Carlos Martinez — OGILVIE

Carlos MartinezC DSL Marlins

Age 18 S/R 5'11" / 160 lbs ROK HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION93 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†90

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP285

ISO110

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$90M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 66 / POW 41

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT66

scouting grade only

POWER41

scouting grade only

EYE58

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.7	$9M	+$8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.7	$8M	+$8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.7	$7M	+$7M
2035	Arb-1	$5M	+1.6	$6M	+$4M
2036	Arb-2	$8M	+1.5	$6M	+$3M
2037	Arb-3	$12M	+1.4	$5M	+$1M
Totals		$28M		$41M	+$31M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	108	91	13	3	0	2	10	13	5	1	2	143	264	242	506	99	141	12	9	240	48	-7	-1	—	—	+2	-0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	108	95	10	2	0	2	6	19	5	1	2	105	198	189	388	84	111	18	6	177	6	-12	-1	—	—	+2	-1.1
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	108	95	10	2	0	2	6	19	5	1	2	105	198	189	388	84	105	18	6	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	—	108	91	13	3	0	2	10	13	5	1	2	143	264	242	506	99	141	12	9	240	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	108	96	10	2	0	2	6	19	5	1	2	104	198	188	386	83	111	18	6	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	108	96	10	2	0	2	6	19	5	1	2	104	198	188	386	83	111	18	6	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	MIA	—	93	75	17	2	2	1	12	14	3	7	5	227	356	347	702	120	258	15	13	303	91	-1	-1	+0	+2	+2	0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	MIA	—	93	68	19	3	2	1	19	10	3	7	5	279	456	426	882	147	305	11	20	391	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	MIA	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		292	22	11	301	90	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	MIA	—	102	83	18	2	2	1	13	16	3	7	5	217	343	325	669	108	250	16	13	303	91	-1	-1	+0	+2	+2	0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	MIA	43%	184	163	39	7	2	3	16	40	3	4	2	239	319	362	681	123	294	22	9	306	93	-1	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.6
2028	20	MLB MLE	MIA	61%	325	287	69	12	3	6	29	69	6	7	3	240	323	366	689	125	295	21	9	310	96	-1	+0	+0	+6	+7	1.2
2029	21	MLB MLE	MIA	68%	432	382	92	16	4	8	39	92	8	9	4	241	324	366	691	126	296	21	9	314	99	-1	+0	+0	+8	+9	1.7
2030	22	MLB MLE	MIA	71%	508	447	110	19	5	10	46	107	10	11	4	246	330	378	708	132	297	21	9	317	100	+0	+1	+0	+9	+11	2.1
2031	23	MLB MLE	MIA	72%	520	458	113	19	5	11	47	109	10	11	4	247	330	382	712	135	297	21	9	318	101	+1	+1	+0	+9	+11	2.3
2032	24	MLB MLE	MIA	72%	520	458	114	20	5	11	47	109	10	11	4	249	332	386	719	138	298	21	9	320	102	+1	+1	+0	+9	+11	2.3
2033	25	MLB MLE	MIA	71%	520	458	114	20	5	11	47	108	10	11	4	249	332	386	719	138	298	21	9	320	103	+2	+1	+0	+9	+11	2.3
2034	26	MLB MLE	MIA	71%	520	458	114	20	5	11	47	108	10	11	4	249	332	386	719	138	298	21	9	320	103	+2	+1	+0	+9	+11	2.3
2035	27	MLB MLE	MIA	70%	520	457	113	19	5	11	48	109	10	11	4	247	332	383	715	136	298	21	9	320	103	+2	+1	+0	+9	+11	2.3
2036	28	MLB MLE	MIA	69%	520	457	112	19	5	11	48	109	10	11	4	245	330	381	711	136	298	21	9	319	102	+1	+1	-1	+9	+11	2.2
2037	29	MLB MLE	MIA	67%	520	456	111	19	5	10	49	110	10	11	4	243	330	373	703	129	297	21	9	318	101	+1	+1	-1	+9	+11	2.1
2038	30	MLB MLE	MIA	66%	520	456	111	19	5	10	49	112	10	10	4	243	330	373	703	129	296	22	9	315	99	-0	+0	-2	+9	+11	1.9
2039	31	MLB MLE	MIA	65%	504	442	105	18	4	9	47	110	10	10	4	238	325	357	682	120	294	22	9	311	97	-2	+0	-3	+9	+11	1.6
2040	32	MLB MLE	MIA	65%	489	431	101	17	4	9	46	109	9	9	4	234	321	355	676	121	291	22	9	305	93	-4	+0	-4	+9	+11	1.2
2041	33	MLB MLE	MIA	70%	473	417	95	15	4	8	44	107	9	8	3	228	315	341	655	113	287	23	9	299	88	-7	+0	-4	+8	+10	0.9
2042	34	MLB MLE	MIA	66%	432	381	86	13	4	7	40	101	8	7	3	226	312	336	648	110	282	23	9	290	83	-9	+0	-5	+8	+9	0.4
2027	19	MLB CTX	MIA	43%	79	71	17	3	1	1	7	17	1	2	1	239	316	352	669	113	287	22	9	286	93	-1	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.3
2028	20	MLB CTX	MIA	61%	198	174	41	7	2	3	18	42	4	4	2	236	321	351	672	115	288	21	9	289	96	-1	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.7
2029	21	MLB CTX	MIA	68%	294	260	61	10	3	5	26	62	6	6	3	235	318	354	672	119	288	21	9	293	99	-0	+0	+0	+5	+6	1.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	MIA	71%	361	318	77	13	4	7	33	76	7	8	3	242	327	374	701	132	289	21	9	295	100	+0	+0	+0	+6	+8	1.5
2031	23	MLB CTX	MIA	72%	376	332	79	13	4	7	34	79	7	8	3	238	322	364	686	127	290	21	9	297	101	+1	+0	+0	+7	+8	1.6
2032	24	MLB CTX	MIA	72%	372	328	79	13	4	7	34	78	7	8	3	241	325	369	694	128	290	21	9	298	102	+1	+0	+0	+7	+8	1.7
2033	25	MLB CTX	MIA	71%	370	326	79	13	4	7	34	77	7	8	3	242	327	371	698	129	290	21	9	298	103	+1	+0	+0	+7	+8	1.7
2034	26	MLB CTX	MIA	71%	369	325	78	13	4	7	34	77	7	8	3	240	325	369	694	129	290	21	9	299	103	+1	+0	+0	+7	+8	1.7
2035	27	MLB CTX	MIA	70%	362	319	76	13	3	7	33	76	7	8	3	238	323	364	687	125	290	21	9	299	103	+1	+0	+0	+6	+8	1.6
2036	28	MLB CTX	MIA	69%	358	315	75	12	3	7	33	75	7	8	3	238	324	362	686	124	290	21	9	298	102	+1	+0	-0	+6	+8	1.5
2037	29	MLB CTX	MIA	67%	348	305	73	12	3	7	33	74	7	7	3	239	328	367	695	128	289	21	9	296	101	+0	+0	-1	+6	+8	1.4
2038	30	MLB CTX	MIA	66%	342	300	70	11	3	6	32	74	7	7	3	233	322	350	672	117	288	22	9	294	99	-0	+0	-1	+6	+7	1.2
2039	31	MLB CTX	MIA	65%	329	289	68	11	3	6	31	72	6	6	3	235	322	356	678	121	286	22	9	290	97	-1	+0	-2	+6	+7	1.0
2040	32	MLB CTX	MIA	65%	317	278	64	10	3	5	30	70	6	6	2	230	318	342	660	112	283	22	9	285	93	-3	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.8
2041	33	MLB CTX	MIA	70%	332	292	65	10	3	5	31	75	6	6	2	223	310	329	639	106	280	23	9	279	88	-5	+0	-3	+6	+7	0.6
2042	34	MLB CTX	MIA	66%	284	251	54	8	2	4	26	66	5	5	2	215	301	311	612	96	275	23	9	271	83	-6	+0	-3	+5	+6	0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5091	4483	1056	172	49	91	469	1090	97	105	42	236	321	357	678	121	290	21	9	292	97	-10	+4	-13	+91	+110	18.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	572	135	22	6	12	60	139	12	13	5	236	321	358	679	122	290	21	9	292	97	-1	+1	-2	+12	+14	2.4
Career	—	MLE		—	7624	6711	1610	274	70	148	696	1630	148	153	61	240	325	368	693	128	294	21	9	311	97	-16	+7	-20	+134	+163	27.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	137	23	6	13	59	139	13	13	5	240	325	369	693	129	292	21	9	311	97	-1	+1	-2	+12	+14	2.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Stephen Drewlast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,917 PA	7.4	4,917	123	41	252	318	423	+48	+35	26.3	25.1
/162	664	17	6	+6.5	+4.7	3.5	pk7: 24
#2Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	5.1	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
/162	664	19	1	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
#3Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	8.4	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
/162	664	7	18	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	7.8	5,183	100	107	243	323	371	+93	+48	23.0	18.1
/162	664	13	14	+11.9	+6.1	2.9	pk7: 13
#4Jordy Mercerlast yr '21 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,394 PA	5.1	3,394	66	13	257	315	387	+35	+50	17.0	16.7
/162	664	13	3	+6.9	+9.8	3.3	pk7: 17
#5Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Martinez (OGILVIE)	18	61→66	36→41	50→55	58	232/315/343	111	292	1	3	22%	9%	90	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Aron Estrada 2023 · A	18	54→53	44→45	47→55	51	257/334/386	129	322	9	7	22%	9%	105	+1.7	237/303/349	112	298	9	18	22%	7%	86	+0.3	246/293/372	126	299	14	21	22%	5%	85	+0.2
●Andrés Giménez 2017 · A	18	52→60	40→50	48→55	57	247/331/355	109	280	6	11	14%	10%	98	+1.2	235/295/332	97	297	6	18	22%	5%	79	-0.2	260/325/413	154	312	16	25	21%	5%	105	+1.5
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	52→62	37→40	56→60	50	245/307/319	74	309	3	18	21%	8%	80	-0.2	250/296/311	61	297	1	19	15%	6%	73	-0.6	302/361/382	79	347	4	36	13%	8%	110	+1.8
●Jackson Holliday 2023 · A	19	50→60	41→50	49→50	58	237/329/342	104	299	8	10	22%	12%	94	+0.9	248/333/382	134	332	12	14	26%	11%	104	+1.6	244/329/380	136	317	13	15	25%	11%	100	+1.3
✕Pedro Ramírez 2023 · A	19	51→55	40→45	53→55	43	244/293/346	101	299	6	14	20%	5%	80	-0.1	238/292/336	98	305	7	14	23%	6%	78	-0.3	255/308/363	108	313	9	21	21%	6%	87	+0.3
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	45→55	40→50	50→40	52	216/294/311	95	269	7	8	22%	9%	74	-0.5	225/287/355	130	281	15	4	24%	8%	81	-0.1	255/314/382	127	304	14	3	20%	7%	96	+0.9
●Josue De Paula 2023 · A	18	51	43→50	50→55	51	244/315/357	114	300	9	14	21%	9%	92	+0.7	228/318/325	97	308	8	17	26%	11%	86	+0.3	228/320/369	141	283	16	24	24%	11%	94	+0.8
✕Domingo Leyba 2014 · A	18	51	44→50	53→45	52	244/312/377	133	284	9	14	17%	8%	95	+1.0	235/278/323	88	288	5	8	19%	5%	70	-0.9	225/285/349	124	255	14	6	18%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Osleivis Basabe 2019 · A	18	51→61	38→45	49→50	48	238/291/324	86	288	3	12	18%	7%	74	-0.5	234/279/310	76	290	3	12	19%	5%	66	-1.1	270/316/373	102	329	4	17	18%	5%	92	+0.5
●J.P. Crawford 2015 · A	20	52→58	41→45	46→50	51	249/316/346	97	301	9	15	20%	9%	90	+0.6	231/301/326	95	276	7	10	18%	9%	79	-0.2	261/353/385	124	305	11	2	17%	11%	110	+2.2
✕Chance Sisco 2014 · A	19	53→63	38→45	47→40	46	245/315/324	79	338	5	6	27%	8%	84	+0.2	270/322/358	88	348	6	4	22%	7%	94	+0.9	281/334/370	89	357	6	3	22%	7%	99	+0.9
✕Rubén Tejada 2008 · A	18	50→60	38→40	51→50	50	237/313/315	78	287	5	13	18%	8%	82	-0.0	227/281/295	68	274	3	9	17%	6%	65	-1.2	245/328/327	82	296	5	2	17%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Alexi Amarista 2008 · A	19	51→60	41→45	51→55	47	246/294/352	105	276	8	13	14%	6%	82	+0.0	260/308/358	98	300	5	18	14%	6%	88	+0.5	271/316/372	101	311	4	21	14%	5%	92	+0.6
●Edgar Quero 2022 · A	19	44→54	44→50	48→40	45	201/299/321	121	330	10	6	38%	10%	80	-0.2	237/326/378	141	300	15	5	24%	10%	102	+1.5	240/328/378	138	294	15	4	22%	9%	100	+1.0
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	76	-0.4	235/301/339	104	297	6	12	21%	8%	82	+0.0	256/318/360	105	310	9	16	19%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Miguel Mendez 2012 · A	19	53	39→45	50→60	47	247/303/347	100	268	5	11	10%	4%	85	+0.2	241/305/320	79	274	3	16	12%	7%	80	-0.2	250/320/322	72	283	1	23	11%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Ronald Torreyes 2011 · A	18	56→57	42→45	52→50	47	264/313/387	124	280	6	14	9%	4%	98	+1.2	263/306/357	94	284	5	11	9%	4%	88	+0.4	261/304/347	86	281	4	9	8%	4%	82	+0.0
✕Vidal Bruján 2016 · A	18	50→59	37→45	50→65	55	230/302/309	79	254	4	17	11%	8%	76	-0.4	236/293/327	91	268	5	17	13%	6%	76	-0.4	251/307/352	102	294	6	34	16%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	47→48	41→50	53→45	48	227/287/331	103	273	8	13	20%	7%	76	-0.4	228/306/352	124	285	12	10	23%	9%	88	+0.4	229/316/366	137	276	13	9	21%	10%	94	+0.6
✕Luis Santana 2018 · A	19	52	39→45	54→50	50	243/311/343	100	274	5	11	13%	7%	87	+0.4	246/316/336	90	288	6	9	16%	7%	88	+0.4	234/303/348	114	293	12	10	23%	6%	83	+0.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps