Enyel Lopez — OGILVIE

Enyel Lopez P ACL Rangers

Age 20 LHP 6'4" / 180 lbs ROK

2026 ROS PROJECTION32 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131139vR 147

ERA6.01

FIP6.01

K%22.3%

BB%22.4%

K-BB%-0.0%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 37 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF5060

CMD2040

K†5565

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	6	27	134	34	26	0	50%	2.2	16.9%	25.2%	-8.3%	0.0%	5.67	4.87	—
2025	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	6	27	134	34	26	0	50%	2.2	16.9%	25.2%	-8.3%	0.0%	5.67	4.87	—
2025	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	6	27	134	34	26	0	50%	2.2	25.4%	19.4%	6.0%	0.0%	5.67	3.47	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	13	6	32	165	40	34	3	46%	2.4	16.5%	25.8%	-9.3%	2.5%	11.37	6.37	—
YTD	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	13	6	32	165	40	34	3	46%	2.4	16.5%	25.8%	-9.3%	2.5%	11.37	6.37	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	20	ROK RAW	TEX	13	6	32	165	40	34	3	46%	2.4	24.2%	20.6%	3.6%	1.8%	11.37	4.66	—
ROS	20	MLB MLE	TEX	5	0	6	24	5	5	1	0%	1.1	22.3%	22.4%	-0.0%	2.9%	6.01	6.01	-0.1
2026 TOT	20	MLB MLE	TEX	—	—	37	189	45	39	4	—	—	24.0%	20.8%	3.2%	2.0%	10.55	6.31	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	TEX	68	0	72	302	71	57	9	0%	1.1	23.5%	18.9%	4.7%	2.8%	5.60	5.44	-0.7
2028	22	MLB MLE	TEX	72	0	75	318	79	52	9	0%	1.0	24.9%	16.3%	8.6%	2.8%	5.19	4.97	-0.4
2029	23	MLB MLE	TEX	74	0	78	329	85	48	9	0%	1.1	25.7%	14.5%	11.2%	2.8%	4.86	4.66	-0.1
2030	24	MLB MLE	TEX	76	0	80	337	89	45	9	0%	1.1	26.2%	13.4%	12.9%	2.7%	4.62	4.46	+0.1
2031	25	MLB MLE	TEX	77	0	81	342	91	43	9	0%	1.1	26.6%	12.7%	14.0%	2.7%	4.44	4.33	+0.2
2032	26	MLB MLE	TEX	77	0	81	342	92	43	9	0%	1.1	26.9%	12.6%	14.2%	2.7%	4.36	4.30	+0.2
2033	27	MLB MLE	TEX	76	0	80	337	97	40	9	0%	1.0	28.8%	11.9%	17.0%	2.8%	4.19	4.07	+0.5
2034	28	MLB MLE	TEX	74	0	77	326	94	39	9	0%	1.0	28.7%	12.0%	16.7%	2.9%	4.17	4.16	+0.4
2035	29	MLB MLE	TEX	70	0	74	312	89	38	9	0%	1.1	28.5%	12.3%	16.2%	3.0%	4.24	4.29	+0.2
2036	30	MLB MLE	TEX	66	0	69	293	82	37	9	0%	1.1	28.1%	12.6%	15.6%	3.2%	4.37	4.46	+0.1
2027	21	MLB CTX	TEX	33	0	35	148	35	28	4	0%	1.1	23.5%	18.9%	4.7%	2.8%	5.60	5.44	-0.3
2028	22	MLB CTX	TEX	52	0	55	232	58	38	6	0%	1.1	24.9%	16.3%	8.6%	2.8%	5.19	4.97	-0.3
2029	23	MLB CTX	TEX	63	0	66	279	72	41	8	0%	1.0	25.7%	14.5%	11.2%	2.8%	4.86	4.66	-0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	TEX	68	0	71	300	79	40	8	0%	1.0	26.2%	13.4%	12.9%	2.7%	4.62	4.46	+0.1
2031	25	MLB CTX	TEX	70	0	74	312	83	40	9	0%	1.1	26.6%	12.7%	14.0%	2.7%	4.44	4.33	+0.2
2032	26	MLB CTX	TEX	71	0	75	317	85	40	9	0%	1.1	26.9%	12.6%	14.2%	2.7%	4.36	4.30	+0.2
2033	27	MLB CTX	TEX	72	0	76	321	93	38	9	0%	1.1	28.8%	11.9%	17.0%	2.8%	4.19	4.07	+0.4
2034	28	MLB CTX	TEX	70	0	73	308	89	37	9	0%	1.0	28.7%	12.0%	16.7%	2.9%	4.17	4.16	+0.3
2035	29	MLB CTX	TEX	67	0	70	296	84	36	9	0%	1.0	28.5%	12.3%	16.2%	3.0%	4.24	4.29	+0.2
2036	30	MLB CTX	TEX	63	0	66	279	78	35	9	0%	1.0	28.1%	12.6%	15.6%	3.2%	4.37	4.46	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		630	0	662	2794	756	373	79	0%	1.1	27.0%	13.3%	13.7%	2.8%	4.53	4.07	+3.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	228	113	24	0%	1.1	27.0%	13.3%	13.7%	2.8%	4.53	4.07	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		25	12	59	299	50	76	4	48%	2.3	16.7%	25.5%	-8.8%	1.4%	8.74	5.70	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		85	41	200	1019	170	260	14	48%	2.3	16.7%	25.5%	-8.8%	1.4%	8.74	5.70	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Enyel Lopez (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.01	22.3%	22.4%	2.9%	—	5.01	24.7%	8.3%	225	-1.00	—	—	—
Bryce Hubbart L 2023 · 5.87 FIP	22	SW	5.87	17.0%	26.0%	1.7%	.303	5.32	17.8%	4.0%	148	-0.55	4.79	193	78
Spencer Giesting L 2022 · 5.80 FIP	21	SP-	5.80	20.8%	16.6%	4.3%	.290	4.31	18.9%	7.9%	394	-1.49	3.58	457	74
Oriel Castro L 2021 · 4.95 FIP	20	SW	4.95	19.6%	19.0%	2.0%	.390	5.41	16.3%	-0.1%	41	+0.46	4.63	129	74
Victor Payano L 2015 · 6.06 FIP	22	SP-	6.06	14.8%	16.5%	3.9%	.287	4.82	20.5%	7.0%	225	-1.24	3.78	341	73
Adam Laskey L 2021 · 6.39 FIP	23	SP-	6.39	16.0%	21.0%	3.6%	.383	3.25	20.1%	10.5%	188	-3.14	3.12	310	71
Brayan De Paula L 2019 · 6.00 FIP	20	SW	6.00	16.9%	16.4%	4.1%	.272	4.58	20.9%	6.1%	59	-1.42	3.57	243	71
Noah Dean L 2023 · 5.83 FIP	22	SP-	5.83	21.1%	28.1%	1.7%	.343	5.14	23.3%	4.2%	154	-0.69	4.41	217	70
Bailey Horn L 2021 · 4.99 FIP	23	SP-	4.99	19.7%	12.7%	3.6%	.300	4.64	21.9%	9.9%	152	-0.35	3.96	265	69
Miguel Gutierrez L 2015 · 5.58 FIP	20	SP-	5.58	14.3%	21.8%	1.7%	.240	4.24	14.9%	-4.1%	64	-1.34	3.91	103	69
Joe Adametz L 2023 · 5.89 FIP	23	SW	5.89	19.0%	15.0%	4.5%	.158	4.32	14.8%	5.5%	224	-1.57	3.66	248	68
Dante Biasi L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SW	4.91	21.5%	12.6%	3.7%	.251	5.70	19.3%	2.3%	153	+0.79	4.91	224	67
Yaifer Perdomo L 2022 · 6.41 FIP	20	SP-	6.41	19.2%	16.2%	5.2%	.316	4.89	22.2%	0.6%	31	-1.52	2.81	191	67
Adam Shoemaker L 2023 · 6.29 FIP	20	SP-	6.29	15.5%	19.2%	3.8%	.304	5.00	19.6%	-2.9%	144	-1.29	4.41	246	67
Ryan Anderson L 2021 · 5.71 FIP	22	SP-	5.71	14.7%	26.1%	1.0%	.373	3.73	20.3%	11.0%	149	-1.98	2.80	214	67
Austin Davis L 2015 · 4.83 FIP	22	SW	4.83	14.7%	12.4%	2.5%	.259	2.97	23.3%	15.8%	151	-1.86	2.19	486	67
Steven Pérez L 2021 · 5.07 FIP	20	SW	5.07	18.3%	11.4%	3.8%	.305	4.81	20.2%	5.6%	116	-0.26	3.71	354	66
Roberth Fernandez L 2015 · 5.66 FIP	20	SW	5.66	11.4%	16.2%	2.7%	.356	4.92	14.7%	6.3%	60	-0.74	4.92	103	66
Juan Rojas L 2023 · 5.60 FIP	19	SP-	5.60	13.5%	14.4%	3.3%	.286	4.28	16.9%	2.0%	178	-1.32	2.74	282	66
Luis Ysla L 2015 · 4.88 FIP	23	SW	4.88	19.6%	12.5%	3.4%	.412	4.47	18.3%	4.3%	208	-0.41	3.75	378	66
Liam Sullivan L 2023 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP	5.78	25.7%	20.5%	4.1%	.290	5.79	20.9%	7.2%	141	+0.01	4.45	156	66

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.2	76	26.5%	14.4%	1.10	4.71
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.5	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Adam Ottavino ('24)	2.3	59	29.3%	11.4%	0.86	3.18