Cristian Santana
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 24 | AAAOklahoma City… | 347 | .311/.335/.444 | 8 | 0 | 97 | — | .299/.318/.407 |
| 2022 | 25 | AAACIN | 504 | .271/.330/.392 | 11 | 1 | 65 | — | .237/.282/.316 |
| 2024 | 27 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 329 | .271/.340/.407 | 9 | 1 | 102 | — | .180/.219/.279 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 17 | ROK | DSL Dodgers | — | 126 | 118 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 203 | 242 | 280 | 522 | 76 | 267 | 23 | 5 | 232 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 18 | ROK | DSL Dodgers | — | 235 | 217 | 60 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 35 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 276 | 329 | 378 | 707 | 101 | 318 | 15 | 7 | 318 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK | AZL Dodgers | — | 180 | 172 | 44 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 46 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 256 | 281 | 453 | 734 | 198 | 300 | 26 | 3 | 317 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | A | Great Lakes Loons | — | 180 | 174 | 56 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 322 | 341 | 460 | 801 | 138 | 398 | 23 | 3 | 353 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | ROK | Ogden Raptors | — | 48 | 41 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 537 | 596 | 1.000 | 1.596 | 463 | 548 | 12 | 12 | 655 | 229 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A+ | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 580 | 548 | 150 | 23 | 0 | 24 | 20 | 143 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 274 | 305 | 447 | 752 | 173 | 325 | 25 | 3 | 328 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | INTL | Estrellas Orientales | — | 70 | 66 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 288 | 329 | 394 | 723 | 106 | 396 | 26 | 6 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 413 | 399 | 120 | 22 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 88 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 301 | 321 | 436 | 757 | 135 | 363 | 21 | 2 | 334 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | INTL | Estrellas Orientales | — | 43 | 42 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 119 | 140 | 119 | 259 | 143 | 16 | 2 | 121 | -32 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2020 | 23 | INTL | Estrellas Orientales | — | 18 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 333 | 200 | 533 | 333 | 33 | 17 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 347 | 331 | 103 | 20 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 68 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 311 | 335 | 444 | 779 | 133 | 367 | 20 | 3 | 342 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | Louisville Bats | — | 504 | 457 | 124 | 22 | 0 | 11 | 35 | 112 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 271 | 330 | 392 | 722 | 120 | 331 | 22 | 7 | 321 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 64 | 59 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 220 | 281 | 322 | 603 | 102 | 300 | 28 | 8 | 274 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | INTL | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 265 | 236 | 67 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 24 | 51 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 284 | 355 | 428 | 783 | 144 | 328 | 19 | 9 | 347 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Dodgers | — | 126 | 120 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 35 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 133 | 161 | 183 | 345 | 50 | 184 | 28 | 3 | 153 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Dodgers | — | 235 | 222 | 40 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 43 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 180 | 222 | 230 | 452 | 50 | 216 | 18 | 5 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Dodgers | — | 180 | 174 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 66 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 178 | 197 | 299 | 495 | 121 | 244 | 37 | 2 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | A MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 180 | 176 | 49 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 58 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 278 | 291 | 386 | 677 | 108 | 386 | 32 | 2 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | ROK MLE | Ogden Raptors | — | 48 | 44 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 409 | 447 | 750 | 1.197 | 341 | 421 | 19 | 6 | 507 | 229 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 580 | 554 | 119 | 16 | 0 | 19 | 14 | 200 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 215 | 241 | 347 | 587 | 132 | 286 | 34 | 2 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 413 | 402 | 101 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 113 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 251 | 268 | 363 | 631 | 112 | 322 | 27 | 2 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 347 | 334 | 100 | 18 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 82 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 299 | 318 | 407 | 725 | 108 | 370 | 24 | 2 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 504 | 468 | 111 | 19 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 141 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 237 | 282 | 316 | 598 | 79 | 313 | 28 | 5 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 64 | 61 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 180 | 219 | 279 | 497 | 98 | 255 | 36 | 5 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Dodgers | — | 126 | 120 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 35 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 133 | 161 | 183 | 345 | 50 | 186 | 28 | 3 | 153 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Dodgers | — | 126 | 118 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 203 | 242 | 280 | 522 | 76 | 267 | 23 | 5 | 232 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Dodgers | — | 235 | 222 | 40 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 43 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 180 | 222 | 230 | 452 | 50 | 219 | 18 | 5 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Dodgers | — | 235 | 217 | 60 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 35 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 276 | 329 | 378 | 707 | 101 | 318 | 15 | 7 | 318 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Dodgers | — | 180 | 174 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 66 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 178 | 197 | 299 | 495 | 121 | 248 | 37 | 2 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK RAW | AZL Dodgers | — | 180 | 172 | 44 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 46 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 256 | 281 | 453 | 734 | 198 | 300 | 26 | 3 | 317 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 228 | 220 | 67 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 66 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 305 | 323 | 459 | 782 | 155 | 399 | 29 | 3 | 336 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 228 | 215 | 78 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 363 | 394 | 563 | 957 | 200 | 428 | 21 | 5 | 416 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 650 | 622 | 133 | 18 | 0 | 21 | 16 | 224 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 214 | 240 | 344 | 584 | 130 | 292 | 34 | 2 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 650 | 614 | 169 | 28 | 1 | 24 | 24 | 161 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 275 | 308 | 441 | 749 | 166 | 333 | 25 | 4 | 328 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 456 | 444 | 110 | 18 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 124 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 248 | 264 | 354 | 618 | 106 | 323 | 27 | 2 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 456 | 441 | 125 | 22 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 95 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 283 | 304 | 406 | 710 | 122 | 340 | 21 | 2 | 314 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 23 | INTL MLE | Estrellas Orientales | — | 18 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 333 | 200 | 533 | 333 | 33 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2020 | 23 | INTL RAW | Estrellas Orientales | — | 18 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 333 | 200 | 533 | 333 | 33 | 17 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 347 | 334 | 100 | 18 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 82 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 299 | 318 | 407 | 725 | 108 | 376 | 24 | 2 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA RAW | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 347 | 331 | 103 | 20 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 68 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 311 | 335 | 444 | 779 | 133 | 367 | 20 | 3 | 342 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 504 | 468 | 111 | 19 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 141 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 237 | 282 | 316 | 598 | 79 | 320 | 28 | 5 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA RAW | Louisville Bats | — | 504 | 457 | 124 | 22 | 0 | 11 | 35 | 112 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 271 | 330 | 392 | 722 | 120 | 331 | 22 | 7 | 321 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 329 | 307 | 52 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 118 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 169 | 218 | 238 | 456 | 68 | 259 | 36 | 5 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | INTL RAW | 2 teams | — | 329 | 295 | 80 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 69 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 271 | 340 | 407 | 747 | 136 | 323 | 21 | 9 | 333 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Dodgers | — | 126 | 121 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 35 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 132 | 161 | 182 | 343 | 50 | 184 | 28 | 3 | 153 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Dodgers | — | 235 | 221 | 40 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 43 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 181 | 222 | 231 | 453 | 50 | 216 | 18 | 5 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Dodgers | — | 180 | 174 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 66 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 178 | 197 | 299 | 495 | 121 | 244 | 37 | 2 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 228 | 220 | 67 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 66 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 305 | 323 | 459 | 782 | 155 | 393 | 29 | 3 | 336 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 650 | 624 | 133 | 18 | 0 | 21 | 16 | 224 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 213 | 240 | 343 | 582 | 130 | 286 | 34 | 2 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 456 | 443 | 110 | 18 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 124 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 248 | 264 | 354 | 619 | 106 | 322 | 27 | 2 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 347 | 335 | 100 | 18 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 82 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 299 | 318 | 406 | 724 | 107 | 370 | 24 | 2 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 504 | 470 | 111 | 19 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 141 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 236 | 282 | 315 | 597 | 79 | 313 | 28 | 5 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 329 | 307 | 52 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 118 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 169 | 218 | 238 | 456 | 68 | 255 | 36 | 5 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 27 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 329 | 307 | 52 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 118 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 169 | 218 | 238 | 456 | 68 | 255 | 36 | 5 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3073 | 2926 | 663 | 101 | 8 | 59 | 100 | 905 | 17 | 9 | 21 | 227 | 256 | 327 | 583 | 100 | 304 | 29 | 3 | 253 | 57 | -156 | -7 | +0 | +11 | +67 | -8.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 619 | 140 | 21 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 191 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 226 | 256 | 325 | 581 | 99 | 303 | 29 | 3 | 253 | 57 | -33 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AATulsa Drillers · 64 PAwOBA .267 → .199 (−68)K% 28.1% → 35.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.12% | ÷0.959 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.81% | ÷1.048 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 5.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.39% | ÷1.042 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.978 | 21.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.44% | ÷1.003 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.978 | 2.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.44% | ÷1.142 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.978 | 1.96% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.44% | ÷1.063 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 1.79% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 108, 2B 101, 3B 128, K 92, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .267 → .199; ISO .102 → .073; BABIP .300 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAALouisville Bats · 504 PAwOBA .316 → .265 (−51)K% 22.2% → 27.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.22% | ÷0.958 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.94% | ÷1.023 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 4.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.99% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.38% | ÷0.996 | ×0.930 | ×1.007 | ×1.033 | 25.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.38% | ÷0.955 | ×0.830 | ×1.007 | ×1.033 | 5.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.007 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.19% | ÷1.282 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 1.80% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 156, 1B 99, 2B 91, 3B 80, K 92, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .316 → .265; ISO .120 → .082; BABIP .331 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 347 PAwOBA .336 → .312 (−24)K% 19.6% → 23.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.60% | ÷0.994 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.17% | ÷1.015 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 2.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.29% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.52% | ÷0.958 | ×0.930 | ×1.021 | ×1.048 | 29.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.60% | ÷0.941 | ×0.830 | ×1.021 | ×1.048 | 7.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.021 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.04% | ÷1.016 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 2.20% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 92, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 99, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .336 → .312; ISO .133 → .107; BABIP .367 → .370. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AATulsa Drillers · 413 PAwOBA .326 → .269 (−56)K% 21.3% → 27.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.31% | ÷0.954 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.42% | ÷1.063 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 1.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.48% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.042 | 0.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.97% | ÷0.997 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.042 | 25.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.07% | ÷1.048 | ×0.840 | ×0.950 | ×1.042 | 5.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.32% | ÷0.925 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×1.042 | 0.32% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.22% | ÷0.909 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 2.95% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 99, 2B 110, 3B 85, K 91, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .326 → .269; ISO .135 → .110; BABIP .363 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes · 580 PAwOBA .322 → .253 (−70)K% 24.7% → 34.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.66% | ÷0.957 | ×1.340 | — | — | 34.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.45% | ÷1.066 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 2.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.86% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.027 | 0.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.43% | ÷1.025 | ×0.910 | ×1.000 | ×1.027 | 23.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.68% | ÷1.076 | ×0.820 | ×1.000 | ×1.027 | 4.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.760 | ×1.000 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.93% | ÷1.058 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.027 | 5.29% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 105, 2B 115, 3B 130, K 91, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.
Result: wOBA .322 → .253; ISO .173 → .134; BABIP .325 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AGreat Lakes Loons · 180 PAwOBA .344 → .290 (−54)K% 23.3% → 32.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.33% | ÷0.990 | ×1.360 | — | — | 32.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.78% | ÷1.048 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 1.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.82% | ÷0.965 | ×0.920 | ×1.018 | ×1.030 | 31.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.82% | ÷1.013 | ×0.830 | ×1.018 | ×1.030 | 5.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.013 | ×0.910 | ×1.018 | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.79% | ÷0.970 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 3.22% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 93, 2B 103, 3B 103, K 98, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.
Result: wOBA .344 → .290; ISO .138 → .106; BABIP .398 → .386. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ROKOgden Raptors · 48 PAwOBA .649 → .507 (−142)K% 12.5% → 18.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 18.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.42% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.995 | 6.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 40.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.995 | 32.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 4.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 2.05% |
| Home runs /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.995 | 10.66% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .649 → .507; ISO .463 → .356; BABIP .548 → .421. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 ROKAZL Dodgers · 180 PAwOBA .312 → .218 (−93)K% 25.6% → 36.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.56% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 36.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.78% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 1.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.56% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.029 | ×1.008 | 18.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.029 | ×1.008 | 3.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.59% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.029 | ×1.008 | 1.18% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.35% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 4.99% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.
Result: wOBA .312 → .218; ISO .198 → .134; BABIP .300 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .