Elio Prado — OGILVIE

Elio PradoCF Jersey Shore BlueClaws

Age 24 R/R 6'0" / 160 lbs A+ HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 234 proj PA

wRC+†32

AVG/OBP/SLG.171 / .239 / .250

PA234

HR3

SB5

K%36

BB%7

ISO79

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Orioles 1	—	261	228	50	8	0	2	19	52	9	12	10	219	305	281	585	61	273	20	7	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK	DSL Orioles 1	—	261	217	65	12	0	3	30	36	9	12	10	300	406	396	803	97	344	14	11	362	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	284	247	46	5	1	1	26	80	10	3	2	186	290	227	516	40	269	28	9	242	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	284	234	46	6	2	1	39	63	10	3	2	197	336	252	588	56	263	22	14	285	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	2 teams	—	442	399	78	11	4	11	26	115	13	13	9	195	267	326	593	130	243	26	6	257	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	2 teams	—	442	381	94	15	4	12	44	83	13	13	9	247	345	402	746	155	284	19	10	335	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	305	271	46	9	1	3	30	88	3	19	9	170	260	244	503	74	238	29	10	230	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	305	260	58	11	2	4	40	65	3	19	9	223	332	327	659	104	281	21	13	305	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	2 teams	—	246	223	40	6	0	2	12	92	4	5	3	179	234	233	467	54	286	37	5	208	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	2 teams	—	246	215	46	8	0	3	20	71	4	5	3	214	293	293	586	79	297	29	8	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	24	MLB	PHI	—	234	213	38	7	1	3	16	84	3	5	3	178	246	263	509	85	266	36	7	227	32	-18	-0	+0	+1	+7	-1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	PHI	30%	297	270	50	9	1	5	21	102	4	7	3	185	254	281	536	96	269	34	7	242	43	-19	+0	+0	+1	+8	-1.0
2028	26	MLB	PHI	44%	356	322	60	11	1	6	26	119	5	8	4	186	258	283	540	96	271	33	7	250	49	-20	+0	+0	+1	+10	-0.9
2029	27	MLB	PHI	49%	381	344	65	12	1	7	29	126	5	8	4	189	262	291	553	102	273	33	8	254	52	-20	+0	+0	+1	+11	-0.8
2030	28	MLB	PHI	52%	396	358	67	12	1	7	30	130	5	8	4	187	260	285	544	98	273	33	8	255	53	-21	+0	-1	+1	+11	-0.9
2027	25	MLB	PHI	30%	90	83	15	3	0	1	6	31	1	2	1	181	244	253	497	72	271	34	7	234	37	-6	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.4
2028	26	MLB	PHI	44%	158	143	28	5	1	3	12	53	2	3	2	196	268	308	575	112	273	34	8	242	44	-10	-0	+0	+1	+4	-0.5
2029	27	MLB	PHI	49%	187	169	33	6	1	4	14	62	2	4	2	195	265	314	578	118	274	33	7	246	47	-11	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.5
2030	28	MLB	PHI	52%	204	183	35	6	1	4	16	67	3	4	2	191	267	301	568	109	275	33	8	247	47	-12	+0	-0	+1	+6	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	639	578	111	20	3	12	48	213	8	13	7	192	263	299	563	107	278	33	8	244	45	-40	-0	-0	+2	+18	-2.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	112	20	3	12	49	217	8	13	7	190	262	296	558	105	276	33	8	244	45	-41	-0	-0	+2	+18	-2.1
Career	—			—	3202	2875	540	90	11	47	235	988	61	88	51	188	264	276	539	88	265	31	7	245	45	-198	-3	-1	+11	+91	-10.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	110	18	2	10	48	201	12	18	10	188	264	277	541	89	265	31	7	245	45	-40	-0	-0	+2	+18	-2.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Orioles 1	—	261	217	65	12	0	3	30	36	9	12	10	300	406	396	803	97	344	14	11	362	135	+10	-2	—	—	+7	1.6
2022	20	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	284	234	46	6	2	1	39	63	10	3	2	197	336	252	588	56	263	22	14	285	77	-8	-0	—	—	+8	0.0
2023	21	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	162	142	34	7	2	5	12	37	6	6	2	239	325	423	748	183	287	23	7	330	111	+2	+0	—	—	+5	0.7
2023	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	280	239	60	8	2	7	32	46	7	7	7	251	356	389	745	138	282	16	11	337	116	+5	-1	—	—	+8	1.2
2024	22	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	305	260	58	11	2	4	40	65	3	19	9	223	332	327	659	104	281	21	13	305	91	-3	+0	—	—	+9	0.6
2025	23	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	90	80	16	3	0	1	8	32	1	2	2	200	281	275	556	75	312	36	9	257	55	-5	-0	—	—	+3	-0.3
2025	23	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	156	135	30	5	0	2	12	39	3	3	1	222	300	304	604	81	289	25	8	269	64	-6	+0	—	—	+4	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	639	12	13	190	258	292	+2	+5	-1.6	-0.8
	/162	664	12	14	190	258	292	+2.4	+5.2	-1.6	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Elio Prado (OGILVIE)	24	35	30	45	35	171/239/250	78	266	3	5	36%	7%	32	-1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jayson Hernandez 2013 · AA	24	39	39→30	49→30	36	190/233/274	83	280	6	8	33%	5%	34	-2.8	215/261/287	72	286	5	5	25%	4%	50	-1.8	229/273/258	30	292	2	0	21%	3%	43	-0.8
✕Cristopher Navarro 2023 · AA	24	38	34→30	46→45	35	183/227/233	50	283	3	6	35%	5%	20	-3.8	189/242/261	72	274	4	6	31%	6%	35	-2.8	168/225/233	65	237	3	2	29%	6%	18	-0.8
✕Cody Bohanek 2019 · AAA	24	39→36	38→40	47→50	41	189/267/262	73	276	7	10	32%	7%	48	-1.9	173/266/261	88	295	8	12	40%	8%	48	-1.9	147/253/237	90	268	8	16	43%	8%	36	-1.6
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	37→28	42→45	48→50	40	187/248/281	94	262	11	15	32%	6%	43	-2.2	194/265/312	118	265	14	14	31%	8%	59	-1.1	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Ryan Dent 2013 · AAA	24	39→42	37→40	44→50	41	190/244/257	67	269	6	9	30%	6%	35	-2.8	207/259/290	83	290	6	12	29%	6%	50	-1.8	204/255/292	88	287	6	12	30%	5%	46	-1.1
✕Connor Justus 2019 · AA	24	40→37	38→40	42→45	45	190/273/269	79	271	6	8	30%	8%	52	-1.6	172/246/239	67	256	5	8	32%	7%	33	-2.9	143/216/191	47	222	3	6	34%	7%	5	-2.9
✕Max Burt 2021 · AA	24	39	40→45	44→55	34	192/239/277	84	280	9	6	34%	4%	38	-2.6	202/254/321	119	291	13	16	34%	5%	56	-1.3	193/249/316	123	274	14	21	34%	6%	50	-0.9
✕Jon Murphy 2013 · A	23	38	38→30	47→50	39	185/237/262	77	264	5	13	31%	6%	33	-2.9	197/249/259	62	309	3	10	35%	6%	37	-2.6	191/245/241	50	305	2	10	36%	6%	27	-1.8
✕Connor Blair 2022 · A	24	37	39→45	48→45	45	178/255/258	80	271	7	11	34%	9%	40	-2.4	199/285/312	113	313	12	8	37%	9%	68	-0.5	163/272/277	114	257	15	5	39%	11%	52	-0.5
✕Seth Harrison 2016 · A	24	38→42	37→45	46→50	34	183/228/255	72	280	5	14	35%	4%	27	-3.3	206/255/306	100	283	8	12	29%	5%	52	-1.6	208/256/319	111	271	10	12	26%	5%	53	-1.2
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	35	36→40	52→50	40	172/231/233	61	252	4	15	32%	6%	24	-3.6	212/280/299	87	278	9	14	25%	8%	62	-0.9	207/281/290	83	267	10	16	25%	8%	57	-0.6
✕Ethan Murray 2023 · AA	23	35→45	41→40	51→50	42	177/250/275	97	266	9	13	35%	8%	43	-2.2	197/270/288	91	301	7	12	34%	8%	55	-1.4	193/271/278	85	293	6	13	33%	8%	49	-1.1
✕Brock Hebert 2015 · AA	24	44	37→40	51→50	37	203/260/273	71	311	4	14	34%	6%	46	-2.0	202/276/293	91	324	5	10	36%	8%	58	-1.2	200/291/299	99	327	4	9	36%	10%	66	-0.3
✕Roberto Baldoquin 2018 · A	24	42	36→30	43→45	38	202/249/266	64	290	4	8	31%	5%	39	-2.5	210/257/285	75	300	4	7	30%	5%	47	-1.9	205/259/264	59	286	2	4	27%	5%	40	-1.2
✕Jio Mier 2015 · AAA	24	40→43	38→40	42→50	42	195/252/270	76	266	6	9	28%	7%	42	-2.3	202/257/289	87	270	7	8	26%	6%	49	-1.8	193/248/276	82	256	6	7	26%	6%	39	-1.3
✕Gunnar Heidt 2017 · A	24	38→39	41→45	48→50	39	188/245/290	102	278	8	15	34%	6%	44	-2.1	192/247/294	102	293	9	12	36%	6%	46	-2.0	188/243/286	98	278	10	9	34%	6%	40	-1.8
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	40	49→50	44	178/256/260	82	272	8	14	35%	9%	42	-2.3	211/287/303	92	304	7	12	30%	9%	66	-0.6	219/303/313	94	309	5	13	28%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Rylan Sandoval 2012 · A	24	38	40	44→45	36	184/248/271	87	283	8	5	36%	5%	41	-2.3	200/252/288	88	300	7	7	34%	5%	46	-2.0	201/250/281	80	299	6	6	33%	5%	40	-0.9
✕Ashford Fulmer 2017 · A	24	39	36→40	51→50	37	180/249/244	64	296	3	13	37%	6%	34	-2.8	203/266/281	78	292	4	12	30%	7%	50	-1.7	197/262/269	71	278	3	15	28%	6%	42	-1.1
✕Gift Ngoepe 2014 · AA	24	39→40	38→45	51→50	37	180/245/262	82	309	5	17	41%	7%	37	-2.6	203/256/312	109	315	10	11	36%	6%	55	-1.4	171/250/283	112	296	11	5	43%	9%	43	-0.9