Carlos Martinez — OGILVIE

Carlos MartinezC DSL Miami

Age 18 S/R 5'11" / 160 lbs ROK HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION33 act + 59 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .305 / .321

PA59

HR1

K%22

BB%8

BABIP282

ISO94

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.3	$12M	+$11M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.4	$11M	+$11M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.4	$10M	+$10M
2035	Arb-1	$5M	+2.4	$10M	+$8M
2036	Arb-2	$7M	+2.3	$9M	+$6M
2037	Arb-3	$10M	+2.2	$8M	+$4M
Totals		$25M		$59M	+$50M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	108	94	10	2	0	2	7	20	5	1	2	106	208	191	399	85	108	19	6	181	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	108	91	13	3	0	2	10	13	5	1	2	143	264	242	506	99	141	12	9	240	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	MIA	—	33	24	5	0	0	1	5	3	2	4	2	208	387	333	720	125	190	9	15	313	98	-0	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
YTD	18	ROK	MIA	—	33	21	5	0	0	1	8	2	2	4	2	238	484	381	865	143	211	6	24	386	154	+2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.4
ROS	18	ROK	MIA	0%	59	53	12	2	0	1	5	13	1	1	0	226	305	321	626	94	278	22	8	286	77	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
ROS	18	MLB	MIA	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		274	—	—	267	62	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	MIA	—	33	25	5	0	0	1	5	3	2	4	2	200	387	320	707	120	182	9	15	313	98	-0	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
TOT	18	ROK	MIA	—	92	77	17	2	0	2	10	16	3	5	2	221	333	325	658	104	250	17	11	296	85	-2	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	MIA	34%	184	163	37	6	1	3	15	40	4	3	1	227	308	331	639	104	282	22	8	295	84	-3	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.5
2028	20	MLB	MIA	48%	325	288	67	11	2	6	27	70	7	6	2	233	314	347	661	115	284	22	8	301	88	-4	+0	+0	+6	+9	1.1
2029	21	MLB	MIA	54%	432	384	91	15	3	9	36	92	9	7	2	237	317	362	679	125	286	21	8	305	92	-4	+1	+0	+8	+12	1.7
2030	22	MLB	MIA	57%	508	450	107	18	3	11	42	108	11	9	3	238	318	364	683	127	287	21	8	308	94	-3	+1	+0	+9	+14	2.1
2031	23	MLB	MIA	58%	520	461	110	18	3	12	43	110	11	9	3	239	318	369	687	130	288	21	8	310	96	-3	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.3
2032	24	MLB	MIA	57%	520	461	111	18	3	12	43	110	11	9	3	241	320	371	691	130	289	21	8	312	97	-2	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.3
2033	25	MLB	MIA	57%	520	460	111	18	3	12	44	110	11	9	3	241	322	372	694	130	289	21	8	313	98	-1	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.4
2034	26	MLB	MIA	57%	520	460	110	18	3	12	44	110	11	9	3	239	320	370	690	130	289	21	8	314	98	-1	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.4
2035	27	MLB	MIA	55%	520	460	110	18	3	12	44	110	11	9	3	239	320	370	690	130	288	21	8	314	98	-1	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.4
2036	28	MLB	MIA	55%	520	459	110	18	3	12	45	111	11	9	3	240	322	370	693	131	288	21	9	313	98	-1	+1	-1	+9	+15	2.3
2037	29	MLB	MIA	53%	520	459	110	18	3	12	45	112	11	8	2	240	322	370	693	131	287	22	9	311	96	-2	+1	-1	+9	+15	2.2
2038	30	MLB	MIA	53%	520	459	109	18	3	12	45	113	11	7	2	237	320	368	689	131	286	22	9	308	94	-4	+1	-2	+9	+15	1.9
2039	31	MLB	MIA	52%	504	444	104	17	3	11	44	111	11	6	2	234	319	360	679	126	283	22	9	304	91	-5	+0	-3	+9	+14	1.6
2040	32	MLB	MIA	52%	489	434	99	16	2	10	42	110	10	5	1	228	311	343	654	115	280	22	9	298	87	-7	+1	-4	+9	+14	1.3
2041	33	MLB	MIA	56%	473	419	93	14	2	9	41	109	10	4	1	222	306	329	636	107	276	23	9	292	81	-10	+0	-4	+8	+13	0.8
2042	34	MLB	MIA	52%	432	383	83	12	2	8	37	102	9	2	1	217	301	321	622	104	271	24	9	283	75	-12	+0	-5	+8	+12	0.3
2043	35	MLB	MIA	47%	370	328	69	10	2	6	31	90	8	1	0	210	294	308	602	98	265	24	8	274	68	-13	+0	-6	+7	+10	-0.2
2044	36	MLB	MIA	38%	307	273	55	7	1	5	25	77	6	1	0	201	283	289	572	88	259	25	8	264	60	-14	+0	-6	+5	+9	-0.6
2027	19	MLB	MIA	34%	63	57	12	2	0	1	5	14	1	1	0	211	286	298	584	88	278	22	8	275	69	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	20	MLB	MIA	48%	157	140	32	5	1	3	13	34	3	3	1	229	308	343	651	114	280	22	8	281	73	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2029	21	MLB	MIA	54%	234	208	48	8	1	5	19	50	5	4	1	231	310	351	661	120	281	21	8	285	76	-6	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.5
2030	22	MLB	MIA	57%	288	256	60	10	2	6	24	61	6	5	2	234	315	359	674	125	282	21	8	288	79	-7	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2031	23	MLB	MIA	58%	299	266	63	10	2	7	25	63	6	5	2	237	316	368	685	132	283	21	8	290	80	-7	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2032	24	MLB	MIA	57%	296	263	63	10	2	7	25	63	6	5	2	240	320	373	692	133	284	21	8	292	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.8
2033	25	MLB	MIA	57%	295	262	62	10	2	7	25	62	6	5	2	237	317	370	688	134	284	21	8	293	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.8
2034	26	MLB	MIA	57%	294	261	62	10	2	7	25	62	6	5	2	238	318	372	690	134	284	21	9	293	83	-6	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.8
2035	27	MLB	MIA	55%	289	256	61	10	2	7	25	61	6	5	2	238	321	375	696	137	283	21	9	293	83	-6	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.8
2036	28	MLB	MIA	55%	286	253	61	10	2	7	25	61	6	5	1	241	324	379	703	138	283	21	9	292	82	-6	+1	-0	+5	+8	0.8
2037	29	MLB	MIA	53%	278	246	57	9	2	6	24	60	6	4	1	232	315	358	673	126	282	22	9	291	81	-6	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.7
2038	30	MLB	MIA	53%	274	242	56	9	1	6	24	60	6	4	1	231	316	351	667	120	281	22	9	288	79	-7	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.5
2039	31	MLB	MIA	52%	263	232	54	9	1	6	23	58	6	3	1	233	318	358	676	125	279	22	9	284	76	-7	+0	-1	+5	+7	0.4
2040	32	MLB	MIA	52%	254	225	50	8	1	5	22	57	5	3	1	222	306	333	639	111	276	22	9	279	72	-8	+0	-2	+5	+7	0.2
2041	33	MLB	MIA	56%	265	234	51	8	1	5	23	61	6	2	1	218	304	325	629	107	272	23	9	273	67	-10	+0	-2	+5	+8	-0.0
2042	34	MLB	MIA	52%	222	196	42	6	1	4	19	52	5	1	0	214	300	316	616	102	266	23	9	265	61	-10	+0	-3	+4	+6	-0.2
2043	35	MLB	MIA	47%	174	153	32	4	1	3	15	42	4	1	0	209	297	307	604	98	261	24	9	256	54	-9	+0	-3	+3	+5	-0.4
2044	36	MLB	MIA	38%	117	104	22	3	1	2	10	29	2	0	0	212	293	317	610	106	255	25	9	246	46	-7	+0	-2	+2	+3	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4348	3855	888	141	25	94	371	950	91	61	20	230	313	353	666	123	281	22	9	284	76	-120	+4	-15	+78	+123	7.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	133	21	4	14	55	142	14	9	3	231	313	354	667	123	281	22	8	284	76	-18	+1	-2	+12	+18	1.1
Career	—			—	8351	7392	1708	274	45	177	705	1828	179	115	37	231	313	352	665	121	282	22	8	301	89	-106	+8	-31	+149	+237	26.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	133	21	4	14	55	142	14	9	3	231	314	355	668	123	281	22	8	301	89	-8	+1	-2	+12	+18	2.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	108	91	13	3	0	2	10	13	5	1	2	143	264	242	506	99	141	12	9	240	42	-7	-1	—	—	+3	-0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	12	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
	/162	664	19	1	227	312	387	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
#2Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
	/162	664	17	9	246	292	387	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#3Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#5Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	8	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
	/162	664	17	4	246	300	398	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	4,440	95	62	234	313	358	+69	+40	15.5	12.3
	/162	664	14	9	234	313	358	+10.3	+6.0	2.3	pk7: 9
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Martinez (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	221/333/325	104	250	2	5	17%	11%	85	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	45→55	41→50	50→40	52	218/297/315	97	275	8	8	23%	10%	73	-0.1	225/288/361	136	282	16	4	25%	8%	81	+0.4	266/326/405	139	311	16	3	19%	8%	106	+1.6
●Adael Amador 2022 · A	19	45→54	41→50	45→55	47	217/279/316	98	271	8	11	23%	7%	65	-0.7	239/313/375	136	278	16	17	19%	9%	95	+1.4	230/306/371	141	263	18	23	20%	9%	88	+0.7
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	47→49	41→50	53→45	48	227/287/331	103	273	8	13	20%	7%	72	-0.2	229/306/358	129	287	12	10	23%	9%	89	+0.9	227/311/374	147	272	15	9	21%	10%	92	+1.1
✕Francisco Mejía 2015 · A	19	45→55	44→55	49→40	40	221/266/338	118	283	11	8	26%	5%	66	-0.6	238/283/344	106	294	10	4	22%	5%	73	-0.1	256/302/428	172	302	17	1	21%	5%	103	+1.0
✕Héctor Sánchez 2008 · A	18	46→50	44→50	44→30	50	226/297/346	120	261	11	6	18%	8%	81	+0.4	242/307/346	104	291	8	4	18%	7%	85	+0.7	252/291/373	121	310	13	0	22%	4%	83	+0.3
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	72	-0.2	235/300/339	104	298	6	12	22%	8%	80	+0.4	254/315/362	108	309	9	16	20%	7%	88	+0.7
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	48→42	42→50	44→50	45	227/318/334	107	303	8	7	26%	7%	88	+0.9	214/310/343	129	287	12	8	28%	8%	88	+0.9	219/307/369	150	281	18	13	27%	8%	90	+0.9
●Henry Alejandro Rodriguez 2008 · A	18	45→55	40→45	50→55	48	212/272/311	99	253	6	6	18%	7%	60	-1.0	237/276/324	87	278	6	14	16%	5%	65	-0.7	270/301/382	112	304	12	11	15%	4%	91	+0.7
✕Pedro Ramírez 2022 · A	18	53→55	38→45	48→55	44	249/297/335	86	299	3	10	17%	5%	77	+0.1	236/289/338	102	300	8	13	23%	6%	75	-0.0	255/306/365	110	315	10	22	21%	6%	86	+0.6
●Orlando Arcia 2013 · A	18	46→56	43→55	49→55	50	222/282/333	110	247	10	11	15%	7%	71	-0.3	239/280/330	91	280	5	16	16%	5%	68	-0.5	245/305/406	162	273	21	3	19%	8%	97	+1.0
✕Domingo Leyba 2014 · A	18	51→50	44→50	53→45	52	244/312/377	133	284	9	14	17%	8%	95	+1.4	231/274/320	89	284	6	8	20%	5%	63	-0.8	230/290/372	142	257	18	6	18%	7%	83	+0.3
✕Oswaldo Cabrera 2017 · A	18	51→43	42→55	50	45	246/291/360	114	283	8	8	16%	5%	81	+0.4	213/249/302	89	259	8	6	20%	4%	47	-1.9	220/274/385	165	277	19	18	28%	6%	78	+0.1
●Angel Genao 2023 · A	19	45→55	37→50	51→50	47	213/285/285	72	291	5	12	27%	8%	59	-1.1	243/293/354	111	312	8	11	23%	6%	80	+0.4	264/318/398	134	323	11	13	21%	7%	100	+1.2
●Dilson Herrera 2012 · A	18	46→56	39→50	50	47	218/290/315	98	283	4	13	23%	7%	70	-0.3	228/279/361	133	299	12	12	27%	6%	77	+0.1	258/308/400	143	315	15	13	23%	6%	96	+1.3
✕Ramón Cabrera 2009 · A	19	43→53	40	51→40	49	209/274/305	96	254	7	7	20%	8%	60	-1.0	234/282/320	86	276	4	5	16%	6%	66	-0.6	263/317/347	84	301	3	3	13%	7%	86	+0.6
●Keibert Ruiz 2016 · A	18	47→57	37→55	47→40	44	224/261/298	74	264	4	7	17%	4%	52	-1.6	250/286/346	96	292	7	2	16%	4%	75	-0.0	257/311/418	160	263	20	3	11%	6%	102	+1.5
●Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	44	39→55	52→50	46	210/278/299	89	296	6	9	30%	8%	60	-1.0	189/246/313	124	271	11	8	33%	7%	50	-1.7	218/311/403	185	271	23	12	27%	11%	99	+1.3
✕Edmundo Sosa 2014 · A	18	48→49	40→55	47→50	50	227/285/322	95	254	7	9	14%	7%	69	-0.4	218/265/304	86	270	6	8	21%	5%	56	-1.3	252/297/422	170	304	19	9	23%	4%	99	+0.8
✕Meibrys Viloria 2015 · A	18	45→47	40→45	46→40	48	218/285/316	97	280	7	5	24%	8%	68	-0.5	235/286/325	90	300	6	3	22%	6%	70	-0.3	247/290/366	119	318	11	2	25%	5%	79	+0.2
✕Ramon Mendoza 2019 · A	18	46→51	41→45	48→45	46	220/292/328	108	287	7	4	25%	7%	74	-0.1	209/280/297	88	296	5	4	29%	7%	61	-1.0	232/306/347	116	310	11	3	27%	9%	82	+0.3