Victor Duarte — OGILVIE

Victor Duarte2B Lake Elsinore Storm

Age 25 R/R 5'10" / 170 lbs A HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION122 act + 81 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .270 / .283

PA81

HR1

K%26

BB%7

BABIP268

ISO81

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 39 / POW 34

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT39

scouting grade only

POWER34

scouting grade only

EYE46

scouting grade only

SPEED51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	18	ROK	DSL Padres	—	163	139	18	4	1	1	9	24	10	6	3	129	234	194	428	65	144	15	6	192	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK	DSL Padres	—	163	133	23	6	1	1	15	17	10	6	3	173	304	256	559	83	185	10	9	263	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK	2 teams	—	55	52	8	1	1	1	3	22	0	0	0	154	200	269	469	115	241	40	5	177	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK	2 teams	—	55	50	10	1	1	1	5	16	0	0	0	200	273	320	593	120	273	29	9	269	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	105	93	15	3	0	2	7	40	5	0	0	161	257	258	515	97	255	38	7	225	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	105	89	20	5	0	2	10	28	5	0	0	225	333	348	682	124	305	27	10	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	200	172	34	5	1	1	19	47	5	4	0	198	296	256	552	58	258	24	10	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	200	161	37	7	1	1	28	32	5	4	0	230	357	304	661	75	273	16	14	306	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A	2 teams	—	132	127	18	4	0	0	5	45	0	3	0	142	174	173	347	31	220	34	4	153	-25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A	2 teams	—	132	123	23	6	0	0	6	32	0	3	0	187	220	236	455	49	253	24	5	207	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	A	SD	—	122	107	24	4	0	3	12	31	1	7	2	224	308	346	654	121	284	25	10	296	84	-2	+1	+0	+0	+3	0.2
YTD	25	A	SD	—	122	98	27	5	0	4	17	24	1	7	2	276	375	449	824	173	324	20	14	358	132	+4	+1	+0	+0	+3	0.9
ROS	25	A	SD	0%	81	74	15	3	0	1	6	21	1	2	1	202	270	283	553	81	273	26	7	257	55	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
ROS	25	MLB	SD	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		270	—	—	247	47	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	25	A	SD	—	122	108	24	4	0	3	12	31	1	7	2	222	308	343	651	120	280	25	10	296	84	-2	+1	+0	+0	+3	0.2
TOT	25	A	SD	—	203	181	39	7	0	4	18	52	2	9	3	215	293	320	613	105	277	26	9	280	72	-6	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	SD	30%	293	267	56	11	1	4	22	76	2	7	2	210	275	303	578	94	276	26	8	267	63	-12	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.2
2028	27	MLB	SD	42%	335	303	65	13	1	6	26	86	3	7	2	215	283	323	607	109	277	26	8	272	66	-13	+1	+0	+1	+9	-0.2
2029	28	MLB	SD	48%	362	328	70	14	1	6	28	93	3	8	2	213	281	317	598	104	277	26	8	273	67	-13	+1	-1	+1	+10	-0.2
2030	29	MLB	SD	49%	370	335	71	14	1	6	29	96	3	7	2	212	281	313	594	101	277	26	8	273	67	-14	+1	-1	+1	+10	-0.3
2027	26	MLB	SD	30%	88	80	16	3	0	1	7	23	1	2	0	200	273	275	548	75	272	26	8	258	55	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
2028	27	MLB	SD	42%	139	126	27	5	1	2	11	36	1	3	1	214	283	317	600	103	273	26	8	262	59	-7	+0	+0	+0	+4	-0.2
2029	28	MLB	SD	48%	172	156	33	6	1	3	13	44	1	4	1	212	276	321	597	109	274	26	8	263	60	-8	+0	-0	+1	+5	-0.2
2030	29	MLB	SD	49%	182	164	35	7	1	3	14	47	2	4	1	213	283	323	607	110	273	26	8	263	59	-8	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	581	527	111	21	3	9	45	150	5	13	3	211	280	313	593	102	275	26	8	262	59	-27	+1	-1	+2	+16	-0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	123	23	3	10	50	168	6	15	3	208	278	308	586	100	272	26	8	262	59	-30	+2	-1	+2	+18	-0.9
Career	—			—	2096	1890	370	72	7	28	154	550	32	44	12	196	268	286	553	90	258	26	7	250	50	-119	+4	-2	+7	+59	-5.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	115	22	2	9	48	171	10	14	4	196	269	287	556	90	258	26	7	250	50	-37	+1	-1	+2	+18	-1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	18	ROK	DSL Padres	—	163	133	23	6	1	1	15	17	10	6	3	173	304	256	559	83	185	10	9	263	59	-8	+0	—	—	+5	-0.3
2021	20	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	17	16	4	0	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	250	294	438	732	188	333	35	6	323	105	+0	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2021	20	ROK	ACL Padres	—	38	34	6	1	1	0	4	10	0	0	0	176	263	265	528	88	250	26	11	245	46	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2022	21	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	105	89	20	5	0	2	10	28	5	0	0	225	333	348	682	124	305	27	10	314	99	-0	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2023	22	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	200	161	37	7	1	1	28	32	5	4	0	230	357	304	661	75	273	16	14	306	92	-2	+1	—	—	+6	0.5
2025	24	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	65	60	10	2	0	0	2	19	0	2	0	167	185	200	385	33	244	29	3	172	-10	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2025	24	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	67	63	13	4	0	0	4	13	0	1	0	206	254	270	524	63	260	19	6	240	42	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	755	11	15	212	274	311	+3	+3	-0.7	-0.4
	/162	664	10	14	212	274	311	+2.4	+2.6	-0.7	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Victor Duarte (OGILVIE)	25	39	34	51	46	215/293/320	105	277	4	9	26%	9%	72	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ross Wilson 2014 · AA	25	42→47	38→40	47→45	45	199/271/278	79	264	5	7	26%	7%	53	-1.5	205/267/311	106	274	10	6	28%	6%	59	-1.1	195/256/316	120	255	13	2	28%	5%	57	-0.8
✕T.J. White 2017 · AA	25	43→44	39→45	52→45	42	206/268/297	90	269	6	10	25%	6%	56	-1.3	209/270/340	131	276	14	6	28%	6%	68	-0.5	198/262/348	150	252	18	2	29%	6%	64	-0.3
✕Jermaine Palacios 2021 · AA	25	41→47	38→45	45→50	41	198/245/274	76	268	6	12	28%	6%	39	-2.5	219/273/355	136	297	18	14	31%	6%	73	-0.1	211/262/352	141	281	20	13	32%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Steven Baron 2016 · AAA	25	45	38→45	51→50	41	215/261/298	83	295	4	10	28%	6%	52	-1.6	231/289/308	77	317	6	6	27%	7%	67	-0.5	227/288/285	58	316	5	2	28%	7%	56	-0.5
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2023 · A	25	41→43	39→45	47→50	45	200/275/283	83	276	7	13	29%	8%	56	-1.3	207/278/312	105	288	10	11	30%	8%	64	-0.8	165/242/293	128	222	16	8	33%	8%	42	-0.6
✕Robbie Shields 2013 · A	25	42→36	39→40	47→45	44	205/260/294	89	264	6	8	24%	6%	51	-1.7	196/249/271	75	276	4	7	28%	6%	40	-2.4	175/225/238	62	250	2	5	29%	6%	17	-2.4
✕Nick Meyer 2022 · AAA	25	42	38→40	47→50	43	204/265/279	75	266	7	12	25%	6%	50	-1.7	216/287/315	99	282	11	15	26%	8%	69	-0.4	204/282/295	91	265	12	18	26%	9%	58	-0.5
✕Jake Kahaulelio 2010 · AA	25	46→43	38→45	51→45	42	218/272/309	91	284	4	11	24%	5%	60	-1.0	212/276/324	112	262	10	8	22%	6%	66	-0.6	202/272/314	112	242	12	6	21%	7%	59	-0.6
✕Cody Roberts 2021 · A	25	44	37→45	49→40	42	209/265/278	69	296	4	6	30%	7%	49	-1.8	208/271/314	106	317	10	4	35%	7%	62	-0.9	206/264/309	102	301	9	3	33%	6%	55	-0.5
✕Tyler Stubblefield 2013 · A	25	42	38→45	51→50	47	200/279/278	78	260	5	12	24%	8%	56	-1.3	214/270/318	104	261	9	9	21%	6%	62	-0.9	211/252/327	117	243	9	5	17%	5%	52	-0.7
✕Chris Denove 2008 · A	25	40	38→40	47→40	42	196/254/274	78	267	6	5	28%	6%	44	-2.1	232/288/322	90	290	6	4	21%	6%	70	-0.3	244/302/337	93	298	7	3	19%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Shea Vucinich 2014 · AA	25	42→47	40	46→50	44	198/275/289	91	287	7	10	31%	8%	58	-1.2	200/277/294	94	290	6	12	30%	9%	59	-1.1	179/264/273	95	258	5	14	30%	9%	46	-0.7
✕Drew Jackson 2018 · AA	25	42→43	40→45	49→55	42	203/268/292	89	272	8	15	27%	6%	55	-1.4	195/266/301	106	281	11	17	32%	7%	56	-1.3	186/271/302	116	271	12	26	34%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Maikis De La Cruz 2016 · A	25	44→50	37→40	48→50	39	209/252/286	77	293	4	11	30%	5%	45	-2.1	200/245/276	76	271	6	9	27%	5%	40	-2.4	186/226/249	63	239	5	8	24%	5%	20	-2.2
✕Donny Sands 2021 · A	25	41	38→45	45→40	39	196/246/280	84	278	5	5	30%	6%	42	-2.3	231/288/359	128	280	14	4	22%	7%	80	+0.4	227/287/347	121	276	14	2	22%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Sean Nicol 2012 · A	25	47	37→40	45	46	222/277/300	78	281	4	7	22%	7%	59	-1.1	228/278/310	82	294	5	8	23%	6%	63	-0.9	231/280/306	75	295	4	8	22%	6%	59	-0.5
✕Max McDowell 2019 · AA	25	40→48	38→40	48→50	44	193/267/268	75	254	5	10	25%	6%	49	-1.8	196/283/277	81	264	6	7	26%	7%	59	-1.1	176/280/245	69	253	6	4	30%	8%	47	-0.7
✕Cobie Fletcher-Vance 2023 · AA	25	46→48	37→40	46→45	45	216/278/287	71	274	5	6	22%	6%	57	-1.2	216/271/309	93	288	7	6	26%	6%	59	-1.1	203/257/302	99	280	6	0	28%	5%	48	-0.7
✕Will Piwnica-Worms 2014 · A	24	43	38→40	50	50	205/285/287	82	263	6	9	23%	9%	61	-1.0	207/276/302	95	284	8	8	28%	8%	60	-1.0	181/247/265	84	252	9	5	30%	7%	39	-0.9
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	40→50	48→30	43	190/254/280	90	264	9	6	30%	7%	46	-2.0	212/278/349	137	295	17	3	32%	8%	74	-0.1	203/274/342	139	279	18	1	32%	9%	67	-0.3