Jeffrey Mercedes

Jeffrey MercedesSS Lake County Captains

Age 21 S/R 5'8" / 185 lbs A+ K +5%HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 2.1 · 2032

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .283 / .333

PA320

HR6

SB5

K%25

BB%7

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

40→40

PWR

30→30

SPD

45→45

EYE

44↘40

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.1peak

2031

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+1.9	$17M	+$16M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+2.0	$19M	+$18M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.1	$20M	+$19M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+1.9	$19M	+$15M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$6M	+1.7	$17M	+$11M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+1.5	$16M	+$8M
Totals		$20M		$107M	+$87M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL CLE Blue	137	123	23	7	2	1	7	31	5	1	3	.187	.259	.301	.560	.114	.237	23	5	.251	50	-8	-1	+0	+1	+4	-0.3
2023	18	ROK	ACL Guardians	136	127	25	5	1	1	5	44	2	1	0	.197	.239	.276	.514	.079	.286	32	4	.225	30	-11	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.5
2024	19	ROK	ACL Guardians	143	130	28	5	1	2	10	34	1	1	2	.215	.277	.315	.592	.100	.271	24	7	.253	52	-8	-1	+0	+2	+4	-0.3
2025	20	A	2 teams	356	324	59	12	2	4	22	93	4	7	2	.182	.243	.269	.511	.086	.236	26	6	.227	32	-27	+1	+0	+4	+10	-1.3
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	21	A+	Lake County Captains	28	28	1	0	0	0	0	20	0	0	0	.036	.036	.036	.071	.000	.125	71	0	.017	-129	-7	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.6
ROS	21	MLB	CLE	292	266	59	12	2	5	21	73	3	5	1	.222	.286	.338	.625	.117	.281	25	7	.279	72	-9	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.3
TOT	21	MLB	CLE	320	294	60	12	2	5	21	93	3	5	1	.204	.264	.310	.574	.105	.279	29	7	.256	54	-16	+1	+0	+3	+9	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	22	MLB 11%	CLE	405	367	84	17	2	9	31	97	4	7	2	.229	.296	.360	.656	.131	.283	24	8	.292	82	-8	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.8
2028	23	MLB 28%	CLE	470	424	98	19	3	11	38	110	5	8	2	.231	.302	.368	.670	.137	.284	23	8	.300	88	-6	+1	+0	+5	+13	1.3
2029	24	MLB 45%	CLE	512	459	108	21	3	13	43	118	5	9	2	.235	.308	.379	.687	.144	.285	23	8	.306	92	-5	+1	+0	+5	+15	1.7
2030	25	MLB 60%	CLE	536	479	113	22	3	14	46	122	6	9	2	.236	.311	.382	.693	.146	.286	23	9	.309	95	-3	+1	+0	+6	+15	1.9
2031	26	MLB 78%	CLE	548	489	116	23	3	14	48	125	6	9	2	.237	.313	.382	.695	.145	.286	23	9	.311	96	-2	+1	+0	+6	+16	2.0
2032	27	MLB 92%	CLE	551	491	117	23	3	15	49	126	6	9	2	.238	.315	.389	.704	.151	.286	23	9	.311	96	-2	+1	+0	+6	+16	2.1
2033	28	MLB	CLE	549	489	114	22	3	14	49	127	6	8	1	.233	.311	.376	.687	.143	.286	23	9	.310	95	-3	+1	-1	+6	+16	1.9
2034	29	MLB	CLE	540	480	113	22	3	14	49	126	6	8	1	.235	.314	.381	.695	.146	.285	23	9	.308	94	-4	+1	-1	+6	+15	1.7
2035	30	MLB	CLE	530	472	109	21	3	13	48	126	5	7	1	.231	.309	.371	.679	.140	.283	24	9	.305	91	-5	+1	-2	+6	+15	1.5
2036	31	MLB	CLE	517	460	105	20	2	13	47	125	5	6	0	.228	.307	.365	.672	.137	.282	24	9	.301	89	-7	+1	-3	+6	+15	1.2
2037	32	MLB	CLE	498	445	99	19	2	12	45	123	5	5	0	.222	.301	.355	.656	.133	.280	25	9	.296	85	-8	+1	-4	+5	+14	0.9
2038	33	MLB	CLE	469	419	92	18	2	10	42	119	5	4	0	.220	.298	.344	.642	.124	.279	25	9	.291	81	-10	+1	-4	+5	+13	0.5
2039	34	MLB	CLE	422	377	81	15	2	9	38	111	4	4	0	.215	.294	.337	.630	.122	.277	26	9	.284	76	-12	+1	-5	+5	+12	0.1
2040	35	MLB	CLE	369	330	69	13	2	7	33	100	3	4	0	.209	.287	.324	.611	.115	.275	27	9	.277	70	-13	+1	-6	+4	+10	-0.3
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7980	7151	1612	316	44	181	671	1930	86	112	23	.225	.300	.358	.657	.132	.281	24	8	.294	83	-151	+13	-25	+86	+226	15.2
/ 162G	—			650	582	132	26	4	15	55	157	7	9	2	.227	.301	.363	.664	.136	.283	24	8	.294	83	-12	+1	-2	+7	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL CLE Blue	137	119	30	9	3	2	11	20	5	1	3	.252	.341	.429	.769	.176	.283	15	8	.339	117	+3	-1	—	—	+4	0.6
2023	18	ROK	ACL Guardians	136	124	37	7	1	3	8	31	2	1	0	.298	.351	.444	.794	.145	.370	23	6	.349	125	+4	+0	—	—	+4	0.8
2024	19	ROK	ACL Guardians	143	124	35	8	1	2	16	23	1	1	2	.282	.369	.411	.780	.129	.327	16	11	.347	124	+4	-1	—	—	+4	0.7
2025	20	A+	Lake County Captains	47	44	8	0	1	2	3	6	0	0	0	.182	.234	.364	.598	.182	.167	13	6	.264	60	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	20	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	309	268	64	14	2	3	30	60	4	7	2	.239	.323	.340	.663	.101	.289	19	10	.298	86	-5	+1	—	—	+9	0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jeffrey Mercedes (OGILVIE)	21	40	30	45	40	.219/.283/.333	.114	.281	6	5	25%	7%	72	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Lobatón 2006 · A	21	45	39→45	50→30	46	.215/.277/.302	.088	.284	6	8	25%	8%	60	-1.0	.215/.286/.335	.120	.300	12	3	30%	9%	73	-0.1	.241/.325/.370	.129	.305	12	0	23%	11%	94	+0.6
✕Shawn Zarraga 2010 · A	21	45	36→40	48→45	47	.210/.288/.277	.068	.290	4	5	27%	8%	59	-1.1	.233/.300/.320	.087	.305	6	8	24%	7%	76	+0.0	.272/.340/.355	.083	.316	4	2	14%	7%	101	+0.6
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	42→40	46→45	48	.209/.289/.317	.108	.281	9	6	28%	9%	70	-0.3	.221/.304/.311	.090	.312	8	6	29%	9%	75	-0.0	.236/.329/.308	.072	.330	7	6	28%	11%	83	+0.2
✕David Martin 2023 · A	22	45	39→30	49→30	42	.213/.285/.304	.091	.300	6	7	29%	6%	66	-0.6	.223/.305/.293	.070	.278	5	4	20%	9%	71	-0.3	.243/.334/.302	.059	.291	5	1	16%	10%	83	+0.3
✕Noe Becerra 2008 · AAA	21	47	41→30	46→40	48	.228/.290/.329	.101	.275	8	9	20%	7%	73	-0.1	.209/.269/.288	.079	.267	7	8	23%	7%	53	-1.5	.224/.278/.263	.039	.276	2	1	18%	6%	48	-0.5
✕Ramon Soto 2009 · AAA	21	44	42→30	51→45	44	.220/.275/.323	.103	.279	11	12	25%	6%	66	-0.6	.233/.277/.301	.068	.286	5	8	19%	5%	59	-1.1	.272/.316/.326	.054	.333	2	7	18%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Sherman Lacrus 2016 · A	22	47	40→30	45→50	49	.225/.297/.314	.089	.263	7	7	17%	7%	73	-0.1	.204/.258/.288	.084	.268	6	8	25%	6%	49	-1.8	.183/.231/.254	.071	.236	5	9	24%	4%	26	-1.1
✕Blake Ochoa 2007 · A	21	45	40→45	46→40	44	.215/.280/.308	.092	.280	6	5	24%	6%	64	-0.8	.217/.270/.311	.094	.277	7	4	23%	6%	60	-1.0	.236/.301/.377	.140	.278	16	2	21%	7%	89	+0.3
✕Greg Garcia 2011 · A	21	46→53	40	45→50	43	.222/.277/.317	.095	.275	7	8	22%	5%	65	-0.7	.237/.310/.330	.093	.300	5	9	21%	8%	82	+0.5	.241/.350/.334	.093	.308	6	3	21%	13%	99	+0.8
✕Juan Brito 2022 · A	20	45→48	42→50	49→45	46	.222/.285/.324	.103	.281	10	12	24%	7%	70	-0.3	.230/.313/.368	.138	.279	13	9	21%	10%	94	+1.3	.226/.311/.371	.145	.266	15	9	20%	10%	91	+1.0
✕Charlie Valerio 2013 · A	22	43	41→40	46→45	47	.212/.278/.307	.095	.264	9	8	23%	8%	63	-0.9	.210/.265/.293	.083	.306	5	5	31%	7%	53	-1.5	.200/.247/.282	.082	.297	5	0	33%	6%	42	-0.8
✕Roger Tomas 2008 · A	22	43	40→30	50→45	43	.207/.256/.299	.091	.264	7	6	24%	6%	50	-1.7	.225/.268/.285	.060	.282	3	6	20%	5%	51	-1.7	.234/.271/.267	.033	.288	1	6	19%	4%	46	-0.6
✕John Aiello 2019 · A	22	47	40→45	47→45	44	.219/.299/.315	.095	.320	7	7	31%	8%	74	-0.1	.205/.278/.311	.106	.340	9	6	40%	6%	65	-0.7	.226/.306/.342	.115	.345	12	3	34%	7%	80	+0.2
✕Angel Martínez 2023 · AA	21	44→48	45→50	48→50	46	.219/.283/.344	.126	.277	12	11	25%	8%	75	-0.0	.225/.282/.353	.128	.282	13	10	24%	6%	76	+0.1	.224/.278/.351	.127	.277	13	10	23%	6%	72	-0.2
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	45	38→30	48→60	46	.214/.278/.298	.084	.285	5	12	26%	8%	60	-1.0	.216/.302/.277	.061	.288	3	24	23%	10%	66	-0.6	.216/.317/.260	.044	.285	1	34	22%	12%	65	-0.3
✕Maick Collado 2023 · A	20	44	39→30	46→45	51	.211/.292/.295	.085	.267	6	5	22%	9%	66	-0.6	.217/.288/.288	.071	.274	5	7	21%	9%	62	-0.9	.209/.279/.272	.063	.258	5	5	20%	8%	54	-0.8
✕Andy Paz 2014 · A	21	46	37→40	42→45	48	.215/.279/.290	.075	.276	4	5	23%	8%	58	-1.2	.200/.260/.272	.072	.277	5	5	27%	7%	45	-2.1	.210/.261/.258	.048	.277	3	6	24%	6%	38	-0.7
✕Blake Swihart 2013 · A	21	44→52	42→45	49→45	40	.219/.253/.322	.103	.274	10	7	24%	4%	55	-1.4	.239/.278/.349	.110	.303	9	7	23%	5%	72	-0.2	.255/.302/.370	.115	.320	10	7	23%	6%	85	+0.4
✕Elio Sarmiento 2007 · A	21	46	40→45	46→45	41	.222/.283/.316	.095	.287	8	5	25%	5%	67	-0.5	.214/.266/.294	.080	.275	6	4	23%	5%	53	-1.5	.229/.279/.332	.103	.295	6	5	23%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Jon Del Campo 2009 · A	21	45	38→45	48→55	42	.211/.269/.296	.085	.311	5	6	32%	7%	56	-1.3	.203/.238/.284	.081	.270	4	7	25%	4%	38	-2.6	.267/.300/.379	.112	.337	12	18	24%	3%	90	+0.6

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)