Jeffrey Mercedes

Jeffrey MercedesSS Lake County Captains

Age 21 S/R 5'8" / 185 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION357 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .111 / .111

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%6

BABIP260

ISO105

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$6M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-2	$3M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$3M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL CLE Blue	—	137	119	30	9	3	2	11	20	5	1	3	252	341	429	769	176	283	15	8	339	115	+2	-1	—	—	+3	0.5
2023	18	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	136	124	37	7	1	3	8	31	2	1	0	298	351	444	794	145	370	23	6	349	122	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.7
2024	19	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	143	124	35	8	1	2	16	23	1	1	2	282	369	411	780	129	327	16	11	347	121	+4	-1	—	—	+3	0.6
2025	20	A+	Lake County Captains	—	47	44	8	0	1	2	3	6	0	0	0	182	234	364	598	182	167	13	6	264	65	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	20	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	309	268	64	14	2	3	30	60	4	7	2	239	323	340	663	101	289	19	10	298	88	-5	+1	—	—	+7	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Blue	—	137	123	23	7	2	1	7	30	5	1	3	187	259	301	560	114	225	22	5	247	53	-8	-1	—	—	+3	-0.6
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	136	127	27	5	1	2	5	44	2	1	0	213	254	315	569	102	280	32	4	230	42	-9	+0	—	—	+3	-0.6
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	143	130	28	5	1	2	10	33	1	1	2	215	277	315	592	100	260	23	7	253	57	-7	-1	—	—	+3	-0.5
2025	20	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	47	45	7	0	1	2	2	8	0	0	0	156	191	333	525	178	141	17	4	204	24	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2025	20	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	309	280	52	12	1	2	19	86	4	7	2	186	248	257	505	71	245	28	6	230	42	-21	+1	—	—	+7	-1.4
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Blue	—	137	123	23	7	2	1	7	30	5	1	3	187	259	301	560	114	234	22	5	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Blue	—	137	119	30	9	3	2	11	20	5	1	3	252	341	429	769	176	283	15	8	339	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	136	127	27	5	1	2	5	44	2	1	0	213	254	315	569	102	301	32	4	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	—	136	124	37	7	1	3	8	31	2	1	0	298	351	444	794	145	370	23	6	349	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	143	130	28	5	1	2	10	33	1	1	2	215	277	315	592	100	268	23	7	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	—	143	124	35	8	1	2	16	23	1	1	2	282	369	411	780	129	327	16	11	347	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	356	324	59	12	2	4	22	94	4	7	2	182	243	269	511	86	237	26	6	227	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	356	312	72	14	3	5	33	66	4	7	2	231	311	343	654	112	271	19	9	293	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Blue	—	137	124	23	7	2	1	7	30	5	1	3	185	259	298	558	113	225	22	5	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	136	128	27	5	1	2	5	44	2	1	0	211	254	312	566	102	280	32	4	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	143	131	28	5	1	2	10	33	1	1	2	214	277	313	590	99	260	23	7	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	356	327	59	12	2	4	22	94	4	7	2	180	243	266	509	86	231	26	6	227	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	136	128	27	5	1	2	5	44	2	1	0	211	254	312	566	102	280	32	4	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	143	131	28	5	1	2	10	33	1	1	2	214	277	313	590	99	260	23	7	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	356	327	59	12	2	4	22	94	4	7	2	180	243	266	509	86	231	26	6	227	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A+ MLE	CLE	—	357	335	67	16	0	9	17	96	4	2	1	200	247	328	576	128	251	27	5	246	53	-20	+0	+0	+4	+8	-0.9
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A+ RAW	CLE	—	357	328	80	20	0	11	24	71	4	2	1	244	303	405	709	162	279	20	7	315	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	A+ MLE	CLE	0%	9	9	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	111	111	111	222		260	22	0	259	61	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	21	A+ MLE	CLE	—	366	344	68	16	0	9	17	98	4	2	1	198	244	323	567	125	248	27	5	246	53	-21	+0	+0	+4	+8	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	CLE	35%	424	393	83	18	1	9	24	103	4	4	1	211	264	331	594	120	262	24	6	270	69	-16	+0	+0	+5	+9	-0.1
2028	23	MLB MLE	CLE	49%	483	446	98	21	2	12	29	114	5	5	2	220	275	357	632	137	265	24	6	279	75	-14	+0	+0	+5	+10	0.2
2029	24	MLB MLE	CLE	53%	521	478	107	23	2	13	33	121	5	6	2	224	281	362	643	138	267	23	6	285	79	-13	+0	+0	+6	+11	0.5
2030	25	MLB MLE	CLE	55%	541	496	111	24	2	14	35	125	5	7	3	224	282	365	647	141	268	23	6	289	82	-12	+0	+0	+6	+12	0.6
2031	26	MLB MLE	CLE	56%	552	505	114	24	2	15	36	128	6	8	3	226	285	370	655	145	268	23	7	290	82	-12	+0	+0	+6	+12	0.7
2032	27	MLB MLE	CLE	55%	554	506	114	24	2	15	37	128	6	8	3	225	286	370	656	144	268	23	7	290	82	-12	+0	+0	+6	+12	0.7
2033	28	MLB MLE	CLE	55%	550	503	113	24	2	15	37	128	5	8	3	225	284	370	654	145	267	23	7	289	82	-12	+0	-1	+6	+12	0.6
2034	29	MLB MLE	CLE	53%	541	494	110	23	2	14	37	127	5	7	3	223	284	362	646	140	267	23	7	287	81	-12	+0	-1	+6	+12	0.4
2035	30	MLB MLE	CLE	53%	531	485	107	23	1	14	36	126	5	7	3	221	281	359	640	138	266	24	7	285	79	-13	+0	-2	+6	+12	0.2
2036	31	MLB MLE	CLE	56%	517	472	103	22	1	13	35	125	5	6	2	218	279	352	631	133	264	24	7	281	76	-15	+0	-3	+6	+11	-0.0
2027	22	MLB CTX	CLE	35%	147	137	28	6	0	3	8	36	1	1	1	204	253	314	567	109	262	24	5	263	69	-5	-0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	CLE	49%	234	216	48	10	1	6	14	55	2	3	1	222	276	361	637	139	265	24	6	272	75	-7	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	CLE	53%	275	253	56	12	1	7	17	64	3	3	1	221	278	360	638	138	267	23	6	278	79	-7	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2030	25	MLB CTX	CLE	55%	296	272	61	13	1	8	19	68	3	4	1	224	282	368	650	143	268	23	6	281	82	-7	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2031	26	MLB CTX	CLE	56%	307	281	63	13	1	8	20	71	3	4	2	224	283	363	646	139	268	23	7	282	82	-6	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.4
2032	27	MLB CTX	CLE	55%	305	279	62	13	1	8	20	71	3	4	2	222	281	362	643	140	268	23	7	282	82	-6	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.4
2033	28	MLB CTX	CLE	55%	301	275	62	13	1	8	20	70	3	4	2	225	285	367	653	142	267	23	7	281	82	-7	+0	-0	+3	+7	0.3
2034	29	MLB CTX	CLE	53%	289	264	59	12	1	8	20	68	3	4	1	223	286	367	653	144	267	24	7	280	81	-7	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.2
2035	30	MLB CTX	CLE	53%	279	255	56	12	1	7	19	66	3	4	1	220	282	357	638	137	266	24	7	277	79	-7	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.1
2036	31	MLB CTX	CLE	56%	292	267	58	12	1	7	20	70	3	4	1	217	279	348	628	131	264	24	7	273	76	-8	+0	-2	+3	+6	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2725	2499	553	116	9	70	177	639	27	35	13	221	280	359	639	138	268	23	6	278	75	-67	+2	-4	+29	+59	2.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	132	28	2	17	42	152	6	8	3	221	279	361	640	139	267	23	6	278	75	-16	+0	-1	+7	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	5995	5491	1198	255	23	143	383	1428	63	76	32	218	277	351	628	133	266	24	6	279	75	-131	+3	-7	+56	+113	3.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	595	130	28	2	16	42	155	7	8	3	218	278	353	631	134	266	24	6	279	75	-16	+0	-1	+7	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	4.1	2,726	71	35	222	278	362	+29	+15	4.0	3.7
/162	664	17	9	+7.1	+3.7	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jeffrey Mercedes (OGILVIE)	21	40	30	45	40	205/255/319	113	260	6	3	25%	5%	61	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Roger Tomas 2008 · A	22	42	40→30	50→45	43	206/254/297	91	260	7	5	24%	6%	55	-2.0	221/264/281	60	281	3	6	21%	5%	54	-2.0	231/268/265	34	289	1	6	20%	4%	51	-0.6
✕Chace Numata 2014 · A	21	45	39→40	48→40	46	215/267/294	79	253	6	6	18%	6%	59	-1.6	231/282/306	75	280	4	5	18%	6%	68	-1.0	248/299/321	72	292	3	2	15%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Wilfred Astudillo 2021 · A	21	45	38→30	49→45	47	216/277/299	84	266	5	8	20%	7%	64	-1.3	216/260/320	104	259	11	5	21%	5%	63	-1.4	207/247/302	95	239	12	3	19%	4%	52	-0.6
✕Jose Herrera 2018 · A	21	42	39→40	44→40	45	203/251/288	85	249	6	3	21%	6%	52	-2.2	203/268/290	87	267	6	4	25%	8%	59	-1.6	210/292/298	88	277	8	3	26%	10%	69	-0.5
✕Imeldo Diaz 2019 · A	21	44	41→40	46→45	41	216/264/307	91	269	9	5	23%	5%	61	-1.5	230/264/310	80	304	5	5	25%	4%	61	-1.5	237/260/299	62	315	3	2	25%	2%	54	-0.6
✕Walter Ibarra 2009 · AA	21	42→52	38→40	43→50	42	201/246/285	83	254	6	6	23%	5%	49	-2.4	238/272/313	75	298	4	13	21%	4%	65	-1.2	258/292/356	97	325	5	12	21%	3%	80	-0.1
✕Gustavo Omana 2007 · A	21	44	35→30	46→45	45	206/260/260	55	257	2	5	20%	6%	49	-2.4	229/278/299	70	274	4	4	17%	5%	64	-1.3	261/301/322	61	294	4	0	12%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Jeremy Arocho 2021 · A	22	48→45	36→30	48→60	47	224/285/296	72	288	3	10	22%	7%	66	-1.1	229/326/283	54	319	2	26	25%	12%	80	-0.2	223/334/268	45	305	1	34	23%	14%	77	-0.2
✕Blake Swihart 2013 · A	21	46→51	42→45	49→45	40	225/261/329	104	286	9	7	25%	5%	65	-1.2	241/280/351	110	306	8	8	23%	5%	77	-0.3	256/303/369	113	322	9	7	22%	6%	87	+0.2
✕Elvis Perez 2017 · A	21	47	36→30	46→45	45	220/278/291	71	289	2	7	24%	7%	62	-1.4	201/248/281	80	284	5	5	29%	6%	49	-2.4	178/210/273	95	240	9	2	30%	4%	30	-1.2
✕Andrick Nava 2023 · A	21	43	42→40	50→30	44	212/265/313	101	275	9	6	26%	7%	63	-1.4	204/271/290	86	268	7	4	25%	8%	60	-1.6	190/264/259	69	249	5	1	24%	9%	49	-0.8
✕Max Moroff 2014 · A	21	42→52	40→45	43→50	47	204/271/293	89	271	8	8	27%	8%	61	-1.5	218/282/307	89	311	5	12	29%	8%	68	-1.0	228/307/343	115	304	11	10	27%	10%	84	+0.1
✕David Martin 2023 · A	22	45	39→30	49→30	42	211/285/300	89	297	5	7	29%	6%	68	-1.0	221/302/288	67	277	4	4	20%	8%	72	-0.7	240/332/298	58	287	4	1	16%	10%	84	+0.1
✕Arquímedes Gamboa 2019 · A	21	41→45	37→40	48→50	44	198/260/271	72	274	5	7	28%	7%	51	-2.2	184/259/260	76	272	5	14	31%	9%	49	-2.4	199/285/288	89	292	7	15	31%	10%	63	-0.8
✕Deivi Estrada 2022 · A	21	45	36→30	46→50	45	208/280/278	70	304	4	8	30%	8%	61	-1.5	185/243/254	69	327	4	8	41%	7%	41	-3.0	144/186/202	58	310	3	4	52%	4%	5	-1.1
✕Jonathan Jaspe 2006 · A	21	46	40→45	49→40	42	223/264/317	94	284	7	4	24%	5%	63	-1.4	227/274/333	106	278	8	3	21%	6%	70	-0.8	236/286/336	100	280	10	1	19%	6%	74	-0.3
✕Luis De La Cruz 2010 · A	21	41	38→30	47→30	40	197/233/275	77	246	5	6	22%	4%	41	-3.0	220/253/311	91	276	5	6	21%	4%	57	-1.8	245/267/324	79	295	3	3	18%	3%	62	-0.4
✕Elio Sarmiento 2007 · A	21	46	41→45	46→45	41	222/283/317	95	285	8	5	24%	5%	72	-0.7	216/268/295	79	279	6	4	23%	5%	60	-1.6	234/284/335	102	298	6	5	22%	5%	71	-0.3
✕Abrahan Gutierrez 2021 · A	21	44→43	39→45	46→40	43	214/262/293	80	273	7	6	24%	6%	57	-1.8	225/298/328	103	300	8	4	26%	8%	80	-0.2	218/296/319	101	289	9	2	26%	8%	74	-0.3
✕Griff Erickson 2009 · A	21	42→50	38→45	42→40	44	202/268/282	80	277	6	4	28%	7%	57	-1.8	216/277/322	106	271	8	3	22%	8%	70	-0.9	215/291/341	126	265	13	2	23%	9%	78	-0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps