William Lugo — OGILVIE

William LugoSS Binghamton Rumble Ponies

Age 24 R/R 6'3" / 215 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†42

AVG/OBP/SLG.179 / .252 / .266

PA320

HR4

K%31

BB%8

ISO88

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	GCL Mets	—	176	154	17	4	0	1	13	66	5	1	4	110	203	156	359	45	178	38	7	162	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK	GCL Mets	—	176	146	23	6	0	1	21	46	5	1	4	158	285	219	504	62	216	26	12	242	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	FCL Mets	—	183	163	23	4	0	4	16	74	3	5	1	141	231	239	470	98	221	40	9	215	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	FCL Mets	—	183	156	34	6	0	6	23	52	3	5	1	218	330	372	701	154	283	28	13	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	2 teams	—	478	437	84	20	2	12	32	176	6	0	0	192	257	330	586	137	286	37	7	255	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	2 teams	—	478	419	110	25	2	14	50	117	6	0	0	263	349	432	781	169	330	24	10	348	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	437	396	75	12	2	8	28	119	7	7	4	189	255	290	546	101	244	27	6	243	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	437	384	91	18	3	11	40	92	7	7	4	237	320	385	706	148	279	21	9	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	346	297	38	11	2	4	40	130	6	5	1	128	245	219	464	91	205	38	12	215	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	346	280	52	15	2	8	57	95	6	5	1	186	335	339	675	154	244	27	16	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	427	391	71	14	0	5	28	141	4	5	1	182	243	256	499	74	265	33	7	227	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	427	380	78	15	0	6	39	113	4	5	1	205	286	292	578	87	272	26	9	266	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	24	MLB	NYM	—	320	289	52	11	1	4	25	101	3	3	1	180	252	266	519	87	256	32	8	240	42	-21	+0	+0	+3	+9	-0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	NYM	31%	365	329	62	13	1	6	29	111	4	4	1	188	262	289	551	100	261	30	8	253	52	-20	+0	+0	+4	+10	-0.5
2028	26	MLB	NYM	45%	404	364	69	14	1	7	33	120	4	4	1	190	264	291	556	102	264	30	8	260	57	-19	+0	+0	+4	+11	-0.3
2029	27	MLB	NYM	49%	418	376	73	15	1	8	35	123	4	5	1	194	270	303	573	109	265	29	8	264	60	-19	+1	+0	+4	+12	-0.2
2030	28	MLB	NYM	52%	423	380	74	15	1	8	36	125	4	4	1	195	271	303	574	108	265	30	9	264	60	-19	+0	-1	+5	+12	-0.3
2027	25	MLB	NYM	31%	113	102	19	4	0	2	9	34	1	1	0	186	259	284	543	98	261	30	8	245	46	-7	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
2028	26	MLB	NYM	45%	180	161	31	6	1	3	15	54	2	2	1	193	270	298	568	106	263	30	8	252	51	-10	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.3
2029	27	MLB	NYM	49%	206	185	36	7	1	4	17	61	2	2	1	195	270	308	578	114	265	30	8	256	54	-11	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.3
2030	28	MLB	NYM	52%	218	196	39	8	1	4	18	64	2	2	1	199	273	311	584	112	265	29	8	256	54	-11	+0	-0	+2	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	717	644	125	25	3	13	59	213	7	7	3	194	269	303	572	109	265	30	8	253	52	-39	+0	-0	+8	+20	-1.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	114	23	3	12	53	193	6	6	3	195	269	307	576	111	266	30	8	253	52	-35	+0	-0	+7	+18	-1.0
Career	—			—	3977	3576	638	133	11	67	315	1286	50	43	16	178	255	278	532	100	253	32	8	242	44	-253	+2	-1	+43	+113	-9.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	105	22	2	11	51	210	8	7	3	180	255	281	535	101	255	32	8	242	44	-41	+0	-0	+7	+18	-1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	GCL Mets	—	176	146	23	6	0	1	21	46	5	1	4	158	285	219	504	62	216	26	12	242	43	-11	-1	—	—	+5	-0.8
2021	19	ROK	FCL Mets	—	183	156	34	6	0	6	23	52	3	5	1	218	330	372	701	154	283	28	13	319	102	+0	+1	—	—	+5	0.6
2022	20	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	121	105	28	7	0	4	13	27	1	0	0	267	353	448	801	181	316	22	11	351	127	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.7
2022	20	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	357	314	82	18	2	10	37	90	5	0	0	261	348	427	775	166	335	25	10	346	123	+9	+0	—	—	+10	2.0
2023	21	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	437	384	91	18	3	11	40	92	7	7	4	237	320	385	706	148	279	21	9	314	99	-1	-0	—	—	+12	1.2
2024	22	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	346	280	52	15	2	8	57	95	6	5	1	186	335	339	675	154	244	27	16	311	96	-1	+1	—	—	+10	0.9
2025	23	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	427	380	78	15	0	6	39	113	4	5	1	205	286	292	578	87	272	26	9	266	62	-19	+1	—	—	+12	-0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	724	13	8	195	268	304	+8	+6	-0.5	-0.3
	/162	664	12	7	195	268	304	+7.1	+5.5	-0.5	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
William Lugo (OGILVIE)	24	35	35	45	40	179/252/266	87	256	4	3	31%	8%	42	-1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Connor Justus 2019 · AA	24	40→37	38→40	42→45	45	190/273/269	79	271	6	8	30%	8%	52	-1.6	172/246/239	67	256	5	8	32%	7%	33	-2.9	143/216/191	47	222	3	6	34%	7%	5	-2.9
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→40	50→45	40	187/240/263	77	259	4	8	29%	5%	35	-2.8	204/263/296	92	292	8	10	31%	7%	53	-1.5	181/246/258	77	260	9	12	32%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Matt Pagnozzi 2007 · AA	24	37	38→45	43→40	39	181/239/262	81	264	5	4	32%	6%	34	-2.8	196/247/275	79	277	6	4	30%	5%	40	-2.4	208/275/286	79	292	6	0	29%	7%	53	-0.7
✕Max Burt 2021 · AA	24	39	40→45	44→55	34	192/239/277	84	280	9	6	34%	4%	38	-2.6	202/254/321	119	291	13	16	34%	5%	56	-1.3	193/249/316	123	274	14	21	34%	6%	50	-0.9
✕Cody Bohanek 2019 · AAA	24	39→36	38→40	47→50	41	189/267/262	73	276	7	10	32%	7%	48	-1.9	173/266/261	88	295	8	12	40%	8%	48	-1.9	147/253/237	90	268	8	16	43%	8%	36	-1.6
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	34	41→45	45	46	172/252/271	98	253	7	6	33%	9%	43	-2.2	186/255/287	101	275	10	8	33%	8%	48	-1.9	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	33→39	43→45	47→45	45	172/254/283	111	243	11	6	33%	9%	47	-1.9	188/273/293	105	265	11	5	31%	9%	58	-1.2	172/265/268	95	240	10	3	30%	10%	45	-1.0
✕Ryan Dent 2013 · AAA	24	39→42	37→40	44→50	41	190/244/257	67	269	6	9	30%	6%	35	-2.8	207/259/290	83	290	6	12	29%	6%	50	-1.8	204/255/292	88	287	6	12	30%	5%	46	-1.1
✕Rocky Gale 2012 · AA	24	37→45	37→40	41→30	40	184/232/251	67	245	5	5	27%	5%	27	-3.3	204/235/262	58	251	4	4	20%	4%	30	-3.1	251/279/300	49	306	2	1	18%	3%	57	-0.6
✕Rowdey Jordan 2023 · AA	24	43→42	39→45	48→55	45	204/271/295	91	290	6	12	30%	8%	56	-1.3	206/274/333	127	284	14	20	31%	7%	68	-0.5	199/268/331	132	272	16	23	31%	7%	62	-0.6
✕Anthony Mulrine 2023 · AAA	25	36	37→40	45→40	39	177/253/247	71	262	5	5	32%	6%	38	-2.6	192/271/279	87	273	7	6	30%	7%	53	-1.5	147/251/218	70	204	5	0	28%	8%	28	-0.7
✕Jio Mier 2015 · AAA	24	40→43	38→40	42→50	42	195/252/270	76	266	6	9	28%	7%	42	-2.3	202/257/289	87	270	7	8	26%	6%	49	-1.8	193/248/276	82	256	6	7	26%	6%	39	-1.3
✕Joe Cronin 2018 · A	24	36	40→45	46→50	45	178/268/270	92	268	8	8	34%	9%	50	-1.7	186/274/284	98	291	9	9	36%	9%	56	-1.3	170/264/263	93	267	9	10	36%	9%	45	-1.0
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2022 · A	24	37→43	42→45	42→50	40	182/253/289	107	277	8	8	35%	7%	48	-1.9	202/276/293	91	279	9	12	29%	8%	59	-1.1	197/277/277	81	264	9	14	27%	8%	52	-0.8
✕Mitch Abeita 2010 · A	24	41	40	49→30	44	201/265/292	91	270	8	4	27%	7%	53	-1.5	220/293/308	88	312	5	3	28%	9%	69	-0.4	225/305/305	80	322	3	0	28%	10%	70	-0.2
✕Jayson Hernandez 2013 · AA	24	39	39→30	49→30	36	190/233/274	83	280	6	8	33%	5%	34	-2.8	215/261/287	72	286	5	5	25%	4%	50	-1.8	229/273/258	30	292	2	0	21%	3%	43	-0.8
✕David Vidal 2014 · AA	24	41→45	41→45	43→30	39	202/252/300	98	284	9	3	31%	6%	50	-1.8	204/262/298	94	295	7	5	31%	7%	53	-1.5	212/272/321	108	271	11	2	25%	7%	62	-0.6
✕Riccio Torrez 2014 · AA	24	39→33	40	47→45	40	193/253/283	89	242	8	5	23%	4%	46	-2.0	204/256/297	93	274	7	8	27%	5%	50	-1.7	159/184/229	69	228	4	4	32%	2%	-3	-1.0
✕Chris Givin 2022 · AA	25	38	38→30	50→45	42	186/246/261	75	259	6	6	30%	7%	37	-2.6	202/265/279	77	274	6	7	26%	7%	50	-1.8	195/263/252	57	256	4	5	24%	8%	40	-1.1
✕Quincy McAfee 2023 · AA	25	38	43→45	42→45	46	189/279/295	106	260	11	6	30%	9%	62	-0.9	198/275/331	133	251	15	10	27%	7%	69	-0.4	185/264/327	142	224	17	12	25%	7%	61	-0.5