Ethan Walker
P
Salem RidgeYaks
Age 22
LHP
6'2" / 195 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION30 act + 18 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 99109vR 118
ERA4.34
FIP4.34
K%23.4%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%14.0%
ROS IP18
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 48 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A | Salem RidgeYaks | 10 | 3 | 30 | 136 | 43 | 21 | 2 | 30% | 3.0 | 23.8% | 18.0% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 3.90 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | BOS | 18 | 0 | 18 | 78 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.4% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 4.34 | 4.34 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.4% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 4.34 | 4.34 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 48 | 214 | 61 | 28 | 4 | — | — | 28.6% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 2.0% | 4.07 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | BOS | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.1% | 8.9% | 15.2% | 2.9% | 4.25 | 4.19 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | BOS | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.1% | 8.9% | 15.2% | 2.9% | 4.25 | 4.19 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.1% | 8.9% | 15.2% | 2.9% | 4.25 | 3.81 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.1% | 8.9% | 15.2% | 2.9% | 4.25 | 3.81 | +3.7 | ||
| Career | — | 10 | 3 | 30 | 136 | 32 | 24 | 3 | 30% | 3.0 | 23.8% | 18.0% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 3.90 | 4.58 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 67 | 20 | 200 | 907 | 216 | 163 | 20 | 30% | 3.0 | 23.8% | 18.0% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 3.90 | 4.58 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ethan Walker (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.34 | 23.4% | 9.4% | 3.0% | — | 4.19 | 24.1% | 15.2% | 20 | -0.15 | — | — | — |
| Jordan Woods L 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.74 | 24.2% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 143 | 82 |
| Josh Hendrickson L 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.99 | 21.8% | 6.7% | 3.4% | .250 | 4.39 | 19.3% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.40 | 3.93 | 319 | 80 |
| Josh Simpson L 2027 · 4.43 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.43 | 23.5% | 11.5% | 3.4% | .290 | 3.28 | 33.4% | 19.3% | 102 | -1.15 | 3.07 | 247 | 78 |
| Matt Osterberg L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.89 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 1.7% | .255 | 4.14 | 15.6% | 9.3% | 274 | +0.25 | 3.59 | 294 | 78 |
| Sam Long L 2025 · 3.26 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.26 | 20.7% | 9.8% | 1.2% | .371 | 4.18 | 21.3% | 13.1% | 97 | +0.92 | 3.08 | 446 | 77 |
| Juliandry Higuera L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.04 | 20.0% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .358 | 4.53 | 13.8% | -0.3% | 43 | +0.49 | 4.04 | 197 | 76 |
| Adrian Gusman L 2027 · 3.57 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.57 | 16.5% | 6.6% | 1.9% | .280 | 3.65 | 15.0% | 7.2% | 63 | +0.08 | 2.91 | 141 | 76 |
| Dante Biasi L 2027 · 4.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.88 | 21.5% | 12.6% | 3.6% | .251 | 6.01 | 19.3% | 2.3% | 153 | +1.13 | 4.88 | 224 | 75 |
| Keyshawn Askew L 2026 · 3.37 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.37 | 25.6% | 12.2% | 1.6% | .274 | 3.78 | 20.7% | 5.5% | 196 | +0.41 | 3.37 | 262 | 75 |
| Harry Gustin L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.97 | 20.7% | 11.0% | 2.2% | .331 | 4.42 | 22.4% | 11.6% | 89 | +0.45 | 3.77 | 132 | 75 |
| Caden Favors L 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.09 | 18.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | .351 | 4.91 | 19.1% | 6.3% | 187 | +0.82 | 4.09 | 198 | 75 |
| Sean Mellen L 2027 · 4.62 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.62 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.3% | .364 | 3.97 | 21.3% | 10.9% | 55 | -0.65 | 3.97 | 101 | 74 |
| Alex Cornwell L 2027 · 3.97 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.97 | 18.9% | 7.3% | 2.8% | .382 | 3.85 | 16.5% | 8.0% | 311 | -0.12 | 3.10 | 381 | 74 |
| Cameron Ming L 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.03 | 17.7% | 7.1% | 2.8% | .308 | 5.28 | 14.3% | 4.9% | 49 | +1.25 | 4.03 | 111 | 73 |
| Franklin Dacosta L 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.37 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 3.4% | .272 | 6.15 | 17.0% | -2.0% | 16 | +1.78 | 2.83 | 247 | 73 |
| Christian Torres L 2026 · 3.26 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.26 | 16.8% | 8.9% | 0.8% | .297 | 2.96 | 16.2% | 9.0% | 141 | -0.30 | 2.75 | 172 | 73 |
| James Reeves L 2027 · 3.50 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.50 | 21.9% | 8.7% | 2.1% | .237 | 3.30 | 23.0% | 13.1% | 146 | -0.20 | 2.02 | 280 | 72 |
| Lucas Knowles L 2027 · 3.79 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.79 | 20.5% | 12.9% | 1.4% | .366 | 4.10 | 18.5% | 9.4% | 177 | +0.31 | 3.37 | 275 | 72 |
| Jordan Fowler L 2027 · 4.98 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.98 | 17.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | .276 | 4.30 | 13.2% | 5.3% | 70 | -0.68 | 4.30 | 124 | 72 |
| Tucker Novotny L 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.81 | 21.5% | 13.1% | 1.6% | .272 | 4.65 | 17.9% | 0.5% | 35 | +0.84 | 3.81 | 112 | 72 |