Manuel Vasquez

C DSL Orioles Orange

Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 183 lbs ROK HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Orioles B…	78	.183/.351/.200	0	4	15	—	.123/.260/.138
2026	18	ROKDSL Orioles O…	94	.231/.362/.295	1	3	23	—	.134/.245/.146
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBBAL	204	.211/.288/.277	1	3	63	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBBAL	59	.218/.296/.297	1	1	68	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBBAL	151	.222/.300/.311	2	2	73	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Z-Con%79

Whiff%78

K%71

Chase%62

BB%46

wOBA30

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsAndrés Nolaya (age 19) · Chris Suero (age 19) · Luis Vázquez (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 83 proj PA

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .285 / .275

PA83

HR1

K%26

BB%9

ISO66

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$26M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.1M
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$3M	+0.2	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$7M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	78	60	11	1	0	0	15	19	1	4	1	183	351	200	551	17	268	24	19	276	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	94	78	18	2	0	1	14	16	2	3	1	231	362	295	657	64	279	17	15	313	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	78	65	8	1	0	0	11	24	1	4	1	123	260	138	398	15	175	31	14	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	94	82	11	1	0	0	10	20	2	3	1	134	245	146	391	12	177	21	11	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	78	65	8	1	0	0	11	24	1	4	1	123	260	138	398	15	195	31	14	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Black	—	78	60	11	1	0	0	15	19	1	4	1	183	351	200	551	17	268	24	19	276	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	94	82	11	1	0	0	10	20	2	3	1	134	245	146	391	12	177	21	11	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Orange	—	94	78	18	2	0	1	14	16	2	3	1	231	362	295	657	64	279	17	15	313	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	78	66	8	1	0	0	11	24	1	4	1	121	260	136	396	15	175	31	14	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	94	82	11	1	0	0	10	20	2	3	1	134	245	146	391	12	177	21	11	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	78	66	8	1	0	0	11	24	1	4	1	121	260	136	396	15	175	31	14	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	94	82	11	1	0	0	10	20	2	3	1	134	245	146	391	12	177	21	11	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	BAL	0%	204	182	37	5	1	1	18	54	2	3	1	211	288	277	565	66	287	26	9	261	63	-9	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	BAL	34%	173	154	34	5	1	2	15	45	2	3	1	215	293	292	585	77	289	26	9	269	68	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	BAL	48%	312	278	61	9	2	4	27	80	4	5	2	219	297	305	602	86	290	26	9	276	73	-10	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	BAL	54%	413	369	81	12	2	6	36	105	5	7	2	222	300	316	616	94	291	25	9	281	77	-12	+1	+0	+7	+9	0.6
2031	23	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	481	430	98	15	3	8	42	121	6	8	2	225	303	326	628	101	292	25	9	286	80	-12	+1	+0	+9	+10	0.8
2032	24	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	520	463	105	16	3	9	46	130	6	8	3	227	305	334	639	107	293	25	9	290	82	-11	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2033	25	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	520	463	106	16	3	10	46	130	6	8	3	228	306	337	643	109	293	25	9	291	83	-10	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2034	26	MLB MLE	BAL	56%	520	463	106	16	3	10	46	130	6	8	3	228	306	339	645	111	293	25	9	292	84	-10	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2035	27	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	520	463	106	16	3	10	46	131	6	8	3	227	305	336	641	109	292	25	9	291	83	-11	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2036	28	MLB MLE	BAL	59%	520	463	105	16	3	9	46	132	6	8	3	225	303	331	634	106	291	25	9	288	81	-12	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.9
2037	29	MLB MLE	BAL	61%	520	464	103	15	3	9	45	134	6	8	3	223	300	325	625	102	290	26	9	284	79	-13	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.6
2038	30	MLB MLE	BAL	62%	520	465	102	15	3	8	45	135	5	7	4	220	296	317	613	97	288	26	9	280	75	-15	-0	-2	+9	+11	0.3
2039	31	MLB MLE	BAL	63%	504	451	97	14	2	8	43	133	5	7	5	215	291	307	598	92	285	26	9	273	71	-17	-1	-3	+9	+11	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	BAL	34%	59	53	12	2	0	1	5	15	1	1	0	218	296	297	593	79	293	25	8	272	68	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	BAL	48%	151	135	30	4	1	2	13	39	2	2	1	222	300	311	610	89	294	26	9	279	73	-5	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	BAL	54%	224	199	45	7	1	3	20	57	3	4	1	225	303	322	626	97	295	25	9	285	77	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2031	23	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	272	243	56	8	2	5	24	69	3	4	1	228	306	333	638	104	296	25	9	290	80	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2032	24	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	294	263	60	9	2	5	26	74	3	5	1	231	308	341	649	110	297	25	9	294	82	-6	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2033	25	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	294	263	61	9	2	6	26	74	3	5	1	232	309	344	653	113	297	25	9	296	83	-6	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2034	26	MLB CTX	BAL	56%	294	263	61	9	2	6	26	74	3	5	1	232	309	346	656	115	297	25	9	296	84	-6	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2035	27	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	288	258	60	9	2	6	25	73	3	5	1	231	308	344	652	113	296	25	9	295	83	-6	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2036	28	MLB CTX	BAL	59%	307	274	64	10	2	6	27	78	3	5	2	229	306	339	645	110	295	25	9	292	81	-7	+0	-0	+5	+7	0.5
2037	29	MLB CTX	BAL	61%	317	283	65	10	2	6	28	81	3	5	2	226	303	332	635	106	294	26	9	288	79	-8	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.4
2038	30	MLB CTX	BAL	62%	324	290	65	10	2	5	28	84	3	5	2	223	299	324	623	101	292	26	9	283	75	-10	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.2
2039	31	MLB CTX	BAL	63%	318	285	62	9	1	5	27	84	3	4	3	219	294	313	607	95	288	26	8	277	71	-11	-0	-2	+6	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3142	2809	641	96	19	56	275	802	33	50	16	228	304	336	640	108	298	26	9	289	77	-79	+4	-4	+56	+68	4.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	133	20	4	12	57	166	7	10	3	229	305	339	644	110	298	26	9	289	77	-16	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	5778	5148	1138	169	31	94	511	1472	67	93	36	221	300	321	620	100	289	25	9	282	77	-143	+4	-7	+100	+121	7.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	128	19	3	11	57	166	8	10	4	221	299	321	620	100	289	26	9	282	77	-17	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#3Brian Schneider'00-'12 * career totals — 12 seasons, 3,570 PA	5.4	3,570	67	4	238*	309*	359*	+63	-0	9.0	8.8
/162	664	12	1	+11.7	-0.1	1.7	pk7: 9
#4Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#5Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	4.9	3,226	53	50	224	298	325	+58	+32	6.6	5.9
/162	664	11	10	+11.9	+6.6	1.4	pk7: 5
#6Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	38	9	228*	295*	352*	+30	-0	3.6	3.6
/162	664	15	4	+11.5	-0.0	1.4	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Manuel Vasquez (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	209/285/275	66	287	1	1	26%	9%	63	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andrés Nolaya 2024 · A	19	39	36→45	47→50	46	183/256/246	64	263	3	12	30%	8%	45	-2.7	196/270/269	73	284	4	17	30%	8%	55	-1.9	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Chris Suero 2023 · A	19	40→38	37→45	47→55	52	185/290/259	74	266	4	8	29%	11%	62	-1.4	194/289/297	103	280	10	14	31%	10%	70	-0.8	181/287/307	126	264	14	27	34%	10%	70	-0.7
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→47	36→45	49→50	39	193/238/260	66	278	3	8	30%	5%	40	-3.1	208/254/280	72	286	5	10	28%	5%	51	-2.2	233/299/360	126	304	15	8	27%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Adrian De Leon 2023 · A	19	41	37→40	47→45	46	194/269/265	72	268	4	7	28%	8%	55	-2.0	194/292/269	75	320	6	5	37%	9%	65	-1.2	160/270/224	63	280	5	3	40%	10%	47	-1.1
✕Jason Lopez 2017 · A	19	39	37→50	49→45	46	189/256/259	71	249	5	11	25%	7%	48	-2.5	203/254/307	104	277	9	7	29%	6%	57	-1.8	192/240/305	113	271	11	8	32%	6%	50	-1.0
✕Miguel Palma 2021 · A	19	40	39→45	48→40	45	193/281/280	88	261	6	11	27%	7%	63	-1.3	215/293/337	122	281	13	5	27%	8%	80	-0.1	217/284/341	124	274	15	2	26%	7%	76	-0.2
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2022 · A	19	41→44	38→50	47→50	54	193/285/279	86	256	5	8	25%	11%	63	-1.3	188/262/304	116	277	10	9	34%	8%	61	-1.5	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Pablo Aliendo 2021 · A	20	38	36→50	50→45	44	181/261/246	65	268	3	13	31%	8%	47	-2.5	202/271/300	98	303	9	5	34%	6%	63	-1.3	206/275/350	144	296	17	5	34%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Andres Regnault 2018 · A	19	36	36→45	46→45	43	175/246/237	62	253	4	6	31%	7%	39	-3.1	208/272/308	100	260	8	7	22%	6%	65	-1.2	204/273/325	121	234	12	6	18%	6%	69	-0.4
✕Christian Cerda 2022 · A	19	38→40	37→45	47→40	51	178/266/252	74	226	3	8	21%	9%	51	-2.2	196/294/293	97	262	8	6	26%	11%	71	-0.8	190/299/286	95	257	10	4	27%	13%	70	-0.5
✕Javier Herrera 2024 · A	19	38	39→40	51→55	45	184/262/268	84	272	6	10	32%	9%	53	-2.1	204/298/290	86	279	5	15	26%	11%	71	-0.8	210/307/297	87	289	5	18	26%	11%	74	-0.2
✕Frank Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	40	35→45	48→30	48	184/279/246	61	271	2	5	30%	9%	55	-2.0	187/249/270	83	271	7	4	32%	6%	47	-2.5	183/244/267	84	241	9	1	27%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Thayron Liranzo 2022 · A	19	43	37→50	49→30	47	202/280/280	77	287	4	8	29%	9%	62	-1.4	208/291/366	158	303	18	3	35%	10%	86	+0.3	203/298/375	172	290	20	1	35%	11%	87	+0.2
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	38→48	39→45	47→50	43	188/246/273	85	256	6	9	28%	7%	47	-2.6	195/254/294	99	297	8	8	35%	7%	55	-2.0	217/278/341	124	295	14	11	30%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Juan Villavicencio 2024 · A	19	36→44	38→50	51→55	47	174/251/254	80	234	5	13	26%	8%	45	-2.7	189/262/280	91	279	7	14	32%	8%	55	-1.9	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Jesús Báez 2024 · A	19	35→41	40→55	45	46	177/246/265	88	234	7	9	27%	8%	46	-2.6	218/275/368	150	257	19	8	23%	6%	80	-0.1	226/279/407	181	249	27	8	22%	6%	89	+0.4
✕Daniel Lopez 2011 · A	19	42	35→45	49→60	43	194/267/256	61	260	2	12	24%	6%	52	-2.2	219/280/308	89	280	5	17	22%	6%	68	-1.0	240/299/357	117	293	6	30	19%	5%	83	+0.0
✕Jacob Amaya 2018 · A	19	44→47	39→45	48→45	46	211/280/295	84	285	6	8	27%	8%	65	-1.2	225/304/318	93	298	6	8	24%	10%	79	-0.2	218/291/330	112	279	11	6	25%	9%	75	-0.4
✕Juan Mora 2019 · A	19	44	37→45	46→55	51	205/287/284	78	263	3	8	22%	9%	65	-1.2	197/282/292	95	244	7	14	21%	8%	65	-1.2	200/269/297	97	251	8	12	23%	6%	60	-0.7
✕Jose Rosario 2011 · A	19	41	38→40	50	42	199/262/275	76	274	5	10	28%	6%	54	-2.0	214/261/320	106	270	10	12	24%	4%	63	-1.3	230/277/334	104	276	9	10	19%	4%	68	-0.4

Manuel Vasquez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps