Milkar Perez
3B Everett AquaSox| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | AModesto Nuts | 382 | .273/.385/.370 | 1 | 2 | 76 | — | .235/.318/.312 |
| 2024 | 22 | AModesto Nuts | 399 | .281/.388/.417 | 6 | 2 | 78 | — | .230/.307/.333 |
| 2025 | 23 | A+SEA | 299 | .215/.323/.301 | 2 | 1 | 37 | — | .169/.253/.228 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 25 | MLBSEA | 349 | .202/.282/.286 | 3 | 5 | 63 | -0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 26 | MLBSEA | 28 | .204/.284/.296 | 0 | 0 | 68 | -0.0 |
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 30
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL Mariners | — | 281 | 237 | 65 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 37 | 55 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 274 | 384 | 388 | 772 | 114 | 339 | 20 | 13 | 351 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A | Modesto Nuts | — | 32 | 27 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 296 | 406 | 370 | 777 | 74 | 348 | 12 | 12 | 360 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | ACL Mariners | — | 188 | 145 | 45 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 38 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 310 | 465 | 379 | 845 | 69 | 417 | 20 | 21 | 393 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A | Modesto Nuts | — | 228 | 179 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 47 | 59 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 145 | 326 | 168 | 494 | 22 | 215 | 26 | 21 | 257 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Modesto Nuts | — | 382 | 319 | 87 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 50 | 93 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 273 | 385 | 370 | 755 | 97 | 374 | 24 | 13 | 344 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Modesto Nuts | — | 399 | 338 | 95 | 24 | 2 | 6 | 56 | 84 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 281 | 388 | 417 | 805 | 136 | 356 | 21 | 14 | 363 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | — | 299 | 256 | 55 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 38 | 64 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 215 | 323 | 301 | 624 | 86 | 276 | 21 | 13 | 290 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 281 | 249 | 41 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 67 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 165 | 254 | 221 | 475 | 56 | 213 | 24 | 9 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 32 | 28 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 286 | 375 | 357 | 732 | 71 | 316 | 16 | 9 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Mariners | — | 188 | 160 | 37 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 55 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 231 | 342 | 275 | 617 | 44 | 344 | 29 | 13 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 228 | 194 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 83 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 113 | 242 | 129 | 371 | 15 | 196 | 36 | 14 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 382 | 336 | 79 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 33 | 123 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 235 | 318 | 312 | 631 | 77 | 346 | 32 | 9 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 399 | 357 | 82 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 37 | 115 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 230 | 307 | 333 | 641 | 104 | 316 | 29 | 9 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | Everett AquaSox | — | 299 | 267 | 45 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 90 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 169 | 253 | 228 | 481 | 60 | 243 | 30 | 9 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 281 | 249 | 41 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 67 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 165 | 254 | 221 | 475 | 56 | 214 | 24 | 9 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Mariners | — | 281 | 237 | 65 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 37 | 55 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 274 | 384 | 388 | 772 | 114 | 339 | 20 | 13 | 351 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 220 | 189 | 45 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 60 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 238 | 342 | 286 | 628 | 48 | 346 | 27 | 12 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 220 | 172 | 53 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 43 | 42 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 308 | 457 | 378 | 835 | 70 | 405 | 19 | 20 | 388 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 228 | 194 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 83 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 113 | 242 | 129 | 371 | 15 | 196 | 36 | 14 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A RAW | Modesto Nuts | — | 228 | 179 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 47 | 59 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 145 | 326 | 168 | 494 | 22 | 215 | 26 | 21 | 257 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 382 | 336 | 79 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 33 | 123 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 235 | 318 | 312 | 631 | 77 | 359 | 32 | 9 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A RAW | Modesto Nuts | — | 382 | 319 | 87 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 50 | 93 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 273 | 385 | 370 | 755 | 97 | 374 | 24 | 13 | 344 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 399 | 357 | 82 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 37 | 115 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 230 | 307 | 333 | 641 | 104 | 322 | 29 | 9 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A RAW | Modesto Nuts | — | 399 | 338 | 95 | 24 | 2 | 6 | 56 | 84 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 281 | 388 | 417 | 805 | 136 | 356 | 21 | 14 | 363 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | Everett AquaSox | — | 299 | 267 | 45 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 90 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 169 | 253 | 228 | 481 | 60 | 247 | 30 | 9 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ RAW | Everett AquaSox | — | 299 | 256 | 55 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 38 | 64 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 215 | 323 | 301 | 624 | 86 | 276 | 21 | 13 | 290 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 281 | 249 | 41 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 67 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 165 | 254 | 221 | 475 | 56 | 213 | 24 | 9 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 220 | 188 | 45 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 60 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 239 | 342 | 287 | 630 | 48 | 340 | 27 | 12 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 228 | 193 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 83 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 114 | 242 | 130 | 372 | 16 | 196 | 36 | 14 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 382 | 338 | 79 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 33 | 123 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 234 | 318 | 311 | 629 | 77 | 346 | 32 | 9 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 399 | 356 | 82 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 37 | 115 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 230 | 307 | 334 | 642 | 104 | 316 | 29 | 9 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | Everett AquaSox | — | 299 | 267 | 45 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 90 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 169 | 253 | 228 | 481 | 60 | 243 | 30 | 9 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | A MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 399 | 356 | 82 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 37 | 115 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 230 | 307 | 334 | 642 | 104 | 316 | 29 | 9 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | Everett AquaSox | — | 299 | 267 | 45 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 90 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 169 | 253 | 228 | 481 | 60 | 243 | 30 | 9 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | SEA | 0% | 349 | 311 | 63 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 87 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 202 | 282 | 286 | 569 | 84 | 267 | 25 | 9 | 262 | 63 | -15 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +8 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | SEA | 30% | 94 | 84 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 206 | 286 | 300 | 586 | 94 | 269 | 24 | 10 | 268 | 68 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | SEA | 30% | 28 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 204 | 284 | 296 | 580 | 92 | 266 | 25 | 11 | 266 | 68 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 28 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 286 | 240 | 526 | 40 | 278 | 25 | 11 | 266 | 57 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 580 | 116 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 70 | 162 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 286 | 240 | 526 | 40 | 278 | 25 | 11 | 266 | 57 | -25 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -0.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1985 | 1750 | 345 | 75 | 5 | 11 | 196 | 581 | 26 | 17 | 8 | 197 | 288 | 265 | 552 | 67 | 285 | 29 | 10 | 253 | 57 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +4 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 573 | 114 | 25 | 2 | 4 | 64 | 190 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 199 | 289 | 271 | 560 | 72 | 287 | 29 | 10 | 253 | 57 | -27 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -0.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 A+Everett AquaSox · 299 PAwOBA .286 → .223 (−63)K% 21.4% → 30.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.40% | ÷0.957 | ×1.350 | — | — | 30.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.71% | ÷0.999 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 8.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.00% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 0.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.79% | ÷1.001 | ×0.910 | ×1.000 | ×0.988 | 17.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.29% | ÷0.955 | ×0.830 | ×1.000 | ×0.988 | 6.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.52% | ÷1.150 | ×0.820 | ×1.000 | ×0.988 | 0.37% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.04% | ÷1.036 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 0.82% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 100, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 91, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.
Result: wOBA .286 → .223; ISO .086 → .066; BABIP .276 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AModesto Nuts · 399 PAwOBA .355 → .283 (−72)K% 21.1% → 28.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.05% | ÷0.993 | ×1.360 | — | — | 28.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.78% | ÷1.010 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 9.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.75% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.80% | ÷0.970 | ×0.920 | ×1.002 | ×0.990 | 23.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.45% | ÷1.076 | ×0.830 | ×1.002 | ×0.990 | 7.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.79% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.002 | ×0.990 | 0.62% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.36% | ÷0.897 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 2.09% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 94, 2B 115, 3B 130, K 99, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .355 → .283; ISO .136 → .107; BABIP .356 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AModesto Nuts · 382 PAwOBA .339 → .280 (−59)K% 24.3% → 32.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.35% | ÷1.026 | ×1.360 | — | — | 32.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.83% | ÷1.013 | ×0.690 | — | — | 8.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.09% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 1.63% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.11% | ÷0.974 | ×0.920 | ×1.032 | — | 25.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.50% | ÷1.050 | ×0.830 | ×1.032 | — | 9.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.44% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.032 | — | 0.36% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.44% | ÷0.883 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.40% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 95, 2B 110, 3B 130, K 105, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.
Result: wOBA .339 → .280; ISO .097 → .078; BABIP .374 → .346. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AModesto Nuts · 228 PAwOBA .253 → .191 (−62)K% 25.9% → 36.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.88% | ÷0.971 | ×1.360 | — | — | 36.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.61% | ÷1.024 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 14.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.44% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.33% | ÷1.047 | ×0.920 | ×1.041 | ×1.015 | 17.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.33% | ÷1.060 | ×0.830 | ×1.041 | ×1.015 | 2.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.060 | ×0.910 | ×1.041 | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.855 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 109, 2B 112, 3B 112, K 94, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.041.
Result: wOBA .253 → .191; ISO .022 → .017; BABIP .215 → .196. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKACL Mariners · 188 PAwOBA .387 → .285 (−102)K% 20.2% → 29.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.21% | ÷0.996 | ×1.440 | — | — | 29.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.74% | ÷1.024 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 12.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.60% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 1.14% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.71% | ÷0.992 | ×0.820 | ×1.040 | ×0.995 | 27.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.35% | ÷1.030 | ×0.720 | ×1.040 | ×0.995 | 6.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.904 | ×0.720 | ×1.040 | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.904 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 98, 2B 106, 3B 81, K 99, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.
Result: wOBA .387 → .285; ISO .069 → .050; BABIP .417 → .344. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AModesto Nuts · 32 PAwOBA .352 → .298 (−54)K% 12.5% → 16.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.019 | ×1.360 | — | — | 16.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.010 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 8.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.12% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 2.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.09% | ÷1.020 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.030 | 24.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.70% | ÷1.014 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.030 | 7.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.903 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.861 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 104, 2B 103, 3B 81, K 104, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .352 → .298; ISO .074 → .063; BABIP .348 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 DSLDSL Mariners · 281 PAwOBA .344 → .222 (−122)K% 19.6% → 23.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.57% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 9.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.78% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 1.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.37% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 17.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.04% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 3.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.10% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 0.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.20% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 1.04% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .344 → .222; ISO .114 → .061; BABIP .339 → .213. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).