Angel Gonzalez — OGILVIE

Angel Gonzalez P Peoria Chiefs

Age 23 RHP 6'2" / 175 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 151142vR 134

ERA6.18

FIP6.18

K%19.6%

BB%23.1%

K-BB%-3.5%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	19	0	28	140	33	32	1	0%	1.5	16.0%	28.6%	-12.5%	1.0%	8.36	5.91	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	19	0	28	140	33	32	1	0%	1.5	23.6%	22.9%	0.7%	0.7%	8.36	4.64	—
2022	19	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	25	0	32	162	30	28	4	0%	1.3	13.7%	20.4%	-6.7%	3.4%	5.29	6.40	—
2022	19	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	25	0	32	162	30	28	4	0%	1.3	18.5%	17.3%	1.2%	2.5%	5.29	5.45	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	41	195	53	26	1	0%	1.1	20.4%	15.5%	4.9%	0.5%	5.71	3.63	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	41	195	53	26	1	0%	1.1	20.4%	15.5%	4.9%	0.5%	5.71	3.63	—
2023	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	0	41	195	53	26	1	0%	1.1	27.2%	13.3%	13.8%	0.5%	5.71	2.73	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	33	0	45	226	57	40	3	0%	1.4	19.4%	20.4%	-0.9%	1.8%	7.94	5.04	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	33	0	45	226	57	40	3	0%	1.4	19.4%	20.4%	-0.9%	1.8%	7.94	5.04	—
2024	21	A+ RAW	South Bend Cubs	33	0	45	226	57	40	3	0%	1.4	25.2%	17.7%	7.5%	1.3%	7.94	4.09	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	25	0	35	176	41	46	1	0%	1.4	17.9%	30.1%	-12.1%	0.8%	6.37	5.85	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	25	0	35	176	41	46	1	0%	1.4	17.9%	30.1%	-12.1%	0.8%	6.37	5.85	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	Peoria Chiefs	25	0	35	176	41	46	1	0%	1.4	23.3%	26.1%	-2.8%	0.6%	6.37	5.05	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	23	MLB	STL	2	0	2	8	2	2	0	0%	1.0	19.6%	23.1%	-3.5%	2.6%	6.18	6.18	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	STL	40	0	42	176	37	34	5	0%	1.0	20.7%	19.1%	1.6%	2.6%	5.75	5.59	-0.5
2027	24	MLB CTX	STL	17	0	18	76	16	15	2	0%	1.1	20.7%	19.1%	1.6%	2.6%	5.75	5.59	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		17	0	18	76	16	15	2	0%	1.1	20.7%	19.1%	1.6%	2.6%	5.75	5.21	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	178	167	22	0%	1.1	20.7%	19.1%	1.6%	2.6%	5.75	5.21	-1.5
Career	—	MLE		138	0	182	899	160	202	14	0%	1.3	17.8%	22.5%	-4.7%	1.5%	6.73	5.27	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		152	0	200	988	176	222	15	0%	1.3	17.8%	22.5%	-4.7%	1.5%	6.73	5.27	-2.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Angel Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.18	19.6%	23.1%	2.6%	—	5.59	20.7%	1.6%	42	-0.59	—	—	—
Jackson Rose R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	17.3%	17.2%	2.8%	.267	4.77	23.5%	16.5%	56	-0.55	3.33	147	88
Zach Barnes R 2022 · 5.35 FIP	23	SU	5.35	18.2%	22.0%	1.8%	.378	5.03	14.9%	1.5%	119	-0.32	4.90	145	87
Edward Baram R 2019 · 5.05 FIP	22	SU	5.05	18.5%	22.7%	1.2%	.354	5.57	15.4%	0.5%	95	+0.52	5.05	119	85
Yordy Cabrera R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	25	SU	4.99	15.8%	17.2%	1.9%	.321	4.17	13.7%	2.7%	140	-0.82	3.43	159	85
Andrew Schultz R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	22	SU	5.25	20.9%	17.8%	3.0%	.345	4.59	23.0%	4.7%	45	-0.66	3.10	167	84
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	84
Jacob Morris R 2015 · 5.43 FIP	24	SU	5.43	18.0%	19.6%	2.5%	.218	4.77	18.7%	-2.4%	46	-0.66	4.77	102	83
Jack Hartman R 2022 · 5.78 FIP	24	SU	5.78	15.1%	20.3%	2.5%	.357	3.99	19.5%	8.6%	143	-1.79	3.46	161	83
Tommy DeJuneas R 2019 · 5.15 FIP	23	SU	5.15	20.8%	18.8%	2.6%	.324	5.65	13.7%	-3.9%	51	+0.50	3.93	178	83
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	82
Jonathan Teaney R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	16.4%	15.7%	3.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	108	82
Jeff Soptic R 2015 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	15.5%	17.2%	2.5%	.237	5.52	13.6%	-1.7%	68	+0.22	5.30	124	82
Andrew Baker R 2023 · 5.99 FIP	23	SU	5.99	24.7%	25.1%	3.3%	.315	3.65	25.3%	12.2%	161	-2.34	3.44	256	82
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.17	18.2%	4.9%	93	-0.19	3.20	213	81
Jonathan Guzman R 2017 · 5.09 FIP	22	SU	5.09	15.9%	17.7%	2.0%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	104	81
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	81
Willian Suarez R 2021 · 5.23 FIP	23	SU	5.23	20.4%	17.3%	3.0%	.329	5.13	25.4%	9.5%	128	-0.10	3.99	219	81
Juan Mendez R 2022 · 4.99 FIP	23	SU	4.99	21.0%	17.9%	2.5%	.279	5.12	22.5%	7.9%	82	+0.13	3.69	156	81
Sal Biasi R 2019 · 5.22 FIP	23	SU	5.22	20.1%	15.8%	3.3%	.295	7.66	15.3%	-0.2%	23	+2.44	4.68	188	80
Alec Kenilvort R 2016 · 6.44 FIP	23	SU	6.44	15.1%	17.0%	4.5%	.333	3.97	18.3%	9.1%	85	-2.47	2.97	109	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	32	20.3%	20.5%	1.01	5.90
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99