Manuel Almeida — OGILVIE

Manuel AlmeidaC ACL Mariners

Age 18 S/R 5'11" / 187 lbs ROK HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION111 act + 74 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†32

AVG/OBP/SLG.162 / .230 / .235

PA74

HR1

K%38

BB%7

BABIP256

ISO74

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED35

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	169	156	31	3	0	6	10	66	0	0	3	199	247	333	580	135	287	39	6	262	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	169	150	42	5	0	8	16	46	0	0	3	280	349	473	823	193	343	27	9	358	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	SEA	—	111	101	8	2	0	1	9	59	1	0	0	79	162	129	291	50	171	53	8	125	-46	-18	+0	+0	+2	+3	-1.3
YTD	18	ROK	SEA	—	111	96	11	3	0	1	14	41	1	0	0	115	234	177	411	63	185	37	13	205	15	-11	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.6
ROS	18	ROK	SEA	0%	74	68	11	2	0	1	5	28	1	1	0	162	230	235	465	74	262	38	7	228	32	-6	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
ROS	18	MLB	SEA	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		260	—	—	220	27	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	SEA	—	111	102	8	2	0	1	9	59	1	0	0	78	162	127	290	49	167	53	8	125	-46	-18	+0	+0	+2	+3	-1.3
TOT	18	ROK	SEA	—	185	169	19	4	0	2	14	87	2	1	0	112	189	172	361	59	212	47	8	166	-15	-24	+0	+0	+3	+5	-1.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	SEA	34%	238	217	39	7	1	4	17	85	2	2	1	180	246	276	522	97	266	36	7	240	42	-16	+0	+0	+4	+7	-0.5
2028	20	MLB	SEA	48%	366	333	63	11	2	8	26	126	4	4	1	189	256	306	563	117	270	34	7	251	50	-21	+0	+0	+7	+10	-0.3
2027	19	MLB	SEA	34%	82	75	13	2	0	2	6	29	1	1	0	173	244	280	524	107	264	35	7	231	35	-6	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
2028	20	MLB	SEA	48%	177	160	30	5	1	4	13	61	2	2	1	188	257	306	563	119	268	34	7	240	42	-12	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	259	236	43	7	1	6	19	90	3	3	1	182	253	297	550	114	262	35	7	238	40	-18	+0	+0	+5	+7	-0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	109	18	3	15	48	226	8	8	3	184	256	301	557	117	266	35	7	238	40	-44	+0	+0	+12	+18	-1.4
Career	—			—	847	774	144	23	3	19	58	305	7	7	5	186	249	297	546	111	274	36	7	248	48	-50	-1	+0	+15	+24	-1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	111	18	2	15	45	234	5	5	4	187	250	300	550	113	274	36	7	248	48	-38	-1	+0	+12	+18	-0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	169	150	42	5	0	8	16	46	0	0	3	280	349	473	823	193	343	27	9	358	132	+6	-1	—	—	+5	1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	406	8	4	190	250	296	+7	+8	-0.6	-0.3
	/162	664	13	6	190	250	296	+11.9	+13.1	-0.9	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Manuel Almeida (OGILVIE)	18	40	45	35	35	112/189/172	59	212	2	1	47%	8%	-15	-1.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jorge Andrade 2013 · A	18	42	39→40	43→55	41	204/264/283	79	286	7	8	30%	6%	50	-1.7	192/262/262	70	299	3	16	34%	8%	44	-2.1	162/232/211	49	271	0	27	37%	7%	16	-1.1
✕Omar Estévez 2017 · A	19	42→41	42→45	39→40	34	209/243/314	106	299	9	4	33%	4%	49	-1.8	202/241/297	95	286	8	3	31%	5%	43	-2.2	194/245/290	96	270	10	1	31%	6%	42	-1.2
✕Edwin Amparo 2023 · A	18	42	38→40	43→60	43	201/266/284	82	280	5	8	28%	7%	52	-1.6	196/278/284	88	286	6	23	31%	9%	58	-1.2	163/252/252	90	274	9	33	40%	10%	36	-1.3
✕Raul Garcia 2013 · A	18	42	42→45	44→45	38	204/263/312	108	296	9	6	33%	6%	58	-1.2	191/248/268	77	337	5	6	42%	6%	40	-2.4	105/160/111	6	258	0	0	56%	5%	-40	-1.4
✕Franklin Navarro 2013 · A	18	46	40	44→40	38	220/259/311	91	300	6	4	28%	5%	54	-1.4	203/246/281	78	283	6	4	29%	4%	41	-2.3	179/224/225	45	248	2	1	27%	5%	15	-0.9
✕Jonathan Araúz 2017 · A	18	40→39	37→45	43→45	40	193/241/266	74	258	5	4	26%	5%	36	-2.7	196/252/286	90	250	6	4	23%	6%	46	-2.0	190/258/298	107	233	13	3	24%	8%	50	-1.0
✕Nolan Perez 2017 · A	18	39	39→40	46→40	39	188/258/270	82	280	6	8	33%	6%	45	-2.1	187/235/267	80	275	6	4	33%	5%	33	-2.9	171/209/244	74	259	6	2	35%	4%	15	-1.4
✕Oscar Rojas 2014 · A	18	41	44→45	41→50	37	207/242/329	122	264	10	7	26%	4%	52	-1.6	209/243/304	95	272	6	14	25%	4%	46	-2.0	207/241/297	89	273	5	19	25%	3%	41	-0.8
✕Jose Perez 2022 · A	18	41	39→40	42→45	45	194/268/281	86	278	5	6	30%	8%	52	-1.6	200/299/287	87	269	5	7	25%	11%	68	-0.5	190/311/283	93	253	5	7	24%	13%	71	-0.1
✕Francisco Hernandez 2018 · A	18	39	41→40	41→50	33	194/244/287	92	295	10	6	36%	4%	43	-2.2	199/263/298	99	277	9	5	30%	6%	54	-1.4	159/227/238	78	268	7	6	41%	7%	21	-1.6
✕Yonatan Henriquez 2023 · A	18	44→51	40→45	42→55	45	207/294/296	88	307	8	9	32%	9%	67	-0.5	202/284/283	81	291	5	14	29%	9%	59	-1.1	212/295/309	97	288	7	20	27%	10%	68	-0.2
✕Brayant Nova 2017 · A	18	46	37→30	40→50	42	214/278/283	69	322	4	8	33%	7%	56	-1.3	200/258/266	66	321	2	9	35%	7%	43	-2.2	201/264/264	63	304	0	12	31%	7%	42	-0.9
✕Luis Pino 2022 · A	18	41→31	43→45	43→45	37	198/273/308	110	314	12	5	38%	6%	62	-0.9	184/261/282	98	317	9	8	42%	7%	50	-1.7	149/234/241	91	268	10	9	44%	7%	27	-0.7
✕Shervyen Newton 2017 · A	18	39→30	35→45	37→40	45	179/276/243	63	269	2	4	31%	8%	47	-1.9	198/276/286	88	320	5	6	36%	9%	56	-1.3	179/249/270	91	306	7	4	41%	8%	40	-1.3
✕Pedro Gonzalez 2016 · A	18	37→28	42→45	40→50	32	184/236/288	103	299	10	8	40%	5%	40	-2.4	183/231/285	102	308	6	9	41%	5%	37	-2.7	173/220/285	111	296	6	10	42%	5%	29	-1.5
✕Belarmino Campos 2011 · A	18	43	37→40	42→40	43	201/267/281	80	280	3	7	28%	7%	51	-1.7	204/277/287	83	252	3	5	19%	7%	57	-1.2	170/256/264	94	204	4	3	18%	8%	40	-1.0
✕Wladimir Galindo 2015 · A	18	42→31	43→45	45→40	37	207/260/321	115	290	11	5	32%	5%	59	-1.1	221/270/328	107	313	8	5	30%	5%	64	-0.8	183/223/269	87	287	8	1	38%	4%	25	-1.5
✕Carlos Duran 2013 · A	18	38	36→40	37→50	40	185/241/252	67	267	4	4	31%	6%	32	-3.0	214/276/294	80	287	4	14	25%	7%	58	-1.2	224/273/299	75	294	4	16	24%	6%	54	-0.6
✕Abiezel Ramirez 2018 · A	18	37	36→45	45→55	41	177/239/242	65	274	3	9	35%	7%	29	-3.2	205/267/286	81	279	4	15	26%	7%	52	-1.6	200/264/296	96	310	7	21	35%	7%	52	-0.6
✕Danyer Sanabria 2021 · A	19	38	43→45	44→45	35	194/225/301	107	260	11	7	30%	4%	38	-2.6	191/238/282	91	312	7	6	38%	6%	38	-2.6	197/243/294	97	309	5	3	36%	5%	39	-0.8