Osiris Johnson — OGILVIE

Osiris JohnsonSS Beloit Sky Carp

Age 25 R/R 6'0" / 198 lbs A+ HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 96 proj PA

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .254 / .299

PA8

HR0

K%26

BB%5

ISO96

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 46 / POW 31

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT46

scouting grade only

POWER31

scouting grade only

EYE37

scouting grade only

SPEED63

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	17	A	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	88	85	16	3	0	2	1	34	1	0	2	188	207	294	501	106	280	39	1	220	35	-7	-1	—	—	+2	-0.6
2018	17	ROK	GCL Marlins	—	111	103	31	8	2	1	4	19	2	7	2	301	339	447	786	146	353	17	4	342	117	+2	+1	—	—	+2	0.5
2021	20	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	283	255	50	8	1	3	23	80	3	6	1	196	270	271	541	75	270	28	8	250	55	-15	+1	—	—	+6	-0.8
2021	20	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	108	96	27	9	1	8	11	24	1	2	0	281	361	646	1.007	365	297	22	10	429	177	+10	+0	—	—	+2	1.3
2022	21	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	60	55	11	1	0	0	4	16	1	2	0	200	267	218	485	18	282	27	7	231	42	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2022	21	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	275	247	61	10	0	5	19	48	3	8	1	247	309	348	657	101	281	17	7	292	84	-5	+1	—	—	+6	0.2
2023	22	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	272	246	61	11	0	8	22	80	1	6	2	248	312	390	703	142	333	29	8	312	97	-1	+0	—	—	+6	0.6
2024	23	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	203	185	35	7	1	1	12	37	2	16	2	189	246	254	500	65	227	18	6	227	40	-15	+2	—	—	+4	-0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	17	A MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	88	85	11	2	0	1	1	47	1	0	2	129	149	188	338	59	259	53	1	149	-13	-12	-1	—	—	+2	-1.1
2018	17	ROK MLE	GCL Marlins	—	111	105	22	5	1	1	2	27	2	7	2	210	239	305	543	95	266	24	2	239	48	-7	+1	—	—	+2	-0.4
2021	20	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	283	262	38	5	1	2	16	106	3	6	1	145	203	195	398	50	226	37	6	182	9	-31	+1	—	—	+6	-2.4
2021	20	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	108	100	20	6	1	6	7	34	1	2	0	200	259	460	719	260	213	31	6	283	78	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.0
2022	21	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	60	56	9	1	0	0	3	21	1	2	0	161	217	179	395	18	253	35	5	178	7	-7	+0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2022	21	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	275	251	50	8	0	4	15	70	3	8	1	199	253	279	532	80	244	25	5	236	46	-18	+1	—	—	+6	-1.1
2023	22	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	272	252	48	7	0	7	16	107	1	6	2	190	242	302	543	111	293	39	6	240	49	-17	+0	—	—	+6	-1.1
2024	23	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	203	188	30	6	1	1	9	49	2	16	2	160	206	218	424	59	198	24	4	184	11	-22	+2	—	—	+4	-1.5
2018	17	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	199	190	33	7	1	2	3	74	3	7	4	174	199	253	452	79	265	37	2	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	199	188	47	11	2	3	5	53	3	7	4	250	281	378	658	128	326	27	3	288	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	391	362	56	10	1	8	23	141	4	8	1	155	213	254	468	99	223	36	6	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	391	351	77	17	2	11	34	104	4	8	1	219	296	373	669	154	277	27	9	300	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	335	308	58	8	0	4	17	92	4	10	1	188	240	253	493	65	249	27	5	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	335	302	72	11	0	5	23	64	4	10	1	238	301	325	625	86	282	19	7	281	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	272	252	48	7	0	7	16	107	1	6	2	190	242	302	543	111	295	39	6	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	Beloit Sky Carp	—	272	246	61	11	0	8	22	80	1	6	2	248	312	390	703	142	333	29	8	312	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	203	188	30	6	1	1	9	49	2	16	2	160	206	218	424	59	206	24	4	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	Beloit Sky Carp	—	203	185	35	7	1	1	12	37	2	16	2	189	246	254	500	65	227	18	6	227	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	199	191	33	7	1	2	3	74	3	7	4	173	199	251	450	79	263	37	2	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	391	361	56	10	1	8	23	141	4	8	1	155	213	255	468	100	222	36	6	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	335	311	58	8	0	4	17	92	4	10	1	186	240	251	491	64	246	27	5	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	272	253	48	7	0	7	16	107	1	6	2	190	242	300	542	111	293	39	6	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	203	190	30	6	1	1	9	49	2	16	2	158	206	216	422	58	198	24	4	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	272	253	48	7	0	7	16	107	1	6	2	190	242	300	542	111	293	39	6	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	203	190	30	6	1	1	9	49	2	16	2	158	206	216	422	58	198	24	4	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	25	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	8	8	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	125	125	125	250		268	25	0	251	56	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	MIA	30%	135	125	26	5	1	2	8	35	1	3	1	208	261	312	573	104	270	26	6	261	63	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2028	27	MLB MLE	MIA	42%	226	208	45	9	1	4	14	58	2	5	1	216	272	327	599	111	272	26	6	266	66	-9	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
2029	28	MLB MLE	MIA	48%	288	265	56	11	1	5	18	73	3	7	2	211	269	317	586	106	273	25	6	268	67	-11	+1	-1	+3	+6	-0.2
2030	29	MLB MLE	MIA	49%	322	295	62	12	1	6	21	82	3	7	2	210	270	319	588	108	272	25	7	268	67	-13	+1	-1	+3	+7	-0.3
2027	26	MLB CTX	MIA	30%	41	39	7	1	0	1	2	11	0	1	0	179	220	282	502	103	263	27	5	247	63	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	MIA	42%	94	87	18	3	0	2	6	24	1	2	1	207	266	310	576	103	264	26	6	252	66	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	MIA	48%	137	126	26	5	1	2	9	35	1	3	1	206	265	310	574	103	265	26	7	254	67	-5	+0	-0	+1	+3	-0.1
2030	29	MLB CTX	MIA	49%	159	147	31	6	1	3	10	41	1	4	1	211	266	327	592	116	265	26	6	254	67	-6	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	431	399	82	15	2	8	27	111	3	10	3	206	261	313	574	108	262	26	6	253	46	-17	+1	-1	+5	+9	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	602	124	23	3	12	41	167	5	15	5	206	263	314	577	108	263	26	6	253	46	-26	+1	-2	+7	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	2379	2201	415	75	7	39	129	713	23	69	16	189	241	282	523	94	256	30	5	236	46	-39	+2	-2	+10	+21	-0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	601	113	20	2	11	35	195	6	19	4	188	240	283	522	95	255	30	5	236	46	-26	+1	-1	+7	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.6	432	8	10	214	268	324	+5	+6	0.0	0.0
/162	664	12	16	+7.1	+9.2	0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Osiris Johnson (OGILVIE)	25	46	31	63	37	204/254/299	95	268	1	2	26%	5%	56	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Eliezer Mesa 2014 · AA	25	45→54	38→40	57→55	37	215/247/296	81	288	5	18	27%	4%	51	-2.2	236/270/321	85	297	6	12	22%	4%	65	-1.2	287/314/360	74	357	4	10	20%	3%	86	+0.1
✕Ryan Leonards 2015 · A	24	46	39→40	56→50	43	221/277/308	87	280	6	12	23%	6%	66	-1.1	219/281/297	78	280	5	9	22%	6%	65	-1.2	216/281/280	65	275	3	8	21%	7%	59	-0.7
✕Shannon Wilkerson 2013 · AA	25	44→49	39→40	54→55	39	213/249/300	86	275	7	18	25%	4%	53	-2.1	224/268/305	81	289	4	16	22%	5%	61	-1.5	236/273/307	70	292	2	12	19%	4%	60	-0.8
✕Nate Eaton 2022 · A	25	40→50	40→45	55→60	43	197/264/288	91	273	7	19	29%	7%	57	-1.8	216/270/336	120	285	13	28	28%	6%	71	-0.8	213/270/337	124	278	12	27	27%	6%	68	-0.7
✕Elliott Blair 2013 · A	25	43→53	39→40	53→50	39	203/267/293	90	284	6	12	29%	5%	60	-1.6	222/284/319	97	315	7	9	30%	6%	72	-0.7	231/293/329	99	329	7	9	30%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Tanner Kirwer 2021 · A	25	45	38→40	56→60	41	210/276/286	76	316	5	19	33%	7%	61	-1.5	210/289/309	99	299	11	33	31%	8%	72	-0.7	198/280/285	87	280	10	41	31%	8%	61	-0.8
✕Hunter Jones 2017 · AA	25	45→55	39→40	55	41	217/273/303	85	291	6	22	26%	6%	63	-1.3	219/275/311	92	284	7	14	24%	6%	66	-1.1	212/271/303	90	274	7	12	24%	6%	60	-0.9
✕Eduardo Torrealba 2023 · A	24	45	38→30	54→50	45	214/267/294	80	259	6	17	20%	6%	59	-1.6	211/271/284	73	266	5	14	21%	6%	59	-1.7	206/269/254	48	258	3	15	20%	7%	50	-1.2
✕Ryan Strausborger 2013 · AA	25	46→47	40→45	61→55	40	220/267/322	102	287	6	21	25%	5%	65	-1.2	218/259/320	102	276	8	24	23%	4%	62	-1.4	204/257/296	92	271	9	28	27%	5%	53	-1.0
✕Casio Grider 2013 · A	25	41→40	38→40	56→55	37	195/251/283	88	286	4	18	32%	5%	51	-2.2	202/259/288	86	306	6	23	34%	6%	55	-1.9	194/253/273	79	299	5	30	34%	5%	46	-1.4
✕Jacob Buchberger 2023 · AA	25	46→45	41→45	53→50	45	224/282/320	96	297	8	13	26%	7%	71	-0.8	213/274/319	106	289	11	13	28%	7%	68	-1.0	203/266/306	103	275	11	13	29%	7%	59	-1.2
✕Johnni Turbo 2013 · AA	24	48→52	39→40	56→55	38	230/264/316	86	302	6	18	26%	4%	62	-1.4	242/275/327	85	293	5	17	19%	3%	69	-0.9	244/281/309	65	298	2	18	18%	4%	64	-0.4
✕Patrick Arlis 2006 · A	25	44	41→40	52→50	40	213/258/304	91	293	9	10	30%	6%	58	-1.7	206/266/289	83	282	6	7	27%	7%	58	-1.7	211/285/291	80	275	4	4	23%	9%	65	-0.5
✕Michael Russell 2018 · AA	25	46→50	41→45	53→55	43	223/278/332	109	278	8	19	22%	6%	72	-0.7	218/263/314	96	287	7	14	25%	5%	62	-1.4	214/250/290	77	284	4	13	25%	4%	49	-1.3
✕Colt Sedbrook 2010 · AA	25	45→44	38→30	51→50	48	214/305/291	76	273	6	14	22%	8%	75	-0.5	206/301/279	73	263	5	12	22%	8%	71	-0.8	180/292/226	46	232	2	12	20%	9%	55	-1.1
✕Jack Dunn 2022 · A	25	50→48	38→40	53→55	47	235/298/314	79	300	6	15	23%	7%	76	-0.4	222/305/297	75	290	6	18	23%	10%	75	-0.5	213/306/284	71	274	6	21	22%	10%	71	-0.6
✕D.J. Burt 2021 · AA	25	44→51	38→40	55→65	43	211/266/291	80	290	6	26	28%	7%	58	-1.7	235/300/318	83	320	5	36	26%	8%	77	-0.3	243/312/317	74	327	4	49	25%	9%	78	-0.1
✕Brodie Greene 2013 · AA	25	47→49	39→40	52→50	45	227/276/313	86	270	6	16	18%	6%	66	-1.1	215/263/283	68	251	4	10	15%	6%	55	-2.0	212/260/263	52	245	3	7	14%	6%	47	-1.6
✕Patrick Biondi 2016 · A	25	48→44	37→30	55→60	44	227/276/298	71	294	4	23	24%	6%	63	-1.4	228/288/286	58	310	3	27	25%	7%	65	-1.2	223/291/263	41	309	1	33	26%	8%	59	-0.9
✕Mike Martin 2017 · A	24	45	36→30	51→55	44	211/278/271	60	288	4	14	27%	7%	59	-1.7	230/280/302	72	291	4	18	21%	6%	65	-1.2	243/288/302	60	299	2	27	18%	5%	66	-0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps