Elio Prado
CF Jersey Shore BlueClaws| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | A+/A2 orgs | 442 | .247/.345/.402 | 12 | 13 | 60 | — | .197/.272/.320 |
| 2024 | 22 | A+Aberdeen Iron… | 305 | .223/.332/.327 | 4 | 19 | 38 | — | .167/.243/.239 |
| 2025 | 23 | AA/A+PHI | 246 | .214/.293/.293 | 3 | 5 | 24 | — | .171/.230/.234 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 25 | MLBPHI | 1 | .182/.244/.264 | 0 | 0 | 43 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 26 | MLBPHI | 47 | .187/.249/.277 | 1 | 1 | 47 | -0.2 |
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 30
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL Orioles 1 | — | 261 | 217 | 65 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 36 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 300 | 406 | 396 | 803 | 97 | 344 | 14 | 11 | 362 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 284 | 234 | 46 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 63 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 197 | 336 | 252 | 588 | 56 | 263 | 22 | 14 | 285 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | — | 162 | 142 | 34 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 37 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 239 | 325 | 423 | 748 | 183 | 287 | 23 | 7 | 330 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 280 | 239 | 60 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 46 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 251 | 356 | 389 | 745 | 138 | 282 | 16 | 11 | 337 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | — | 305 | 260 | 58 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 40 | 65 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 223 | 332 | 327 | 659 | 104 | 281 | 21 | 13 | 305 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 90 | 80 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 200 | 281 | 275 | 556 | 75 | 312 | 36 | 9 | 257 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 156 | 135 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 39 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 222 | 300 | 304 | 604 | 81 | 289 | 25 | 8 | 269 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Orioles 1 | — | 261 | 226 | 42 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 44 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 186 | 281 | 230 | 511 | 44 | 217 | 17 | 8 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 284 | 245 | 44 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 81 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 180 | 290 | 229 | 518 | 49 | 258 | 29 | 10 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ MLE | Aberdeen IronBirds | — | 162 | 147 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 49 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 190 | 256 | 354 | 610 | 163 | 238 | 30 | 4 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 280 | 250 | 50 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 62 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 200 | 281 | 300 | 581 | 100 | 235 | 22 | 8 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | Aberdeen IronBirds | — | 305 | 276 | 46 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 86 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 167 | 243 | 239 | 483 | 72 | 229 | 28 | 8 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 90 | 82 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 38 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 171 | 236 | 232 | 468 | 61 | 290 | 42 | 7 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 156 | 140 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 51 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 171 | 227 | 236 | 462 | 64 | 235 | 33 | 4 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Orioles 1 | — | 261 | 226 | 42 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 44 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 186 | 281 | 230 | 511 | 44 | 224 | 17 | 8 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Orioles 1 | — | 261 | 217 | 65 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 36 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 300 | 406 | 396 | 803 | 97 | 344 | 14 | 11 | 362 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 284 | 245 | 44 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 81 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 180 | 290 | 229 | 518 | 49 | 262 | 29 | 10 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A RAW | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 284 | 234 | 46 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 63 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 197 | 336 | 252 | 588 | 56 | 263 | 22 | 14 | 285 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 442 | 397 | 78 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 111 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 196 | 272 | 320 | 592 | 123 | 244 | 25 | 6 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 442 | 381 | 94 | 15 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 83 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 247 | 345 | 402 | 746 | 155 | 284 | 19 | 10 | 335 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | Aberdeen IronBirds | — | 305 | 276 | 46 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 86 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 167 | 243 | 239 | 483 | 72 | 229 | 28 | 8 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ RAW | Aberdeen IronBirds | — | 305 | 260 | 58 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 40 | 65 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 223 | 332 | 327 | 659 | 104 | 281 | 21 | 13 | 305 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 246 | 223 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 89 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 170 | 226 | 224 | 450 | 54 | 265 | 36 | 5 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 246 | 215 | 46 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 71 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 214 | 293 | 293 | 586 | 79 | 297 | 29 | 8 | 265 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Orioles 1 | — | 261 | 229 | 42 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 44 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 183 | 281 | 227 | 508 | 44 | 217 | 17 | 8 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 284 | 244 | 44 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 81 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 180 | 290 | 230 | 519 | 49 | 258 | 29 | 10 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 442 | 398 | 78 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 111 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 196 | 272 | 319 | 591 | 123 | 236 | 25 | 6 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | Aberdeen IronBirds | — | 305 | 274 | 46 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 86 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 168 | 243 | 241 | 484 | 73 | 229 | 28 | 8 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 246 | 228 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 89 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 167 | 226 | 219 | 445 | 53 | 255 | 36 | 5 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | Aberdeen IronBirds | — | 305 | 274 | 46 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 86 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 168 | 243 | 241 | 484 | 73 | 229 | 28 | 8 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 246 | 228 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 89 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 167 | 226 | 219 | 445 | 53 | 255 | 36 | 5 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | PHI | 0% | 296 | 272 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 96 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 182 | 243 | 261 | 504 | 80 | 264 | 32 | 6 | 231 | 43 | -20 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB CTX | PHI | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 244 | 264 | 507 | 81 | 264 | 0 | 0 | 232 | 43 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | PHI | 30% | 156 | 143 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 50 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 186 | 248 | 274 | 522 | 88 | 265 | 32 | 6 | 238 | 47 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | PHI | 30% | 47 | 43 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 187 | 249 | 277 | 526 | 90 | 265 | 32 | 6 | 240 | 47 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 47 | 43 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 209 | 277 | 326 | 602 | 116 | 296 | 32 | 6 | 240 | 45 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 595 | 125 | 28 | 0 | 14 | 41 | 207 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 210 | 277 | 328 | 605 | 118 | 297 | 32 | 6 | 240 | 45 | -41 | +3 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -2.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1819 | 1625 | 295 | 47 | 8 | 20 | 132 | 502 | 42 | 57 | 35 | 182 | 261 | 257 | 518 | 76 | 246 | 28 | 7 | 235 | 45 | -18 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -1.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 581 | 106 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 47 | 179 | 15 | 20 | 13 | 182 | 262 | 258 | 520 | 76 | 247 | 28 | 7 | 235 | 45 | -42 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -2.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 156 PAwOBA .267 → .202 (−66)K% 25.0% → 32.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷1.002 | ×1.310 | — | — | 32.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.69% | ÷1.093 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.988 | 4.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.92% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.988 | 1.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.96% | ÷0.966 | ×0.870 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 20.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.21% | ÷1.073 | ×0.780 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 3.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.08% | ÷1.045 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 1.73% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 93, 2B 115, 3B 130, K 100, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .267 → .202; ISO .081 → .062; BABIP .289 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAReading Fightin Phils · 90 PAwOBA .253 → .207 (−46)K% 35.6% → 42.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.56% | ÷1.016 | ×1.220 | — | — | 42.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.89% | ÷0.982 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 6.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.11% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.968 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 24.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.004 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 5.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.959 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.08% | ÷1.036 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 1.59% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 94, 2B 101, 3B 92, K 103, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .253 → .207; ISO .075 → .056; BABIP .312 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Aberdeen IronBirds · 305 PAwOBA .298 → .224 (−74)K% 21.3% → 28.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.31% | ÷0.993 | ×1.310 | — | — | 28.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.11% | ÷0.947 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 8.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.98% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 0.76% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.03% | ÷1.048 | ×0.870 | ×0.999 | ×0.998 | 17.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.64% | ÷0.980 | ×0.780 | ×0.999 | ×0.998 | 4.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.03% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.999 | ×0.998 | 0.76% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.05% | ÷1.026 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 1.76% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 110, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 99, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .298 → .224; ISO .104 → .083; BABIP .281 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 280 PAwOBA .331 → .257 (−74)K% 16.4% → 22.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.43% | ÷1.008 | ×1.360 | — | — | 22.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.43% | ÷1.065 | ×0.690 | — | — | 7.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.50% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 1.95% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.28% | ÷1.020 | ×0.920 | ×0.952 | — | 19.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.15% | ÷1.101 | ×0.830 | ×0.952 | — | 2.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.04% | ÷0.940 | ×0.910 | ×0.952 | — | 0.96% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.63% | ÷1.020 | ×0.800 | — | — | 2.84% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 104, 2B 120, 3B 88, K 102, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.952.
Result: wOBA .331 → .257; ISO .138 → .108; BABIP .282 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Aberdeen IronBirds · 162 PAwOBA .324 → .257 (−66)K% 22.8% → 30.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.84% | ÷0.986 | ×1.310 | — | — | 30.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.41% | ÷0.982 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.012 | 4.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.70% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.012 | 2.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.05% | ÷1.037 | ×0.870 | ×0.984 | ×1.012 | 15.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷0.980 | ×0.780 | ×0.984 | ×1.012 | 5.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.90% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | ×0.984 | ×1.012 | 1.79% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.76% | ÷0.912 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 4.65% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 107, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 97, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.
Result: wOBA .324 → .257; ISO .183 → .162; BABIP .287 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 284 PAwOBA .280 → .238 (−42)K% 22.2% → 28.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.18% | ÷1.061 | ×1.360 | — | — | 28.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.73% | ÷0.979 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 9.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.52% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 2.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.64% | ÷0.955 | ×0.920 | ×1.027 | ×1.015 | 21.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.51% | ÷0.976 | ×0.830 | ×1.027 | ×1.015 | 3.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.17% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.027 | ×1.015 | 0.97% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.58% | ÷1.128 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.42% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 91, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 112, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.
Result: wOBA .280 → .238; ISO .056 → .045; BABIP .263 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 DSLDSL Orioles 1 · 261 PAwOBA .356 → .236 (−120)K% 13.8% → 16.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.79% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 16.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.49% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 8.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.45% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 2.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.62% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 17.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.63% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 3.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.66% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.78% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .356 → .236; ISO .097 → .054; BABIP .344 → .217. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).