Elio Prado — OGILVIE

Elio PradoCF Jersey Shore BlueClaws

Age 24 R/R 6'0" / 160 lbs A+ HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 234 proj PA

wRC+†41

AVG/OBP/SLG.174 / .240 / .253

PA19

HR0

K%35

BB%7

ISO79

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	17	ROK	DSL Orioles 1	—	261	217	65	12	0	3	30	36	9	12	10	300	406	396	803	97	344	14	11	362	131	+10	-2	—	—	+6	1.4
2022	20	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	284	234	46	6	2	1	39	63	10	3	2	197	336	252	588	56	263	22	14	285	79	-7	-0	—	—	+6	-0.1
2023	21	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	162	142	34	7	2	5	12	37	6	6	2	239	325	423	748	183	287	23	7	330	110	+2	+0	—	—	+4	0.6
2023	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	280	239	60	8	2	7	32	46	7	7	7	251	356	389	745	138	282	16	11	337	114	+5	-1	—	—	+6	1.0
2024	22	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	305	260	58	11	2	4	40	65	3	19	9	223	332	327	659	104	281	21	13	305	92	-3	+0	—	—	+7	0.4
2025	23	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	90	80	16	3	0	1	8	32	1	2	2	200	281	275	556	75	312	36	9	257	60	-4	-0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2025	23	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	156	135	30	5	0	2	12	39	3	3	1	222	300	304	604	81	289	25	8	269	68	-6	+0	—	—	+3	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles 1	—	261	228	50	8	0	2	19	52	9	12	10	219	305	281	585	61	261	20	7	261	63	-12	-2	—	—	+6	-0.8
2022	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	284	248	43	5	1	1	25	84	10	3	2	173	276	214	489	40	258	30	9	232	43	-19	-0	—	—	+6	-1.4
2023	21	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	162	146	27	5	2	4	8	50	6	6	2	185	256	329	585	144	249	31	5	259	61	-7	+0	—	—	+4	-0.4
2023	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	280	252	51	6	2	6	19	65	7	7	7	202	277	313	590	111	239	23	7	258	61	-13	-1	—	—	+6	-0.9
2024	22	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	305	273	48	9	2	3	28	88	3	19	9	176	260	256	516	81	243	29	9	233	44	-20	+0	—	—	+7	-1.4
2025	23	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	—	90	82	13	2	0	1	6	38	1	2	2	159	225	220	444	61	280	42	7	202	23	-8	-0	—	—	+2	-0.7
2025	23	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	156	140	26	4	0	2	7	52	3	3	1	186	240	257	497	71	251	33	4	210	28	-13	+0	—	—	+3	-1.0
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles 1	—	261	228	50	8	0	2	19	52	9	12	10	219	305	281	585	61	273	20	7	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles 1	—	261	217	65	12	0	3	30	36	9	12	10	300	406	396	803	97	344	14	11	362	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	284	248	43	5	1	1	25	84	10	3	2	173	276	214	489	40	256	30	9	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	284	234	46	6	2	1	39	63	10	3	2	197	336	252	588	56	263	22	14	285	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	442	398	79	11	4	10	27	115	13	13	9	198	272	322	593	123	250	26	6	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	442	381	94	15	4	12	44	83	13	13	9	247	345	402	746	155	284	19	10	335	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	305	273	48	9	2	3	28	88	3	19	9	176	260	256	516	81	246	29	9	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	305	260	58	11	2	4	40	65	3	19	9	223	332	327	659	104	281	21	13	305	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	246	222	39	6	0	2	13	91	4	5	3	176	234	230	464	54	278	37	5	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	246	215	46	8	0	3	20	71	4	5	3	214	293	293	586	79	297	29	8	265	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles 1	—	261	231	50	8	0	2	19	52	9	12	10	216	305	277	582	61	261	20	7	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	284	247	43	5	1	1	25	84	10	3	2	174	276	215	490	40	258	30	9	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	442	399	79	11	4	10	27	115	13	13	9	198	272	321	592	123	243	26	6	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	305	271	48	9	2	3	28	88	3	19	9	177	260	258	518	81	243	29	9	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	246	227	39	6	0	2	13	91	4	5	3	172	234	225	459	53	262	37	5	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	442	399	79	11	4	10	27	115	13	13	9	198	272	321	592	123	243	26	6	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	305	271	48	9	2	3	28	88	3	19	9	177	260	258	518	81	243	29	9	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	246	227	39	6	0	2	13	91	4	5	3	172	234	225	459	53	262	37	5	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	24	MLB MLE	PHI	0%	19	18	3	1	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	167	211	222	433	56	265	37	5	229	41	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	PHI	30%	297	270	50	9	1	5	21	99	4	7	3	185	254	281	536	96	268	33	7	243	51	-17	+0	+0	+1	+6	-1.0
2028	26	MLB MLE	PHI	44%	356	322	61	11	1	6	26	116	5	8	4	189	261	286	546	96	270	33	7	251	56	-19	+0	+0	+1	+8	-1.0
2029	27	MLB MLE	PHI	49%	381	345	66	12	1	7	28	123	5	8	4	191	262	293	555	101	272	32	7	255	59	-19	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.9
2027	25	MLB CTX	PHI	30%	90	83	16	3	0	2	6	30	1	2	1	193	256	301	557	108	271	33	7	237	51	-5	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.3
2028	26	MLB CTX	PHI	44%	158	144	28	5	1	3	11	52	2	3	2	194	261	306	567	111	273	33	7	246	56	-8	-0	+0	+1	+3	-0.5
2029	27	MLB CTX	PHI	49%	187	169	34	6	1	4	14	60	2	4	2	201	270	320	590	118	274	32	7	250	59	-9	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	435	396	78	14	2	9	31	142	5	9	5	197	264	311	574	114	279	33	7	246	52	-23	-0	+0	+2	+9	-1.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	116	21	3	13	46	212	7	13	7	196	262	307	569	111	278	33	7	246	52	-34	-0	+0	+2	+14	-1.8
Career	—	MLE		—	2591	2324	439	72	10	36	188	775	53	75	44	189	265	275	540	86	264	30	7	244	52	-56	+0	+0	+4	+23	-3.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	111	18	3	9	47	194	13	19	11	190	266	278	544	87	266	30	7	244	52	-35	+0	+0	+2	+14	-1.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.7	435	8	9	191	257	293	+2	+2	-0.9	-0.4
/162	664	12	14	+2.4	+3.8	-1.4	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Elio Prado (OGILVIE)	24	35	30	45	35	174/240/253	79	265	3	5	35%	7%	41	-1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jayson Hernandez 2013 · AA	24	39	39→30	49→30	37	192/235/277	84	280	6	8	33%	5%	43	-2.8	215/262/289	74	286	5	5	25%	4%	56	-1.9	229/274/261	32	293	2	0	21%	3%	51	-0.9
✕Cody Bohanek 2019 · AAA	24	39→36	38→40	47→50	41	188/265/260	72	272	7	10	31%	6%	53	-2.1	177/270/265	88	291	8	12	39%	8%	56	-1.9	151/256/238	88	264	7	16	41%	8%	45	-1.6
✕Seth Harrison 2016 · A	24	38→43	37→40	46→50	35	184/228/259	75	279	5	14	35%	4%	36	-3.3	206/255/298	92	287	7	12	29%	5%	55	-1.9	206/256/302	96	276	8	12	27%	5%	54	-1.5
✕Cristopher Navarro 2023 · AA	24	39	35→30	46→45	36	185/230/236	51	281	3	6	34%	5%	31	-3.7	191/245/263	72	274	5	6	30%	6%	44	-2.8	172/230/237	65	240	4	2	28%	6%	31	-0.8
✕Jon Murphy 2013 · A	23	38	38→30	47→50	39	185/237/262	77	264	5	13	31%	6%	40	-3.0	198/251/261	63	306	3	10	34%	6%	46	-2.6	192/247/244	53	300	3	10	35%	6%	37	-1.7
✕Ryan Dent 2012 · AA	23	38→42	39→40	45→50	39	189/242/276	87	272	6	12	32%	6%	46	-2.6	204/257/277	73	280	5	12	27%	6%	52	-2.2	208/259/293	85	287	6	12	28%	5%	54	-1.1
✕Connor Justus 2019 · AA	24	39→38	38→40	42→45	46	188/272/267	79	265	6	8	29%	8%	57	-1.8	177/251/244	67	256	4	8	30%	7%	43	-2.8	152/224/201	49	226	2	6	31%	7%	21	-2.7
✕Roberto Baldoquin 2018 · A	24	42	37→30	43→45	38	201/246/268	67	287	5	8	31%	5%	45	-2.7	214/261/289	75	300	4	7	29%	5%	55	-1.9	212/267/270	58	291	2	4	26%	5%	51	-1.1
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	38→31	42→45	48→50	41	191/251/284	93	257	11	15	30%	6%	52	-2.2	195/269/308	113	260	13	14	29%	8%	64	-1.3	179/261/273	93	244	9	8	29%	9%	52	-0.9
✕Max Burt 2021 · AA	24	39	40→45	44→55	34	195/241/277	82	279	8	6	33%	4%	46	-2.6	200/251/312	112	283	12	16	32%	5%	58	-1.7	190/246/305	114	266	13	21	32%	5%	52	-1.2
✕Connor Blair 2022 · A	24	37	39→45	48→45	45	179/255/257	79	269	6	11	34%	9%	47	-2.5	196/281/311	115	314	12	8	38%	9%	70	-0.8	152/262/269	117	243	16	5	41%	11%	52	-0.7
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	36	36→40	52→50	41	176/235/239	63	249	4	15	30%	6%	35	-3.4	212/281/292	80	276	8	14	24%	8%	65	-1.2	205/280/278	73	264	8	16	24%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Nic Kent 2023 · A	23	36→42	35→40	48→50	35	177/223/235	58	267	3	14	34%	5%	29	-3.8	204/256/285	81	269	7	10	26%	5%	53	-2.1	200/260/285	86	274	8	9	29%	6%	52	-1.3
✕Ashford Fulmer 2017 · A	24	39	36→40	51→50	37	180/249/244	64	298	3	13	38%	6%	42	-2.9	204/267/282	78	290	4	12	29%	7%	57	-1.8	201/266/271	70	279	2	15	26%	6%	51	-1.1
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	177/255/257	79	269	8	14	35%	9%	48	-2.5	207/287/299	92	295	7	12	29%	9%	69	-0.9	212/301/305	93	294	5	13	27%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Rylan Sandoval 2012 · A	24	39	41→40	44→45	37	190/254/282	92	282	9	5	34%	5%	53	-2.1	207/258/299	92	302	7	7	32%	5%	57	-1.8	210/259/294	84	306	6	6	32%	5%	52	-0.8
✕Chris Givin 2022 · AA	25	38	38→30	50→45	43	188/250/263	74	259	6	6	29%	7%	46	-2.6	203/267/280	77	271	6	7	26%	7%	57	-1.8	197/264/256	59	255	4	5	23%	8%	47	-1.2
✕Gunnar Heidt 2017 · A	24	40→41	41→45	48→50	40	195/252/298	103	283	8	15	32%	6%	55	-1.9	196/250/296	100	294	9	12	34%	6%	53	-2.1	192/245/287	96	279	9	9	33%	6%	48	-1.8
✕Matt Pagnozzi 2007 · AA	24	37	38→40	43→40	39	181/239/262	81	264	5	4	32%	6%	42	-2.9	197/247/275	78	277	6	4	29%	5%	47	-2.5	210/276/290	80	290	6	0	28%	7%	60	-0.7
✕Kevin Vicuña 2022 · AAA	24	43→41	36→40	50	38	206/258/273	67	281	4	15	27%	4%	51	-2.2	223/274/311	88	291	5	12	24%	5%	66	-1.1	229/278/316	87	296	4	10	23%	4%	65	-0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps