Andy Mata — OGILVIE

Andy MataIF DSL Tigers 2

Age 18 L/R 5'9" / 165 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION108 act + 72 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+60

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .292 / .323

PA72

HR1

K%29

BB%7

BABIP302

ISO108

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Arb-1	$2M	+1.0	$4M	+$4M
2035	Arb-2	$3M	+1.0	$4M	+$3M
2036	Arb-3	$7M	+0.8	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$8M		$16M	+$11M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	—	145	132	24	7	1	2	9	48	3	10	1	182	250	295	545	114	268	33	6	229	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	—	145	128	31	9	1	3	13	33	3	10	1	242	326	398	725	156	304	23	9	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	—	108	92	16	1	1	0	7	36	8	6	2	174	290	207	496	33	286	33	6	226	31	-8	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.5
YTD	18	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	—	108	87	20	2	1	0	12	25	8	6	2	230	374	276	650	46	323	23	11	313	98	-0	+0	+0	+0	+3	0.3
ROS	18	ROK	—	0%	72	65	14	2	1	1	5	21	2	2	0	215	292	323	615	108	286	29	7	263	60	-3	+0	-0	+0	+2	-0.1
ROS	18	MLB	—	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		286	—	—	263	60	—	—	-0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	—	—	108	93	16	1	1	0	7	36	8	6	2	172	290	204	494	32	281	33	6	226	31	-8	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.5
TOT	18	ROK	—	—	180	157	30	3	2	1	12	57	10	8	2	191	291	255	545	64	293	32	7	241	43	-12	+1	-0	+0	+5	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	—	34%	231	207	45	7	2	4	16	65	6	5	1	217	293	329	621	111	289	28	7	275	68	-8	+1	-1	+0	+7	-0.2
2028	20	MLB	—	48%	361	323	72	12	3	7	26	100	9	7	2	223	299	344	643	121	291	28	7	284	76	-10	+1	-1	+0	+10	-0.0
2029	21	MLB	—	54%	458	411	90	15	3	9	33	124	11	9	2	219	295	336	630	117	293	27	7	291	81	-10	+1	-2	+0	+13	0.2
2030	22	MLB	—	57%	527	470	107	18	4	12	39	141	13	10	2	228	305	360	664	132	293	27	7	295	84	-10	+1	-2	+0	+15	0.5
2031	23	MLB	—	58%	573	512	117	20	4	13	42	153	14	11	3	229	305	359	664	131	294	27	7	298	86	-9	+1	-2	+0	+16	0.6
2032	24	MLB	—	57%	603	538	123	21	4	14	45	161	15	11	3	229	306	361	667	132	295	27	7	300	88	-8	+1	-2	+0	+17	0.8
2033	25	MLB	—	57%	621	555	127	21	4	15	46	165	15	12	3	229	305	362	667	133	295	27	7	302	89	-8	+1	-2	+0	+18	0.9
2034	26	MLB	—	57%	629	561	129	21	4	16	47	167	16	12	3	230	308	367	675	137	295	27	7	302	90	-7	+1	-2	+0	+18	1.0
2035	27	MLB	—	55%	629	560	128	21	4	16	48	168	16	12	3	229	308	366	674	137	295	27	8	303	90	-7	+1	-2	+0	+18	1.0
2036	28	MLB	—	55%	625	557	126	21	4	15	48	168	15	12	3	226	305	359	664	133	294	27	8	301	89	-8	+1	-3	+0	+18	0.8
2037	29	MLB	—	53%	615	548	125	21	4	15	47	166	15	11	3	228	307	363	670	135	294	27	8	300	87	-9	+1	-4	+0	+17	0.6
2027	19	MLB	—	34%	79	72	16	3	1	1	5	22	2	2	0	222	291	333	624	111	289	28	6	275	68	-3	+0	-0	+0	+2	-0.0
2028	20	MLB	—	48%	175	157	34	6	1	3	12	48	4	3	1	217	289	325	614	108	291	27	7	284	76	-5	+0	-1	+0	+5	-0.0
2029	21	MLB	—	54%	248	222	49	8	2	5	18	67	6	5	1	221	297	342	639	122	293	27	7	291	81	-5	+1	-1	+0	+7	0.1
2030	22	MLB	—	57%	298	267	60	10	2	7	22	80	7	6	1	225	301	356	656	131	293	27	7	295	84	-5	+1	-1	+0	+8	0.3
2031	23	MLB	—	58%	330	295	67	11	2	8	24	88	8	6	1	227	303	359	662	132	294	27	7	298	86	-5	+1	-1	+0	+9	0.4
2032	24	MLB	—	57%	344	308	70	12	2	8	25	92	8	7	2	227	302	357	659	130	295	27	7	300	88	-5	+1	-1	+0	+10	0.4
2033	25	MLB	—	57%	352	314	72	12	2	9	26	94	9	7	2	229	307	366	673	137	295	27	7	302	89	-4	+1	-1	+0	+10	0.5
2034	26	MLB	—	57%	356	318	73	12	2	9	26	95	9	7	2	230	306	365	671	135	295	27	7	302	90	-4	+1	-1	+0	+10	0.5
2035	27	MLB	—	55%	349	311	71	12	2	9	26	93	9	7	2	228	306	367	673	138	295	27	7	303	90	-4	+1	-1	+0	+10	0.5
2036	28	MLB	—	55%	343	306	69	12	2	8	26	92	8	6	2	225	303	356	659	131	294	27	8	301	89	-4	+0	-2	+0	+10	0.4
2037	29	MLB	—	53%	329	293	66	11	2	8	25	89	8	6	1	225	304	358	662	133	294	27	8	300	87	-5	+1	-2	+0	+9	0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3203	2864	647	109	20	75	235	860	78	62	15	226	302	356	659	131	294	27	7	298	86	-50	+6	-13	+0	+91	3.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	131	22	4	15	48	175	16	13	3	225	302	355	657	129	294	27	7	298	86	-10	+1	-3	+0	+18	0.7
Career	—			—	6089	5439	1227	207	42	139	451	1647	150	124	29	226	303	356	658	130	295	27	7	295	84	-108	+13	-23	+0	+173	5.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	131	22	4	15	48	176	16	13	3	225	302	355	657	129	295	27	7	295	84	-12	+1	-2	+0	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	—	145	128	31	9	1	3	13	33	3	10	1	242	326	398	725	156	304	23	9	324	106	+1	+2	—	—	+4	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#2Desi Relafordlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,443 PA	6	2,443	34	64	246	329	356	-1	-7	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	9	17	246	329	356	-0.3	-1.8	1.4	pk7: 5
#3Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	3,337	76	63	227	300	357	+0	+0	4.5	4.3
	/162	664	15	13	227	300	357	+0.0	+0.0	0.9	pk7: 4
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Andy Mata (OGILVIE)	18	20→50	30→50	50	40	191/291/255	64	293	1	8	32%	7%	43	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Liberato 2014 · A	18	41→51	37→55	48→50	41	195/252/268	73	282	4	13	31%	6%	41	-2.3	192/253/275	83	290	4	11	32%	7%	43	-2.2	237/280/389	152	300	18	5	27%	6%	82	+0.3
✕Alberto Rodriguez 2019 · A	18	40→50	40→50	51→50	43	198/259/283	85	277	8	16	30%	7%	48	-1.9	217/273/320	103	296	8	14	28%	7%	63	-0.8	218/277/350	132	309	11	7	31%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43	40→50	55	41	205/263/297	92	301	7	14	33%	7%	53	-1.5	187/262/281	94	277	7	12	32%	8%	50	-1.8	192/266/303	111	286	10	18	34%	8%	55	-0.5
✕Enmanuel Valdez 2017 · A	18	40→44	43→55	51→45	46	198/264/316	118	245	9	7	23%	7%	59	-1.1	188/250/298	110	251	9	7	28%	7%	49	-1.8	220/285/398	178	263	24	8	26%	8%	87	+0.7
✕Shed Long Jr. 2014 · A	18	44→47	38→50	46→50	41	211/266/287	76	294	6	6	29%	6%	52	-1.6	206/257/295	89	285	7	8	29%	6%	50	-1.7	233/295/385	151	314	17	11	30%	7%	87	+0.6
✕Ronny Ugarte 2023 · A	18	41	43→50	47→40	43	202/274/320	118	277	9	6	29%	7%	65	-0.7	227/287/334	107	295	8	5	24%	7%	73	-0.1	248/308/368	120	321	11	2	25%	7%	88	+0.3
●Eliezer Álvarez 2013 · A	18	38→48	37→45	46→55	47	183/255/256	73	241	5	11	25%	8%	40	-2.4	207/259/305	98	267	5	11	23%	6%	53	-1.5	254/308/362	108	342	5	19	26%	6%	87	+0.4
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→43	42→55	53→50	44	188/268/290	102	278	10	11	34%	8%	55	-1.4	201/284/321	120	321	11	16	37%	9%	69	-0.4	229/308/399	169	310	21	18	31%	9%	95	+0.9
●Tirso Ornelas 2019 · A	19	43→53	40→50	50→45	45	206/273/299	93	288	7	5	30%	8%	59	-1.1	190/254/266	76	279	5	5	31%	8%	41	-2.3	249/309/383	134	307	16	7	23%	7%	92	+1.1
●Akil Baddoo 2017 · A	18	38→48	39→55	53→55	40	182/252/261	79	299	6	12	39%	8%	40	-2.4	204/278/316	112	294	7	12	30%	9%	65	-0.7	240/322/392	152	311	15	24	26%	11%	100	+1.2
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	47	37→45	47→50	48	219/301/296	77	303	4	8	27%	9%	70	-0.3	210/316/279	69	269	4	14	21%	11%	73	-0.1	220/318/345	125	249	16	10	18%	10%	88	+0.4
✕Iverson Leonardo 2021 · A	19	45	40→50	47→50	44	211/284/318	107	303	5	9	30%	8%	68	-0.5	190/267/305	115	300	11	8	37%	8%	59	-1.1	154/245/264	110	254	11	8	41%	8%	37	-0.7
✕Dalton Pompey 2011 · A	18	41→51	42→45	50→55	40	205/258/306	101	279	10	11	30%	6%	53	-1.5	199/268/292	93	283	7	18	30%	8%	55	-1.4	259/316/359	100	331	7	29	22%	7%	87	+0.7
✕Victor Arias 2022 · A	18	43→45	38→45	46→50	44	201/275/277	76	311	6	9	35%	9%	54	-1.4	211/298/310	99	331	7	14	35%	9%	72	-0.2	226/292/355	129	316	11	14	30%	7%	77	+0.1
●Moisés Sierra 2007 · A	18	42→52	39→50	52→50	42	203/266/292	89	271	6	13	26%	6%	54	-1.4	205/253/299	94	283	8	9	29%	4%	50	-1.8	248/314/378	130	302	14	15	22%	7%	93	+0.9
✕Steven Moya 2010 · A	18	41→44	41→60	45→50	42	200/268/290	90	290	9	6	33%	8%	54	-1.4	172/209/274	102	315	12	4	47%	4%	24	-3.5	224/249/423	200	293	28	7	34%	3%	79	+0.3
✕Samuel Basallo 2023 · A	18	41→48	44→55	48→45	40	209/264/317	108	283	12	4	30%	6%	59	-1.1	232/286/390	158	298	19	7	28%	7%	88	+0.9	230/287/406	176	286	23	6	28%	7%	89	+0.8
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2019 · A	18	42→48	39→55	51→55	40	205/251/286	81	270	6	16	26%	5%	45	-2.1	206/254/321	115	262	11	14	25%	5%	56	-1.3	247/287/396	150	298	15	20	22%	4%	88	+0.7
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	40→45	49→30	44	198/265/288	89	272	7	5	29%	7%	53	-1.5	202/288/300	98	309	8	4	34%	10%	66	-0.6	205/306/334	128	325	13	2	37%	11%	79	+0.2
✕Leopoldo Correa 2010 · A	18	41	42→45	50→30	48	197/280/305	107	291	9	5	33%	10%	63	-0.8	210/272/297	87	263	6	3	21%	7%	57	-1.2	212/269/300	89	261	8	0	21%	6%	53	-0.5