	-0.5
2029	24	MLB	PIT	53%	245	217	42	7	1	5	22	70	4	7	2	194	280	304	584	111	262	29	9	258	55	-12	+1	+0	+0	+7	-0.5
2030	25	MLB	PIT	58%	288	255	50	8	1	6	26	82	5	8	3	196	283	306	589	110	263	28	9	260	58	-14	+0	+0	+0	+8	-0.5
2031	26	MLB	PIT	61%	313	276	56	9	2	7	28	89	6	8	3	203	290	326	616	123	263	28	9	261	58	-15	+0	+0	+0	+9	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1159	1024	201	32	6	24	104	333	21	31	11	196	284	310	593	113	263	29	9	257	55	-59	+2	+0	+0	+33	-2.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	112	18	3	13	58	187	12	17	6	195	282	305	587	110	263	29	9	257	55	-33	+1	+0	+0	+18	-1.4
Career	—			—	2940	2600	499	81	15	53	257	870	61	102	37	192	280	296	576	104	264	30	9	262	59	-137	+6	+0	+0	+83	-4.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	110	18	3	12	57	192	13	23	8	191	279	296	575	104	262	30	9	262	59	-30	+1	+0	+0	+18	-1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL Pirates Gold	—	159	129	40	8	1	5	20	33	10	11	5	310	440	504	944	194	385	21	13	422	181	+15	+0	—	—	+5	2.0
2024	19	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	27	23	5	1	0	0	3	6	1	1	1	217	333	261	594	43	294	22	11	286	77	-1	-0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2024	19	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	156	131	40	8	2	2	22	24	2	9	3	305	413	443	856	137	358	15	14	383	152	+9	+1	—	—	+4	1.4
2025	20	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	161	141	21	2	1	0	14	51	4	4	2	149	245	177	423	28	233	32	9	206	16	-15	+0	—	—	+5	-1.1
2025	20	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	116	92	21	6	0	0	20	23	3	13	3	228	383	293	676	65	304	20	17	323	105	+1	+1	—	—	+3	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,158	24	31	197	281	310	+0	+0	-1.1	-0.6
	/162	664	14	18	197	281	310	+0.0	+0.0	-0.6	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Caro (OGILVIE)	21	20	20	45	35	211/302/345	134	307	7	11	34%	9%	76	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Juan Beltre 2007 · A	21	36	34→30	47→60	34	173/221/220	48	266	2	10	34%	4%	15	-4.1	209/274/272	63	297	3	19	29%	6%	52	-1.6	243/319/291	49	314	2	32	21%	7%	73	-0.0
✕Randy Claxton 2007 · A	21	35	35→30	46→45	40	170/233/226	56	243	3	7	30%	6%	23	-3.6	195/281/257	62	265	2	6	25%	8%	52	-1.6	184/298/226	42	243	0	2	21%	10%	53	-0.6
✕Jose Ramirez 2010 · A	21	39	38→40	46→50	43	188/249/265	77	248	5	10	25%	6%	40	-2.4	211/278/295	84	273	7	11	24%	7%	60	-1.0	214/288/286	72	266	9	15	22%	7%	59	-0.5
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	36	36→40	45→40	46	170/263/235	65	253	4	5	32%	9%	40	-2.4	187/263/267	80	309	5	4	37%	8%	46	-2.0	184/258/270	86	308	5	2	39%	8%	42	-0.8
✕Gregori Gonzalez 2010 · A	21	39	35→30	46→55	38	188/230/246	58	269	3	14	30%	5%	25	-3.5	217/258/295	78	269	3	13	20%	4%	50	-1.8	230/267/317	87	275	3	15	17%	3%	58	-0.3
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	40	37→40	50→55	42	191/251/266	76	262	4	12	28%	6%	40	-2.4	205/277/292	87	289	8	19	29%	8%	59	-1.1	203/290/292	89	267	11	29	26%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Ronaldo Pulgar 2018 · A	21	35	34→30	46→55	44	170/241/222	52	239	2	7	28%	7%	25	-3.5	197/260/265	68	266	4	12	26%	7%	43	-2.2	189/250/244	55	249	4	19	24%	6%	30	-1.3
✕Luis Sanchez 2008 · A	21	37	36→30	45→40	44	178/253/238	60	259	4	7	31%	8%	35	-2.8	196/255/250	54	275	2	4	27%	7%	37	-2.6	188/244/231	44	262	1	2	27%	7%	26	-1.6
✕Omar Guerra 2008 · A	21	41	35→30	48→50	45	193/274/246	53	257	2	9	24%	7%	46	-2.0	220/315/279	59	272	2	11	19%	6%	73	-0.1	229/342/268	39	277	0	15	15%	5%	79	+0.1
✕Yovanny Cuevas 2019 · A	21	38	35→30	47→50	46	182/255/241	60	248	2	11	26%	8%	37	-2.7	210/287/308	98	311	8	10	32%	9%	67	-0.5	233/322/379	146	326	19	19	32%	9%	98	+0.3
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2016 · A	21	36	33→30	49→50	35	172/223/217	44	258	1	14	32%	4%	15	-4.1	198/259/255	57	293	2	11	31%	5%	41	-2.3	191/263/226	34	287	0	13	30%	5%	33	-1.0
✕Victor Duarte 2022 · A	21	39	38→30	48→45	42	188/251/269	81	260	6	7	29%	6%	42	-2.3	199/274/280	81	291	6	6	31%	8%	55	-1.4	183/255/250	66	251	6	11	27%	8%	37	-0.7
✕Carlos Torres 2014 · A	21	39	38→30	47→50	42	192/253/263	71	257	6	9	27%	6%	40	-2.4	191/232/261	70	262	5	6	28%	5%	30	-3.1	187/220/244	57	251	3	4	26%	3%	17	-1.1
✕Richard Nunez 2016 · A	21	41	36→30	45→55	43	193/260/262	69	278	3	7	30%	7%	43	-2.2	196/273/264	68	268	3	11	26%	9%	50	-1.8	200/288/269	69	247	5	16	19%	10%	56	-0.3
✕Frank Hernandez 2023 · A	21	43	34→30	47→50	44	203/271/256	53	275	2	10	25%	6%	46	-2.0	205/260/264	59	300	3	8	31%	6%	43	-2.2	204/255/216	11	329	0	9	35%	5%	24	-0.9
✕Luis Ubiera 2017 · A	20	38	34→30	45→50	41	178/237/225	46	258	1	9	30%	6%	24	-3.6	198/272/259	61	260	2	9	23%	7%	48	-1.9	182/277/230	48	229	0	10	18%	9%	41	-0.8
✕Daniel Berg 2006 · A	21	38	37→40	44→40	40	185/251/255	69	257	5	9	29%	6%	38	-2.6	190/257/282	92	283	7	4	33%	7%	48	-1.9	189/260/279	90	281	8	2	33%	7%	45	-1.0
✕Angel Rojas 2014 · A	21	37	34→30	47→50	39	177/234/230	53	260	2	9	31%	6%	24	-3.6	201/253/269	68	288	3	6	29%	5%	42	-2.3	195/242/237	42	275	0	2	27%	4%	26	-0.6
✕James Harris 2014 · A	20	36→46	36→40	46→50	42	175/238/243	68	248	3	10	29%	6%	29	-3.2	211/272/302	91	306	7	12	31%	7%	58	-1.2	225/287/315	90	321	7	14	30%	7%	64	-0.5
✕Steven Baron 2012 · A	21	33	40→45	45→50	36	171/214/256	85	249	7	7	34%	5%	21	-3.7	187/224/281	94	269	6	9	32%	4%	32	-3.0	240/300/311	71	326	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.2