Andrew Baker
P
Hartford Yard Goats
Age 26
RHP
6'1" / 190 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION49 act + 36 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119110vR 101
ERA4.42
FIP4.42
K%23.7%
BB%11.5%
K-BB%12.2%
ROS IP36
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 85 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 1 | 12 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 1 | 11% | 1.3 | 22.3% | 37.8% | -15.5% | 2.5% | 9.75 | 7.37 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 1 | 12 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 1 | 11% | 1.3 | 33.3% | 28.3% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 9.75 | 5.10 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 54 | 235 | 72 | 29 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.7% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 4.1% | 3.98 | 5.14 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 54 | 235 | 72 | 29 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 30.6% | 12.3% | 18.3% | 2.1% | 3.98 | 3.25 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 41 | 0 | 41 | 210 | 64 | 48 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.7% | 25.1% | -0.5% | 3.1% | 8.12 | 5.91 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 41 | 0 | 41 | 210 | 64 | 48 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.5% | 22.9% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 8.12 | 5.39 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 50 | 226 | 73 | 32 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.6% | 15.8% | 9.9% | 0.8% | 4.65 | 3.39 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 50 | 226 | 73 | 32 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 32.3% | 14.2% | 18.1% | 0.9% | 4.65 | 2.62 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 54 | 235 | 70 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 2.4% | 4.86 | 3.73 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 54 | 235 | 70 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 29.8% | 8.9% | 20.9% | 2.1% | 4.86 | 2.88 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Reading Fightin Phils | 43 | 0 | 49 | 203 | 76 | 20 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 30.1% | 10.2% | 19.9% | 0.0% | 2.94 | 1.85 | +1.5 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | PHI | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 36 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 2.7% | 4.42 | 4.42 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | PHI | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.7% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 2.7% | 4.42 | 4.42 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 85 | 355 | 112 | 37 | 5 | — | — | 31.5% | 10.5% | 21.0% | 1.4% | 3.57 | 2.94 | +2.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 23.7% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 2.7% | 4.42 | 4.04 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | PHI | 34 | 0 | 36 | 150 | 35 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.6% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 2.8% | 4.43 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | PHI | 33 | 0 | 34 | 145 | 34 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.5% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 2.9% | 4.48 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | PHI | 31 | 0 | 33 | 139 | 32 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 3.1% | 4.58 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | PHI | 12 | 0 | 13 | 55 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 2.8% | 4.43 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | PHI | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.5% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 2.9% | 4.48 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | PHI | 22 | 0 | 23 | 97 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 3.1% | 4.58 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 57 | 28 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 2.9% | 4.51 | 4.17 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 197 | 97 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 2.9% | 4.51 | 4.17 | +2.9 | ||
| Career | — | 225 | 1 | 260 | 1169 | 295 | 188 | 25 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.2% | 16.1% | 9.1% | 2.2% | 5.01 | 4.20 | +3.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 173 | 1 | 200 | 898 | 227 | 145 | 19 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.2% | 16.1% | 9.1% | 2.2% | 5.01 | 4.20 | +2.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Andrew Baker (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.42 | 23.7% | 11.5% | 2.7% | — | 4.53 | 23.5% | 12.1% | 103 | +0.11 | — | — | — |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 94 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 92 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.34 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 3.2% | .273 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 88 | +0.18 | 3.57 | 187 | 91 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.16 | 24.5% | 13.2% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.34 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 115 | +0.18 | 3.78 | 180 | 91 |
| Collin Baumgartner R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.62 | 23.9% | 12.3% | 1.8% | .291 | 6.27 | 19.1% | -8.3% | 16 | +2.65 | 3.05 | 134 | 88 |
| Shawn Armstrong R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.11 | 22.1% | 9.2% | 3.1% | .282 | 3.23 | 26.9% | 17.2% | 144 | -0.88 | 1.79 | 647 | 86 |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.75 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 1.9% | .292 | 4.81 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 223 | +1.06 | 3.75 | 299 | 86 |
| Michael Flynn R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.57 | 26.5% | 11.2% | 4.2% | .299 | 4.42 | 22.3% | 10.3% | 87 | -0.15 | 3.74 | 163 | 85 |
| Jeff Ames R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.89 | 25.1% | 13.4% | 2.2% | .310 | 4.58 | 25.4% | 10.8% | 79 | +0.69 | 3.89 | 272 | 85 |
| Brooks Kriske R 2025 · 3.52 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.52 | 26.1% | 12.2% | 2.0% | .245 | 5.01 | 28.6% | 16.5% | 41 | +1.49 | 3.00 | 246 | 85 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.46 | 23.1% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .244 | 3.76 | 18.9% | 11.1% | 168 | +0.30 | 3.23 | 253 | 85 |
| Jackson Hicks R 2025 · 3.94 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.94 | 22.6% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 116 | 85 |
| Dustin Antolin R 2026 · 3.35 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.35 | 23.9% | 13.1% | 1.1% | .286 | 4.36 | 16.2% | 1.8% | 50 | +1.01 | 2.90 | 159 | 85 |
| Matt Pushard R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.77 | 24.1% | 8.9% | 2.9% | .242 | 3.56 | 22.5% | 12.4% | 100 | -0.21 | 3.05 | 205 | 85 |
| Kyle Winkler R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.60 | 23.1% | 8.7% | 2.5% | .234 | 3.53 | 18.4% | 8.3% | 43 | -0.07 | 2.96 | 114 | 84 |
| Colton Murray R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .295 | 4.19 | 21.8% | 13.1% | 41 | +0.15 | 3.43 | 187 | 84 |
| Maikel Cleto R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 25.8% | 12.1% | 2.0% | .214 | 3.04 | 25.0% | 15.3% | 55 | -0.50 | 2.59 | 156 | 84 |
| Cale Coshow R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 23.1% | 10.9% | 3.6% | .300 | 3.61 | 23.0% | 12.8% | 63 | -0.90 | 3.16 | 377 | 84 |
| Kaleb Bowman R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.80 | 22.0% | 7.5% | 2.9% | .333 | 4.41 | 18.1% | 6.6% | 151 | +0.61 | 3.74 | 185 | 84 |
| Luis Ramirez R 2024 · 3.58 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.58 | 24.0% | 12.6% | 1.7% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 104 | 84 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 35 | 23.5% | 11.4% | 1.11 | 4.48 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |