Eliander Primera

SS DSL Padres Gold

Age 19 L/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	18	ROKDSL Padres Go…	187	.221/.389/.269	0	20	34	—	.141/.276/.167
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLB—	297	.201/.284/.268	2	10	60	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLB—	82	.206/.290/.284	1	3	66	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLB—	176	.210/.294/.298	2	6	70	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed92

Chase%83

BB%72

Z-Con%61

Whiff%53

wOBA39

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsJuan Villavicencio (age 19) · Carlos Jimenez (age 19) · Elis Cuevas (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 157 proj PA

wRC+60

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .282 / .266

PA157

HR1

SB5

K%29

BB%9

ISO67

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$16M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$3M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$6M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	18	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	187	145	32	3	2	0	35	49	5	20	6	221	389	269	658	48	333	26	19	319	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	187	156	22	2	1	0	24	60	5	20	6	141	276	167	442	26	226	32	13	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	187	156	22	2	1	0	24	60	5	20	6	141	276	167	442	26	229	32	13	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Gold	—	187	145	32	3	2	0	35	49	5	20	6	221	389	269	658	48	333	26	19	319	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	187	156	22	2	1	0	24	60	5	20	6	141	276	167	442	26	226	32	13	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	187	156	22	2	1	0	24	60	5	20	6	141	276	167	442	26	226	32	13	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	—	0%	297	264	53	7	3	2	27	86	4	10	1	201	284	268	552	67	288	29	9	257	60	-14	+2	+0	+3	+6	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	—	34%	239	212	43	6	2	2	22	68	3	9	1	206	290	284	574	78	289	28	9	265	66	-10	+1	+0	+3	+5	-0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	—	48%	363	322	68	10	3	4	33	102	5	13	2	210	294	298	592	88	291	28	9	272	70	-13	+2	+0	+4	+8	0.1
2030	22	MLB MLE	—	54%	452	402	85	12	4	6	41	125	6	17	3	214	298	310	608	96	292	28	9	278	74	-14	+2	+0	+5	+10	0.3
2031	23	MLB MLE	—	57%	510	452	98	14	4	8	46	140	7	19	3	218	300	321	621	103	293	27	9	283	78	-13	+3	+0	+5	+11	0.6
2032	24	MLB MLE	—	57%	549	486	108	16	4	10	50	149	8	20	4	220	303	330	632	109	294	27	9	288	81	-13	+2	+0	+6	+12	0.8
2033	25	MLB MLE	—	57%	571	506	112	17	4	10	52	155	8	21	4	221	303	333	636	112	294	27	9	289	82	-12	+3	+0	+6	+12	0.9
2034	26	MLB MLE	—	56%	583	517	115	17	5	11	53	158	8	21	4	222	304	335	639	114	294	27	9	290	82	-12	+3	+0	+6	+13	1.0
2035	27	MLB MLE	—	60%	585	519	115	17	5	11	53	159	8	21	4	221	303	333	636	112	293	27	9	289	82	-13	+3	+0	+6	+13	0.9
2036	28	MLB MLE	—	62%	582	516	113	17	4	10	53	160	8	21	4	219	301	328	629	109	292	27	9	286	80	-14	+3	-1	+6	+13	0.7
2037	29	MLB MLE	—	63%	573	509	110	16	4	10	52	159	7	20	4	217	298	322	620	106	291	28	9	283	77	-15	+2	-1	+6	+12	0.4
2038	30	MLB MLE	—	63%	563	500	107	16	4	9	51	158	7	19	4	214	295	315	610	101	290	28	9	278	75	-17	+2	-2	+6	+12	0.1
2039	31	MLB MLE	—	65%	550	489	103	15	4	8	49	156	7	18	4	210	290	305	596	96	287	28	9	273	71	-19	+2	-3	+6	+12	-0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	—	34%	82	74	15	2	1	1	7	23	1	3	0	206	290	284	574	78	289	28	9	265	66	-3	+1	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	—	48%	176	155	33	5	1	2	16	49	3	6	1	210	294	298	592	88	291	28	9	272	70	-6	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.0
2030	22	MLB CTX	—	54%	245	218	46	7	2	3	22	68	3	9	2	214	298	310	608	96	292	28	9	278	74	-7	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2031	23	MLB CTX	—	57%	289	257	56	8	2	5	26	79	4	11	2	218	300	321	621	103	293	27	9	283	78	-8	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2032	24	MLB CTX	—	57%	310	275	60	9	2	5	28	84	4	11	2	220	303	330	632	109	294	27	9	288	81	-7	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.4
2033	25	MLB CTX	—	57%	323	287	64	9	3	6	29	87	4	12	2	221	303	333	636	112	294	27	9	289	82	-7	+2	+0	+3	+7	0.5
2034	26	MLB CTX	—	56%	329	291	65	10	3	6	30	89	5	12	2	222	304	335	639	114	294	27	9	290	82	-7	+2	+0	+4	+7	0.6
2035	27	MLB CTX	—	60%	350	310	68	10	3	6	32	95	5	13	2	221	303	333	636	112	293	27	9	289	82	-8	+2	+0	+4	+8	0.6
2036	28	MLB CTX	—	62%	359	318	69	10	3	6	33	98	5	13	2	219	301	328	629	109	292	27	9	286	80	-9	+2	-0	+4	+8	0.4
2037	29	MLB CTX	—	63%	360	319	69	10	3	6	33	100	5	13	2	217	298	322	620	106	291	28	9	283	77	-10	+2	-1	+4	+8	0.3
2038	30	MLB CTX	—	63%	357	318	69	10	3	6	32	100	4	12	2	214	295	315	610	101	290	28	9	278	75	-11	+2	-1	+4	+8	0.1
2039	31	MLB CTX	—	65%	358	319	66	10	2	5	32	102	4	12	3	210	290	305	596	96	287	28	9	273	71	-13	+1	-2	+4	+8	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3538	3141	680	100	28	57	320	974	47	127	22	216	298	321	619	104	293	28	9	283	76	-95	+17	-4	+38	+77	3.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	124	18	5	10	59	179	9	23	4	215	298	315	613	101	292	28	9	283	76	-17	+3	-1	+7	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	6464	5726	1227	179	49	100	593	1795	89	244	48	214	298	315	613	101	292	28	9	280	76	-173	+28	-7	+67	+136	5.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	123	18	5	10	60	180	9	25	5	214	298	314	612	101	290	28	9	280	76	-18	+3	-1	+7	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Dylan Moorelast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,922 PA	2.9	1,922	63	118	206	310	383	+4	+8	6.6	6.6
/162	664	22	41	+1.3	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.6	3,695	59	132	217	296	320	+40	+24	5.7	5.2
/162	664	11	24	+7.1	+4.3	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Bill Cissell'28-'38 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,998 PA	6.0	3,998	29	113	240*	284*	363*	+27	+22	2.2	3.8
/162	664	5	19	+4.5	+3.7	0.4	pk7: 5
#5Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Enzo Hernandez'71-'78 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,612 PA	3.9	2,612	2	129	222*	281*	294*	+28	+4	1.6	1.9
/162	664	1	33	+7.0	+1.0	0.4	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Eliander Primera (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	199/282/266	66	288	1	5	29%	9%	60	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Juan Villavicencio 2024 · A	19	36→44	38→50	51→55	47	174/251/254	80	234	5	13	26%	8%	45	-2.7	189/262/280	91	279	7	14	32%	8%	55	-1.9	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	36→44	39→50	53→55	48	177/265/262	85	249	7	11	30%	9%	53	-2.1	194/283/299	105	299	9	16	34%	10%	68	-1.0	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Elis Cuevas 2024 · A	19	41	37→40	51→65	45	195/270/275	80	270	3	14	27%	8%	57	-1.8	199/275/294	95	266	9	32	27%	7%	63	-1.3	188/268/283	95	252	12	43	29%	7%	56	-0.8
✕John Whittleman 2006 · A	19	44→45	37→50	54→45	48	204/279/289	85	286	2	11	27%	9%	63	-1.4	207/281/318	111	283	9	5	28%	9%	71	-0.8	203/292/325	122	277	11	2	29%	11%	76	-0.4
✕Esteban González 2022 · A	19	45	37→45	55	47	206/288/291	85	281	2	12	25%	8%	68	-1.0	208/275/302	94	298	6	18	30%	6%	65	-1.2	207/269/318	111	298	8	29	32%	5%	64	-0.5
✕Victor Arias 2023 · A	19	43→50	37→45	49→50	47	199/284/273	74	302	3	11	32%	10%	62	-1.4	217/300/325	108	317	8	16	31%	9%	80	-0.2	226/304/342	116	321	9	18	30%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Manuel Pena 2022 · A	18	38→48	38→50	50	45	187/249/259	72	249	5	15	26%	7%	45	-2.7	204/254/287	83	304	5	9	32%	6%	53	-2.1	238/273/365	128	316	15	5	29%	4%	76	-0.4
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2024 · A	19	41→40	37→45	53→60	45	189/276/261	72	296	4	19	34%	9%	57	-1.8	210/266/317	107	310	10	28	34%	6%	65	-1.2	207/258/332	125	300	14	35	34%	5%	62	-1.0
✕Darlyn De Leon 2024 · A	19	37	34→40	55	47	172/261/228	56	244	1	17	28%	8%	44	-2.8	196/273/280	84	271	6	21	28%	8%	59	-1.6	188/263/280	92	256	8	27	28%	8%	53	-0.6
✕Andrés Nolaya 2024 · A	19	39	36→45	47→50	46	183/256/246	64	263	3	12	30%	8%	45	-2.7	196/270/269	73	284	4	17	30%	8%	55	-1.9	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Heiker Meneses 2010 · A	19	35→45	34→40	56→55	47	166/264/218	52	252	2	18	31%	9%	43	-2.8	207/263/280	73	304	4	18	31%	5%	55	-2.0	236/284/314	78	342	3	18	30%	4%	66	-0.8
✕Derek Bernard 2024 · A	18	43→46	40	54→50	47	206/274/303	97	275	7	16	26%	8%	65	-1.2	215/276/314	99	339	7	13	36%	7%	68	-1.0	218/283/320	102	353	8	12	38%	8%	68	-0.5
✕Javier Herrera 2024 · A	19	38	39→40	51→55	45	184/262/268	84	272	6	10	32%	9%	53	-2.1	204/298/290	86	279	5	15	26%	11%	71	-0.8	210/307/297	87	289	5	18	26%	11%	74	-0.2
✕Tito Polo 2014 · A	19	41→51	36→45	54→60	43	196/264/262	66	267	4	22	27%	6%	51	-2.2	212/270/304	92	282	7	23	26%	5%	63	-1.4	235/290/350	114	311	11	32	27%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	36→43	37→45	52→60	51	173/263/245	72	222	4	13	23%	9%	49	-2.4	197/285/299	102	255	9	17	24%	9%	69	-0.9	197/288/299	102	260	10	24	26%	9%	68	-0.6
✕Jonatan Clase 2021 · A	19	44→48	37→50	54→65	53	203/294/283	80	276	3	19	25%	11%	68	-1.0	206/284/334	128	307	12	34	34%	9%	76	-0.4	210/288/361	151	303	15	47	33%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Luigi Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	48→49	39→50	55	44	226/281/315	89	302	5	21	26%	7%	69	-0.9	220/276/313	93	336	7	15	34%	7%	67	-1.1	226/267/359	133	345	15	15	38%	5%	72	-0.4
✕Dario Laverde 2024 · A	19	46→34	37→40	52→30	50	214/292/297	83	279	3	11	23%	9%	70	-0.9	207/268/284	77	295	4	4	29%	7%	57	-1.8	196/254/265	68	282	4	0	30%	6%	45	-1.6
✕Alberto Rodriguez 2021 · A	20	42→52	38→50	52→50	44	203/259/282	79	268	5	14	25%	7%	53	-2.1	228/290/353	125	327	10	8	31%	7%	82	-0.0	228/292/360	132	326	11	7	31%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Rafael Ramirez Jr. 2024 · A	19	39	39→40	51→45	52	184/289/271	87	279	5	10	32%	12%	64	-1.3	183/279/280	97	312	6	8	38%	11%	62	-1.4	181/284/294	113	294	8	6	37%	12%	65	-0.6

Eliander Primera

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps