Manuel Almeida — OGILVIE

Manuel AlmeidaC ACL Mariners

Age 18 S/R 5'11" / 187 lbs ROK K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION111 act + 12 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†40

AVG/OBP/SLG.091 / .167 / .091

PA12

HR0

K%33

BB%8

BABIP260

ISO102

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED35

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	169	150	42	5	0	8	16	46	0	0	3	280	349	473	823	193	343	27	9	358	128	+6	-1	—	—	+4	0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	169	156	31	3	0	6	10	66	0	0	3	199	247	333	580	135	280	39	6	254	58	-8	-1	—	—	+4	-0.6
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	169	156	31	3	0	6	10	66	0	0	3	199	247	333	580	135	287	39	6	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	169	150	42	5	0	8	16	46	0	0	3	280	349	473	823	193	343	27	9	358	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	169	157	31	3	0	6	10	66	0	0	3	197	247	331	578	134	280	39	6	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	169	157	31	3	0	6	10	66	0	0	3	197	247	331	578	134	280	39	6	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	SEA	—	111	101	8	2	0	1	9	59	1	0	0	79	162	129	291	50	171	53	8	125	-29	-17	+0	+0	+2	+2	-1.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	SEA	—	111	96	11	3	0	1	14	41	1	0	0	115	234	177	411	63	185	37	13	205	-29	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	SEA	0%	12	11	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	91	167	91	258		262	33	8	227	40	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	SEA	—	123	112	9	2	0	1	10	63	1	0	0	80	163	125	288	45	167	51	8	135	-23	-18	+0	+0	+2	+3	-1.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	SEA	34%	228	208	37	6	1	4	16	81	2	2	1	178	243	274	517	96	266	36	7	239	48	-14	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.5
2027	19	MLB CTX	SEA	34%	78	72	12	2	0	1	5	28	1	1	0	167	231	236	467	69	264	36	6	231	48	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	78	72	12	2	0	1	5	28	1	1	0	167	231	236	467	69	256	36	6	231	52	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	600	100	17	0	8	42	233	8	8	0	167	231	235	466	68	256	36	6	231	52	-40	+2	+0	+12	+14	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	409	375	69	9	1	10	27	151	2	2	4	184	243	293	536	109	271	37	7	245	52	-15	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	596	110	14	2	16	43	240	3	3	6	185	243	295	538	111	272	37	7	245	52	-40	+0	+0	+12	+14	-1.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	4.5	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.2	10.8
/162	664	12	3	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3John McDonaldlast yr '14 career totals — 13 seasons, 2,596 PA	3.9	2,596	28	34	233	273	324	+20	+54	4.2	5.1
/162	664	7	9	+5.0	+13.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.3	219	4	2	191	248	293	+4	+4	-0.2	-0.1
/162	664	12	6	+11.9	+12.1	-0.7	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Manuel Almeida (OGILVIE)	18	40	45	35	35	170/232/261	91	262	2	1	37%	7%	40	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jorge Andrade 2013 · A	18	42	39→40	43→55	41	204/264/283	79	286	7	8	30%	6%	56	-1.9	192/262/262	70	299	3	16	34%	8%	51	-2.3	162/232/211	49	271	0	27	37%	7%	26	-1.1
✕Omar Estévez 2017 · A	19	42→41	41→45	39→40	34	205/241/307	102	293	9	4	33%	4%	52	-2.2	206/247/304	98	288	8	3	30%	5%	54	-2.0	192/245/281	89	266	9	1	30%	6%	46	-1.4
✕Yonatan Henriquez 2023 · A	18	44→48	40→45	42→55	45	207/292/294	87	308	7	9	32%	9%	70	-0.8	199/282/276	77	285	5	14	29%	10%	61	-1.5	203/287/290	86	278	6	20	27%	10%	64	-0.6
✕Franklin Navarro 2013 · A	18	46	40	44→40	38	220/259/311	91	300	6	4	28%	5%	59	-1.6	203/246/281	78	282	6	4	29%	4%	48	-2.5	179/222/225	46	247	2	1	27%	4%	25	-0.9
✕Raul Garcia 2013 · A	18	42	42→45	44→45	38	204/263/312	108	296	9	6	33%	6%	63	-1.4	191/248/268	77	337	5	6	42%	6%	47	-2.6	105/160/111	6	258	0	0	56%	5%	-24	-1.4
✕Jeffrey Mercedes 2023 · A	18	43	40→45	44→45	43	205/265/308	103	263	6	5	24%	6%	62	-1.4	203/255/294	91	276	6	5	27%	6%	55	-2.0	188/242/273	84	253	7	4	27%	6%	44	-1.0
✕Jonathan Araúz 2017 · A	18	40→38	37→45	43→45	40	193/241/266	74	258	5	4	26%	5%	43	-2.8	195/251/284	89	248	6	4	23%	6%	51	-2.2	187/255/290	103	228	12	3	23%	8%	53	-1.2
✕Nolan Perez 2017 · A	18	39	39→40	46→40	39	188/258/270	82	280	6	8	33%	6%	51	-2.2	187/235/267	80	275	6	4	33%	5%	41	-3.0	171/209/244	74	259	6	2	35%	4%	25	-1.4
✕Edwin Amparo 2023 · A	18	42	38→40	43→60	43	202/266/285	83	280	5	8	28%	7%	57	-1.8	194/277/280	86	283	6	23	31%	9%	61	-1.5	161/248/245	84	276	8	34	41%	9%	41	-1.6
✕Shervyen Newton 2017 · A	18	39→32	35→45	37→40	45	179/276/243	63	269	2	4	31%	8%	53	-2.1	200/278/288	88	321	5	6	36%	9%	63	-1.4	182/254/273	91	308	7	4	40%	8%	49	-1.3
✕Oscar Rojas 2014 · A	18	41	44→45	41→50	37	207/242/329	122	264	10	7	26%	4%	57	-1.8	209/243/304	95	272	6	14	25%	4%	52	-2.2	207/241/297	89	273	5	19	25%	3%	48	-0.8
✕Jose Perez 2022 · A	18	41	38→40	42→45	44	193/266/276	83	281	5	6	31%	8%	55	-1.9	200/299/287	87	269	5	7	25%	11%	71	-0.8	193/314/286	93	255	5	7	23%	13%	76	-0.1
✕Francisco Hernandez 2018 · A	18	39	41→40	41→50	33	194/244/287	92	295	10	6	36%	4%	49	-2.4	199/263/298	99	277	9	5	30%	6%	59	-1.6	159/226/237	78	266	7	6	40%	7%	30	-1.6
✕Pedro Gonzalez 2016 · A	18	37→30	42→50	40→50	32	184/236/288	103	299	10	8	40%	5%	47	-2.6	183/231/287	104	305	7	9	40%	5%	45	-2.7	180/231/311	131	278	14	10	39%	5%	47	-1.4
✕Brayant Nova 2017 · A	18	46	37→30	40→50	42	214/278/283	69	322	4	8	33%	7%	61	-1.5	200/258/266	66	321	2	9	35%	7%	49	-2.4	201/264/264	63	304	0	12	31%	7%	49	-1.0
✕Wladimir Galindo 2015 · A	18	42→33	43→45	45→40	37	207/260/321	115	290	11	5	32%	5%	63	-1.3	221/270/326	105	314	8	5	31%	5%	68	-1.0	183/225/263	80	289	8	1	38%	5%	33	-1.6
✕Belarmino Campos 2011 · A	18	43	37→40	42→40	43	201/267/281	80	280	3	7	28%	7%	57	-1.8	204/277/287	83	252	3	5	19%	7%	62	-1.4	170/256/264	94	204	4	3	18%	8%	47	-1.0
✕Abiezel Ramirez 2018 · A	18	37	36→45	45→55	41	177/239/242	65	274	3	9	35%	7%	37	-3.3	205/267/286	81	279	4	15	26%	7%	57	-1.8	200/265/297	97	306	7	21	35%	7%	59	-0.7
✕Julio Garcia 2015 · A	18	39→36	36→40	45→40	39	187/240/248	61	285	3	7	34%	6%	38	-3.2	184/222/241	57	279	2	11	33%	4%	29	-3.8	183/211/244	62	279	3	6	35%	3%	24	-2.2
✕Jonathan Mejía 2023 · A	18	43	43→45	47→50	46	202/297/321	119	303	9	6	33%	9%	78	-0.3	178/264/269	91	299	7	13	39%	9%	54	-2.0	164/263/274	110	277	11	16	41%	11%	54	-1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps