Victor Duarte — OGILVIE

Victor Duarte2B Lake Elsinore Storm

Age 25 R/R 5'10" / 170 lbs A HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION129 act + 16 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .250 / .267

PA16

HR0

K%25

BB%6

BABIP271

ISO67

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 34

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER34

scouting grade only

EYE46

scouting grade only

SPEED51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	18	ROK	DSL Padres	—	163	133	23	6	1	1	15	17	10	6	3	173	304	256	559	83	185	10	9	263	64	-7	+0	—	—	+4	-0.4
2021	20	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	17	16	4	0	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	250	294	438	732	188	333	35	6	323	105	+0	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2021	20	ROK	ACL Padres	—	38	34	6	1	1	0	4	10	0	0	0	176	263	265	528	88	250	26	11	245	52	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2022	21	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	105	89	20	5	0	2	10	28	5	0	0	225	333	348	682	124	305	27	10	314	99	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2023	22	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	200	161	37	7	1	1	28	32	5	4	0	230	357	304	661	75	273	16	14	306	93	-2	+1	—	—	+4	0.4
2025	24	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	65	60	10	2	0	0	2	19	0	2	0	167	185	200	385	33	244	29	3	172	3	-8	+0	—	—	+1	-0.6
2025	24	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	67	63	13	4	0	0	4	13	0	1	0	206	254	270	524	63	260	19	6	240	48	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres	—	163	139	18	4	1	1	9	24	10	6	3	129	234	194	428	65	138	15	6	192	16	-16	+0	—	—	+4	-1.3
2021	20	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	17	16	3	0	0	1	1	8	0	0	0	188	235	375	610	188	291	47	6	220	35	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2021	20	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	38	36	5	1	1	0	2	14	0	0	0	139	184	222	406	83	197	37	5	159	-6	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2022	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	105	94	15	3	0	2	6	39	5	0	0	160	248	255	503	96	253	37	6	232	43	-7	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2023	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	200	172	33	5	1	1	19	45	5	4	0	192	291	250	541	58	239	22	10	248	54	-11	+1	—	—	+4	-0.6
2025	24	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	65	64	8	1	0	0	1	26	0	2	0	125	138	141	279	16	217	40	2	134	-23	-10	+0	—	—	+1	-0.8
2025	24	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	67	64	10	3	0	0	3	18	0	1	0	156	194	203	397	47	219	27	4	177	6	-7	+0	—	—	+1	-0.6
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres	—	163	139	18	4	1	1	9	24	10	6	3	129	234	194	428	65	144	15	6	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	DSL Padres	—	163	133	23	6	1	1	15	17	10	6	3	173	304	256	559	83	185	10	9	263	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	55	52	8	1	1	1	3	22	0	0	0	154	200	269	469	115	241	40	5	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	55	50	10	1	1	1	5	16	0	0	0	200	273	320	593	120	273	29	9	269	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	105	94	15	3	0	2	6	39	5	0	0	160	248	255	503	96	245	37	6	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	105	89	20	5	0	2	10	28	5	0	0	225	333	348	682	124	305	27	10	314	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	200	172	33	5	1	1	19	45	5	4	0	192	291	250	541	58	246	22	10	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	200	161	37	7	1	1	28	32	5	4	0	230	357	304	661	75	273	16	14	306	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	132	128	18	4	0	0	4	44	0	3	0	141	167	172	339	31	214	33	3	156	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A RAW	2 teams	—	132	123	23	6	0	0	6	32	0	3	0	187	220	236	455	49	253	24	5	207	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres	—	163	143	18	4	1	1	9	24	10	6	3	126	234	189	423	63	138	15	6	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	55	52	8	1	1	1	3	22	0	0	0	154	200	269	469	115	226	40	5	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	105	93	15	3	0	2	6	39	5	0	0	161	248	258	506	97	253	37	6	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	200	174	33	5	1	1	19	45	5	4	0	190	291	247	538	57	239	22	10	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	132	127	18	4	0	0	4	44	0	3	0	142	167	173	340	31	218	33	3	156	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	200	174	33	5	1	1	19	45	5	4	0	190	291	247	538	57	239	22	10	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	132	127	18	4	0	0	4	44	0	3	0	142	167	173	340	31	218	33	3	156	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	A MLE	SD	—	129	113	25	4	0	3	12	35	1	7	2	221	302	336	638	115	289	27	9	286	80	-3	+1	+0	+0	+3	0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	A RAW	SD	—	84	64	18	4	0	2	15	11	1	5	2	281	410	438	847	156	308	13	18	373	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	AAA RAW	SD	—	45	40	10	1	0	2	2	16	0	2	0	250	279	425	704	175	364	36	4	293	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	25	A MLE	SD	0%	16	15	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	200	250	267	517	67	274	25	6	256	60	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	25	A MLE	SD	—	145	128	28	5	0	3	13	39	1	7	2	219	296	328	624	109	287	27	9	283	78	-4	+1	+0	+1	+3	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	SD	30%	291	266	56	11	1	4	21	76	2	6	1	211	273	305	578	94	277	26	7	267	67	-11	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.3
2028	27	MLB MLE	SD	42%	334	303	65	13	1	6	25	86	3	7	2	215	281	323	604	109	278	26	7	272	70	-12	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.3
2029	28	MLB MLE	SD	48%	361	327	70	14	1	6	28	93	3	8	2	214	282	318	600	104	278	26	8	273	71	-12	+1	-1	+1	+8	-0.3
2027	26	MLB CTX	SD	30%	88	81	16	3	0	1	6	23	1	2	0	198	261	272	533	74	274	26	7	260	67	-3	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	SD	42%	139	127	27	5	1	2	10	36	1	3	1	213	275	315	590	102	275	26	7	264	70	-5	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	SD	48%	172	156	33	6	1	3	13	44	1	4	1	212	276	321	597	109	275	26	8	265	71	-6	+0	-0	+1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	399	364	76	14	2	6	29	103	3	9	2	209	273	308	580	99	272	26	7	264	52	-14	+1	-0	+1	+9	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	124	23	3	10	47	168	5	15	3	209	273	309	581	99	273	26	7	264	52	-23	+2	-1	+2	+14	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	1657	1496	286	56	6	21	116	433	28	34	8	191	262	279	541	88	251	26	7	245	52	-37	+2	-1	+4	+22	-1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	112	22	2	8	46	170	11	13	3	191	263	276	539	85	251	26	7	245	52	-24	+1	-0	+2	+14	-0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.9	570	8	12	212	273	310	+2	+2	-0.5	-0.2
/162	664	9	14	+2.4	+2.3	-0.5	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Victor Duarte (OGILVIE)	25	40	34	51	46	205/268/291	86	274	2	5	26%	7%	60	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ross Wilson 2014 · AA	25	42→47	38→40	47→45	45	201/274/277	76	269	5	7	26%	7%	59	-1.7	206/267/307	101	275	9	6	27%	6%	63	-1.4	196/256/309	112	255	11	2	27%	5%	61	-1.0
✕Steven Baron 2016 · AAA	25	45	38→45	51→50	41	215/262/299	84	291	5	10	27%	6%	58	-1.7	229/287/303	74	312	5	6	26%	7%	69	-0.9	223/284/277	54	308	4	2	27%	7%	58	-0.6
✕T.J. White 2017 · AA	25	44→46	39→45	51→45	43	209/271/297	88	269	6	10	24%	6%	62	-1.4	211/271/335	124	275	12	6	27%	6%	71	-0.8	203/264/342	140	257	15	2	27%	6%	68	-0.5
✕Cody Roberts 2021 · A	25	44	37→45	49→40	42	209/266/278	69	298	4	6	30%	7%	55	-1.9	211/274/316	105	315	10	4	34%	7%	68	-1.0	207/265/307	100	299	9	3	32%	6%	60	-0.6
✕Tyler Stubblefield 2013 · A	25	42	39→45	51→50	47	203/281/286	83	264	6	12	24%	8%	64	-1.3	217/272/323	106	265	8	9	21%	6%	68	-1.0	220/259/337	117	255	8	5	17%	5%	62	-0.6
✕Jermaine Palacios 2021 · AA	25	41→49	37→45	45→50	41	198/245/272	74	267	5	12	27%	6%	45	-2.7	218/270/343	125	294	15	14	30%	6%	72	-0.7	209/260/335	126	280	17	13	31%	6%	64	-0.8
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2023 · A	25	41→43	40→45	47→50	45	199/275/284	85	276	8	13	29%	8%	61	-1.5	209/281/317	108	288	11	11	29%	8%	71	-0.8	172/253/309	136	226	17	8	31%	9%	57	-0.5
✕Shea Vucinich 2014 · AA	25	42→45	39→40	46→50	45	199/277/286	86	287	6	10	30%	8%	62	-1.4	200/275/291	91	285	6	12	29%	8%	63	-1.4	175/256/263	89	248	4	14	29%	9%	47	-0.9
✕Jake Kahaulelio 2010 · AA	25	46→44	38→45	51→45	42	218/273/310	92	284	4	11	24%	5%	65	-1.2	213/277/319	106	261	9	8	21%	6%	70	-0.9	205/275/309	104	243	10	6	20%	7%	63	-0.7
✕Ryan Leonards 2016 · AA	25	48	38→40	50	46	229/287/308	79	290	5	11	22%	6%	70	-0.9	215/278/298	83	277	6	8	23%	6%	65	-1.2	173/250/229	55	222	3	2	21%	6%	36	-0.9
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	41→45	48→30	43	190/254/280	91	265	9	6	31%	7%	52	-2.2	214/281/329	115	298	12	3	30%	8%	73	-0.6	208/278/322	114	287	13	1	30%	9%	68	-0.5
✕Donny Sands 2021 · A	25	41	38→45	45→40	40	197/249/279	82	279	5	5	30%	6%	49	-2.4	228/286/347	119	277	13	4	22%	7%	79	-0.2	224/286/336	112	273	12	2	22%	8%	74	-0.3
✕Nick Meyer 2022 · AAA	25	43	38→40	47→50	44	208/270/280	72	269	6	12	24%	6%	58	-1.7	213/285/304	91	277	9	15	25%	8%	70	-0.9	198/278/278	79	257	10	18	25%	9%	58	-0.8
✕Mike Martin 2017 · A	24	45	36→30	51→55	44	211/278/271	60	288	4	14	27%	7%	59	-1.7	230/280/302	72	291	4	18	21%	6%	65	-1.2	243/288/302	60	299	2	27	18%	5%	66	-0.6
✕Robbie Shields 2013 · A	25	44→39	39→45	47→45	45	210/266/303	93	266	6	8	23%	7%	61	-1.5	200/252/277	77	278	4	7	28%	6%	50	-2.3	182/229/245	63	256	2	5	28%	5%	30	-2.3
✕Khayyan Norfork 2014 · A	25	43→45	41→40	51→50	43	211/265/311	100	273	7	13	25%	6%	62	-1.4	216/266/293	77	292	4	12	26%	5%	59	-1.7	204/267/256	52	275	4	6	26%	6%	49	-0.9
✕Maikis De La Cruz 2016 · A	25	44→49	37→40	48→50	39	211/254/285	75	294	4	11	29%	5%	52	-2.2	204/248/280	76	276	5	9	27%	5%	49	-2.4	192/231/255	63	249	5	8	24%	5%	34	-2.1
✕Chris Denove 2008 · A	25	40	38→40	47→40	42	196/254/274	78	267	6	5	28%	6%	51	-2.3	232/289/320	88	288	5	4	20%	6%	74	-0.6	245/303/334	88	297	6	3	18%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Drew Jackson 2018 · AA	25	43→45	40→45	49→55	43	209/276/302	93	278	8	15	27%	6%	65	-1.2	200/272/308	108	283	11	17	31%	7%	65	-1.2	190/275/303	113	271	12	26	32%	8%	64	-0.7
✕Colt Sedbrook 2010 · AA	25	45→44	38→30	51→50	48	214/305/291	76	273	6	14	22%	8%	75	-0.5	206/301/279	73	263	5	12	22%	8%	71	-0.8	180/292/226	46	232	2	12	20%	9%	55	-1.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps