Andrew Baker — OGILVIE

Andrew Baker P Albuquerque Isotopes

Age 26 RHP 6'1" / 190 lbs AAA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 36 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 104

ERA4.58

FIP4.58

K%23.9%

BB%12.7%

K-BB%11.2%

ROS IP36

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	9	1	12	60	20	17	1	11%	1.3	22.3%	37.8%	-15.5%	2.5%	9.75	7.36	—
2021	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	9	1	12	60	20	17	1	11%	1.3	33.3%	28.3%	5.0%	1.7%	9.75	5.10	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	54	235	72	29	5	0%	1.2	23.7%	13.9%	9.8%	3.6%	3.98	4.83	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	46	0	54	235	72	29	5	0%	1.2	30.6%	12.3%	18.3%	2.1%	3.98	3.25	—
2023	23	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	41	0	41	210	64	48	6	0%	1.0	24.7%	25.1%	-0.5%	3.3%	8.12	5.99	—
2023	23	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	41	0	41	210	64	48	6	0%	1.0	24.7%	25.1%	-0.5%	3.3%	8.12	5.99	—
2023	23	AA RAW	Reading Fightin Phils	41	0	41	210	64	48	6	0%	1.0	30.5%	22.9%	7.6%	2.9%	8.12	5.39	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	0	50	226	73	32	2	0%	1.2	25.6%	15.8%	9.9%	0.9%	4.65	3.44	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	0	50	226	73	32	2	0%	1.2	25.6%	15.8%	9.9%	0.9%	4.65	3.44	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	0	50	226	73	32	2	0%	1.2	32.3%	14.2%	18.1%	0.9%	4.65	2.62	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	0	54	235	70	21	5	0%	1.2	23.4%	10.1%	13.3%	2.5%	4.86	3.78	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	0	54	235	70	21	5	0%	1.2	23.4%	10.1%	13.3%	2.5%	4.86	3.78	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	0	54	235	70	21	5	0%	1.2	29.8%	8.9%	20.9%	2.1%	4.86	2.88	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	48	2	57	257	84	36	5	4%	1.2	26.8%	13.5%	13.4%	2.1%	4.08	3.71	—
YTD	26	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	48	2	57	257	84	36	5	4%	1.2	26.8%	13.5%	13.4%	2.1%	4.08	3.71	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	AA RAW	COL	23	0	25	102	39	11	0	0%	1.1	38.2%	10.8%	27.5%	0.0%	2.52	1.24	—
2026	26	AAA RAW	COL	25	2	32	155	45	25	5	8%	1.3	29.0%	16.1%	12.9%	3.2%	5.29	4.46	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	COL	53	0	55	233	56	29	7	0%	1.0	23.8%	12.4%	11.4%	2.8%	4.57	4.59	-0.0
2028	28	MLB MLE	COL	51	0	54	226	54	28	7	0%	1.1	23.7%	12.3%	11.3%	2.9%	4.61	4.65	-0.1
2027	27	MLB CTX	COL	23	0	24	101	24	13	3	0%	1.0	23.8%	12.4%	11.4%	2.8%	4.57	4.59	-0.0
2028	28	MLB CTX	COL	32	0	34	144	34	18	4	0%	1.1	23.7%	12.3%	11.3%	2.9%	4.61	4.65	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		54	0	57	241	57	30	7	0%	1.1	23.7%	12.4%	11.4%	2.9%	4.59	4.25	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	200	105	25	0%	1.1	23.7%	12.4%	11.4%	2.9%	4.59	4.25	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		230	3	269	1223	303	202	30	1%	1.2	24.8%	16.5%	8.2%	2.5%	5.19	4.46	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		171	2	200	910	225	150	23	1%	1.2	24.8%	16.5%	8.2%	2.5%	5.19	4.46	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Andrew Baker (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.58	23.9%	12.7%	2.7%	—	4.62	23.8%	11.4%	109	+0.04	—	—	—
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	92
Brandon Cunniff R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	24.5%	13.2%	2.9%	.256	4.32	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.04	3.89	180	92
Ronald Peña R 2018 · 4.19 FIP	26	SU	4.19	23.4%	11.6%	2.9%	.273	4.52	18.7%	7.1%	88	+0.33	3.72	187	91
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	89
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	88
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.86	25.0%	14.1%	144	-0.48	3.15	191	87
Jeff Ames R 2017 · 3.94 FIP	26	SU	3.94	25.1%	13.4%	2.3%	.310	4.65	25.4%	10.8%	79	+0.71	3.85	272	87
Dustin Antolin R 2016 · 3.43 FIP	26	SU	3.43	23.9%	13.1%	1.3%	.286	4.35	16.2%	1.8%	50	+0.92	2.95	159	87
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	299	87
Michael Flynn R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	26.5%	11.2%	3.7%	.299	4.42	20.8%	10.2%	92	+0.11	3.89	168	86
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	86
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	86
Luis Ramirez R 2016 · 3.71 FIP	24	SU	3.71	24.0%	12.6%	1.9%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.71	104	85
Maikel Cleto R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	26	SU	3.79	25.8%	12.1%	2.4%	.214	3.13	25.0%	15.3%	55	-0.66	2.59	156	85
Dylan Hall R 2023 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	21.0%	13.2%	1.8%	.305	7.24	15.1%	2.4%	58	+3.26	3.47	153	85
Brooks Kriske R 2019 · 3.47 FIP	25	SU	3.47	26.1%	12.2%	1.9%	.245	4.95	28.6%	16.5%	41	+1.48	3.15	246	85
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.49	22.0%	11.9%	189	-0.45	3.35	250	83
Jackson Kelley R 2023 · 3.80 FIP	23	SU	3.80	26.5%	13.1%	2.3%	.313	3.65	21.6%	10.7%	165	-0.15	3.21	218	83
Zac Leigh R 2023 · 3.84 FIP	25	SU	3.84	28.1%	11.7%	3.0%	.282	4.58	19.9%	3.7%	131	+0.74	3.70	201	83
Jackson Hicks R 2023 · 3.90 FIP	25	SU	3.90	22.6%	10.5%	2.5%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	2.17	116	83

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	48	23.8%	12.5%	1.10	4.59
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10