Enyel Lopez
P
ACL Rangers
Age 20
LHP
6'4" / 180 lbs
ROK
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION28 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117126vR 135
ERA5.15
FIP5.15
K%22.3%
BB%15.6%
K-BB%6.8%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 92 IP
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 6 | 27 | 134 | 34 | 26 | 0 | 50% | 2.2 | 16.9% | 25.2% | -8.3% | 0.0% | 5.67 | 4.87 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 6 | 27 | 134 | 34 | 26 | 0 | 50% | 2.2 | 25.4% | 19.4% | 6.0% | 0.0% | 5.67 | 3.47 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | ROK | ACL Rangers | 11 | 6 | 28 | 149 | 37 | 33 | 3 | 55% | 2.5 | 16.9% | 27.7% | -10.8% | 2.8% | 12.69 | 6.73 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | TEX | 14 | 14 | 65 | 274 | 61 | 43 | 8 | 100% | 4.6 | 22.3% | 15.6% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 5.15 | 5.15 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.3% | 15.6% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 5.17 | 5.17 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 92 | 423 | 98 | 76 | 11 | — | — | 23.2% | 17.9% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 7.41 | 5.62 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | TEX | 22 | 22 | 106 | 446 | 98 | 64 | 13 | 100% | 4.8 | 22.0% | 14.4% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 5.03 | 5.01 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB | TEX | 29 | 29 | 147 | 620 | 147 | 80 | 17 | 100% | 5.1 | 23.7% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 2.8% | 4.77 | 4.63 | +1.3 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB | TEX | 33 | 33 | 175 | 739 | 183 | 87 | 20 | 100% | 5.3 | 24.8% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 2.8% | 4.54 | 4.39 | +2.1 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB | TEX | 32 | 32 | 179 | 757 | 193 | 85 | 21 | 100% | 5.6 | 25.5% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 2.7% | 4.36 | 4.25 | +2.4 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB | TEX | 31 | 31 | 180 | 760 | 197 | 82 | 21 | 100% | 5.8 | 25.9% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 2.7% | 4.24 | 4.16 | +2.6 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB | TEX | 30 | 30 | 180 | 760 | 198 | 82 | 21 | 100% | 6.0 | 26.1% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 2.7% | 4.18 | 4.14 | +2.7 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB | TEX | 30 | 30 | 177 | 749 | 195 | 81 | 21 | 100% | 5.9 | 26.1% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 2.8% | 4.18 | 4.18 | +2.5 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB | TEX | 29 | 29 | 172 | 726 | 188 | 80 | 21 | 100% | 5.9 | 25.9% | 11.0% | 14.9% | 2.9% | 4.23 | 4.26 | +2.3 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB | TEX | 27 | 27 | 164 | 694 | 178 | 78 | 21 | 100% | 6.1 | 25.7% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.39 | +1.9 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB | TEX | 26 | 26 | 154 | 652 | 165 | 75 | 21 | 100% | 5.9 | 25.4% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 3.2% | 4.47 | 4.57 | +1.5 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB | TEX | 24 | 24 | 144 | 608 | 152 | 72 | 21 | 100% | 6.0 | 25.0% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 3.4% | 4.65 | 4.77 | +1.1 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB | TEX | 22 | 22 | 133 | 562 | 138 | 69 | 21 | 100% | 6.1 | 24.5% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 3.7% | 4.86 | 5.00 | +0.6 |
| 2039 | 33 | MLB | TEX | 20 | 20 | 122 | 516 | 124 | 66 | 20 | 100% | 6.1 | 24.0% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 4.0% | 5.09 | 5.25 | +0.2 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | TEX | 11 | 11 | 52 | 220 | 48 | 32 | 6 | 100% | 4.7 | 22.0% | 14.4% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 5.05 | 5.03 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB | TEX | 21 | 21 | 107 | 452 | 107 | 58 | 13 | 100% | 5.1 | 23.7% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 2.8% | 4.79 | 4.65 | +0.9 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB | TEX | 28 | 28 | 148 | 625 | 155 | 74 | 17 | 100% | 5.3 | 24.8% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 2.8% | 4.56 | 4.41 | +1.7 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB | TEX | 29 | 29 | 160 | 676 | 172 | 75 | 19 | 100% | 5.5 | 25.5% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 2.8% | 4.38 | 4.27 | +2.1 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB | TEX | 28 | 28 | 165 | 697 | 180 | 75 | 19 | 100% | 5.9 | 25.9% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 2.8% | 4.26 | 4.18 | +2.4 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB | TEX | 28 | 28 | 168 | 709 | 185 | 76 | 20 | 100% | 6.0 | 26.1% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 2.8% | 4.20 | 4.16 | +2.4 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB | TEX | 28 | 28 | 168 | 709 | 185 | 77 | 20 | 100% | 6.0 | 26.1% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 2.8% | 4.20 | 4.20 | +2.4 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB | TEX | 27 | 27 | 163 | 688 | 179 | 76 | 20 | 100% | 6.0 | 25.9% | 11.0% | 14.9% | 2.9% | 4.25 | 4.28 | +2.1 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB | TEX | 26 | 26 | 156 | 659 | 169 | 74 | 20 | 100% | 6.0 | 25.7% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 3.1% | 4.35 | 4.41 | +1.8 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB | TEX | 24 | 24 | 147 | 621 | 157 | 72 | 20 | 100% | 6.1 | 25.4% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 3.3% | 4.49 | 4.59 | +1.4 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB | TEX | 23 | 23 | 137 | 578 | 144 | 69 | 20 | 100% | 6.0 | 25.0% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 3.5% | 4.67 | 4.79 | +1.0 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB | TEX | 21 | 21 | 127 | 536 | 131 | 66 | 20 | 100% | 6.0 | 24.5% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 3.7% | 4.89 | 5.03 | +0.6 |
| 2039 | 33 | MLB | TEX | 19 | 19 | 116 | 490 | 118 | 62 | 20 | 100% | 6.1 | 24.0% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 4.0% | 5.12 | 5.28 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 313 | 313 | 1813 | 7657 | 1931 | 886 | 234 | 100% | 5.8 | 25.2% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 3.1% | 4.49 | 4.11 | +27.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 35 | 35 | 200 | 844 | 213 | 98 | 26 | 100% | 5.8 | 25.2% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 3.1% | 4.49 | 4.11 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 23 | 12 | 55 | 283 | 48 | 75 | 4 | 52% | 2.4 | 16.9% | 26.5% | -9.6% | 1.5% | 9.22 | 5.85 | -0.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 84 | 44 | 200 | 1035 | 175 | 274 | 15 | 52% | 2.4 | 16.9% | 26.5% | -9.6% | 1.5% | 9.22 | 5.85 | -1.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Enyel Lopez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.15 | 22.3% | 15.6% | 2.9% | — | 4.63 | 23.7% | 10.9% | 428 | -0.52 | — | — | — |
| Brandon Finnegan L 2028 · 4.52 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.52 | 21.3% | 12.8% | 2.9% | .287 | 5.05 | 18.5% | 6.5% | 273 | +0.53 | 3.70 | 489 | 80 |
| Alex Ayala Jr. L 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.28 | 20.7% | 12.3% | 2.5% | .271 | 5.86 | 13.6% | -3.1% | 71 | +1.58 | 4.28 | 128 | 79 |
| Andrew Faulkner L 2028 · 4.84 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.84 | 18.0% | 12.8% | 3.0% | .290 | 4.18 | 17.7% | 6.6% | 142 | -0.66 | 3.78 | 252 | 79 |
| Colby Langford L 2028 · 5.24 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.24 | 21.6% | 22.5% | 2.0% | .273 | 6.09 | 22.9% | -1.5% | 95 | +0.85 | 4.82 | 153 | 79 |
| Jared Beck L 2029 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.16 | 21.1% | 15.9% | 1.5% | .338 | 6.22 | 20.1% | -8.4% | 82 | +2.06 | 4.16 | 158 | 78 |
| Bailey Horn L 2029 · 5.16 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.16 | 19.7% | 12.7% | 3.9% | .300 | 4.71 | 22.7% | 9.5% | 152 | -0.45 | 4.13 | 265 | 77 |
| Spencer Giesting L 2027 · 5.67 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.67 | 20.8% | 16.6% | 4.1% | .290 | 4.35 | 19.1% | 7.7% | 394 | -1.32 | 3.48 | 433 | 76 |
| Luichi Casilla L 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.59 | 22.4% | 20.2% | 1.5% | .372 | 1.94 | 20.9% | 16.1% | 10 | -2.65 | 1.94 | 110 | 76 |
| Adam Tulloch L 2029 · 4.49 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.49 | 20.3% | 14.1% | 2.4% | .313 | 4.65 | 17.8% | 1.7% | 139 | +0.16 | 4.12 | 234 | 75 |
| Raúl Alcantara L 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.46 | 19.6% | 12.8% | 2.5% | .295 | 4.64 | 19.0% | 4.2% | 229 | +0.18 | 3.82 | 396 | 75 |
| Sonny Vargas L 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.43 | 21.0% | 10.1% | 3.3% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.20 | 165 | 75 |
| Luis Rico L 2027 · 5.17 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.17 | 17.2% | 13.0% | 3.4% | .303 | 5.16 | 17.8% | 5.9% | 105 | -0.01 | 4.43 | 199 | 74 |
| Steven Pérez L 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.56 | 18.3% | 11.4% | 2.8% | .305 | 5.01 | 20.2% | 5.6% | 116 | +0.45 | 3.80 | 329 | 74 |
| Seth Lonsway L 2029 · 4.34 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.34 | 21.2% | 14.4% | 2.2% | .304 | 4.12 | 16.0% | 4.2% | 319 | -0.22 | 3.33 | 457 | 74 |
| Brayan Restituyo L 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.89 | 17.6% | 14.6% | 2.6% | .397 | 4.44 | 18.4% | 6.3% | 144 | -0.45 | 3.66 | 236 | 74 |
| Larson Kindreich L 2029 · 4.18 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.18 | 24.3% | 18.6% | 1.4% | .275 | 5.03 | 22.3% | 6.1% | 149 | +0.85 | 4.15 | 214 | 73 |
| Connor Oliver L 2029 · 4.29 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.29 | 17.3% | 12.1% | 2.0% | .314 | 5.52 | 19.2% | 3.4% | 121 | +1.23 | 4.29 | 200 | 73 |
| Joe Kemlage L 2029 · 4.35 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.35 | 19.4% | 13.5% | 2.1% | .278 | 5.53 | 17.6% | 5.9% | 65 | +1.18 | 4.35 | 128 | 72 |
| Dante Biasi L 2029 · 4.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.88 | 21.5% | 12.6% | 3.6% | .251 | 6.01 | 19.3% | 2.3% | 153 | +1.13 | 4.88 | 224 | 72 |
| Will Johnston L 2029 · 4.21 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.21 | 24.8% | 11.6% | 3.2% | .290 | 4.34 | 22.8% | 8.6% | 82 | +0.13 | 4.04 | 174 | 72 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 14 | 150 | 25.0% | 11.8% | 1.16 | 4.51 |
| Jon Gray ('24) | 10 | 122 | 23.4% | 7.8% | 1.15 | 4.45 |
| Kyle Gibson ('24) | 10 | 164 | 19.6% | 8.3% | 1.14 | 4.46 |
| Lance Lynn ('24) | 9 | 154 | 23.9% | 8.1% | 1.20 | 3.86 |
| Vince Velasquez ('23) | 9 | 85 | 24.9% | 9.3% | 1.48 | 4.88 |
| Rich Hill ('23) | 9 | 104 | 25.0% | 8.0% | 1.12 | 3.65 |
| Chad Kuhl ('24) | 8 | 84 | 20.0% | 10.4% | 1.31 | 4.98 |