Yonaiker Hernandez

SS DSL Padres Brown

Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 155 lbs ROK HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1191ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Padres Br…	132	.254/.311/.287	0	3	11	—	.169/.220/.194
2026	18	ROKDSL Padres Br…	209	.220/.333/.277	1	4	20	—	.141/.237/.163
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBSD	319	.226/.287/.300	2	5	67	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBSD	55	.226/.289/.309	1	1	73	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBSD	130	.229/.294/.321	2	2	77	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Z-Con%86

K%82

Whiff%75

BB%27

Chase%26

Speed26

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsIsiah Kiner-Falefa (age 19) · Rubén Tejada (age 19) · Tim Lopes (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 110 proj PA

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .285 / .297

PA110

HR1

K%24

BB%7

ISO74

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$16M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 63 / POW 34

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT63

scouting grade only

POWER34

scouting grade only

EYE49

scouting grade only

SPEED51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$5M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	132	122	31	4	0	0	6	21	4	3	1	254	311	287	597	33	307	16	5	278	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	209	177	39	7	0	1	25	31	5	4	0	220	333	277	610	56	259	15	12	288	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	132	124	21	3	0	0	4	25	4	3	1	169	220	194	413	24	209	19	3	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	209	184	26	4	0	0	18	38	5	4	0	141	237	163	400	22	178	18	9	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	132	124	21	3	0	0	4	25	4	3	1	169	220	194	413	24	212	19	3	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Brown	—	132	122	31	4	0	0	6	21	4	3	1	254	311	287	597	33	307	16	5	278	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	209	184	26	4	0	0	18	38	5	4	0	141	237	163	400	22	176	18	9	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Brown	—	209	177	39	7	0	1	25	31	5	4	0	220	333	277	610	56	259	15	12	288	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	132	123	21	3	0	0	4	25	4	3	1	171	220	195	415	24	209	19	3	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	209	184	26	4	0	0	18	38	5	4	0	141	237	163	400	22	178	18	9	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	132	123	21	3	0	0	4	25	4	3	1	171	220	195	415	24	209	19	3	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	209	184	26	4	0	0	18	38	5	4	0	141	237	163	400	22	178	18	9	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	SD	0%	319	291	66	11	2	2	21	76	4	5	2	226	287	300	587	74	294	24	7	267	67	-12	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	SD	34%	160	146	33	5	1	2	11	38	2	3	1	230	293	314	607	84	295	24	7	276	73	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	SD	48%	268	244	57	9	2	3	18	62	4	5	2	233	297	326	623	93	296	23	7	282	77	-7	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	SD	54%	375	341	80	13	2	6	26	86	5	7	3	235	300	335	636	100	297	23	7	287	81	-9	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.4
2031	23	MLB MLE	SD	57%	444	404	96	16	3	7	31	102	6	9	3	237	303	343	646	106	297	23	7	291	83	-9	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.6
2032	24	MLB MLE	SD	57%	486	441	105	17	3	8	35	111	7	9	4	239	305	349	654	110	298	23	7	295	85	-8	+0	+0	+5	+11	0.8
2033	25	MLB MLE	SD	57%	512	463	111	18	3	9	37	117	7	10	4	239	305	351	656	111	298	23	7	295	86	-9	+0	+0	+5	+11	0.9
2034	26	MLB MLE	SD	56%	526	476	114	19	3	9	38	120	7	10	4	239	305	351	656	112	298	23	7	295	86	-9	+0	+0	+6	+11	0.9
2035	27	MLB MLE	SD	55%	528	478	114	19	3	9	38	121	7	10	4	238	304	349	653	110	297	23	7	294	85	-9	+0	+0	+6	+11	0.8
2036	28	MLB MLE	SD	55%	525	475	113	19	3	9	38	122	7	9	4	237	302	344	647	108	297	23	7	292	84	-10	+0	-1	+6	+11	0.6
2037	29	MLB MLE	SD	53%	513	464	109	18	3	8	37	120	7	8	4	235	300	339	638	104	296	23	7	288	81	-11	+0	-1	+5	+11	0.4
2038	30	MLB MLE	SD	53%	501	454	106	17	3	8	36	119	6	7	5	232	297	331	628	99	295	24	7	284	78	-13	-1	-2	+5	+11	0.1
2039	31	MLB MLE	SD	52%	485	442	100	16	2	7	34	117	6	6	6	228	292	322	614	94	292	24	7	278	74	-15	-1	-3	+5	+11	-0.3
2028	20	MLB CTX	SD	34%	55	50	12	2	0	1	4	13	1	1	0	226	289	309	598	82	290	24	7	272	73	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	SD	48%	130	118	27	4	1	2	9	30	2	2	1	229	294	321	614	91	291	23	7	279	77	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	SD	54%	203	184	43	7	1	3	14	47	3	4	1	232	297	330	627	98	292	23	7	284	81	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2031	23	MLB CTX	SD	57%	251	228	52	8	1	4	18	58	3	5	2	234	299	338	637	104	292	23	7	288	83	-5	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.3
2032	24	MLB CTX	SD	57%	275	249	59	9	2	5	20	63	4	5	2	235	301	344	646	109	293	23	7	291	85	-5	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2033	25	MLB CTX	SD	57%	289	262	62	10	2	5	21	66	4	6	2	236	302	346	648	110	293	23	7	292	86	-5	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2034	26	MLB CTX	SD	56%	297	270	63	10	2	5	21	68	4	6	2	236	302	346	648	111	293	23	7	292	86	-5	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2035	27	MLB CTX	SD	55%	293	266	63	10	2	5	21	67	4	5	2	235	301	344	645	109	292	23	7	291	85	-5	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2036	28	MLB CTX	SD	55%	288	261	62	10	2	5	21	67	4	5	2	233	299	340	639	106	292	23	7	288	84	-6	+0	-0	+3	+6	0.4
2037	29	MLB CTX	SD	53%	274	249	58	9	1	5	20	64	3	4	2	231	297	334	630	103	291	23	7	285	81	-6	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.2
2038	30	MLB CTX	SD	53%	264	240	54	8	1	4	19	63	3	4	2	229	293	327	620	98	290	24	7	281	78	-7	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.1
2039	31	MLB CTX	SD	52%	253	230	52	8	1	4	18	61	3	3	3	225	289	317	606	93	287	24	7	275	74	-8	-1	-1	+3	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2872	2607	607	95	16	48	206	667	38	50	21	233	298	337	635	104	294	23	7	286	78	-61	+2	-4	+31	+62	3.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	138	22	4	11	47	151	9	11	5	234	300	341	641	107	295	23	7	286	78	-14	+0	-1	+7	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	5774	5237	1209	197	32	86	408	1324	81	102	46	231	297	330	627	99	291	23	7	283	78	-119	+1	-7	+58	+118	5.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	137	22	4	10	46	149	9	11	5	232	298	334	632	102	293	23	7	283	78	-14	+0	-1	+7	+14	0.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Padres Brown · 209 PAwOBA .284 → .198 (−86)K% 14.8% → 18.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.83%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	18.10%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.96%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.008	8.44%
HBP% /PA	2.39%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	1.69%
Singles /BIP	21.23%	÷1.000	×0.680	×1.029	×1.008	14.96%
Doubles /BIP	4.79%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.029	×1.008	2.98%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.029	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.68%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.32%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.

Result: wOBA .284 → .198; ISO .056 → .034; BABIP .259 → .178. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Padres Brown · 132 PAwOBA .271 → .185 (−86)K% 15.9% → 18.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.91%	÷1.026	×1.220	—	—	18.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.55%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.022	3.25%
HBP% /PA	3.03%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	2.17%
Singles /BIP	26.73%	÷1.050	×0.680	×1.034	×1.022	18.31%
Doubles /BIP	3.96%	÷0.959	×0.600	×1.034	×1.022	2.62%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.948	×0.600	×1.034	×1.022	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.880	×0.470	—	×1.022	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 110, 2B 92, 3B 90, K 105, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.

Result: wOBA .271 → .185; ISO .033 → .021; BABIP .307 → .209. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#4Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
/162	664	4	15	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
#5Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	4.7	3,095	15	22	233*	291*	316*	+32	+27	4.6	5.8
/162	664	3	5	+6.8	+5.8	1.0	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.5	2,982	48	52	237	298	341	+32	+21	5.0	4.6
/162	664	11	12	+7.1	+4.7	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Yonaiker Hernandez (OGILVIE)	19	58→63	29→34	46→51	49	224/285/297	73	294	1	2	24%	7%	67	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2014 · A	19	51→58	34→40	50→55	44	236/285/290	53	305	2	14	22%	6%	64	-1.3	241/294/285	44	301	1	9	19%	6%	67	-1.1	265/312/343	78	301	6	21	14%	5%	87	+0.3
✕Rubén Tejada 2009 · A	19	47→57	36→40	47→50	47	220/280/288	68	271	3	9	19%	6%	63	-1.4	249/304/321	72	295	3	9	16%	6%	79	-0.2	264/320/329	64	312	2	6	15%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Tim Lopes 2014 · A	20	51→61	36→45	49→55	44	241/278/318	76	292	2	9	18%	5%	68	-1.0	238/287/314	76	309	3	17	22%	6%	70	-0.8	267/317/348	81	330	3	20	19%	6%	87	+0.3
✕Jadher Areinamo 2023 · A	19	47→55	35→45	45→55	47	218/278/282	64	272	2	7	20%	6%	61	-1.5	242/281/336	94	284	7	15	17%	5%	74	-0.6	248/287/352	104	282	9	18	15%	5%	79	-0.2
✕James Beresford 2008 · A	19	48→58	34→30	49→45	43	224/270/272	48	290	2	10	23%	6%	54	-2.0	240/287/281	41	306	1	7	20%	6%	63	-1.4	286/319/337	51	336	1	6	15%	4%	84	+0.1
✕Luisangel Acuña 2021 · A	19	46→56	37→45	51→60	54	217/290/290	73	257	3	13	16%	9%	67	-1.1	237/295/343	106	326	11	30	28%	7%	81	-0.1	250/307/357	107	337	11	39	27%	7%	86	+0.2
✕Kean Wong 2014 · A	19	51→61	35→45	52→55	43	240/281/300	61	293	2	9	19%	5%	65	-1.2	263/297/326	63	336	3	10	21%	5%	77	-0.3	262/307/372	111	343	9	9	25%	5%	89	+0.4
✕Nick Allen 2018 · A	19	43→53	37→40	49→50	42	205/255/273	69	279	4	10	27%	6%	49	-2.4	210/260/281	71	273	2	14	22%	5%	53	-2.1	253/316/328	75	310	5	13	19%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Ozzie Martínez 2008 · A	20	46→56	36→40	47→50	47	216/268/283	66	263	4	9	19%	6%	57	-1.8	253/296/337	84	301	5	9	17%	5%	79	-0.2	269/315/355	86	313	4	10	15%	5%	87	+0.3
✕Edinson Rincon 2010 · A	19	47→56	37→45	48→30	45	218/288/289	71	313	4	5	30%	8%	66	-1.1	233/279/353	120	293	12	2	24%	5%	78	-0.3	255/295/362	107	317	10	1	22%	5%	82	+0.0
✕Cooper Pratt 2024 · A	19	49→52	37→40	54→55	41	226/288/305	78	332	4	11	31%	6%	70	-0.9	228/299/323	95	293	8	23	23%	8%	78	-0.3	229/306/324	95	284	8	29	21%	9%	81	-0.1
✕Johan Rojas 2021 · A	20	46→56	37→45	51→65	45	215/269/298	83	268	3	11	20%	6%	61	-1.5	227/275/338	111	290	9	31	24%	5%	72	-0.7	260/302/359	100	326	7	41	21%	5%	85	+0.2
✕Luis Sardinas 2012 · A	19	49→57	35→40	50→55	42	228/278/290	62	296	2	11	23%	5%	62	-1.4	254/292/313	59	313	2	20	18%	4%	72	-0.7	256/289/338	81	305	8	11	18%	4%	74	-0.3
✕Emerson Landoni 2009 · A	20	46→56	36→40	47→45	43	215/275/280	65	286	3	7	25%	6%	59	-1.6	230/281/303	73	296	4	8	22%	6%	66	-1.1	259/302/329	70	307	3	4	16%	5%	76	-0.3
✕Raynel Delgado 2019 · A	19	50→56	36→40	50→60	45	226/293/294	68	335	3	11	31%	9%	69	-0.9	208/262/282	74	311	4	10	32%	6%	55	-2.0	246/311/338	92	338	7	32	27%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Lorenzo Cedrola 2017 · A	19	47→57	36→45	52→50	44	219/279/289	70	258	3	14	16%	4%	63	-1.4	239/277/312	73	290	3	15	18%	3%	66	-1.1	257/302/356	100	301	7	16	17%	3%	83	+0.0
✕Ke'Bryan Hayes 2016 · A	19	51→57	35→50	51→50	48	237/305/292	56	305	2	9	22%	7%	73	-0.6	238/293/326	88	307	6	12	23%	6%	76	-0.4	255/311/393	138	311	13	16	21%	7%	99	+1.0
●Iván De Jesús Jr. 2007 · A	20	53→63	34→45	48→50	47	248/304/297	49	320	2	10	22%	7%	74	-0.6	274/337/354	80	338	5	10	19%	8%	99	+1.2	278/333/361	83	336	5	9	18%	7%	97	+1.0
✕Livan Soto 2019 · A	19	46→56	34→40	47→50	50	211/277/260	49	262	1	10	19%	8%	55	-1.9	195/255/257	62	255	4	9	23%	7%	47	-2.6	246/319/331	85	322	6	8	24%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Christian Arroyo 2014 · A	19	49→58	40→50	49→45	44	233/282/342	109	300	5	6	23%	6%	76	-0.4	240/274/341	101	305	7	4	23%	4%	72	-0.7	254/305/408	153	304	17	7	22%	5%	100	+0.5

Yonaiker Hernandez

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps