Player 831580 P DSL Rangers Red
Age — —HP ROK peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION8 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINST109
ERA4.34
FIP4.34
K%23.3%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%14.0%
ROS IP6
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP
K: -0.7 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-1KBB: -2.0 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-2BBCONTACT: -0.6 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +0.6 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: -0.29 (14 IP)-0.3WAR
0.00.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career (MLE) + Projections

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
▸ 2026 Season
2026ROKDSL Rangers Red558537131100%1.79.0%30.7%-21.7%2.6%15.127.68-0.3
ROSMLB11624621100%5.823.3%9.3%14.0%3.0%4.344.34+0.0
2026 TotalMLB14771315216.4%19.7%-3.3%2.2%10.706.31-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
202725MLB3320842083100%6.723.7%9.0%14.7%3.0%4.294.26+0.1
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career558535161100%1.79.0%30.7%-21.7%2.6%15.127.68-0.3
/ 200 IP120120200127212038424100%1.79.0%30.7%-21.7%2.6%15.127.68-5.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Player 831580 (OGILVIE) 4.34 23.3%9.3%3.0%
Brendan Beck R 2025 · 3.18 FIP 24 SP 3.18 22.5%6.7%2.1%.289 3.78 20.9%13.1%225 +0.60 3.18 256 74
Mitch Neunborn R 2027 · 3.92 FIP 26 SP- 3.92 24.5%9.5%3.1%.232 5.11 17.5%6.2%190 +1.19 3.92 233 67
Tristan Beck R 2026 · 5.19 FIP 25 SP 5.19 18.2%10.9%4.1%.375 4.22 20.3%13.1%252 -0.97 3.52 473 62
Landon Knack R 2026 · 4.39 FIP 25 SP 4.39 23.0%10.5%3.5%.335 4.65 21.4%11.7%382 +0.26 3.67 509 62
Spencer Howard R 2026 · 3.82 FIP 25 SP 3.82 24.5%11.3%2.5%.311 4.90 24.4%14.8%208 +1.08 2.29 484 61
Zak Kent R 2026 · 3.86 FIP 25 SP 3.86 21.4%7.5%2.9%.239 4.01 21.7%9.0%121 +0.15 3.23 354 61
Leonardo Pestana R 2026 · 5.53 FIP 25 SP 5.53 21.5%13.1%4.7%.324 5.35 22.6%7.3%66 -0.18 3.61 155 61
Sauryn Lao R 2026 · 3.48 FIP 25 SP- 3.48 21.7%7.3%2.4%.297 3.19 182 61
Rorik Maltrud R 2026 · 4.64 FIP 25 SP 4.64 20.4%12.2%3.1%.283 4.15 18.9%11.0%79 -0.49 3.87 247 61
Peter Van Loon R 2026 · 3.14 FIP 25 SP 3.14 25.5%11.9%1.2%.303 4.30 21.1%10.5%53 +1.16 2.47 256 61
Riley Thompson R 2027 · 5.29 FIP 26 SP 5.29 21.7%14.7%3.9%.289 5.20 18.4%6.0%189 -0.09 4.52 340 60
DJ Myers R 2025 · 4.12 FIP 24 SP- 4.12 22.9%12.4%2.5%.375 3.47 257 59
Blake Wehunt R 2026 · 3.98 FIP 25 SP 3.98 26.8%8.1%3.9%.325 3.63 209 59
Dawson Netz R 2026 · 4.42 FIP 25 SP- 4.42 23.3%10.7%3.5%.225 4.42 102 59
Brooks Auger R 2025 · 3.81 FIP 24 SP 3.81 26.3%11.9%2.6%.340 3.81 138 59
Denny Brady R 2025 · 3.85 FIP 24 SP 3.85 24.8%13.2%2.1%.450 3.19 160 59
Connor McCullough R 2026 · 5.20 FIP 25 SP 5.20 18.7%6.4%5.2%.217 3.62 20.6%12.2%64 -1.58 3.62 222 58
Sean Harney R 2026 · 3.51 FIP 25 SP- 3.51 18.2%9.8%1.3%.285 4.69 16.5%5.1%59 +1.18 3.51 123 58
Josh Grosz R 2024 · 4.00 FIP 23 SP 4.00 28.0%14.1%2.7%.328 4.00 274 58
Sean Mooney R 2025 · 4.82 FIP 24 SP- 4.82 24.7%13.5%3.8%.277 3.45 102 58