Luisberth Valdez

P FCL Braves

Age 19 LHP 6'0" / 165 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	17	ROKATL	9	6	29	4.91	3.48	25.6%	16.5%	—	K 17.4% · BB 20.7% · FIP 4.91
2026	18	ROKATL	10	7	26	12.46	6.60	20.1%	19.4%	—	K 13.7% · BB 24.3% · FIP 7.69
2027PROJ	19	MLBATL	4	4	16	6.04	6.04	19.5%	20.0%	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	20	MLBATL	3	3	14	5.66	5.52	20.5%	16.8%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 92%

CompsGabe Morales (age 19) · Sandro Bargallo (age 19) · Brandon Herbold (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132140vR 148

ERA6.04

FIP6.04

K%19.5%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-0.5%

Proj IP16

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	9	6	29	133	34	22	1	67%	3.3	17.4%	20.7%	-3.3%	1.2%	4.91	4.91	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	9	6	29	133	34	22	1	67%	3.3	17.4%	20.7%	-3.3%	1.2%	4.91	4.91	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	9	6	29	133	34	22	1	67%	3.3	25.6%	16.5%	9.0%	0.8%	4.91	3.48	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	10	7	26	144	29	28	5	70%	2.6	13.7%	24.3%	-10.6%	4.9%	12.46	7.69	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	10	7	26	144	29	28	5	70%	2.6	13.7%	24.3%	-10.6%	4.9%	12.46	7.69	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	FCL Braves	10	7	26	144	29	28	5	70%	2.6	20.1%	19.4%	0.7%	3.5%	12.46	6.60	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	19	MLB	ATL	4	4	16	68	13	14	2	100%	4.0	19.5%	20.0%	-0.5%	3.0%	6.04	6.04	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	ATL	6	6	28	117	24	20	3	100%	4.6	20.5%	16.8%	3.7%	3.0%	5.66	5.52	-0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	ATL	3	3	14	59	12	10	2	100%	4.7	20.5%	16.8%	3.7%	3.0%	5.66	5.52	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		3	3	14	57	12	10	2	100%	4.5	20.5%	16.8%	3.7%	3.0%	5.66	5.14	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		43	43	200	844	176	147	29	100%	4.6	20.5%	16.8%	3.7%	3.0%	5.66	5.14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		19	13	55	277	43	62	9	68%	2.9	15.5%	22.6%	-7.1%	3.1%	8.46	6.36	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		69	47	200	1001	155	226	31	68%	2.9	15.5%	22.6%	-7.1%	3.1%	8.46	6.36	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luisberth Valdez (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.04	19.5%	20.0%	3.0%	—	5.52	20.5%	3.7%	28	-0.52	—	—	—
Gabe Morales L 2018 · 5.12 FIP	19	SP-	5.12	19.3%	21.0%	1.8%	.313	4.23	22.9%	8.7%	124	-0.89	2.92	268	84
Sandro Bargallo L 2021 · 6.70 FIP	19	SP-	6.70	15.8%	26.5%	2.9%	.308	4.91	19.2%	-3.1%	82	-1.79	4.16	129	83
Brandon Herbold L 2024 · 6.27 FIP	19	SP-	6.27	17.2%	17.6%	4.3%	.296	5.06	19.8%	-3.9%	44	-1.21	3.72	105	82
Miguel Gutierrez L 2015 · 5.58 FIP	20	SP-	5.58	14.3%	21.8%	1.7%	.240	4.24	14.9%	-4.1%	64	-1.34	3.91	103	79
Josue Arias L 2024 · 6.86 FIP	19	SP	6.86	13.8%	28.1%	2.5%	.250	7.30	9.3%	-30.1%	13	+0.44	4.73	114	78
Jeremy Pilon L 2024 · 4.86 FIP	18	SP-	4.86	22.1%	21.7%	1.6%	.279	4.10	17.9%	-1.9%	83	-0.76	3.99	144	77
Dylan MacLean L 2021 · 6.38 FIP	19	SP	6.38	13.6%	27.9%	1.6%	.271	4.11	15.7%	5.3%	101	-2.27	3.45	282	76
Luis Cesar L 2023 · 5.28 FIP	19	SP-	5.28	14.8%	20.6%	1.5%	.351	5.77	14.3%	-8.1%	91	+0.49	4.84	131	75
Liam Norris L 2021 · 6.27 FIP	19	SP	6.27	17.4%	30.7%	1.4%	.396	5.46	24.2%	4.1%	119	-0.81	3.98	184	75
Liam Sullivan L 2023 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP	5.78	25.7%	20.5%	4.1%	.290	5.79	20.9%	7.2%	141	+0.01	4.45	156	75
Reinold Navarro L 2024 · 4.92 FIP	17	SP	4.92	21.7%	22.6%	1.4%	.211	4.32	29.4%	5.7%	95	-0.60	3.55	119	75
Noel Vela L 2018 · 5.10 FIP	19	SP-	5.10	17.0%	16.0%	2.6%	.404	4.61	20.2%	5.2%	98	-0.49	4.48	255	75
Dominic Scheffler L 2024 · 5.54 FIP	20	SP-	5.54	19.7%	28.4%	0.9%	.348	5.19	16.1%	-4.1%	82	-0.35	4.59	110	75
Mavis Graves L 2023 · 6.17 FIP	19	SP	6.17	18.8%	22.2%	3.3%	.365	4.16	23.9%	10.0%	243	-2.01	3.10	277	75
Spencer Giesting L 2022 · 5.80 FIP	21	SP-	5.80	20.8%	16.6%	4.3%	.290	4.30	19.0%	8.0%	394	-1.50	3.58	460	74
Junior Tavera L 2024 · 6.14 FIP	17	SP-	6.14	18.0%	31.6%	1.0%	.385	5.41	16.6%	-2.3%	85	-0.73	5.12	101	74
Juan Rojas L 2023 · 5.60 FIP	19	SP-	5.60	13.5%	14.4%	3.3%	.286	4.28	16.9%	2.0%	178	-1.32	2.74	282	74
Noah Dean L 2023 · 5.83 FIP	22	SP-	5.83	21.1%	28.1%	1.7%	.343	5.14	23.3%	4.2%	154	-0.69	4.41	217	74
Nate Savino L 2024 · 5.85 FIP	22	SP	5.85	16.8%	18.8%	3.2%	.244	4.83	14.9%	2.0%	130	-1.02	4.26	176	74
Jeremy Gonzalez L 2024 · 6.74 FIP	19	SP	6.74	15.3%	21.7%	4.0%	.411	3.87	14.1%	0.5%	64	-2.87	3.39	148	73