Enyel Lopez

P ACL Rangers

Age 21 LHP 6'4" / 180 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECTFG #506

Scout OFP40ETA2028FG ETA2031MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	19	MIX2 levels	12	6	27	5.67	3.47	25.4%	19.4%	—	K 16.9% · BB 25.2% · FIP 4.87
2026	20	ROKTEX	13	6	32	11.37	5.03	24.2%	20.6%	—	K 16.5% · BB 25.8% · FIP 6.37
2027PROJ	21	MLBTEX	77	0	81	5.84	5.84	21.1%	20.0%	-1.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBTEX	40	0	42	5.41	5.24	23.1%	16.8%	-0.3
2029PROJ73% MLB	23	MLBTEX	61	0	64	5.04	4.85	24.3%	14.7%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -1.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff60Command40FB velo60

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsColby Langford (age 22) · Bryce Hubbart (age 22) · Victor Payano (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128136vR 144

ERA5.84

FIP5.84

K%21.1%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%1.1%

Proj IP81

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 81 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF5060

CMD2040

K†5060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	6	27	134	34	26	0	50%	2.2	16.9%	25.2%	-8.3%	0.0%	5.67	4.87	—
2025	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	6	27	134	34	26	0	50%	2.2	16.9%	25.2%	-8.3%	0.0%	5.67	4.87	—
2025	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	6	27	134	34	26	0	50%	2.2	25.4%	19.4%	6.0%	0.0%	5.67	3.47	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	13	6	32	165	40	34	3	46%	2.4	16.5%	25.8%	-9.3%	2.5%	11.37	6.37	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	13	6	32	165	40	34	3	46%	2.4	16.5%	25.8%	-9.3%	2.5%	11.37	6.37	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	13	6	32	165	40	34	3	46%	2.4	24.2%	20.6%	3.6%	1.8%	11.37	5.03	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	TEX	77	0	81	342	72	68	10	0%	1.1	21.1%	20.0%	1.1%	2.9%	5.84	5.84	-1.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	TEX	81	0	85	359	83	60	10	0%	1.0	23.1%	16.8%	6.3%	2.9%	5.41	5.24	-0.7
2029	23	MLB MLE	TEX	84	0	88	372	90	55	11	0%	1.1	24.3%	14.7%	9.6%	2.8%	5.04	4.85	-0.3
2030	24	MLB MLE	TEX	86	0	90	382	96	51	11	0%	1.1	25.0%	13.4%	11.7%	2.8%	4.77	4.60	-0.1
2031	25	MLB MLE	TEX	87	0	92	386	98	48	11	0%	1.1	25.5%	12.5%	13.0%	2.8%	4.58	4.45	+0.1
2032	26	MLB MLE	TEX	87	0	92	386	99	48	11	0%	1.1	25.7%	12.5%	13.2%	2.8%	4.49	4.43	+0.1
2033	27	MLB MLE	TEX	86	0	90	380	98	48	11	0%	1.0	25.7%	12.5%	13.1%	2.9%	4.48	4.47	+0.1
2034	28	MLB MLE	TEX	83	0	87	369	94	47	11	0%	1.1	25.6%	12.7%	12.9%	3.0%	4.52	4.55	0.0
2035	29	MLB MLE	TEX	80	0	84	353	89	45	11	0%	1.0	25.3%	12.9%	12.4%	3.1%	4.62	4.68	-0.1
2036	30	MLB MLE	TEX	75	0	78	331	89	41	11	0%	1.0	27.0%	12.4%	14.6%	3.3%	4.60	4.59	-0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	TEX	40	0	42	177	41	30	5	0%	1.1	23.1%	16.8%	6.3%	2.9%	5.41	5.24	-0.3
2029	23	MLB CTX	TEX	61	0	64	270	66	40	8	0%	1.0	24.3%	14.7%	9.6%	2.8%	5.04	4.85	-0.2
2030	24	MLB CTX	TEX	71	0	75	317	79	42	9	0%	1.1	25.0%	13.4%	11.7%	2.8%	4.77	4.60	-0.0
2031	25	MLB CTX	TEX	77	0	81	342	87	43	10	0%	1.1	25.5%	12.5%	13.0%	2.8%	4.58	4.45	+0.1
2032	26	MLB CTX	TEX	80	0	84	355	91	44	10	0%	1.1	25.7%	12.5%	13.2%	2.8%	4.49	4.43	+0.1
2033	27	MLB CTX	TEX	80	0	84	355	91	44	10	0%	1.1	25.7%	12.5%	13.1%	2.9%	4.48	4.47	+0.1
2034	28	MLB CTX	TEX	78	0	82	346	88	44	10	0%	1.1	25.6%	12.7%	12.9%	3.0%	4.52	4.55	0.0
2035	29	MLB CTX	TEX	75	0	79	334	84	43	10	0%	1.1	25.3%	12.9%	12.4%	3.1%	4.62	4.68	-0.1
2036	30	MLB CTX	TEX	71	0	75	317	85	39	10	0%	1.1	27.0%	12.4%	14.6%	3.3%	4.60	4.59	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		633	0	665	2806	712	369	82	0%	1.0	25.4%	13.1%	12.2%	2.9%	4.67	4.23	+2.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	214	111	25	0%	1.1	25.4%	13.1%	12.2%	2.9%	4.67	4.23	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		25	12	59	299	50	76	4	48%	2.3	16.7%	25.5%	-8.8%	1.4%	8.74	5.70	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		85	41	200	1019	170	260	14	48%	2.3	16.7%	25.5%	-8.8%	1.4%	8.74	5.70	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Enyel Lopez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.84	21.1%	20.0%	2.9%	—	4.89	24.2%	9.2%	264	-0.95	—	—	—
Colby Langford L 2024 · 5.34 FIP	22	SW	5.34	21.6%	22.5%	2.2%	.273	6.01	22.2%	-1.1%	110	+0.67	4.92	168	87
Bryce Hubbart L 2023 · 5.87 FIP	22	SW	5.87	17.0%	26.0%	1.7%	.303	5.28	17.9%	4.2%	149	-0.59	4.79	194	79
Victor Payano L 2015 · 6.06 FIP	22	SP-	6.06	14.8%	16.5%	3.9%	.287	4.82	20.5%	7.0%	225	-1.24	3.78	341	78
Esmerlin Vinicio L 2024 · 4.81 FIP	21	SW	4.81	16.2%	16.8%	1.7%	.261	4.29	19.5%	3.3%	113	-0.52	3.73	383	77
Andrew Faulkner L 2015 · 4.74 FIP	22	SP-	4.74	18.0%	12.8%	2.8%	.290	4.06	17.7%	6.6%	142	-0.68	3.70	252	76
Braeden Fausnaught L 2023 · 4.77 FIP	24	SW	4.77	16.9%	16.4%	1.8%	.287	4.60	17.9%	9.7%	179	-0.17	4.43	242	76
Dominic Scheffler L 2024 · 5.54 FIP	20	SP-	5.54	19.7%	28.4%	0.9%	.348	5.19	16.1%	-4.1%	82	-0.35	4.59	110	73
Adam Laskey L 2021 · 6.39 FIP	23	SP-	6.39	16.0%	21.0%	3.6%	.383	3.25	20.1%	10.5%	188	-3.14	3.12	310	72
Spencer Giesting L 2022 · 5.80 FIP	21	SP-	5.80	20.8%	16.6%	4.3%	.290	4.30	19.0%	8.0%	394	-1.50	3.58	460	72
Bailey Horn L 2021 · 4.99 FIP	23	SP-	4.99	19.7%	12.7%	3.6%	.300	4.60	22.3%	10.3%	152	-0.39	3.90	265	72
Ronan Kopp L 2023 · 4.66 FIP	21	SP-	4.66	27.6%	19.2%	2.6%	.287	4.18	25.3%	7.3%	154	-0.48	2.93	284	71
Austin Davis L 2015 · 4.83 FIP	22	SW	4.83	14.7%	12.4%	2.5%	.259	2.97	23.3%	15.8%	151	-1.86	2.12	486	71
Noah Dean L 2023 · 5.83 FIP	22	SP-	5.83	21.1%	28.1%	1.7%	.343	5.14	23.3%	4.2%	154	-0.69	4.41	217	70
Johan Santana L 2000 · 4.98 FIP	21	SW	4.98	16.1%	13.6%	2.8%	.338	3.27	26.0%	17.4%	310	-1.71	2.76	2,026	70
Dante Biasi L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SW	4.91	21.5%	12.6%	3.7%	.251	5.70	19.3%	2.3%	153	+0.79	4.91	224	70
Felipe De La Cruz L 2022 · 4.65 FIP	21	SP-	4.65	21.7%	14.5%	2.8%	.387	3.82	21.5%	10.1%	278	-0.83	3.11	397	70
Brandon Herbold L 2024 · 6.27 FIP	19	SP-	6.27	17.2%	17.6%	4.3%	.296	5.06	19.8%	-3.9%	44	-1.21	3.72	105	70
Julio Robaina L 2022 · 5.55 FIP	21	SP-	5.55	17.4%	16.9%	3.2%	.347	4.04	18.2%	8.7%	178	-1.51	2.72	453	69
Luis Ysla L 2015 · 4.88 FIP	23	SW	4.88	19.6%	12.5%	3.4%	.412	4.47	18.3%	4.3%	208	-0.41	3.75	378	69
Joe Adametz L 2023 · 5.89 FIP	23	SW	5.89	19.0%	15.0%	4.5%	.158	4.32	14.8%	5.5%	224	-1.57	3.66	248	69

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.3	87	24.8%	14.0%	1.13	4.83
Rex Barney ('43-'50, 1 WAR*)	3.0	100	26.2%*	14.4%*	1.18*	4.65*
Jonathan Sánchez ('13)	3.9	112	22.8%	12.5%	1.04	4.70
Lou Kretlow ('46-'56, -2 WAR*)	3.9	87	23.6%*	12.1%*	1.05*	5.18*
Dan Warthen ('75-'78, 1 WAR*)	1.5	102	24.8%*	14.2%*	1.27*	4.86*
Robert Person ('03)	4.5	128	19.8%	11.2%	1.29	4.64
Victor Zambrano ('07)	3.5	101	16.6%	12.7%	0.99	4.64