Juanyerlin Duran
P
FCL Red Sox
Age 18
RHP
6'0" / 165 lbs
ROK
peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION17 act + 22 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 100
ERA4.37
FIP4.37
K%22.6%
BB%9.7%
K-BB%12.9%
ROS IP22
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 38 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Red Sox Blue | 10 | 10 | 37 | 164 | 37 | 18 | 0 | 100% | 3.7 | 15.3% | 13.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 4.42 | 3.54 | — |
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Red Sox Blue | 10 | 10 | 37 | 164 | 37 | 18 | 0 | 100% | 3.7 | 22.6% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 0.0% | 4.42 | 2.55 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 18 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 8 | 2 | 17 | 80 | 19 | 18 | 2 | 25% | 2.1 | 16.2% | 28.1% | -12.0% | 3.5% | 5.94 | 7.22 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 18 | MLB | BOS | 21 | 0 | 22 | 92 | 21 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 2.9% | 4.37 | 4.37 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 18 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.6% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 2.9% | 4.37 | 4.37 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 18 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 38 | 172 | 40 | 27 | 5 | — | — | 23.1% | 15.6% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 5.05 | 5.60 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 19 | MLB | BOS | 5 | 5 | 23 | 97 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 4.6 | 23.1% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 2.8% | 4.29 | 4.25 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 19 | MLB | BOS | 2 | 2 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.5 | 23.1% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 2.8% | 4.29 | 4.25 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 11 | 48 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.6 | 23.1% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 2.8% | 4.29 | 3.87 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 43 | 43 | 200 | 844 | 195 | 71 | 18 | 100% | 4.7 | 23.1% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 2.8% | 4.29 | 3.87 | +3.6 | ||
| Career | — | 18 | 12 | 53 | 244 | 38 | 45 | 3 | 67% | 3.0 | 15.6% | 18.4% | -2.8% | 1.1% | 4.89 | 4.75 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 68 | 45 | 200 | 915 | 143 | 169 | 10 | 67% | 3.0 | 15.6% | 18.4% | -2.8% | 1.1% | 4.89 | 4.75 | +1.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Juanyerlin Duran (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.37 | 22.6% | 9.7% | 2.9% | — | 4.25 | 23.1% | 13.9% | 23 | -0.12 | — | — | — |
| Sean Paul Liñan R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.04 | 17.7% | 8.3% | 2.5% | .324 | 4.14 | 23.1% | 11.5% | 181 | +0.10 | 3.29 | 243 | 82 |
| Christian Romero R 2026 · 3.24 FIP | 18 | SP- | 3.24 | 18.8% | 8.6% | 1.1% | .280 | 4.96 | 16.3% | 7.8% | 198 | +1.72 | 3.24 | 415 | 81 |
| Dahian Santos R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.91 | 24.2% | 10.1% | 4.7% | .316 | 4.73 | 25.1% | 10.2% | 161 | -0.18 | 4.35 | 197 | 81 |
| Sheng-En Lin R 2027 · 3.58 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.58 | 22.3% | 9.6% | 2.1% | .223 | 4.19 | 17.8% | 3.4% | 61 | +0.61 | 3.58 | 108 | 80 |
| Gerelmi Maldonado R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.21 | 24.0% | 14.2% | 2.4% | .337 | 4.64 | 19.9% | 2.2% | 124 | +0.43 | 3.83 | 215 | 80 |
| Winston Santos R 2027 · 3.18 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.18 | 18.3% | 8.4% | 1.0% | .261 | 4.51 | 19.0% | 11.3% | 317 | +1.33 | 1.82 | 406 | 79 |
| Miguel Rondon R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.47 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .361 | 8.04 | 18.1% | 2.1% | 88 | +3.57 | 2.62 | 179 | 79 |
| Eric Mendez R 2026 · 3.26 FIP | 18 | SP- | 3.26 | 21.0% | 9.5% | 1.3% | .220 | 3.42 | 23.2% | 11.5% | 49 | +0.16 | 2.86 | 213 | 79 |
| Amilcar Chirinos R 2028 · 3.26 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.26 | 25.6% | 12.3% | 1.4% | .349 | 4.01 | 19.3% | 6.3% | 147 | +0.75 | 2.86 | 212 | 79 |
| Luis Victorino R 2027 · 4.27 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.27 | 18.9% | 12.8% | 2.1% | .301 | 4.95 | 15.9% | -5.0% | 84 | +0.68 | 4.27 | 148 | 79 |
| Miguel Díaz R 2028 · 3.40 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.40 | 19.3% | 7.7% | 1.7% | .365 | 4.50 | 19.4% | 8.2% | 233 | +1.10 | 2.22 | 573 | 79 |
| Luis Arejula R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.46 | 21.9% | 8.7% | 2.0% | .318 | 4.42 | 15.7% | 3.5% | 71 | +0.96 | 3.46 | 115 | 78 |
| Fraynel Nova R 2028 · 4.00 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.00 | 16.4% | 7.9% | 2.3% | .296 | 4.17 | 14.9% | 4.9% | 110 | +0.17 | 3.49 | 129 | 78 |
| Deretd Parra R 2027 · 5.29 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.29 | 16.8% | 10.9% | 4.1% | .295 | 3.80 | 15.7% | 2.3% | 83 | -1.49 | 2.79 | 161 | 77 |
| Moisés Chace R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 18 | SP- | 3.81 | 20.5% | 13.0% | 1.5% | .387 | 4.54 | 24.2% | 6.9% | 208 | +0.73 | 3.81 | 247 | 77 |
| Heisell Baro R 2025 · 4.37 FIP | 17 | SP- | 4.37 | 19.0% | 11.9% | 2.5% | .196 | 5.77 | 15.8% | -1.4% | 61 | +1.40 | 4.16 | 105 | 77 |
| Jose Cedeno R 2025 · 4.66 FIP | 17 | SP- | 4.66 | 15.3% | 9.7% | 3.0% | .271 | 3.54 | 21.5% | 12.9% | 88 | -1.12 | 2.95 | 123 | 77 |
| Kyle Glogoski R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.46 | 19.9% | 8.5% | 1.7% | .277 | 3.92 | 20.6% | 9.1% | 93 | +0.46 | 3.43 | 206 | 76 |
| Ryan Fernandez R 2028 · 4.44 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.44 | 19.2% | 6.8% | 3.8% | .357 | 3.52 | 20.8% | 13.2% | 53 | -0.92 | 2.97 | 335 | 76 |
| Porter Hodge R 2028 · 4.18 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.18 | 19.3% | 8.8% | 2.9% | .336 | 3.40 | 24.3% | 10.5% | 249 | -0.78 | 2.98 | 349 | 76 |