Ronny Arias

P DSL CLE Goryl

Age 19 RHP 5'10" / 150 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	17	ROKDSL CLE Goryl	14	17	6.23	4.54	14.3%	14.3%	—	K 9.7% · BB 17.9% · FIP 5.24
2026	18	ROKDSL CLE Goryl	14	19	6.98	6.62	15.8%	25.3%	—	K 10.7% · BB 31.6% · FIP 7.81
2027PROJ	19	MLB—	10	11	6.06	6.06	18.8%	20.0%	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	20	MLB—	10	10	5.67	5.53	20.0%	16.8%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJonathan Jimenez (age 19) · Elison Joseph (age 20) · Enrique Saldana (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 148140vR 132

ERA6.06

FIP6.06

K%18.8%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-1.2%

Proj IP11

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 11 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	14	0	17	84	12	12	1	0%	1.2	9.7%	17.9%	-8.1%	1.3%	6.23	5.24	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	14	0	17	84	12	12	1	0%	1.2	9.7%	17.9%	-8.1%	1.3%	6.23	5.24	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Goryl	14	0	17	84	12	12	1	0%	1.2	14.3%	14.3%	0.0%	1.2%	6.23	4.54	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	14	0	19	95	15	24	2	0%	1.4	10.7%	31.6%	-20.8%	2.9%	6.98	7.81	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	14	0	19	95	15	24	2	0%	1.4	10.7%	31.6%	-20.8%	2.9%	6.98	7.81	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Goryl	14	0	19	95	15	24	2	0%	1.4	15.8%	25.3%	-9.5%	2.1%	6.98	6.62	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	19	MLB	—	10	0	11	46	9	9	1	0%	1.1	18.8%	20.0%	-1.2%	3.0%	6.06	6.06	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	—	19	0	20	84	17	14	2	0%	1.1	20.0%	16.8%	3.1%	2.9%	5.67	5.53	-0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	—	10	0	10	42	8	7	1	0%	1.0	20.0%	16.8%	3.1%	2.9%	5.67	5.53	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	8	7	1	0%	1.1	20.0%	16.8%	3.1%	2.9%	5.67	5.15	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	163	142	20	0%	1.1	20.0%	16.8%	3.1%	2.9%	5.67	5.15	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		28	0	37	179	18	45	4	0%	1.3	10.3%	25.1%	-14.9%	2.2%	6.63	6.60	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		153	0	200	976	100	245	21	0%	1.3	10.3%	25.1%	-14.9%	2.2%	6.63	6.60	-2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ronny Arias (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.06	18.8%	20.0%	3.0%	—	5.53	20.0%	3.1%	20	-0.53	—	—	—
Jonathan Jimenez R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	19	SU	5.41	16.4%	16.2%	3.0%	.333	5.09	14.1%	2.2%	178	-0.32	3.49	189	89
Elison Joseph R 2021 · 5.31 FIP	20	SU	5.31	17.4%	19.2%	2.3%	.254	4.55	23.5%	6.8%	133	-0.76	3.32	217	89
Enrique Saldana R 2018 · 6.54 FIP	19	SU	6.54	15.4%	25.9%	2.6%	.310	3.85	14.6%	6.3%	80	-2.69	2.96	109	88
Alejandro Lugo R 2021 · 4.91 FIP	18	SU	4.91	20.4%	16.7%	2.6%	.265	4.96	16.7%	3.1%	98	+0.05	3.77	159	88
Carlos De Los Santos R 2019 · 5.68 FIP	18	SU	5.68	16.9%	16.0%	3.6%	.286	3.95	20.9%	3.2%	86	-1.73	3.67	173	88
Daniel Lloyd R 2021 · 5.40 FIP	20	SU	5.40	20.4%	22.4%	2.2%	.367	4.15	18.0%	8.5%	226	-1.25	3.59	319	87
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	87
Michell Miliano R 2019 · 7.22 FIP	19	SU	7.22	22.2%	30.4%	3.9%	.279	5.47	24.3%	-0.4%	76	-1.75	4.42	205	85
Jose G. Gonzalez R 2021 · 5.42 FIP	19	SU	5.42	16.2%	22.7%	1.5%	.320	4.81	15.6%	0.6%	94	-0.61	3.63	165	85
Jackson Rose R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	17.3%	17.2%	2.8%	.267	4.77	23.5%	16.5%	56	-0.55	3.33	147	85
Angel Reyes R 2018 · 4.91 FIP	20	SU	4.91	16.5%	19.4%	1.4%	.328	4.51	17.1%	5.7%	119	-0.40	3.99	308	84
Brendan Hardy R 2018 · 5.18 FIP	18	SU	5.18	17.0%	19.7%	1.8%	.227	6.99	15.9%	-17.2%	25	+1.81	2.54	137	84
Juan Arnaud R 2022 · 6.33 FIP	19	SU	6.33	14.6%	23.7%	2.7%	.330	4.40	18.8%	1.6%	102	-1.93	3.43	184	84
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	84
Junior Flores R 2021 · 5.28 FIP	19	SU	5.28	20.5%	24.1%	1.6%	.220	4.93	14.5%	-3.9%	92	-0.35	4.87	110	84
Michael Arias R 2021 · 5.06 FIP	19	SU	5.06	15.0%	17.5%	1.8%	.226	4.39	22.3%	4.7%	155	-0.67	3.79	253	83
Greg Weissert R 2016 · 5.22 FIP	21	SU	5.22	19.4%	19.3%	2.4%	.382	3.80	23.0%	10.3%	126	-1.42	2.57	487	83
Erian Rodriguez R 2022 · 5.51 FIP	20	SU	5.51	16.2%	19.8%	2.3%	.378	4.16	16.2%	3.6%	241	-1.35	3.81	287	83
Adrian Rodriguez R 2021 · 6.92 FIP	20	SU	6.92	23.1%	34.0%	2.7%	.368	5.46	23.1%	-1.6%	93	-1.46	2.43	148	83
Angel Gonzalez R 2022 · 6.40 FIP	19	SU	6.40	13.7%	20.4%	3.4%	.260	4.80	19.3%	-2.3%	122	-1.60	3.63	182	83