Parker Mushinski
P
Albuquerque Isotopes
+0.2
WAR
Age 30
LHP
6'0" / 220 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
ERA4.97
FIP4.32
xFIP6.18
SIERA6.20
K%23.4%
BB%11.8%
K-BB%11.6%
IP50
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
STUF6060
CTRL3535
CMD5050
K†5555
FB Velo
p1692.1
Whiff%
p1016.3%
K%
p106.0%
xwOBA vs
p100.376
FB+1.3 (27%)
SI (9%)
CU (22%)
SL-0.5 (9%)
CT-3.2 (42%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 22 | A | Quad Cities River Bandits | 27 | 12 | 89 | 378 | 114 | 44 | 4 | 22.3% | 13.7% | 1.4% | 2.33 | 3.73 | +1.5 |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 14 | 11 | 57 | 251 | 70 | 18 | 4 | 21.6% | 8.2% | 2.3% | 4.08 | 3.58 | +0.9 |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA | Sugar Land Skeeters | 23 | 10 | 65 | 281 | 84 | 23 | 6 | 24.7% | 9.0% | 2.5% | 3.60 | 3.51 | +1.1 |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB | Houston Astros | 45 | 0 | 48 | 202 | 49 | 22 | 3 | 21.0% | 11.6% | 2.1% | 2.81 | 3.96 | +0.5 |
| 2023 | 27 | MLB | Houston Astros | 46 | 0 | 46 | 194 | 54 | 15 | 7 | 25.4% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 3.69 | 4.16 | +0.4 |
| 2024 | 28 | MLB | Houston Astros | 54 | 0 | 56 | 258 | 58 | 30 | 5 | 19.9% | 12.1% | 2.3% | 5.66 | 4.21 | +0.5 |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 46 | 0 | 50 | 223 | 66 | 31 | 2 | 26.0% | 14.6% | 0.9% | 3.78 | 3.26 | +1.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 6 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 12 | 1 | 3 | — | — | — | 6.14 | — | — |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | COL | 50 | — | 50 | 210 | 47 | 26 | 5 | 22.3% | 12.5% | 2.6% | 5.09 | 4.59 | +0.2 |
| 2026 Total | 30 | MLB | COL | — | — | 57 | 240 | 59 | 27 | 8 | 24.5% | 11.3% | 3.5% | 5.22 | 4.00 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | COL | 48 | — | 48 | 203 | 44 | 25 | 5 | 21.9% | 12.3% | 2.7% | 4.82 | 4.67 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | COL | 46 | — | 46 | 195 | 42 | 24 | 5 | 21.3% | 12.2% | 2.8% | 4.77 | 4.76 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | COL | 44 | — | 44 | 186 | 39 | 23 | 5 | 20.8% | 12.2% | 2.9% | 4.81 | 4.86 | +0.0 |
| 2030 | 34 | MLB | COL | 42 | — | 42 | 177 | 36 | 22 | 5 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 3.0% | 4.91 | 4.99 | -0.0 |
| 2031 | 35 | MLB | COL | 40 | — | 40 | 167 | 32 | 21 | 5 | 19.4% | 12.6% | 3.1% | 5.05 | 5.14 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 36 | MLB | COL | 37 | — | 37 | 156 | 29 | 20 | 5 | 18.6% | 12.8% | 3.2% | 5.20 | 5.30 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 261 | 34 | 419 | 1817 | 421 | 201 | 41 | 23.2% | 11.1% | 2.3% | 3.65 | 3.79 | +7.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 125 | 16 | 200 | 868 | 201 | 96 | 20 | 23.2% | 11.1% | 2.3% | 3.65 | 3.79 | +3.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Parker Mushinski (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.59 | 22.3% | 12.5% | 2.6% | — | 4.76 | 21.3% | 9.1% | 138 | +0.17 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.73 | 20.7% | 10.1% | 2.0% | .271 | 3.03 | 21.8% | 17.1% | 88 | -0.70 | 2.38 | 306 | 88 |
| Tommy Layne L 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.64 | 21.7% | 12.1% | 1.6% | .284 | 3.27 | 20.2% | 11.0% | 97 | -0.37 | 1.32 | 182 | 85 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2025 · 4.44 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.44 | 22.4% | 11.4% | 3.3% | .253 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.52 | 126 | 82 |
| Luke Westphal L 2028 · 4.68 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.68 | 22.7% | 13.1% | 3.4% | .321 | 4.72 | 22.0% | 7.0% | 95 | +0.04 | 2.97 | 294 | 80 |
| Phil Coke L 2029 · 3.85 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.85 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 2.1% | .373 | 3.04 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 70 | -0.81 | 3.04 | 101 | 79 |
| Josh Edgin L 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.08 | 16.3% | 10.2% | 1.9% | .303 | 3.62 | 29.2% | 20.0% | 43 | -0.46 | 3.62 | 113 | 78 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.77 | 27.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .294 | 4.21 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.44 | 3.70 | 181 | 78 |
| Dan Runzler L 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.78 | 19.0% | 13.1% | 1.1% | .383 | 4.03 | 16.5% | 4.0% | 63 | +0.25 | 3.78 | 127 | 78 |
| Ryan O'Rourke L 2027 · 4.08 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.08 | 22.1% | 14.3% | 1.9% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.09 | 145 | 78 |
| Adam Loewen L 2027 · 3.84 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.84 | 25.1% | 15.9% | 1.5% | .287 | 3.62 | 23.2% | 7.3% | 98 | -0.22 | 2.96 | 176 | 78 |
| Marlon Arias L 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.30 | 16.8% | 12.2% | 2.0% | .330 | 3.73 | 17.2% | 9.5% | 22 | -0.57 | 3.73 | 154 | 77 |
| Dan Jennings L 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.33 | 19.1% | 9.0% | 3.1% | .245 | 3.85 | 16.6% | 8.5% | 64 | -0.48 | 3.06 | 244 | 77 |
| Luis Avilán L 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.40 | 21.3% | 9.9% | 3.4% | .304 | 5.45 | 22.2% | 12.2% | 26 | +1.05 | 2.65 | 256 | 76 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2025 · 4.68 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.68 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 3.8% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.70 | 175 | 76 |
| Buddy Baumann L 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 20.5% | 11.9% | 3.6% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.92 | 155 | 75 |
| Jose Meraz L 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.31 | 16.4% | 10.3% | 2.4% | .282 | 3.80 | 10.5% | -2.0% | 30 | -0.51 | 3.70 | 110 | 75 |
| Colt Hynes L 2026 · 3.42 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.42 | 16.2% | 8.4% | 1.1% | .290 | 3.68 | 17.9% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.26 | 3.42 | 152 | 75 |
| Antonio Bastardo L 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.54 | 24.9% | 9.8% | 4.2% | .268 | 7.97 | 15.0% | -1.4% | 20 | +3.43 | 2.98 | 145 | 75 |
| Keith Hessler L 2025 · 5.04 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.04 | 19.8% | 13.3% | 3.5% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.29 | 228 | 74 |
| Zack Britton L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.88 | 20.1% | 12.4% | 1.7% | .234 | 3.60 | 21.1% | 8.3% | 99 | -0.28 | 1.60 | 309 | 74 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.