Manuel Almeida — OGILVIE

Manuel AlmeidaC DSL Mariners

Age 18 S/R 5'11" / 187 lbs ROK HR +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 3.6 · 2034

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .268 / .325

PA141

HR3

K%31

BB%7

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

40→40

PWR

45→45

SPD

35→35

EYE

35→35

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.6peak

2034

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+3.4	$32M	+$32M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.5	$34M	+$33M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.6	$36M	+$35M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+3.6	$38M	+$31M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$11M	+3.5	$38M	+$26M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$16M	+3.3	$37M	+$20M
Totals		$38M		$215M	+$177M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	169	156	31	3	0	6	10	66	0	0	3	.199	.247	.333	.580	.135	.287	39	6	.258	56	-8	-1	+0	+3	+5	-0.2
▸ 2026 Season
2026	18	MLB	SEA	141	129	28	5	1	3	10	43	1	2	0	.217	.279	.341	.620	.124	.286	30	7	.269	64	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	19	MLB 11%	SEA	228	205	47	8	2	6	18	65	3	3	1	.229	.301	.376	.676	.146	.300	29	8	.296	85	-4	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.7
2028	20	MLB 28%	SEA	359	321	76	13	2	10	30	100	5	5	1	.237	.312	.383	.695	.146	.306	28	8	.308	94	-2	+1	+0	+6	+10	1.5
2029	21	MLB 48%	SEA	458	408	97	16	3	13	41	124	6	7	2	.238	.316	.387	.704	.150	.306	27	9	.317	100	+0	+1	+0	+8	+13	2.2
2030	22	MLB 65%	SEA	520	459	111	19	3	16	49	137	7	7	2	.242	.324	.401	.725	.159	.306	26	9	.324	106	+4	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.9
2031	23	MLB 86%	SEA	520	458	112	19	3	17	50	134	7	7	1	.245	.328	.410	.739	.166	.306	26	10	.330	111	+6	+1	+0	+9	+15	3.2
2032	24	MLB	SEA	520	456	113	19	3	18	52	133	7	6	1	.248	.334	.421	.755	.173	.307	26	10	.334	114	+8	+1	+0	+9	+15	3.4
2033	25	MLB	SEA	520	455	113	19	3	18	53	132	7	6	1	.248	.336	.422	.758	.174	.307	25	10	.337	116	+10	+1	+0	+9	+15	3.5
2034	26	MLB	SEA	520	454	113	19	3	18	54	132	7	6	1	.249	.338	.423	.761	.174	.308	25	10	.339	118	+10	+1	+0	+9	+15	3.6
2035	27	MLB	SEA	520	454	113	19	3	18	54	132	7	5	1	.249	.338	.423	.761	.174	.308	25	10	.339	118	+10	+1	+0	+9	+15	3.6
2036	28	MLB	SEA	520	453	112	18	3	18	55	133	7	5	0	.247	.338	.419	.757	.172	.308	26	11	.338	117	+10	+1	-1	+9	+15	3.5
2037	29	MLB	SEA	520	453	111	18	3	18	55	135	7	5	0	.245	.336	.417	.753	.172	.307	26	11	.336	115	+9	+1	-1	+9	+15	3.3
2038	30	MLB	SEA	520	453	111	18	3	18	55	137	7	4	0	.245	.336	.417	.753	.172	.305	26	11	.333	113	+8	+1	-2	+9	+15	3.1
2039	31	MLB	SEA	504	439	106	17	3	17	53	134	7	3	0	.241	.333	.410	.743	.169	.304	27	11	.329	110	+6	+1	-3	+9	+14	2.7
2040	32	MLB	SEA	489	428	101	16	3	16	52	133	6	3	0	.236	.327	.400	.727	.164	.303	27	11	.324	106	+3	+1	-4	+9	+14	2.4
2041	33	MLB	SEA	473	414	96	15	3	14	50	132	6	3	0	.232	.323	.384	.707	.152	.301	28	11	.319	102	+1	+1	-4	+8	+13	2.0
2042	34	MLB	SEA	438	384	87	14	2	13	46	126	5	3	0	.227	.317	.375	.692	.148	.299	29	11	.312	97	-2	+1	-5	+8	+12	1.5
2043	35	MLB	SEA	376	329	72	11	2	10	39	112	5	3	0	.219	.311	.356	.667	.137	.297	30	10	.304	91	-4	+1	-6	+7	+11	0.9
2044	36	MLB	SEA	312	273	59	9	2	8	32	96	4	2	0	.216	.307	.352	.659	.136	.294	31	10	.295	84	-6	+0	-6	+6	+9	0.3
2045	37	MLB	SEA	250	220	46	7	1	6	25	79	3	2	0	.209	.298	.332	.630	.123	.291	32	10	.285	76	-7	+0	-7	+4	+7	-0.2
2046	38	MLB	SEA	187	165	33	5	1	4	18	61	2	1	0	.200	.286	.315	.602	.115	.285	33	10	.274	68	-7	+0	-8	+3	+5	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			9064	7966	1888	307	52	285	901	2476	116	88	14	.237	.323	.396	.719	.159	.305	27	10	.321	104	+40	+12	-46	+162	+257	43.3
/ 162G	—			650	571	135	22	4	20	65	178	8	6	1	.236	.323	.394	.717	.158	.305	27	10	.321	104	+3	+1	-3	+12	+18	3.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	169	150	42	5	0	8	16	46	0	0	3	.280	.349	.473	.823	.193	.343	27	9	.358	132	+6	-1	—	—	+5	1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Manuel Almeida (OGILVIE)	18	40	45	35	35	.207/.268/.325	.117	.286	3	2	31%	7%	64	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yonatan Henriquez 2023 · A	18	45→48	40→45	43→55	45	.209/.292/.297	.088	.310	7	9	32%	8%	67	-0.5	.198/.280/.275	.077	.287	5	14	30%	9%	56	-1.3	.204/.287/.292	.088	.279	6	20	27%	10%	60	-0.5
●Marwin Gonzalez 2008 · A	19	41→51	41→55	43→50	41	.201/.247/.302	.102	.265	8	5	27%	6%	47	-1.9	.210/.246/.283	.073	.267	4	7	22%	4%	41	-2.3	.272/.342/.450	.178	.320	21	4	21%	9%	121	+2.7
✕Josue Briceño 2023 · A	18	39→41	42→60	44→40	38	.195/.242/.294	.099	.280	10	5	33%	6%	43	-2.2	.222/.286/.353	.131	.282	14	4	25%	8%	78	+0.2	.228/.304/.389	.161	.273	19	2	23%	9%	94	+0.6
✕Randel Alcantara 2015 · A	18	41	43→45	42→45	42	.202/.270/.308	.106	.277	11	4	30%	7%	60	-1.0	.201/.267/.310	.109	.267	8	6	27%	6%	59	-1.1	.186/.252/.305	.119	.241	8	6	25%	5%	48	-0.6
●Mark Vientos 2018 · A	18	43→50	40→60	42→30	38	.207/.253/.302	.095	.293	8	4	31%	5%	50	-1.7	.206/.255/.327	.121	.274	14	3	29%	6%	59	-1.1	.246/.306/.451	.204	.321	28	0	31%	7%	109	+2.0
✕Edwin Amparo 2023 · A	18	43	38→40	43→60	43	.203/.267/.286	.083	.282	5	8	28%	7%	53	-1.5	.195/.277/.282	.087	.283	6	22	30%	9%	56	-1.3	.178/.265/.270	.093	.272	9	37	35%	10%	47	-1.0
✕Victor Heredia 2019 · A	19	47	44→50	42→30	40	.230/.273/.349	.119	.292	11	4	25%	4%	71	-0.3	.214/.267/.303	.089	.290	7	4	27%	6%	56	-1.3	.176/.240/.214	.038	.249	3	2	28%	6%	21	-1.0
✕Ronny Mauricio 2019 · A	18	43→50	39→55	40→55	40	.211/.246/.303	.093	.270	6	5	24%	4%	46	-2.0	.206/.235/.299	.093	.276	8	6	28%	3%	41	-2.3	.245/.284/.412	.168	.303	22	21	27%	4%	89	+0.8
✕Jose Perez 2022 · A	18	41	39→40	43→45	45	.197/.269/.283	.086	.283	5	7	30%	8%	53	-1.5	.199/.297/.285	.086	.268	5	8	25%	11%	66	-0.6	.192/.313/.283	.092	.254	5	7	23%	13%	71	-0.1
●Luis Campusano 2018 · A	19	43→53	41→50	42→30	44	.214/.269/.309	.096	.275	10	4	26%	6%	59	-1.1	.248/.300/.359	.111	.296	11	2	19%	6%	85	+0.7	.261/.327/.424	.162	.295	21	1	19%	8%	110	+1.4
✕Adinso Reyes 2021 · A	19	46	43→45	41→40	38	.224/.269/.334	.110	.299	10	5	28%	4%	66	-0.6	.181/.234/.289	.108	.334	12	4	47%	5%	40	-2.4	.148/.202/.250	.102	.289	14	2	51%	5%	14	-1.3
✕Jesús Báez 2023 · A	18	39→37	44→50	44→45	43	.199/.265/.312	.113	.271	12	9	30%	8%	59	-1.1	.198/.260/.317	.119	.255	13	9	27%	7%	58	-1.2	.195/.258/.323	.128	.235	16	9	24%	7%	56	-0.7
●Adael Amador 2022 · A	19	45→54	41→50	45→55	47	.219/.281/.317	.098	.274	8	11	23%	8%	66	-0.6	.241/.317/.373	.132	.280	15	17	19%	9%	97	+1.5	.233/.312/.369	.136	.267	17	23	19%	9%	90	+0.8
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	48→41	42→45	44→50	46	.227/.316/.333	.107	.303	8	7	26%	8%	87	+0.8	.212/.309/.337	.125	.286	12	8	28%	8%	85	+0.7	.203/.305/.339	.136	.270	15	9	28%	8%	81	+0.3
●Anthony Santander 2013 · A	18	45→49	42→65	47→45	39	.217/.275/.326	.110	.305	9	8	31%	6%	66	-0.6	.201/.254/.302	.101	.269	9	7	27%	5%	51	-1.7	.242/.317/.473	.231	.257	31	2	20%	9%	120	+3.4
✕Elias Díaz 2010 · A	19	42→52	40→50	43→45	44	.205/.267/.300	.095	.269	8	5	26%	7%	56	-1.3	.185/.233/.263	.078	.242	5	4	25%	5%	31	-3.0	.253/.312/.392	.139	.280	17	0	16%	7%	96	+0.8
✕Samuel Basallo 2023 · A	18	41→49	44→55	48→45	41	.207/.263/.315	.109	.281	12	4	30%	6%	59	-1.1	.234/.289/.391	.157	.301	19	7	28%	7%	89	+1.0	.233/.291/.410	.177	.289	23	6	27%	7%	93	+1.0
●Elly De La Cruz 2021 · A	19	44→54	37→60	42→65	37	.205/.258/.279	.074	.313	4	6	34%	6%	46	-2.0	.226/.270/.389	.163	.347	16	22	37%	5%	80	+0.4	.249/.324/.437	.188	.339	19	44	30%	9%	108	+2.5
✕Edwin Sanchez 2023 · A	18	41	44→45	44→50	46	.203/.288/.316	.113	.290	11	6	32%	9%	70	-0.3	.198/.307/.305	.107	.277	10	9	29%	11%	77	+0.1	.175/.316/.285	.110	.237	10	11	27%	13%	76	+0.0
●Moisés Ballesteros 2023 · A	19	43→53	46→50	46→40	47	.216/.283/.346	.130	.273	14	5	26%	8%	75	-0.0	.241/.299/.377	.136	.292	16	4	22%	7%	90	+1.0	.259/.317/.396	.137	.305	16	3	20%	7%	100	+1.5

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)