Andrick NavaC Wisconsin Timber Rattlers
Age 24 S/R 5'10" / 225 lbs A+ HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
2026 ROS PROJECTION67 act + 105 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†72
AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .288 / .287
PA105
HR1
K%23
BB%9
BABIP271
ISO74
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -2.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: -1.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +3.1 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +4.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.50+0.5WAR
0.00.51.00.00.60.91.01.00.80.60.40.10.0+$34M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 46 / POW 33
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT46
scouting grade only
POWER33
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED44
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.0$6M+$5M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.8$2M+$2M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.6$2M+$1M
2033Arb-1$0.6M+0.4$0.9M+$0.7M
2034Arb-2$5M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2035Arb-3$0.6M
Totals $3M $10M +$9M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201917 ROKGCL Phillies West 166159 37401 5291 11 233261277537 44277 173 232 36
201917 ROKGCL Phillies West 166156 49601 8201 11 314352372723 58353 125 326 108
202220 A2 teams 206191 38613 13520 10 199250288538 89254 256 242 43
202220 A2 teams 206184 44714 20380 10 239314353667 114278 1810 300 88
202321 A+2 teams 364325 591105 35902 02 182265262527 80233 2510 244 45
202321 A+2 teams 364318 781508 42672 02 245337368705 123286 1812 320 103
202422 A+2 teams 230205 44813 19522 01 215288307595 93266 238 265 61
202422 A+2 teams 230197 511013 27402 01 259354365719 107304 1712 324 106
202523 AA2 teams 150136 23500 13400 20 169242206447 37237 279 205 15
202523 AA2 teams 150132 26600 17290 20 197289242531 45250 1911 251 50
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD24 A+MIL 6760 17303 5171 02 283348483832 200341 257 340 118 +1 -1 +0 +1 +2 0.4
YTD24 A+MIL 6758 19403 7131 02 328409552961 224372 1910 416 176 +6 -1 +0 +1 +2 0.8
ROS24 A+MIL 0% 10594 20401 9241 11 213288287576 74281 239 279 72 -3 -0 +0 +2 +3 0.1
ROS24 MLBMIL 0% 11 0000 000 00 279 00 271 65 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 0.0
FULL24 A+MIL 6861 17303 5171 02 279343475819 197333 257 339 117 +1 -1 +0 +1 +2 0.4
TOT24 A+MIL 172154 37704 14412 13 240312364675 123297 248 303 90 -2 -1 +0 +3 +5 0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725 MLBMIL 30% 296267 601215 25672 32 225296333629 109282 238 286 77 -8 -0 +0 +5 +8 0.6
202826 MLBMIL 44% 358322 741517 30823 42 230301348649 118283 238 291 81 -8 +0 +0 +6 +10 0.9
202927 MLBMIL 49% 381342 781617 33873 43 228302342644 114283 239 292 82 -8 -0 +0 +7 +11 1.0
203028 MLBMIL 52% 394354 801617 34903 42 226299336635 110283 239 292 82 -8 +0 -1 +7 +11 1.0
203129 MLBMIL 51% 394353 791617 35913 42 224299334634 110282 239 290 80 -9 +0 -1 +7 +11 0.8
203230 MLBMIL 51% 393352 791617 35923 32 224300335635 111281 239 288 78 -10 -0 -2 +7 +11 0.6
203331 MLBMIL 51% 369331 721416 32883 32 218292320613 103278 249 283 75 -10 -0 -3 +7 +10 0.4
203432 MLBMIL 51% 340304 661315 30823 21 217294316610 99275 249 278 71 -11 +0 -4 +6 +10 0.1
203533 MLBMIL 51% 304273 581115 26752 11 212286315601 103271 259 271 66 -12 -0 -4 +5 +9 -0.2
202725 MLBMIL 30% 9081 18401 8211 11 222300309609 86279 239 278 71 -3 -0 +0 +2 +3 0.1
202826 MLBMIL 44% 158143 32613 13361 21 224293343636 119280 238 282 74 -5 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.3
202927 MLBMIL 49% 187167 38813 16432 21 228303341644 114281 239 284 75 -5 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.3
203028 MLBMIL 52% 203181 42814 18472 21 232308354662 122280 239 284 75 -6 +0 -0 +4 +6 0.3
203129 MLBMIL 51% 203181 41814 18472 21 227303348652 122280 239 282 74 -6 +0 -1 +4 +6 0.3
203230 MLBMIL 51% 202180 41814 18472 21 228305350655 122278 239 279 72 -6 +0 -1 +4 +6 0.2
203331 MLBMIL 51% 190169 37713 17452 11 219298325623 107276 249 275 69 -7 -0 -1 +3 +5 0.0
203432 MLBMIL 51% 175157 34703 15421 11 217289318607 102273 249 270 65 -7 -0 -2 +3 +5 -0.1
203533 MLBMIL 51% 156140 29602 14381 10 207284293577 86269 249 263 60 -7 +0 -2 +3 +4 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career 15651400 31262627 13736614 148 223299334632 111281 239 278 71 -52 -0 -8 +28 +44 1.3
/ 162G 650581 12926211 571526 63 222298330628 108280 239 278 71 -22 +0 -3 +12 +18 0.5
Career 44504008 8671671169 374104131 3322 216288315603 99273 238 275 68 -159 -2 -15 +79 +126 3.0
/ 162G 650585 12724210 551525 53 217290316606 99274 238 275 68 -23 -0 -2 +12 +18 0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201917 ROKGCL Phillies West 166156 49601 8201 11 314352372723 58353 125 326 108 +1 -0 +5 0.6
202220 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws 8270 17410 10130 10 243338329666 86288 1612 300 88 -1 +0 +2 0.1
202220 AClearwater Threshers 124114 27304 10250 00 237298368667 132271 208 300 88 -2 +0 +4 0.2
202321 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws 246208 461003 34452 01 221336312649 91265 1814 301 89 -3 -0 +7 0.4
202321 INTLAdelaide Giants 118110 32505 8220 01 291339473812 182325 197 359 133 +4 -0 +3 0.7
202422 AAReading Fightin Phils 7462 13100 1191 01 210338226564 16245 1215 278 71 -2 -0 +2 -0.1
202422 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws 156135 38913 16311 00 281362430791 148333 2010 346 123 +4 +0 +4 0.9
202523 AAReading Fightin Phils 7968 12300 10160 00 176282221503 44226 2013 240 42 -5 +0 +2 -0.3
202523 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers 7164 14300 7130 20 219296266561 47275 1810 263 60 -3 +0 +2 -0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24
career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA
113,088538241318351+55+5716.616.1
/162664112+11.9+12.33.6pk7: 16
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#3Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20
career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA
93,2883735253291351+32+468.68.9
/16266477+6.5+9.31.7pk7: 9
#4Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA
62,4383130244299357+9+265.45.4
/16266488+2.4+7.21.5pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons
41,5652714224296335+28+162.82.7
/162664126+11.9+6.81.2pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Andrick Nava (OGILVIE) 24 46 33 44 50 240/312/364 123297 41 24% 8% 90 +0.5
Louis Ott
2009 · AA
24 48 37→30 42→45 47 224/293/292 68313 46 28% 8% 65 -0.7 230/305/304 74330 58 29% 9% 73 -0.1 242/329/293513504728%11%77+0.1
Casey Turgeon
2017 · AA
24 44 39→40 47→45 55 210/302/302 93263 57 21% 10% 72 -0.2 212/292/317 105275 108 25% 9% 72 -0.2 195/281/2919624712625%9%59-0.6
Raywilly Gomez
2014 · AA
24 51 36→30 45→40 53 236/297/304 68271 33 14% 8% 69 -0.4 240/299/306 66277 44 14% 8% 70 -0.3 253/310/302492874212%7%71-0.1
Josh Johnson
2010 · AA
24 47→49 36→45 44→50 54 219/302/283 65284 310 22% 10% 66 -0.6 240/308/344 104297 813 20% 9% 85 +0.7 249/317/35911029691618%9%89+0.6
Carlos Alvarez
2010 · A
24 47 39→40 48→45 54 222/303/314 92259 57 16% 9% 76 +0.0 225/314/311 86276 49 18% 10% 79 +0.3 234/338/3228828041216%11%94+0.5
Elih Marrero
2021 · A
24 43 39→40 49→55 44 209/265/293 84274 67 25% 7% 53 -1.5 210/281/284 74303 421 29% 8% 58 -1.2 201/279/2636229632730%9%50-0.6
Tyler Heineman
2015 · AA
24 46→43 41→45 43→50 46 219/283/327 108254 85 17% 6% 70 -0.3 225/279/309 84265 55 17% 6% 63 -0.8 243/304/35110829210519%7%83+0.2
Luke Carlin
2006 · AA
25 49 39→45 44→45 48 231/293/312 81294 68 23% 8% 69 -0.4 211/291/296 85288 63 26% 10% 66 -0.6 218/303/32210429111627%10%75-0.0
Jose R. Flores
2012 · AA
24 47→51 39→40 48→45 46 228/279/313 85275 78 20% 6% 64 -0.8 227/277/309 82278 57 19% 6% 62 -0.9 239/285/312742872517%6%64-0.5
Kawika Emsley-Pai
2013 · A
24 43 36→30 46→40 53 198/292/268 70276 37 27% 11% 59 -1.1 195/288/272 77280 67 29% 11% 59 -1.1 161/272/222602346430%12%39-0.7
Christian Lopes
2017 · AA
24 47→50 38→45 46→50 45 222/278/303 81284 57 23% 6% 61 -1.0 226/293/339 113275 915 20% 8% 77 +0.1 218/301/343126271131323%9%80+0.2
Drew Millas
2023 · AA
25 44 40→45 49→50 50 211/291/304 94290 711 28% 10% 67 -0.5 238/301/356 118292 1114 21% 8% 85 +0.7 249/306/373124288121718%7%88+0.5
Elio Sarmiento
2010 · AA
24 49 39→45 46→45 44 234/289/321 87300 56 23% 6% 70 -0.3 221/269/322 101289 76 25% 5% 62 -0.9 213/256/3211082787425%4%53-0.5
Jose Herrera
2021 · A
24 43 41→40 47→40 50 209/287/310 100280 85 27% 10% 68 -0.5 214/287/309 95287 95 27% 9% 66 -0.6 207/283/288812738326%9%57-0.6
Andy Paz
2017 · AA
24 49 38→40 51→45 45 233/286/312 80303 67 24% 7% 66 -0.6 214/262/283 69291 59 26% 6% 48 -1.9 174/216/193192460728%5%3-1.6
Juan Gutierrez
2006 · A
24 48 41→40 47→30 50 230/296/329 99290 84 22% 8% 76 +0.0 208/262/309 101260 105 23% 7% 56 -1.3 168/215/2568819810022%5%20-1.5
Yonathan Mendoza
2018 · AA
24 53 36→30 48→45 47 251/298/314 63297 57 17% 6% 71 -0.3 228/278/282 54285 36 20% 7% 55 -1.4 220/272/256362772420%7%43-1.3
Chace Numata
2018 · AA
25 51 38→40 46→40 48 242/291/324 82282 43 16% 6% 71 -0.3 210/254/293 83260 54 20% 5% 47 -1.9 189/229/263742384122%4%28-1.3
Jhon Nuñez
2019 · AA
24 46 38→40 46→50 40 219/267/296 76289 510 25% 5% 54 -1.4 221/272/324 103281 1010 24% 5% 65 -0.7 225/267/331106272131022%4%59-0.4
Brandon Trinkwon
2016 · AA
24 48→50 40 47→50 53 230/298/316 86272 810 18% 9% 73 -0.1 225/289/308 83274 78 19% 8% 67 -0.5 217/281/287712605518%8%55-1.0