Gerlyn Payano — OGILVIE

Gerlyn PayanoOF ACL Brewers

Age 18 L/L 6'1" / 192 lbs ROK HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION188 act + 125 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .306 / .332

PA125

HR3

SB5

K%27

BB%11

BABIP263

ISO129

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.4	$7M	+$7M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.4	$7M	+$6M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.5	$7M	+$6M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+1.5	$6M	+$5M
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+1.3	$5M	+$3M
2037	Arb-3	$5M	+1.1	$4M	+$2M
Totals		$16M		$35M	+$29M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Brewers Blue	—	20	18	2	0	0	0	1	8	1	2	0	111	200	111	311		200	40	5	161	-19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Brewers Blue	—	20	17	3	0	0	0	2	6	1	2	0	176	300	176	476		273	30	10	242	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	MIL	—	188	152	25	2	2	7	27	52	5	15	4	164	310	342	652	178	186	28	14	288	78	-5	+1	+0	-1	+5	0.1
YTD	18	ROK	MIL	—	188	135	29	3	2	8	44	36	5	15	4	215	424	444	868	230	221	19	23	386	154	+11	+1	+0	-1	+5	1.7
ROS	18	ROK	MIL	0%	125	108	22	3	1	3	14	34	2	5	1	203	306	332	638	129	259	27	11	288	79	-3	+1	+0	-1	+4	0.0
ROS	18	MLB	MIL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		257	—	—	274	68	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	MIL	—	188	153	25	2	2	7	27	52	5	15	4	163	310	340	650	176	184	28	14	288	78	-5	+1	+0	-1	+5	0.1
TOT	18	ROK	MIL	—	313	260	47	5	3	10	41	86	7	20	5	181	308	338	646	157	219	27	13	288	79	-8	+2	+0	-2	+9	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	MIL	34%	296	257	53	8	2	7	32	78	5	8	2	206	306	335	641	128	265	26	11	296	85	-5	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.2
2028	20	MLB	MIL	48%	412	358	77	12	3	11	44	107	7	11	2	215	313	358	671	142	269	26	11	302	89	-5	+1	+0	-2	+12	0.6
2029	21	MLB	MIL	54%	494	430	93	14	4	14	52	126	9	13	3	216	314	365	679	149	271	26	11	306	92	-4	+1	+0	-3	+14	0.8
2030	22	MLB	MIL	57%	549	476	104	16	4	15	58	139	10	14	3	218	316	363	680	145	273	25	11	309	94	-3	+2	+0	-3	+16	1.1
2031	23	MLB	MIL	58%	586	509	113	17	5	17	62	148	10	15	3	222	318	375	694	153	274	25	11	311	96	-3	+2	+0	-4	+17	1.2
2032	24	MLB	MIL	57%	609	528	118	18	5	18	65	153	11	16	3	223	321	379	700	155	274	25	11	312	97	-2	+2	+0	-4	+17	1.4
2033	25	MLB	MIL	57%	622	540	119	18	5	18	66	156	11	16	3	220	318	372	690	152	274	25	11	313	97	-2	+2	+0	-4	+18	1.4
2034	26	MLB	MIL	57%	627	544	120	18	5	18	67	158	11	16	3	221	318	371	690	151	274	25	11	313	98	-2	+2	+0	-4	+18	1.5
2035	27	MLB	MIL	55%	625	542	119	18	5	18	67	158	11	16	3	220	318	371	689	151	274	25	11	313	98	-2	+2	+0	-4	+18	1.5
2036	28	MLB	MIL	55%	619	536	118	18	5	18	67	157	11	15	3	220	319	373	692	153	273	25	11	312	97	-2	+2	-1	-4	+18	1.3
2037	29	MLB	MIL	53%	609	526	115	17	5	17	67	156	11	14	3	219	320	367	686	148	272	26	11	310	95	-3	+2	-1	-4	+17	1.1
2038	30	MLB	MIL	53%	597	517	112	17	4	17	65	154	10	12	3	217	316	364	680	147	271	26	11	307	93	-5	+1	-2	-4	+17	0.8
2039	31	MLB	MIL	57%	583	504	107	16	4	16	64	152	10	10	2	212	313	355	668	143	268	26	11	303	90	-7	+1	-3	-3	+17	0.5
2040	32	MLB	MIL	59%	564	488	102	15	4	15	61	149	10	8	2	209	309	348	658	139	265	26	11	298	86	-9	+1	-4	-3	+16	0.1
2041	33	MLB	MIL	61%	535	463	94	13	4	13	58	144	9	6	1	203	304	333	636	130	261	27	11	291	81	-11	+1	-4	-3	+15	-0.3
2027	19	MLB	MIL	34%	102	88	19	3	1	3	11	27	2	3	1	216	317	375	692	159	263	26	11	282	74	-3	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2028	20	MLB	MIL	48%	200	174	37	6	2	5	21	52	3	5	1	213	308	356	664	144	267	26	10	287	78	-5	+1	+0	-1	+6	0.0
2029	21	MLB	MIL	54%	268	233	50	8	2	7	28	69	5	7	1	215	312	356	668	142	269	26	10	291	81	-6	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.1
2030	22	MLB	MIL	57%	311	270	59	9	2	9	33	79	5	8	2	219	315	367	682	148	271	25	11	294	83	-6	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.2
2031	23	MLB	MIL	58%	337	292	64	10	3	9	36	85	6	9	2	219	317	366	684	147	271	25	11	295	84	-6	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.3
2032	24	MLB	MIL	57%	347	301	66	10	3	10	37	87	6	9	2	219	317	372	689	153	272	25	11	297	85	-6	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.3
2033	25	MLB	MIL	57%	353	306	67	10	3	10	38	89	6	9	2	219	317	369	686	150	272	25	11	297	86	-6	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.3
2034	26	MLB	MIL	57%	355	308	67	10	3	10	38	89	6	9	2	218	315	367	682	149	272	25	11	297	86	-6	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.3
2035	27	MLB	MIL	55%	347	301	66	10	3	10	37	87	6	9	2	219	317	372	689	153	272	25	11	297	86	-6	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.3
2036	28	MLB	MIL	55%	340	294	65	10	3	10	37	86	6	8	2	221	320	378	698	156	271	25	11	296	85	-6	+1	-0	-2	+10	0.2
2037	29	MLB	MIL	53%	326	281	60	9	2	9	36	83	6	7	2	214	316	356	672	142	270	25	11	295	84	-6	+1	-1	-2	+9	0.1
2038	30	MLB	MIL	53%	314	272	59	9	2	9	34	81	5	6	1	217	315	364	679	147	269	26	11	292	82	-7	+1	-1	-2	+9	0.0
2039	31	MLB	MIL	57%	330	285	60	9	2	9	36	86	6	6	1	211	312	351	663	140	266	26	11	288	79	-8	+1	-2	-2	+9	-0.1
2040	32	MLB	MIL	59%	334	289	60	9	2	9	36	88	6	5	1	208	308	346	654	138	263	26	11	283	75	-10	+1	-2	-2	+9	-0.4
2041	33	MLB	MIL	61%	326	283	57	8	2	8	35	88	5	4	1	201	300	329	629	127	259	27	11	277	70	-11	+0	-3	-2	+9	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4590	3978	856	130	35	127	493	1176	79	104	23	215	314	361	675	146	270	26	11	292	82	-96	+12	-8	-28	+130	1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	563	121	18	5	18	70	167	11	15	3	215	314	361	674	146	270	26	11	292	82	-14	+2	-1	-4	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	8472	7344	1588	238	65	235	910	2177	149	197	40	216	315	362	677	146	272	26	11	306	93	-71	+23	-15	-51	+240	13.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	563	122	18	5	18	70	167	11	15	3	217	315	362	677	146	273	26	11	306	93	-5	+2	-1	-4	+18	1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Brewers Blue	—	20	17	3	0	0	0	2	6	1	2	0	176	300	176	476		273	30	10	242	44	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	11	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	4	242	316	418	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#2Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#3Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	6	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
	/162	664	16	27	245	323	394	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,680	130	106	218	313	365	-28	+0	7.3	6.2
	/162	664	18	15	218	313	365	-4.0	+0.0	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gerlyn Payano (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	181/308/338	157	219	10	20	27%	13%	79	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Akil Baddoo 2018 · A	19	46→54	42→55	52→55	49	219/296/333	114	288	7	10	25%	9%	77	+0.1	195/265/303	108	302	7	13	35%	8%	56	-1.3	240/322/392	152	311	15	24	26%	11%	100	+1.2
●Gabriel Gonzalez 2022 · A	18	43→53	46→50	52→45	43	216/277/348	132	271	12	10	25%	6%	73	-0.1	235/292/359	124	285	14	8	22%	5%	82	+0.5	253/307/382	129	303	14	6	21%	5%	91	+0.9
✕Estevan Florial 2016 · A	18	46→53	44→55	54→60	41	222/283/347	125	322	10	12	33%	7%	75	-0.0	211/270/330	119	351	11	13	40%	7%	65	-0.7	214/281/384	170	311	19	29	36%	8%	81	+0.4
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→43	42→55	53→50	44	188/268/290	102	278	10	11	34%	8%	55	-1.4	201/284/321	120	321	11	16	37%	9%	69	-0.4	229/308/399	169	310	21	18	31%	9%	95	+0.9
●Jarred Kelenic 2019 · A	20	45→55	43→60	57→50	42	218/277/333	115	296	10	13	29%	7%	69	-0.4	234/291/434	200	292	25	13	28%	7%	102	+1.9	227/288/440	213	276	26	14	28%	7%	100	+1.5
✕Ronny Ugarte 2023 · A	18	41	43→50	47→40	43	202/274/320	118	277	9	6	29%	7%	65	-0.7	227/287/334	107	295	8	5	24%	7%	73	-0.1	248/308/368	120	321	11	2	25%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Noelvi Marte 2021 · A	19	44→53	44→50	50→55	42	218/268/339	121	285	11	12	27%	6%	66	-0.6	230/295/375	145	298	17	16	27%	8%	88	+0.9	233/300/377	144	296	17	19	26%	8%	87	+0.7
✕Forrest Wall 2015 · A	19	48→58	41→45	56→70	47	227/290/330	103	300	7	17	26%	8%	73	-0.1	221/273/317	96	291	7	16	25%	6%	62	-0.9	266/338/377	110	363	9	50	27%	9%	101	+1.1
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2011 · A	18	44	44→45	53→50	41	217/277/335	118	288	11	9	28%	6%	69	-0.4	219/286/320	101	286	6	11	24%	6%	69	-0.4	226/280/337	111	291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
✕Enmanuel Valdez 2017 · A	18	40→44	43→55	51→45	46	198/264/316	118	245	9	7	23%	7%	59	-1.1	188/250/298	110	251	9	7	28%	7%	49	-1.8	220/285/398	178	263	24	8	26%	8%	87	+0.7
●Tirso Ornelas 2019 · A	19	43→53	40→50	50→45	45	206/273/299	93	288	7	5	30%	8%	59	-1.1	190/254/266	76	279	5	5	31%	8%	41	-2.3	249/309/383	134	307	16	7	23%	7%	92	+1.1
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43	40→50	55	41	205/263/297	92	301	7	14	33%	7%	53	-1.5	187/262/281	94	277	7	12	32%	8%	50	-1.8	192/266/303	111	286	10	18	34%	8%	55	-0.5
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	45→47	44→45	58→45	40	222/270/345	124	286	10	15	26%	5%	69	-0.4	223/290/328	105	294	9	12	26%	6%	73	-0.1	233/300/341	108	308	10	8	26%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→47	41→55	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	64	-0.8	211/283/328	117	302	11	8	32%	8%	71	-0.3	225/292/378	153	293	18	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6
●Jon Singleton 2010 · A	18	46→54	41→55	49→45	51	219/285/318	99	263	7	5	19%	8%	69	-0.4	242/310/388	146	317	16	5	27%	8%	97	+1.5	238/309/385	147	321	17	5	30%	9%	95	+1.2
✕Alberto Rodriguez 2019 · A	18	40→50	40→50	51→50	43	198/259/283	85	277	8	16	30%	7%	48	-1.9	217/273/320	103	296	8	14	28%	7%	63	-0.8	218/277/350	132	309	11	7	31%	7%	70	-0.3
●Jackson Chourio 2022 · A	18	44→54	42→60	48→55	45	217/278/318	101	276	10	10	25%	7%	66	-0.6	233/279/390	157	315	18	19	31%	6%	85	+0.7	273/321/471	198	320	23	21	22%	6%	120	+2.5
●Koby Clemens 2006 · A	19	45→53	44→60	51→45	45	220/289/335	115	298	11	8	29%	8%	75	-0.0	205/269/312	107	280	10	4	29%	7%	60	-1.0	221/291/396	175	301	19	4	32%	8%	90	+0.9
✕Leopoldo Correa 2010 · A	18	41	42→45	50→30	48	197/280/305	107	291	9	5	33%	10%	63	-0.8	210/272/297	87	263	6	3	21%	7%	57	-1.2	212/269/300	89	261	8	0	21%	6%	53	-0.5
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	45→53	42→50	52→55	54	215/320/330	115	290	9	18	26%	12%	88	+0.9	235/321/384	149	306	13	20	25%	10%	101	+1.8	236/324/395	159	305	15	21	26%	10%	102	+1.2