Victor Duarte2B
Lake Elsinore Storm
Age 25
R/R
5'10" / 170 lbs
A
HR +13%BB +8%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 0.5 · 2028
wRC+†95
AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .276 / .314
PA105
HR2
K%27
BB%7
MLB%0%
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.5peak
2028
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.5M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.1 | $0.5M | -$0.5M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2036 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $3M | $-5M | -$8M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Padres | 163 | 139 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 3 | .129 | .234 | .194 | .428 | .065 | .144 | 15 | 6 | .192 | 5 | -17 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | -1.3 |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | 2 teams | 55 | 52 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .154 | .200 | .269 | .469 | .115 | .241 | 40 | 5 | .179 | -5 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | -0.5 |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 105 | 94 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 39 | 5 | 0 | 0 | .160 | .248 | .255 | .503 | .096 | .245 | 37 | 6 | .232 | 36 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +3 | -0.4 |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 200 | 172 | 33 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 45 | 5 | 4 | 0 | .192 | .291 | .250 | .541 | .058 | .246 | 22 | 10 | .249 | 49 | -12 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -0.4 |
| 2025 | 24 | A | 2 teams | 132 | 128 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 43 | 0 | 3 | 0 | .141 | .167 | .172 | .339 | .031 | .212 | 33 | 3 | .159 | -20 | -18 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +4 | -1.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 41 | 33 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | .273 | .415 | .424 | .839 | .152 | .320 | 17 | 20 | .356 | 131 | +1 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +1 | 0.3 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | SD | 64 | 58 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .207 | .281 | .293 | .574 | .086 | .285 | 27 | 8 | .279 | 72 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | 0.0 |
| TOT | 25 | MLB | SD | 105 | 91 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 1 | 4 | 0 | .231 | .333 | .341 | .674 | .110 | .292 | 23 | 12 | .309 | 95 | -1 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +3 | 0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB 10% | SD | 179 | 159 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 43 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .226 | .305 | .358 | .664 | .132 | .283 | 24 | 9 | .294 | 83 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB 25% | SD | 255 | 227 | 51 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 62 | 2 | 6 | 1 | .225 | .304 | .344 | .648 | .119 | .284 | 24 | 9 | .296 | 85 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +7 | 0.5 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB 36% | SD | 307 | 272 | 63 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 75 | 3 | 6 | 1 | .232 | .312 | .368 | .680 | .136 | .284 | 24 | 9 | .297 | 85 | -5 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +9 | 0.5 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB 46% | SD | 334 | 297 | 67 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 31 | 82 | 3 | 6 | 1 | .226 | .305 | .354 | .659 | .128 | .284 | 25 | 9 | .295 | 84 | -6 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +9 | 0.4 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB 55% | SD | 352 | 313 | 69 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 33 | 88 | 3 | 6 | 0 | .220 | .301 | .342 | .643 | .121 | .282 | 25 | 9 | .292 | 82 | -7 | +1 | -2 | +1 | +10 | 0.3 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB 66% | SD | 349 | 310 | 69 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 33 | 88 | 3 | 4 | 0 | .223 | .303 | .345 | .649 | .123 | .281 | 25 | 9 | .288 | 79 | -8 | +1 | -3 | +1 | +10 | 0.1 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB 75% | SD | 338 | 301 | 64 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 87 | 3 | 3 | 0 | .213 | .293 | .319 | .611 | .106 | .279 | 26 | 9 | .284 | 75 | -9 | +1 | -4 | +1 | +10 | -0.2 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB 83% | SD | 313 | 278 | 58 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 83 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .209 | .290 | .309 | .600 | .101 | .278 | 27 | 9 | .278 | 71 | -10 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +9 | -0.4 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | SD | 272 | 243 | 49 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 75 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .202 | .281 | .296 | .578 | .095 | .276 | 28 | 9 | .272 | 66 | -10 | +0 | -5 | +1 | +8 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3418 | 3043 | 630 | 119 | 16 | 58 | 297 | 873 | 45 | 50 | 7 | .207 | .287 | .314 | .601 | .107 | .268 | 26 | 9 | .273 | 67 | -127 | +7 | -20 | +12 | +97 | -3.1 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 579 | 120 | 23 | 3 | 11 | 56 | 166 | 9 | 10 | 1 | .207 | .287 | .314 | .602 | .107 | .268 | 26 | 9 | .273 | 67 | -24 | +2 | -4 | +2 | +18 | -0.6 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Padres | 163 | 133 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 3 | .173 | .304 | .256 | .559 | .083 | .185 | 10 | 9 | .263 | 59 | -8 | +0 | — | — | +5 | -0.3 |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 17 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .250 | .294 | .438 | .732 | .188 | .333 | 35 | 6 | .323 | 105 | +0 | +0 | — | — | +0 | 0.1 |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | ACL Padres | 38 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .176 | .263 | .265 | .528 | .088 | .250 | 26 | 11 | .245 | 46 | -2 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 105 | 89 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 0 | .225 | .333 | .348 | .682 | .124 | .305 | 27 | 10 | .314 | 99 | -0 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.3 |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 200 | 161 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 32 | 5 | 4 | 0 | .230 | .357 | .304 | .661 | .075 | .273 | 16 | 14 | .306 | 92 | -2 | +1 | — | — | +6 | 0.5 |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 65 | 60 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .167 | .185 | .200 | .385 | .033 | .244 | 29 | 3 | .172 | -10 | -8 | +0 | — | — | +2 | -0.6 |
| 2025 | 24 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 67 | 63 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .206 | .254 | .270 | .524 | .063 | .260 | 19 | 6 | .240 | 42 | -4 | +0 | — | — | +2 | -0.2 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Victor Duarte (OGILVIE) | 25 | — | — | — | — | .211/.276/.314 | .103 | .281 | 2 | 2 | 27% | 7% | 64 | -0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Cam Devanney 2022 · AA |
25 | 36→42 | 41→55 | 45 | 40 | .183/.249/.273 | .090 | .263 | 9 | 8 | 32% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | .213/.275/.368 | .155 | .278 | 18 | 7 | 29% | 7% | 78 | +0.2 | .219/.282/.386 | .166 | .279 | 19 | 7 | 28% | 7% | 82 | +0.4 |
|
✕Dylan Moore 2018 · AA |
25 | 39→48 | 42→50 | 49→65 | 44 | .197/.264/.301 | .105 | .251 | 10 | 16 | 26% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .217/.284/.359 | .142 | .274 | 14 | 21 | 25% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .207/.329/.377 | .170 | .285 | 16 | 41 | 30% | 12% | 100 | +0.9 |
|
✕J.E. Cruz 2006 · A |
25 | 39→48 | 42→45 | 52→45 | 43 | .195/.263/.294 | .099 | .270 | 10 | 12 | 30% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .210/.281/.310 | .100 | .285 | 7 | 8 | 27% | 8% | 65 | -0.7 | .207/.282/.309 | .102 | .279 | 6 | 6 | 26% | 8% | 63 | -0.5 |
|
✕Jake Lemmerman 2014 · AA |
25 | 44→50 | 42→45 | 51→45 | 46 | .213/.290/.322 | .110 | .290 | 10 | 10 | 28% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .194/.266/.303 | .109 | .276 | 10 | 9 | 31% | 8% | 57 | -1.2 | .146/.218/.245 | .099 | .206 | 10 | 4 | 33% | 8% | 20 | -1.6 |
|
✕Andre Lipcius 2022 · AA |
24 | 43→50 | 44→50 | 48→45 | 46 | .215/.274/.331 | .116 | .276 | 11 | 7 | 26% | 8% | 67 | -0.5 | .231/.302/.363 | .132 | .287 | 14 | 8 | 23% | 9% | 87 | +0.8 | .231/.303/.365 | .135 | .286 | 16 | 7 | 24% | 9% | 86 | +0.7 |
|
✕Stuart Fairchild 2021 · AA |
25 | 44→43 | 44→50 | 47→55 | 42 | .213/.278/.333 | .119 | .289 | 10 | 10 | 29% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .224/.300/.381 | .157 | .295 | 17 | 13 | 29% | 7% | 92 | +1.2 | .220/.305/.384 | .164 | .292 | 18 | 16 | 29% | 8% | 91 | +0.6 |
|
✕Sean Jamieson 2014 · A |
25 | 44→46 | 44→45 | 51→50 | 45 | .214/.283/.334 | .120 | .278 | 10 | 12 | 26% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .229/.289/.338 | .109 | .309 | 9 | 9 | 27% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .230/.289/.325 | .094 | .319 | 7 | 7 | 28% | 6% | 68 | -0.2 |
|
✕Willie MacIver 2022 · AA |
25 | 36→35 | 45 | 51→55 | 38 | .187/.245/.306 | .118 | .262 | 14 | 14 | 33% | 6% | 50 | -1.8 | .203/.276/.332 | .129 | .299 | 15 | 15 | 35% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .230/.309/.359 | .129 | .323 | 13 | 18 | 30% | 8% | 87 | +0.4 |
|
✕Danny Mendick 2019 · AA |
25 | 42→48 | 43→45 | 46→50 | 45 | .209/.269/.320 | .111 | .254 | 11 | 12 | 22% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .225/.286/.348 | .123 | .273 | 14 | 13 | 22% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 | .231/.290/.367 | .136 | .277 | 16 | 15 | 22% | 7% | 79 | +0.2 |
|
✕Jimmy Herron 2021 · A |
25 | 40→45 | 41→45 | 48→55 | 48 | .195/.269/.289 | .094 | .249 | 8 | 13 | 24% | 8% | 55 | -1.4 | .211/.288/.332 | .121 | .271 | 12 | 18 | 25% | 8% | 74 | -0.1 | .218/.294/.351 | .132 | .264 | 15 | 24 | 23% | 8% | 78 | +0.2 |
|
✕Kody Clemens 2021 · AA |
25 | 40→43 | 44→60 | 51→45 | 43 | .202/.264/.324 | .123 | .275 | 11 | 9 | 30% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .208/.262/.373 | .165 | .263 | 20 | 8 | 29% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .216/.278/.416 | .200 | .247 | 26 | 8 | 25% | 7% | 88 | +0.6 |
|
✕Nick Podkul 2022 · AA |
25 | 40 | 43→50 | 51→50 | 47 | .197/.273/.309 | .112 | .261 | 11 | 12 | 28% | 8% | 62 | -0.9 | .211/.298/.361 | .150 | .289 | 18 | 7 | 32% | 9% | 86 | +0.8 | .205/.302/.363 | .158 | .282 | 20 | 3 | 32% | 10% | 84 | +0.3 |
|
✕Corey Julks 2021 · AA |
25 | 44→51 | 41→55 | 49→55 | 44 | .211/.276/.309 | .099 | .292 | 7 | 13 | 29% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .224/.281/.371 | .147 | .294 | 17 | 17 | 29% | 7% | 81 | +0.4 | .226/.287/.383 | .158 | .285 | 19 | 21 | 27% | 7% | 83 | +0.4 |
|
✕Vinny Capra 2021 · AA |
25 | 42→48 | 38→45 | 50 | 43 | .204/.256/.284 | .079 | .266 | 5 | 13 | 25% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .241/.302/.368 | .127 | .314 | 12 | 10 | 26% | 7% | 89 | +0.9 | .251/.319/.370 | .119 | .319 | 11 | 9 | 24% | 8% | 92 | +0.5 |
|
✕Cody Cipriano 2010 · AA |
25 | 44→48 | 43→45 | 48→45 | 46 | .214/.288/.333 | .118 | .293 | 9 | 9 | 28% | 8% | 74 | -0.1 | .221/.286/.329 | .108 | .319 | 9 | 9 | 31% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .228/.297/.329 | .100 | .329 | 7 | 7 | 30% | 7% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Jerad Head 2008 · A |
25 | 41→45 | 45→55 | 50 | 41 | .206/.271/.331 | .125 | .260 | 12 | 9 | 25% | 5% | 67 | -0.5 | .221/.279/.362 | .141 | .277 | 14 | 10 | 25% | 5% | 78 | +0.2 | .229/.280/.395 | .166 | .277 | 20 | 7 | 25% | 4% | 85 | +0.4 |
|
✕Andrew Navigato 2022 · AA |
24 | 41→40 | 44→60 | 46→50 | 44 | .202/.279/.318 | .116 | .282 | 12 | 12 | 31% | 8% | 67 | -0.5 | .221/.280/.382 | .161 | .276 | 19 | 14 | 27% | 6% | 84 | +0.6 | .220/.279/.406 | .186 | .266 | 23 | 17 | 26% | 6% | 87 | +0.6 |
|
✕Kyle Higashioka 2015 · AA |
25 | 39→43 | 46→60 | 46→40 | 40 | .200/.250/.326 | .126 | .273 | 13 | 6 | 31% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .216/.260/.350 | .134 | .258 | 15 | 3 | 22% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .229/.276/.416 | .187 | .272 | 25 | 4 | 26% | 6% | 88 | +0.4 |
|
✕Devlin Granberg 2021 · A |
25 | 44→43 | 41→45 | 45 | 42 | .213/.276/.310 | .097 | .280 | 8 | 6 | 26% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .240/.299/.386 | .146 | .295 | 15 | 8 | 23% | 5% | 92 | +1.2 | .247/.308/.403 | .156 | .299 | 17 | 8 | 22% | 5% | 96 | +0.9 |
|
✕Jackson Brennan 2008 · A |
25 | 44→42 | 42→45 | 47→50 | 48 | .213/.305/.319 | .106 | .285 | 9 | 10 | 27% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .210/.298/.299 | .089 | .297 | 7 | 10 | 29% | 9% | 70 | -0.3 | .167/.282/.184 | .017 | .264 | 0 | 6 | 32% | 12% | 32 | -0.6 |