Gerlyn Payano — OGILVIE

Gerlyn PayanoOF ACL Brewers

Age 18 L/L 6'1" / 192 lbs ROK HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION155 act + 14 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.154 / .214 / .154

PA14

HR0

K%29

BB%7

BABIP272

ISO104

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$9M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$4M	+0.2	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Brewers Blue	—	20	17	3	0	0	0	2	6	1	2	0	176	300	176	476		273	30	10	242	50	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Blue	—	20	18	2	0	0	0	1	8	1	2	0	111	200	111	311		213	40	5	161	-5	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Blue	—	20	18	2	0	0	0	1	8	1	2	0	111	200	111	311		200	40	5	161	-5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers Blue	—	20	17	3	0	0	0	2	6	1	2	0	176	300	176	476		273	30	10	242	-5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Blue	—	20	18	2	0	0	0	1	8	1	2	0	111	200	111	311		213	40	5	161	-5	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Blue	—	20	18	2	0	0	0	1	8	1	2	0	111	200	111	311		213	40	5	161	-5	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	MIL	—	155	129	20	3	1	3	20	52	4	12	2	155	288	264	551	109	224	34	13	258	61	-7	+2	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	MIL	—	155	117	26	4	2	4	32	36	4	12	2	222	405	393	798	171	278	23	21	364	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	MIL	0%	14	13	2	0	0	0	1	4	0	1	0	154	214	154	368		273	29	7	271	69	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	MIL	—	169	142	22	3	1	3	21	56	4	13	2	155	281	254	535	99	224	33	12	259	61	-8	+2	+0	-1	+4	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	MIL	34%	214	188	38	6	2	4	21	62	3	8	1	202	292	319	612	117	279	29	10	282	77	-6	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
2028	20	MLB MLE	MIL	50%	348	305	64	10	3	7	34	99	6	13	2	210	301	331	633	121	282	28	10	289	82	-7	+2	+0	-2	+8	-0.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	MIL	58%	448	393	85	14	4	10	44	125	8	17	3	216	308	349	656	132	283	28	10	295	86	-8	+2	+0	-3	+10	0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	MIL	61%	518	453	98	16	4	12	51	143	9	20	3	216	308	349	657	132	284	28	10	298	88	-7	+3	+0	-3	+11	0.3
2031	23	MLB MLE	MIL	63%	564	494	109	18	5	14	55	155	10	21	4	221	311	362	674	142	285	27	10	300	89	-7	+3	+0	-3	+12	0.4
2032	24	MLB MLE	MIL	65%	595	522	115	19	5	15	58	164	10	22	4	220	310	362	672	142	286	28	10	302	90	-7	+3	+0	-4	+13	0.5
2033	25	MLB MLE	MIL	65%	612	536	117	19	5	15	60	168	11	23	4	218	310	356	666	138	286	27	10	303	91	-6	+3	+0	-4	+13	0.6
2034	26	MLB MLE	MIL	65%	621	544	119	19	5	16	61	171	11	23	4	219	310	360	670	142	286	28	10	303	92	-6	+3	+0	-4	+13	0.7
2035	27	MLB MLE	MIL	65%	621	543	119	19	5	16	62	171	11	23	4	219	312	361	673	142	286	28	10	304	92	-6	+3	+0	-4	+13	0.7
2036	28	MLB MLE	MIL	65%	617	539	118	19	5	16	62	171	11	23	4	219	312	362	674	143	285	28	10	303	91	-7	+3	-1	-4	+13	0.5
2037	29	MLB MLE	MIL	65%	607	530	115	19	5	15	61	169	11	22	4	217	311	357	667	140	284	28	10	301	90	-8	+3	-1	-4	+13	0.3
2038	30	MLB MLE	MIL	65%	596	521	111	18	4	14	60	168	10	22	4	213	306	344	650	131	283	28	10	298	88	-9	+3	-2	-4	+13	0.1
2027	19	MLB CTX	MIL	34%	72	64	13	2	1	1	7	21	1	3	0	203	292	312	604	109	277	29	10	271	77	-2	+1	+0	-0	+2	-0.0
2028	20	MLB CTX	MIL	50%	174	152	32	5	1	4	17	49	3	6	1	211	302	336	638	125	280	28	10	278	82	-4	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	MIL	58%	258	227	48	8	2	6	25	72	4	10	2	211	301	344	644	132	282	28	10	283	86	-4	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	MIL	61%	318	279	61	10	3	8	31	88	5	12	2	219	308	362	670	143	283	28	10	286	88	-5	+2	+0	-2	+7	0.2
2031	23	MLB CTX	MIL	63%	357	313	68	11	3	9	35	98	6	13	2	217	308	358	666	141	284	27	10	289	89	-5	+2	+0	-2	+8	0.3
2032	24	MLB CTX	MIL	65%	387	339	74	12	3	10	38	106	7	15	2	218	310	360	670	142	285	27	10	290	90	-4	+2	+0	-2	+8	0.4
2033	25	MLB CTX	MIL	65%	398	349	77	12	3	11	39	109	7	15	3	221	311	367	678	146	285	27	10	291	91	-4	+2	+0	-2	+9	0.4
2034	26	MLB CTX	MIL	65%	404	354	77	12	3	11	40	111	7	15	3	218	309	362	671	144	284	27	10	292	92	-4	+2	+0	-2	+9	0.4
2035	27	MLB CTX	MIL	65%	404	354	77	12	3	11	40	111	7	15	3	218	309	362	671	144	284	27	10	292	92	-4	+2	+0	-2	+9	0.4
2036	28	MLB CTX	MIL	65%	401	351	76	12	3	11	40	111	7	15	3	217	309	362	671	145	284	28	10	291	91	-4	+2	-0	-2	+9	0.3
2037	29	MLB CTX	MIL	65%	395	345	75	12	3	10	40	110	7	14	2	217	311	357	668	139	283	28	10	289	90	-5	+2	-1	-2	+9	0.2
2038	30	MLB CTX	MIL	65%	387	338	72	11	3	10	39	109	7	14	2	213	307	352	659	139	281	28	10	286	88	-6	+2	-1	-2	+8	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3955	3465	750	119	31	102	391	1095	68	147	25	216	308	357	665	141	283	28	10	288	89	-51	+19	-3	-24	+86	2.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	569	124	20	5	17	64	180	11	24	4	218	309	360	669	142	285	28	10	288	89	-8	+3	-0	-4	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	6395	5599	1212	196	52	154	631	1778	112	240	41	216	308	353	661	136	286	28	10	299	89	-85	+31	-4	-38	+138	4.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	569	123	20	5	16	64	181	11	24	4	216	307	353	660	137	285	28	10	299	89	-9	+3	-0	-4	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	4.7	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
	/162	664	19	34	244	314	394	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#2Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#3Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	3.5	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
	/162	664	16	27	245	323	394	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	6.1	4,020	97	150	218	306	355	-24	+0	5.7	5.1
	/162	664	16	25	218	306	355	-4.0	+0.0	0.9	pk7: 4
#4Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps